Overview Dividends

(GPRK) GeoPark - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: Colombia • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: BMG383271050

Oil, Gas

Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Market Cap in USD: 371m

IPO / Inception: 2010-10-15
Return 12m vs S&P 500: -28.2%

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: -22.08%
EPS Trend: -78.7%

Last SUE: 0.93
Qual. Beats: 1

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: -12.04%
Rev. Trend: -88.6%

Last SUE: 0.88
Qual. Beats: 1

Dividends

Dividend Yield	6.48%
Yield on Cost 5y	4.71%
Yield CAGR 5y	62.87%
Payout Consistency	100.0%
Payout Ratio	71.5%

Risk via 5d forecast
Volatility	37.3%
Value at Risk 5%th	58.2%
Relative Tail Risk	-5.03%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	-0.04
Alpha	-30.04
CAGR/Max DD	-0.30

Character TTM
Hurst Exponent	0.422
Beta	0.950
Beta Downside	1.486

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	58.34%
Mean DD	38.28%
Median DD	38.61%

Description: GPRK GeoPark December 29, 2025

GeoPark Ltd (NYSE:GPRK) is a publicly-traded oil and natural-gas E&P company focused on Latin America, with operations in Chile, Colombia, Brazil, Argentina, Ecuador and other regional jurisdictions. The firm explores, develops and produces hydrocarbons, and it was incorporated in 2002 (originally as GeoPark Holdings Ltd) before re-branding to GeoPark Ltd in July 2013. Its corporate headquarters are in Bogotá, Colombia.

Key operating metrics (as of the most recent FY2023 filing) show an average production of roughly 20,000 boe/d, a cash-flow conversion rate near 70 % and a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of about 2.2×, indicating moderate leverage for a small-cap producer. The company’s revenue is highly sensitive to Brent-linked price movements; a 10 % shift in crude prices historically translates to a ~12 % swing in top-line earnings. GeoPark’s growth outlook is tied to regional macro-factors such as Colombia’s fiscal incentives for upstream investment and the broader Latin-American trend toward higher domestic energy demand, which together drive reserve replacement and drilling activity.

For a deeper quantitative assessment, you might explore ValueRay’s detailed financial models on GPRK to see how these drivers play out under different price scenarios.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0

Net Income (36.2m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 31.9m TTM)

FCFTA 0.02 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -14.18pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 38.13% (prev 7.85%; Δ 30.29pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.13 (>3.0%) and CFO 134.9m > Net Income 36.2m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (399.9m) to EBITDA (261.4m) ratio: 1.53 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 2.63 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (52.9m) change vs 12m ago 1.05% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 52.84% (prev 56.53%; Δ -3.69pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 52.34% (prev 69.74%; Δ -17.40pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 2.27 (EBITDA TTM 261.4m / Interest Expense TTM 60.2m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 2.78

(A) 0.20 = (Total Current Assets 327.5m - Total Current Liabilities 124.5m) / Total Assets 1.01b

(B) 0.12 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 119.5m / Total Assets 1.01b

(D) 0.16 = Book Value of Equity 129.1m / Total Liabilities 798.5m

Total Rating: 2.78 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 55.35

1. Piotroski 4.0pt

2. FCF Yield 3.05%

3. FCF Margin 4.42%

4. Debt/Equity 2.86

5. Debt/Ebitda 1.53

6. ROIC - WACC (= 10.82)%

7. RoE 17.51%

8. Rev. Trend -88.58%

9. EPS Trend -78.69%

What is the price of GPRK shares?

As of December 29, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 7.27 with a total of 196,074 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.25%, over one month by -10.91%, over three months by +11.25% and over the past year by -14.78%.

Is GPRK a buy, sell or hold?

GeoPark has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.67. Therefor, it is recommend to hold GPRK.

Strong Buy: 2
Buy: 2
Hold: 1
Sell: 0
Strong Sell: 1

What are the forecasts/targets for the GPRK price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	10.9	49.9%
Analysts Target Price	10.9	49.9%
ValueRay Target Price	7.7	5.4%

GPRK Fundamental Data Overview December 24, 2025

Market Cap USD = 370.9m (370.9m USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 10.7164
P/E Forward = 2.1349
P/S = 0.7053
P/B = 1.756
Beta = 0.538
Revenue TTM = 532.3m USD
EBIT TTM = 136.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 261.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 562.4m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 15.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 596.9m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 399.9m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 770.8m USD (370.9m + Debt 596.9m - CCE 197.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.27 (Ebit TTM 136.9m / Interest Expense TTM 60.2m)
FCF Yield = 3.05% (FCF TTM 23.5m / Enterprise Value 770.8m)
FCF Margin = 4.42% (FCF TTM 23.5m / Revenue TTM 532.3m)
Net Margin = 6.79% (Net Income TTM 36.2m / Revenue TTM 532.3m)
Gross Margin = 52.84% ((Revenue TTM 532.3m - Cost of Revenue TTM 251.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 50.50% (prev 44.96%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.77 (Enterprise Value 770.8m / Total Assets 1.01b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.65% (Interest Expense 15.8m / Debt 596.9m)
Taxrate = 20.10% (3.99m / 19.8m)
NOPAT = 109.4m (EBIT 136.9m * (1 - 20.10%))
Current Ratio = 2.63 (Total Current Assets 327.5m / Total Current Liabilities 124.5m)
Debt / Equity = 2.86 (Debt 596.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 208.6m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.53 (Net Debt 399.9m / EBITDA 261.4m)
Debt / FCF = 17.01 (Net Debt 399.9m / FCF TTM 23.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 206.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.59% (Net Income 36.2m / Total Assets 1.01b)
RoE = 17.51% (Net Income TTM 36.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 206.5m)
RoCE = 17.80% (EBIT 136.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 206.5m + L.T.Debt 562.4m))
RoIC = 15.77% (NOPAT 109.4m / Invested Capital 693.6m)
WACC = 4.95% (E(370.9m)/V(967.8m) * Re(9.51%) + D(596.9m)/V(967.8m) * Rd(2.65%) * (1-Tc(0.20)))
Discount Rate = 9.51% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -3.66%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 70.11% ; FCFE base≈81.9m ; Y1≈69.8m ; Y5≈53.8m
Fair Price DCF = 14.93 (DCF Value 771.5m / Shares Outstanding 51.7m; 5y FCF grow -17.92% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -78.69 | EPS CAGR: -22.08% | SUE: 0.93 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -88.58 | Revenue CAGR: -12.04% | SUE: 0.88 | # QB: 1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.26 | Chg30d=-0.490 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+81.3% | Growth Revenue=-1.9%

Additional Sources for GPRK Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle