(GPRK) GeoPark - Ratings and Ratios
Oil, Natural Gas, Exploration, Production
GPRK EPS (Earnings per Share)
GPRK Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 56.4% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 88.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -5.10% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.29 |
| Alpha | -9.29 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.359 |
| Beta | 0.979 |
| Beta Downside | 1.612 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 58.34% |
| Mean DD | 36.80% |
| Median DD | 38.05% |
Description: GPRK GeoPark October 26, 2025
GeoPark Ltd. (NYSE:GPRK) is a Latin-American focused upstream company that explores, develops and produces oil and natural gas across Chile, Colombia, Brazil, Argentina, Ecuador and additional regional assets. The firm, originally incorporated as GeoPark Holdings Limited, rebranded to GeoPark Ltd. in July 2013 and is headquartered in Bogotá, Colombia.
Key market identifiers: Ticker GPRK, common stock, Colombian-origin, classified under the GICS sub-industry “Oil & Gas Exploration & Production.”
Recent operational metrics (as of Q3 2024) show an average production of roughly 30 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day (boe/d), with a cash-flow conversion rate of ~1.2 × (operating cash flow ÷ net earnings) and a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio near 0.6, indicating moderate leverage for an emerging-market producer. The company’s earnings are highly sensitive to Brent crude price movements (≈ $ 85 / bbl benchmark) and to currency fluctuations between the US dollar and the Colombian peso, which together drive roughly 70 % of its net-income variance in the last two fiscal years.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of GeoPark’s valuation dynamics, you may find the analytical tools on ValueRay useful for independent research.
GPRK Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 424m |
| Sub-Industry | Oil & Gas Exploration & Production |
| IPO / Inception | 2010-10-15 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -10.8% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.67 of 5 |
GPRK Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 7.44% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 7.81% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 62.87% |
| Payout Consistency | 100.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 71.5% |
GPRK Growth Ratios
| CAGR 3y | -12.12% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | -0.21 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | -0.33 |
| Current Volume | 726.8k |
| Average Volume | 1225.1k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income (33.9m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 31.6m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.02 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -12.84pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 38.59% (prev 7.85%; Δ 30.75pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 (>3.0%) and CFO 134.9m > Net Income 33.9m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (399.9m) to EBITDA (275.6m) ratio: 1.45 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.63 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (52.9m) change vs 12m ago 1.05% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 60.25% (prev 56.53%; Δ 3.71pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 51.71% (prev 69.74%; Δ -18.03pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 2.42 (EBITDA TTM 275.6m / Interest Expense TTM 60.2m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.84
| (A) 0.20 = (Total Current Assets 327.5m - Total Current Liabilities 124.5m) / Total Assets 1.01b |
| (B) 0.12 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 119.5m / Total Assets 1.01b |
| (C) 0.14 = EBIT TTM 145.4m / Avg Total Assets 1.02b |
| (D) 0.16 = Book Value of Equity 129.1m / Total Liabilities 798.5m |
| Total Rating: 2.84 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 55.90
| 1. Piotroski 5.0pt = 0.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 2.85% = 1.43 |
| 3. FCF Margin 4.47% = 1.12 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 2.86 = -0.56 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.45 = 1.05 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 10.58)% = 12.50 |
| 7. RoE 16.41% = 1.37 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -90.96% = -6.82 |
| 9. EPS Trend -83.50% = -4.18 |
What is the price of GPRK shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.66%, over one month by +25.40%, over three months by +21.67% and over the past year by +2.20%.
Is GeoPark a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of GPRK is around 8.28 USD . This means that GPRK is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of 4.81%.
Is GPRK a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 2
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the GPRK price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 10.3 | 29.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 10.3 | 29.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 9 | 13.4% |
GPRK Fundamental Data Overview November 10, 2025
P/E Trailing = 12.4242
P/E Forward = 2.1349
P/S = 0.8057
P/B = 1.6249
Beta = 0.538
Revenue TTM = 525.9m USD
EBIT TTM = 145.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 275.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 492.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 15.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 596.9m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 399.9m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 823.5m USD (423.6m + Debt 596.9m - CCE 197.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.42 (Ebit TTM 145.4m / Interest Expense TTM 60.2m)
FCF Yield = 2.85% (FCF TTM 23.5m / Enterprise Value 823.5m)
FCF Margin = 4.47% (FCF TTM 23.5m / Revenue TTM 525.9m)
Net Margin = 6.44% (Net Income TTM 33.9m / Revenue TTM 525.9m)
Gross Margin = 60.25% ((Revenue TTM 525.9m - Cost of Revenue TTM 209.1m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 47.84% (prev 44.96%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.82 (Enterprise Value 823.5m / Total Assets 1.01b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.65% (Interest Expense 15.8m / Debt 596.9m)
Taxrate = 20.10% (3.99m / 19.8m)
NOPAT = 116.2m (EBIT 145.4m * (1 - 20.10%))
Current Ratio = 2.63 (Total Current Assets 327.5m / Total Current Liabilities 124.5m)
Debt / Equity = 2.86 (Debt 596.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 208.6m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.45 (Net Debt 399.9m / EBITDA 275.6m)
Debt / FCF = 17.01 (Net Debt 399.9m / FCF TTM 23.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 206.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.36% (Net Income 33.9m / Total Assets 1.01b)
RoE = 16.41% (Net Income TTM 33.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 206.5m)
RoCE = 20.81% (EBIT 145.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 206.5m + L.T.Debt 492.0m))
RoIC = 15.81% (NOPAT 116.2m / Invested Capital 734.7m)
WACC = 5.23% (E(423.6m)/V(1.02b) * Re(9.62%) + D(596.9m)/V(1.02b) * Rd(2.65%) * (1-Tc(0.20)))
Discount Rate = 9.62% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -3.66%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 69.57% ; FCFE base≈76.4m ; Y1≈64.7m ; Y5≈49.2m
Fair Price DCF = 13.45 (DCF Value 695.1m / Shares Outstanding 51.7m; 5y FCF grow -18.61% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -83.50 | EPS CAGR: -32.13% | SUE: 0.93 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -90.96 | Revenue CAGR: -19.99% | SUE: 0.96 | # QB: 1
Additional Sources for GPRK Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle