GPRK Stock Analysis: GeoPark | NYSE
Oil & Gas E&P | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 587m USD | 12M Return: 39.3% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 5.42M
EPS Trend: -87.6%
Qual. Beats: 2
Rev. Trend: -97.7%
Qual. Beats: -1
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
GeoPark Limited (NYSE: GPRK) is a Latin American-focused oil and natural gas exploration and production company headquartered in Bogotá, Colombia. Founded in 2002, the company operates across multiple jurisdictions including Chile, Colombia, Brazil, Argentina, and Ecuador, engaging in the full upstream value chain of exploration, development, drilling, and production of oil and gas reserves. Originally incorporated as GeoPark Holdings Limited, the company adopted its current name in May 2009 and listed on the NYSE in October 2010. As a small-cap energy issuer (~$656M market cap), GeoPark sits within the upstream segment of the oil and gas industry, which is the capital-intensive phase responsible for locating and extracting hydrocarbon reserves before midstream transportation and downstream refining activities. The company’s multi-country Latin American footprint exposes it to a region that hosts several of the Western Hemisphere’s major hydrocarbon basins, including Colombia’s Llanos and Argentina’s Vaca Muerta.
- Crude oil prices drive Colombia production revenue and margins
- Colombian government energy transition policy threatens contract terms
- Share buyback program returns capital and reduces share count
| Net Income: 56.8m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.00 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -11.94 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 0.02% < 20% (prev 34.94%; Δ -34.92% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 94.2m > Net Income 56.8m |
| Net Debt (383.8m) to EBITDA (232.1m): 1.65 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.00 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (55.6m) vs 12m ago 8.54% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 47.39% > 18% (prev 57.34%; Δ -9.95% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 40.18% > 50% (prev 53.18%; Δ -13.01% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.02 > 6 (EBIT TTM 118.7m / Interest Expense TTM 58.8m) |
| A: 0.00 (Total Current Assets 395.7m - Total Current Liabilities 395.6m) / Total Assets 1.21b |
| B: 0.14 (Retained Earnings 168.5m / Total Assets 1.21b) |
| C: 0.10 (EBIT TTM 118.7m / Avg Total Assets 1.20b) |
| D: 0.32 (Book Value of Equity 292.5m / Total Liabilities 916.6m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.45 = BB |
| DSRI: 1.99 (Receivables 69.4m/45.9m, Revenue 483.5m/637.1m) |
| GMI: 1.21 (GM 57.34% / 47.39%) |
| AQI: 3.88 (AQ_t 0.04 / AQ_t-1 0.01) |
| SGI: 0.76 (Revenue 483.5m / 637.1m) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI 56.8m - CFO 94.2m) / TA 1.21b) |
| Beneish M = -0.49 (Cap -4..+1) = D |
As of July 07, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 9.35 with a total of 374,938 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.30%, over one month by -13.10%, over three months by +6.37% and over the past year by +39.32%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 8.30 (which is 11.2% or 2.3 ATR below the current price).
GeoPark has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.67. Therefore, it is recommended to hold GPRK.
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 10.5 | 12.1% |
P/E Trailing = 8.5566
P/E Forward = 22.2717
P/S = 1.2133
P/B = 2.0055
Revenue TTM = 483.5m USD
EBIT TTM = 118.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = 232.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 441.4m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 171.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 658.7m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 25.3m
Net Debt = 383.8m USD (calculated: Debt 658.7m - CCE 274.9m)
Enterprise Value = 970.4m USD (586.7m + Debt 658.7m - CCE 274.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.02 (Ebit TTM 118.7m / Interest Expense TTM 58.8m)
EV/FCF = -275.2x (Enterprise Value 970.4m / FCF TTM -3.53m)
FCF Yield = -0.36% (FCF TTM -3.53m / Enterprise Value 970.4m)
FCF Margin = -0.73% (FCF TTM -3.53m / Revenue TTM 483.5m)
Net Margin = 11.74% (Net Income TTM 56.8m / Revenue TTM 483.5m)
Gross Margin = 47.39% ((Revenue TTM 483.5m - Cost of Revenue TTM 254.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 50.43% (prev 42.28%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.80 (Enterprise Value 970.4m / Total Assets 1.21b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 8.92% (Interest Expense 58.8m / Debt 658.7m)
Taxrate = 12.15% (7.85m / 64.6m)
NOPAT = 104.3m (EBIT 118.7m * (1 - 12.15%))
Current Ratio = 1.00 (Total Current Assets 395.7m / Total Current Liabilities 395.6m)
Debt / Equity = 2.25 (Debt 658.7m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 292.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.65 (Net Debt 383.8m / EBITDA 232.1m)
Debt / FCF = -108.8 (out of range, set to none) (Net Debt 383.8m / FCF TTM -3.53m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 237.6m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.72% (Net Income 56.8m / Total Assets 1.21b)
RoE = 23.90% (Net Income TTM 56.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 237.6m)
RoCE = 17.48% (EBIT 118.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 237.6m + L.T.Debt 441.4m))
RoIC = 10.85% (NOPAT 104.3m / Invested Capital 961.0m)
WACC = 8.21% (E(586.7m)/V(1.25b) * Re(8.63%) + D(658.7m)/V(1.25b) * Rd(8.92%) * (1-Tc(0.12)))
Discount Rate = 8.63% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -26.97 | Cagr: -1.05%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -3.53m)
EPS Correlation: -87.58 | EPS CAGR: -34.99% | SUE: 1.23 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: -97.66 | Revenue CAGR: -18.71% | SUE: -1.03 | # QB: -1
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=0
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=0
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.09 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+13.5% | GrowthRev=+15.5%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.61 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+138.6% | GrowthRev=+30.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +40% (up=2, down=0)