GPRK Stock Analysis: GeoPark | NYSE
Oil & Gas E&P | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 608m USD | 12M Return: 54.1% | BMG383271050 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 3.20M
EPS Trend: -71.5%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -94.5%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
GeoPark Limited (NYSE: GPRK) is a Latin American-focused oil and natural gas exploration and production company headquartered in Bogotá, Colombia. Founded in 2002, the company operates across multiple jurisdictions including Chile, Colombia, Brazil, Argentina, and Ecuador, engaging in the full upstream value chain of exploration, development, drilling, and production of oil and gas reserves. Originally incorporated as GeoPark Holdings Limited, the company adopted its current name in May 2009 and listed on the NYSE in October 2010. As a small-cap energy issuer (~$656M market cap), GeoPark sits within the upstream segment of the oil and gas industry, which is the capital-intensive phase responsible for locating and extracting hydrocarbon reserves before midstream transportation and downstream refining activities. The company’s multi-country Latin American footprint exposes it to a region that hosts several of the Western Hemisphere’s major hydrocarbon basins, including Colombia’s Llanos and Argentina’s Vaca Muerta.
- Crude oil prices drive Colombia production revenue and margins
- Colombian government energy transition policy threatens contract terms
- Share buyback program returns capital and reduces share count
| Net Income: 81.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -4.80 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 11.18% < 20% (prev 39.03%; Δ -27.85% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.16 > 3% & CFO 209.6m > Net Income 81.1m |
| Net Debt (369.2m) to EBITDA (321.5m): 1.15 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.17 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (64.9m) vs 12m ago 25.58% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 49.65% > 18% (prev 54.54%; Δ -4.88% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 46.47% > 50% (prev 52.99%; Δ -6.52% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.60 > 6 (EBIT TTM 204.3m / Interest Expense TTM 56.7m) |
| A: 0.05 (Total Current Assets 421.6m - Total Current Liabilities 360.3m) / Total Assets 1.29b |
| B: 0.14 (Retained Earnings 179.9m / Total Assets 1.29b) |
| C: 0.17 (EBIT TTM 204.3m / Avg Total Assets 1.18b) |
| D: 0.39 (Book Value of Equity 364.5m / Total Liabilities 925.5m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.34 = BBB |
| DSRI: 1.52 (Receivables 51.9m/35.4m, Revenue 548.3m/566.7m) |
| GMI: 1.10 (GM 54.54% / 49.65%) |
| AQI: 0.37 (AQ_t 0.04 / AQ_t-1 0.10) |
| SGI: 0.97 (Revenue 548.3m / 566.7m) |
| TATA: -0.10 (NI 81.1m - CFO 209.6m) / TA 1.29b) |
| Beneish M = -2.92 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of August 24, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 9.79 with a total of 245,676 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.63%, over one month by -4.35%, over three months by -1.56% and over the past year by +54.12%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 9.30 (which is 5% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
GeoPark has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.67. Therefore, it is recommended to hold GPRK.
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 10.9 | 10.8% |
P/E Trailing = 6.5524
P/E Forward = 2.1349
P/S = 1.1992
P/B = 1.7074
Revenue TTM = 548.3m USD
EBIT TTM = 204.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 321.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 441.6m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 197.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 685.5m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 25.3m
Net Debt = 369.2m USD (calculated: Debt 685.5m - CCE 316.3m)
Enterprise Value = 977.3m USD (608.1m + Debt 685.5m - CCE 316.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.60 (Ebit TTM 204.3m / Interest Expense TTM 56.7m)
EV/FCF = 16.43x (Enterprise Value 977.3m / FCF TTM 59.5m)
FCF Yield = 6.09% (FCF TTM 59.5m / Enterprise Value 977.3m)
FCF Margin = 10.85% (FCF TTM 59.5m / Revenue TTM 548.3m)
Net Margin = 14.80% (Net Income TTM 81.1m / Revenue TTM 548.3m)
Gross Margin = 49.65% ((Revenue TTM 548.3m - Cost of Revenue TTM 276.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 54.91% (prev 50.43%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.76 (Enterprise Value 977.3m / Total Assets 1.29b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 8.27% (Interest Expense 56.7m / Debt 685.5m)
Taxrate = 10.64% (9.66m / 90.8m)
NOPAT = 182.6m (EBIT 204.3m * (1 - 10.64%))
Current Ratio = 1.17 (Total Current Assets 421.6m / Total Current Liabilities 360.3m)
Debt / Equity = 1.88 (Debt 685.5m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 364.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.15 (Net Debt 369.2m / EBITDA 321.5m)
Debt / FCF = 6.21 (Net Debt 369.2m / FCF TTM 59.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 277.9m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.88% (Net Income 81.1m / Total Assets 1.29b)
RoE = 29.19% (Net Income TTM 81.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 277.9m)
RoCE = 28.40% (EBIT 204.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 277.9m + L.T.Debt 441.6m))
RoIC = 16.60% (NOPAT 182.6m / Invested Capital 1.10b)
WACC = 7.78% (E(608.1m)/V(1.29b) * Re(8.22%) + D(685.5m)/V(1.29b) * Rd(8.27%) * (1-Tc(0.11)))
Discount Rate = 8.22% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 42.83 | Cagr: 6.85%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈75.9m ; Y1≈66.6m ; Y5≈53.8m
[DCF] Fair Price = 7.62 (EV 863.6m - Net Debt 369.2m = Equity 494.4m / Shares 64.9m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -71.48 | EPS CAGR: -26.61% | SUE: 0.29 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -94.46 | Revenue CAGR: -16.95% | SUE: -0.17 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=0
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.09 | Chg30d=-0.16% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+13.4% | GrowthRev=+19.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.78 | Chg30d=-31.87% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+62.8% | GrowthRev=+17.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +40% (up=2, down=0)