(GPK) Graphic Packaging Holding - Ratings and Ratios
Paperboard, Packaging, Cups, Lids, Containers, Machinery
GPK EPS (Earnings per Share)
GPK Revenue
Description: GPK Graphic Packaging Holding
Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK) is a leading provider of consumer packaging products, serving prominent brands across various industries, including food, beverage, and household products, in multiple regions. The companys diversified product portfolio includes paperboard packaging, cups, lids, and food containers, catering to consumer packaged goods companies, foodservice providers, and quick-service restaurants.
With operations in the Americas, Europe, and the Asia Pacific, GPKs business is segmented into Americas Paperboard Packaging, Europe Paperboard Packaging, and Paperboard Manufacturing. This segmentation enables the company to effectively manage its global presence and respond to regional market dynamics. The companys ability to design, manufacture, and install specialized packaging machines further enhances its value proposition to customers.
From a financial perspective, GPKs market capitalization stands at approximately $7 billion, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.38, indicating a relatively stable valuation. The companys return on equity (RoE) is 20.68%, suggesting a strong ability to generate profits from shareholder equity. To further assess GPKs performance, key performance indicators (KPIs) such as revenue growth, EBITDA margin, and debt-to-equity ratio can be examined. For instance, GPKs revenue growth has been driven by its strategic acquisitions and investments in capacity expansion. The companys EBITDA margin has also been stable, reflecting its efficient operations and cost management. Additionally, GPKs debt-to-equity ratio is relatively moderate, indicating a balanced capital structure.
To gain a deeper understanding of GPKs financial health and operational efficiency, it is essential to analyze its cash flow generation, capital expenditure, and working capital management. The companys ability to generate cash from operations, invest in growth initiatives, and manage its working capital effectively will be crucial in driving its future performance. By examining these metrics, investors can gain a more comprehensive understanding of GPKs strengths and weaknesses, ultimately informing their investment decisions.
GPK Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 6,378m |
| Sub-Industry | Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials |
| IPO / Inception | 1992-06-17 |
GPK Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | -17.3% |
| Fundamental | 39.4% |
| Dividend Rating | 60.0% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -40.2% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.85 of 5 |
GPK Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 1.84% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 3.25% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 5.92% |
| Payout Consistency | 96.4% |
| Payout Ratio | 20.7% |
GPK Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 8.1% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | -92.4% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 86% |
| CAGR 5y | 0.55% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y | 0.02 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y | 0.08 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | -0.52 |
| Alpha | -48.69 |
| Beta | 0.957 |
| Volatility | 25.99% |
| Current Volume | 2469k |
| Average Volume 20d | 3437.4k |
| Stop Loss | 20 (-3.5%) |
| Signal | -1.41 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5
| Net Income (534.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 518.1m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.03 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -3.24pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 10.38% (prev 9.64%; Δ 0.73pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 (>3.0%) and CFO 769.0m > Net Income 534.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (5.71b) to EBITDA (1.47b) ratio: 3.90 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.43 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (302.4m) change vs 12m ago -1.47% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 21.08% (prev 22.91%; Δ -1.83pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 76.34% (prev 83.99%; Δ -7.65pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 4.30 (EBITDA TTM 1.47b / Interest Expense TTM 216.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.61
| (A) 0.08 = (Total Current Assets 2.97b - Total Current Liabilities 2.07b) / Total Assets 11.79b |
| (B) 0.13 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 1.49b / Total Assets 11.79b |
| (C) 0.08 = EBIT TTM 928.0m / Avg Total Assets 11.31b |
| (D) 0.14 = Book Value of Equity 1.23b / Total Liabilities 8.58b |
| Total Rating: 1.61 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 39.42
| 1. Piotroski 3.50pt = -1.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield -3.00% = -1.50 |
| 3. FCF Margin -4.20% = -1.58 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.81 = 1.05 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 3.98 = -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC 2.67% = 3.33 |
| 7. RoE 17.23% = 1.44 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -92.13% = -4.61 |
| 9. Rev. CAGR -3.79% = -0.63 |
| 10. EPS Trend -65.89% = -1.65 |
| 11. EPS CAGR -19.45% = -2.43 |
What is the price of GPK shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.76%, over one month by -8.84%, over three months by -3.90% and over the past year by -28.79%.
Is Graphic Packaging Holding a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of GPK is around 18.61 USD . This means that GPK is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -10.18%.
Is GPK a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 4
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 6
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the GPK price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 25.7 | 24% |
| Analysts Target Price | 25.7 | 24% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 20.2 | -2.8% |
Last update: 2025-09-09 04:38
GPK Fundamental Data Overview
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 120.0m USD (last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 12.1638
P/E Forward = 9.8039
P/S = 0.7386
P/B = 1.982
P/EG = 1.13
Beta = 0.763
Revenue TTM = 8.63b USD
EBIT TTM = 928.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.47b USD
Long Term Debt = 5.39b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 443.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.83b USD (Calculated: Short Term 443.0m + Long Term 5.39b)
Net Debt = 5.71b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 12.09b USD (6.38b + Debt 5.83b - CCE 120.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.30 (Ebit TTM 928.0m / Interest Expense TTM 216.0m)
FCF Yield = -3.00% (FCF TTM -363.0m / Enterprise Value 12.09b)
FCF Margin = -4.20% (FCF TTM -363.0m / Revenue TTM 8.63b)
Net Margin = 6.18% (Net Income TTM 534.0m / Revenue TTM 8.63b)
Gross Margin = 21.08% ((Revenue TTM 8.63b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.82b) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 9.85 (Enterprise Value 12.09b / Book Value Of Equity 1.23b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.93% (Interest Expense 54.0m / Debt 5.83b)
Taxrate = 25.85% (229.0m / 886.0m)
NOPAT = 688.1m (EBIT 928.0m * (1 - 25.85%))
Current Ratio = 1.43 (Total Current Assets 2.97b / Total Current Liabilities 2.07b)
Debt / Equity = 1.81 (Debt 5.83b / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 3.22b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.98 (Net Debt 5.71b / EBITDA 1.47b)
Debt / FCF = -16.07 (Debt 5.83b / FCF TTM -363.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.10b (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 4.53% (Net Income 534.0m, Total Assets 11.79b )
RoE = 17.23% (Net Income TTM 534.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.10b)
RoCE = 10.93% (Ebit 928.0m / (Equity 3.10b + L.T.Debt 5.39b))
RoIC = 7.98% (NOPAT 688.1m / Invested Capital 8.63b)
WACC = 5.31% (E(6.38b)/V(12.21b) * Re(9.54%)) + (D(5.83b)/V(12.21b) * Rd(0.93%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -77.86 | Cagr: -0.21%
Discount Rate = 9.54% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -363.0m)
Revenue Correlation: -92.13 | Revenue CAGR: -3.79%
Rev Growth-of-Growth: 0.93
EPS Correlation: -65.89 | EPS CAGR: -19.45%
EPS Growth-of-Growth: -28.79
Additional Sources for GPK Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle