(GPK) Graphic Packaging Holding - Overview

Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Packaging & Containers | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 2.730m USD | Total Return: -60.6% in 12m

Stock Paperboard, Foodservice, Packaging, Machines
Total Rating 25
Risk 67
Buy Signal -0.28
Packaging & Containers -2.0
Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials +0.7
Market Cap: 2,730m
Avg Trading Vol: 83.0M USD
ATR: 5.00%
Peers RS (IBD): 3.1
Risk 5d forecast
Volatility44.6%
Rel. Tail Risk-8.87%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-2.15
Alpha-74.65
Character TTM
Beta0.677
Beta Downside0.747
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD69.71%
CAGR/Max DD-0.36
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of GPK over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": 0.23, "2021-06": 0.26, "2021-09": 0.34, "2021-12": 0.31, "2022-03": 0.48, "2022-06": 0.6, "2022-09": 0.67, "2022-12": 0.59, "2023-03": 0.77, "2023-06": 0.66, "2023-09": 0.74, "2023-12": 0.75, "2024-03": 0.66, "2024-06": 0.6, "2024-09": 0.64, "2024-12": 0.59, "2025-03": 0.51, "2025-06": 0.42, "2025-09": 0.58, "2025-12": 0.29,
EPS CAGR: -12.57%
EPS Trend: -49.0%
Last SUE: -2.42
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of GPK over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 1649, 2021-06: 1737, 2021-09: 1782, 2021-12: 1988, 2022-03: 2245, 2022-06: 2358, 2022-09: 2451, 2022-12: 2386, 2023-03: 2438, 2023-06: 2392, 2023-09: 2349, 2023-12: 2249, 2024-03: 2259, 2024-06: 2237, 2024-09: 2216, 2024-12: 2095, 2025-03: 2120, 2025-06: 2204, 2025-09: 2190, 2025-12: 2103,
Rev. CAGR: -1.73%
Rev. Trend: -79.2%
Last SUE: 1.05
Qual. Beats: 1
Description: GPK Graphic Packaging Holding March 03, 2026

Graphic Packaging Holding Company (NYSE: GPK) is a vertically integrated provider of fiber-based packaging solutions for the food, beverage, and foodservice industries. The company operates through three primary segments focused on paperboard manufacturing and packaging conversion across the Americas, Europe, and the Asia Pacific.

The business model relies on a closed-loop system where the company manufactures its own paperboard substrates-including coated unbleached kraft and recycled grades-and converts them into finished consumer goods packaging. This vertical integration allows for greater control over supply chains and input costs compared to non-integrated converters.

GPK serves a diverse client base ranging from quick-service restaurants to healthcare and beauty brands, providing both standardized containers and specialized packaging machinery. The global paper packaging sector is currently driven by a structural shift toward sustainable materials as brands seek alternatives to single-use plastics.

To better understand how these industry trends affect valuation, consider reviewing the detailed metrics available on ValueRay.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Global consumer spending directly impacts packaging demand
  • Paperboard raw material costs influence profit margins
  • Foodservice industry growth drives cup and container sales
  • Acquisitions expand market share and product offerings
  • Regulatory changes in packaging materials pose compliance risks
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
Net Income: 444.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.57 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 7.76% < 20% (prev 10.00%; Δ -2.24% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 854.0m > Net Income 444.0m
Net Debt (5.31b) to EBITDA (1.34b): 3.96 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.30 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (296.9m) vs 12m ago -1.92% < -2%
Gross Margin: 18.71% > 18% (prev 0.23%; Δ 1.85k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 75.20% > 50% (prev 79.03%; Δ -3.83% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.63 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 1.34b / Interest Expense TTM 222.0m)
Altman Z'' 1.46
A: 0.06 (Total Current Assets 2.91b - Total Current Liabilities 2.24b) / Total Assets 11.78b
B: 0.14 (Retained Earnings 1.61b / Total Assets 11.78b)
C: 0.07 (EBIT TTM 806.0m / Avg Total Assets 11.46b)
D: 0.16 (Book Value of Equity 1.35b / Total Liabilities 8.44b)
Altman-Z'' Score: 1.46 = BB
Beneish M -2.88
DSRI: 1.02 (Receivables 760.0m/759.0m, Revenue 8.62b/8.81b)
GMI: 1.21 (GM 18.71% / 22.66%)
AQI: 0.97 (AQ_t 0.27 / AQ_t-1 0.28)
SGI: 0.98 (Revenue 8.62b / 8.81b)
TATA: -0.03 (NI 444.0m - CFO 854.0m) / TA 11.78b)
Beneish M-Score: -2.88 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of GPK shares? As of April 01, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 9.94 with a total of 8,663,476 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +10.69%, over one month by -14.59%, over three months by -33.25% and over the past year by -60.59%.
Is GPK a buy, sell or hold? Graphic Packaging Holding has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.85. Therefore, it is recommended to buy GPK.
  • StrongBuy: 4
  • Buy: 3
  • Hold: 6
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the GPK price?
ISSUER TARGET UP/DOWN
Wallstreet Target Price 14 40.8%
Analysts Target Price 14 40.8%
GPK Fundamental Data Overview March 31, 2026
P/E Trailing = 6.2365
P/E Forward = 22.5734
P/S = 0.3168
P/B = 0.7899
P/EG = 3.3305
Revenue TTM = 8.62b USD
EBIT TTM = 806.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.34b USD
Long Term Debt = 5.02b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 549.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.57b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 5.31b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 8.04b USD (2.73b + Debt 5.57b - CCE 261.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.63 (Ebit TTM 806.0m / Interest Expense TTM 222.0m)
EV/FCF = -99.26x (Enterprise Value 8.04b / FCF TTM -81.0m)
FCF Yield = -1.01% (FCF TTM -81.0m / Enterprise Value 8.04b)
FCF Margin = -0.94% (FCF TTM -81.0m / Revenue TTM 8.62b)
Net Margin = 5.15% (Net Income TTM 444.0m / Revenue TTM 8.62b)
Gross Margin = 18.71% ((Revenue TTM 8.62b - Cost of Revenue TTM 7.00b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 14.41% (prev 19.91%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.68 (Enterprise Value 8.04b / Total Assets 11.78b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.17% (Interest Expense 65.0m / Debt 5.57b)
Taxrate = 22.83% (21.0m / 92.0m)
NOPAT = 622.0m (EBIT 806.0m * (1 - 22.83%))
Current Ratio = 1.30 (Total Current Assets 2.91b / Total Current Liabilities 2.24b)
Debt / Equity = 1.67 (Debt 5.57b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.34b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.96 (Net Debt 5.31b / EBITDA 1.34b)
 Debt / FCF = -65.56 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 5.31b / FCF TTM -81.0m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 3.25b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.87% (Net Income 444.0m / Total Assets 11.78b)
RoE = 13.67% (Net Income TTM 444.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.25b)
RoCE = 9.74% (EBIT 806.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.25b + L.T.Debt 5.02b))
RoIC = 6.91% (NOPAT 622.0m / Invested Capital 9.00b)
WACC = 3.35% (E(2.73b)/V(8.30b) * Re(8.36%) + D(5.57b)/V(8.30b) * Rd(1.17%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 8.36% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.90%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -81.0m)
 EPS Correlation: -48.98 | EPS CAGR: -12.57% | SUE: -2.42 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -79.20 | Revenue CAGR: -1.73% | SUE: 1.05 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.19 | Chg7d=-0.008 | Chg30d=+0.001 | Revisions Net=-7 | Analysts=8
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.01 | Chg7d=-0.078 | Chg30d=-0.078 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=-44.1% | Growth Revenue=-1.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.34 | Chg7d=-0.022 | Chg30d=-0.022 | Revisions Net=-9 | Growth EPS=+33.5% | Growth Revenue=+1.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -1.00 (0 Up / 7 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = -7.7% (Discount Rate 8.4% - Earnings Yield 16.0%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = +5.8% (Analyst -1.8% - Implied -7.7%)
Additional Sources for GPK Stock Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma · Stockcircle