GPRK Stock Analysis: GeoPark | NYSE
Oil & Gas E&P | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 704m USD | 12M Return: 78.2% | BMG383271050 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 9.07M
EPS Trend: -71.5%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -94.5%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
GeoPark Limited is a Latin American-focused oil and natural gas exploration and production (E&P) company headquartered in Bogotá, Colombia. It operates across multiple countries in the region, including Chile, Colombia, Brazil, Argentina, and Ecuador, engaging in the full upstream value chain-from exploration and drilling through to development and production of hydrocarbons. The company was founded in 2002 and rebranded from GeoPark Holdings Limited to its current name in May 2009. It trades on the NYSE under the ticker GPRK and had its IPO on October 15, 2010, with a small-cap market capitalization of approximately $727 million USD.
As an independent E&P operator, GeoParks business model centers on identifying and developing hydrocarbon reserves in Latin America, a region with significant geological diversity and established energy infrastructure. The upstream oil and gas sector is capital-intensive and highly sensitive to commodity price volatility, with company revenues primarily driven by realized crude oil and natural gas prices, production volumes, and reserve replacement rates. Operators in this space typically allocate substantial capital expenditure to drilling programs and seismic analysis to sustain and grow production.
- Brent crude prices drive quarterly revenue and cash flow
- Llanos basin production growth offsets mature field declines
- Colombia and Argentina regulatory risk pressures operating margins
| Net Income: 81.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -4.80 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 11.18% < 20% (prev 39.03%; Δ -27.85% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.16 > 3% & CFO 209.6m > Net Income 81.1m |
| Net Debt (369.2m) to EBITDA (262.5m): 1.41 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.17 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (64.9m) vs 12m ago 25.58% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 49.65% > 18% (prev 54.54%; Δ -4.88% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 46.47% > 50% (prev 52.99%; Δ -6.52% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.56 > 6 (EBIT TTM 145.3m / Interest Expense TTM 56.7m) |
| A: 0.05 (Total Current Assets 421.6m - Total Current Liabilities 360.3m) / Total Assets 1.29b |
| B: 0.14 (Retained Earnings 179.9m / Total Assets 1.29b) |
| C: 0.12 (EBIT TTM 145.3m / Avg Total Assets 1.18b) |
| D: 0.39 (Book Value of Equity 364.5m / Total Liabilities 925.5m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.01 = BBB |
| DSRI: 1.52 (Receivables 51.9m/35.4m, Revenue 548.3m/566.7m) |
| GMI: 1.10 (GM 54.54% / 49.65%) |
| AQI: 0.37 (AQ_t 0.04 / AQ_t-1 0.10) |
| SGI: 0.97 (Revenue 548.3m / 566.7m) |
| TATA: -0.10 (NI 81.1m - CFO 209.6m) / TA 1.29b) |
| Beneish M = -2.92 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of October 08, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 11.11 with a total of 412,799 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.32%, over one month by -7.03%, over three months by +15.77% and over the past year by +78.23%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 10.50 (which is 5.5% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
GeoPark has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.25. Therefore, it is recommended to buy GPRK.
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 10.9 | -2.3% |
P/E Trailing = 7.6408
P/E Forward = 2.1349
P/S = 1.3886
P/B = 1.978
Revenue TTM = 548.3m USD
EBIT TTM = 145.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 262.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 441.6m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 197.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 685.5m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 25.3m
Net Debt = 369.2m USD (calculated: Debt 685.5m - CCE 316.3m)
Enterprise Value = 1.07b USD (704.1m + Debt 685.5m - CCE 316.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.56 (Ebit TTM 145.3m / Interest Expense TTM 56.7m)
EV/FCF = 18.04x (Enterprise Value 1.07b / FCF TTM 59.5m)
FCF Yield = 5.54% (FCF TTM 59.5m / Enterprise Value 1.07b)
FCF Margin = 10.85% (FCF TTM 59.5m / Revenue TTM 548.3m)
Net Margin = 14.80% (Net Income TTM 81.1m / Revenue TTM 548.3m)
Gross Margin = 49.65% ((Revenue TTM 548.3m - Cost of Revenue TTM 276.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 54.91% (prev 50.43%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.83 (Enterprise Value 1.07b / Total Assets 1.29b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 8.27% (Interest Expense 56.7m / Debt 685.5m)
Taxrate = 10.64% (9.66m / 90.8m)
NOPAT = 129.8m (EBIT 145.3m * (1 - 10.64%))
Current Ratio = 1.17 (Total Current Assets 421.6m / Total Current Liabilities 360.3m)
Debt / Equity = 1.88 (Debt 685.5m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 364.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.41 (Net Debt 369.2m / EBITDA 262.5m)
Debt / FCF = 6.21 (Net Debt 369.2m / FCF TTM 59.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 277.9m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.88% (Net Income 81.1m / Total Assets 1.29b)
RoE = 29.19% (Net Income TTM 81.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 277.9m)
RoCE = 20.19% (EBIT 145.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 277.9m + L.T.Debt 441.6m))
RoIC = 11.80% (NOPAT 129.8m / Invested Capital 1.10b)
WACC = 7.74% (E(704.1m)/V(1.39b) * Re(8.07%) + D(685.5m)/V(1.39b) * Rd(8.27%) * (1-Tc(0.11)))
Discount Rate = 8.07% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 42.83 | Cagr: 6.85%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈75.9m ; Y1≈66.6m ; Y5≈53.8m
[DCF] Fair Price = 7.62 (EV 863.6m - Net Debt 369.2m = Equity 494.4m / Shares 64.9m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -71.48 | EPS CAGR: -26.61% | SUE: 0.29 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -94.46 | Revenue CAGR: -16.95% | SUE: -0.17 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=0
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.09 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+13.4% | GrowthRev=+19.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.78 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+62.8% | GrowthRev=+17.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +40% (up=2, down=0)