(GPRK) GeoPark - Overview
Stock: Oil, Gas
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 6.82% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 4.59% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 39.60% |
| Payout Consistency | 97.2% |
| Payout Ratio | 71.5% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 39.8% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -5.77% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.11 |
| Alpha | -19.38 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.026 |
| Beta Downside | 1.542 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 52.40% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.20 |
Description: GPRK GeoPark December 29, 2025
GeoPark Ltd (NYSE:GPRK) is a publicly-traded oil and natural-gas E&P company focused on Latin America, with operations in Chile, Colombia, Brazil, Argentina, Ecuador and other regional jurisdictions. The firm explores, develops and produces hydrocarbons, and it was incorporated in 2002 (originally as GeoPark Holdings Ltd) before re-branding to GeoPark Ltd in July 2013. Its corporate headquarters are in Bogotá, Colombia.
Key operating metrics (as of the most recent FY2023 filing) show an average production of roughly 20,000 boe/d, a cash-flow conversion rate near 70 % and a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of about 2.2×, indicating moderate leverage for a small-cap producer. The company’s revenue is highly sensitive to Brent-linked price movements; a 10 % shift in crude prices historically translates to a ~12 % swing in top-line earnings. GeoPark’s growth outlook is tied to regional macro-factors such as Colombia’s fiscal incentives for upstream investment and the broader Latin-American trend toward higher domestic energy demand, which together drive reserve replacement and drilling activity.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, you might explore ValueRay’s detailed financial models on GPRK to see how these drivers play out under different price scenarios.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income: 36.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -14.18 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 38.13% < 20% (prev 7.85%; Δ 30.29% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 > 3% & CFO 134.9m > Net Income 36.2m |
| Net Debt (399.9m) to EBITDA (261.4m): 1.53 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.63 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (52.9m) vs 12m ago 1.05% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 52.84% > 18% (prev 0.57%; Δ 5227 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 52.34% > 50% (prev 69.74%; Δ -17.40% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.27 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 261.4m / Interest Expense TTM 60.2m) |
Altman Z'' 2.78
| A: 0.20 (Total Current Assets 327.5m - Total Current Liabilities 124.5m) / Total Assets 1.01b |
| B: 0.12 (Retained Earnings 119.5m / Total Assets 1.01b) |
| C: 0.13 (EBIT TTM 136.9m / Avg Total Assets 1.02b) |
| D: 0.16 (Book Value of Equity 129.1m / Total Liabilities 798.5m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 2.78 = A |
Beneish M -0.99
| DSRI: 0.51 (Receivables 44.2m/116.2m, Revenue 532.3m/716.2m) |
| GMI: 1.07 (GM 52.84% / 56.53%) |
| AQI: 5.48 (AQ_t 0.10 / AQ_t-1 0.02) |
| SGI: 0.74 (Revenue 532.3m / 716.2m) |
| TATA: -0.10 (NI 36.2m - CFO 134.9m) / TA 1.01b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -0.99 (Cap -4..+1) = D |
What is the price of GPRK shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.47%, over one month by +16.32%, over three months by +6.81% and over the past year by -0.92%.
Is GPRK a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the GPRK price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 11.3 | 33.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 11.3 | 33.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 8.6 | 1.1% |
GPRK Fundamental Data Overview January 29, 2026
P/E Forward = 2.1349
P/S = 0.8232
P/B = 1.9913
Revenue TTM = 532.3m USD
EBIT TTM = 136.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 261.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 562.4m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 15.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 596.9m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 399.9m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 832.8m USD (432.9m + Debt 596.9m - CCE 197.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.27 (Ebit TTM 136.9m / Interest Expense TTM 60.2m)
EV/FCF = 35.44x (Enterprise Value 832.8m / FCF TTM 23.5m)
FCF Yield = 2.82% (FCF TTM 23.5m / Enterprise Value 832.8m)
FCF Margin = 4.42% (FCF TTM 23.5m / Revenue TTM 532.3m)
Net Margin = 6.79% (Net Income TTM 36.2m / Revenue TTM 532.3m)
Gross Margin = 52.84% ((Revenue TTM 532.3m - Cost of Revenue TTM 251.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 50.50% (prev 44.96%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.83 (Enterprise Value 832.8m / Total Assets 1.01b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.65% (Interest Expense 15.8m / Debt 596.9m)
Taxrate = 20.10% (3.99m / 19.8m)
NOPAT = 109.4m (EBIT 136.9m * (1 - 20.10%))
Current Ratio = 2.63 (Total Current Assets 327.5m / Total Current Liabilities 124.5m)
Debt / Equity = 2.86 (Debt 596.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 208.6m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.53 (Net Debt 399.9m / EBITDA 261.4m)
Debt / FCF = 17.01 (Net Debt 399.9m / FCF TTM 23.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 206.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.56% (Net Income 36.2m / Total Assets 1.01b)
RoE = 17.51% (Net Income TTM 36.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 206.5m)
RoCE = 17.80% (EBIT 136.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 206.5m + L.T.Debt 562.4m))
RoIC = 15.77% (NOPAT 109.4m / Invested Capital 693.6m)
WACC = 5.30% (E(432.9m)/V(1.03b) * Re(9.69%) + D(596.9m)/V(1.03b) * Rd(2.65%) * (1-Tc(0.20)))
Discount Rate = 9.69% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -3.66%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 84.57% ; FCFF base≈81.9m ; Y1≈69.8m ; Y5≈53.7m
Fair Price DCF = 23.92 (EV 1.64b - Net Debt 399.9m = Equity 1.24b / Shares 51.7m; r=5.90% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -17.92% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -83.17 | EPS CAGR: -25.53% | SUE: -1.26 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -88.58 | Revenue CAGR: -12.04% | SUE: 0.88 | # QB: 1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.08 | Chg30d=-0.177 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+64.1% | Growth Revenue=-5.9%