Overview Dividends

(GPK) Graphic Packaging Holding - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US3886891015

Paperboard, Cartons, Cups, Containers, Machines

Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials
Market Cap in USD: 4,539m

IPO / Inception: 1992-06-17
Return 12m vs S&P 500: -51.7%

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: -44.34%
EPS Trend: -49.4%

Last SUE: -4.00
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: 2.61%
Rev. Trend: -30.4%

Last SUE: 0.48
Qual. Beats: 0

Dividends

Dividend Yield	2.91%
Yield on Cost 5y	2.83%
Yield CAGR 5y	10.06%
Payout Consistency	97.7%
Payout Ratio	21.0%

Risk via 5d forecast
Volatility	26.8%
Value at Risk 5%th	42.2%
Relative Tail Risk	-4.38%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	-1.71
Alpha	-53.15
CAGR/Max DD	-0.19

Character TTM
Hurst Exponent	0.225
Beta	0.447
Beta Downside	0.338

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	52.50%
Mean DD	13.70%
Median DD	9.37%

Description: GPK Graphic Packaging Holding November 05, 2025

Graphic Packaging Holding Company (NYSE:GPK) designs, manufactures and sells a broad portfolio of consumer packaging-including unbleached, bleached and recycled paperboard, as well as cups, lids and food containers-for brands in food, beverage, foodservice, household, healthcare and beauty markets across the Americas, Europe and Asia-Pacific. The business is organized into three geographic segments (Americas Paperboard Packaging, Europe Paperboard Packaging, and Paperboard Manufacturing) and also offers specialized packaging-machine design, build and installation services.

Key operating metrics from the most recent fiscal year show revenue of roughly $2.4 billion with an adjusted operating margin near 6 % and free-cash-flow conversion above 70 %, while ROIC hovers around 8 %. The company’s performance is tightly linked to macro-drivers such as rising demand for sustainable, recyclable packaging, volatile wood-pulp and energy costs, and the acceleration of e-commerce and food-service out-of-home consumption, all of which can affect both pricing power and capacity utilization.

If you want a deeper, data-driven view of GPK’s valuation and risk profile, ValueRay’s analytical platform provides a granular breakdown that can help you assess whether the stock aligns with your risk-return objectives.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0

Net Income (511.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 516.5m TTM)

FCFTA -0.03 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.18pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 12.35% (prev 14.07%; Δ -1.72pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.07 (>3.0%) and CFO 809.0m > Net Income 511.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (5.83b) to EBITDA (1.41b) ratio: 4.13 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 1.54 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (297.6m) change vs 12m ago -1.65% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 20.59% (prev 22.81%; Δ -2.22pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 74.51% (prev 79.79%; Δ -5.28pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 4.22 (EBITDA TTM 1.41b / Interest Expense TTM 210.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 1.69

(A) 0.09 = (Total Current Assets 3.01b - Total Current Liabilities 1.95b) / Total Assets 11.88b

(B) 0.13 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 1.57b / Total Assets 11.88b

(D) 0.15 = Book Value of Equity 1.31b / Total Liabilities 8.59b

Total Rating: 1.69 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 46.48

1. Piotroski 4.0pt

2. FCF Yield -2.98%

3. FCF Margin -3.59%

4. Debt/Equity 1.81

5. Debt/Ebitda 4.13

6. ROIC - WACC (= 4.14)%

7. RoE 16.13%

8. Rev. Trend -30.39%

9. EPS Trend -49.41%

What is the price of GPK shares?

As of December 31, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 15.14 with a total of 2,424,817 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.20%, over one month by -6.97%, over three months by -21.00% and over the past year by -42.95%.

Is GPK a buy, sell or hold?

Graphic Packaging Holding has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.85. Therefore, it is recommended to buy GPK.

Strong Buy: 4
Buy: 3
Hold: 6
Sell: 0
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the GPK price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	18.7	23.4%
Analysts Target Price	18.7	23.4%
ValueRay Target Price	12.4	-18.4%

GPK Fundamental Data Overview December 24, 2025

Market Cap USD = 4.54b (4.54b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 9.119
P/E Forward = 7.77
P/S = 0.5272
P/B = 1.3862
P/EG = 1.13
Beta = 0.656
Revenue TTM = 8.61b USD
EBIT TTM = 887.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.41b USD
Long Term Debt = 5.47b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 447.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.96b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 5.83b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 10.37b USD (4.54b + Debt 5.96b - CCE 120.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.22 (Ebit TTM 887.0m / Interest Expense TTM 210.0m)
FCF Yield = -2.98% (FCF TTM -309.0m / Enterprise Value 10.37b)
FCF Margin = -3.59% (FCF TTM -309.0m / Revenue TTM 8.61b)
Net Margin = 5.94% (Net Income TTM 511.0m / Revenue TTM 8.61b)
Gross Margin = 20.59% ((Revenue TTM 8.61b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.84b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 19.91% (prev 19.19%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.87 (Enterprise Value 10.37b / Total Assets 11.88b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.89% (Interest Expense 53.0m / Debt 5.96b)
Taxrate = 21.98% (40.0m / 182.0m)
NOPAT = 692.1m (EBIT 887.0m * (1 - 21.98%))
Current Ratio = 1.54 (Total Current Assets 3.01b / Total Current Liabilities 1.95b)
Debt / Equity = 1.81 (Debt 5.96b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.29b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.13 (Net Debt 5.83b / EBITDA 1.41b)
Debt / FCF = -18.88 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 5.83b / FCF TTM -309.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.17b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.30% (Net Income 511.0m / Total Assets 11.88b)
RoE = 16.13% (Net Income TTM 511.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.17b)
RoCE = 10.27% (EBIT 887.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.17b + L.T.Debt 5.47b))
RoIC = 7.84% (NOPAT 692.1m / Invested Capital 8.82b)
WACC = 3.71% (E(4.54b)/V(10.49b) * Re(7.66%) + D(5.96b)/V(10.49b) * Rd(0.89%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 7.66% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.78%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -309.0m)
EPS Correlation: -49.41 | EPS CAGR: -44.34% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -30.39 | Revenue CAGR: 2.61% | SUE: 0.48 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.44 | Chg30d=-0.004 | Revisions Net=-2 | Analysts=7
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.91 | Chg30d=-0.025 | Revisions Net=-4 | Growth EPS=+0.3% | Growth Revenue=-0.1%

Additional Sources for GPK Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle