(GRBK) Green Brick Partners - Overview
Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Residential Construction | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 2.897m USD | Total Return: 14.3% in 12m
Avg Turnover: 13.1M
EPS Trend: 62.3%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: 83.7%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Fakeout Choppy
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Green Brick Partners, Inc. (GRBK) is a diversified homebuilding and land development company with a primary concentration in the Dallas-Fort Worth market. The firm operates through seven subsidiary brands across Texas, Georgia, and Florida, managing the full lifecycle of residential projects from land acquisition and entitlement to construction and sales. Its business model is vertically integrated, utilizing internal financial services platforms for title, mortgage, and insurance to capture additional revenue streams.
The company maintains a focus on high-growth Sunbelt markets, where favorable migration patterns and job growth typically drive housing demand. Unlike builders that rely on third-party developers, Green Brick’s land development capabilities allow it to control the supply of finished lots, providing a competitive advantage during periods of inventory scarcity. Investors may find it useful to examine ValueRay for deeper insights into the companys valuation metrics.
- Dallas-Fort Worth market dominance drives residential revenue and regional growth
- Low-cost land basis enhances industry-leading gross margins and profitability
- Mortgage rate volatility impacts buyer demand and monthly payment affordability
- Strategic expansion in Florida and Georgia diversifies geographic revenue streams
- Vertical integration of financial services platforms increases capture rate margins
| Net Income: 299.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.80 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 104.7% < 20% (prev 89.14%; Δ 15.56% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 200.8m > Net Income 299.1m |
| Net Debt (113.6m) to EBITDA (396.8m): 0.29 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 9.03 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (43.5m) vs 12m ago -2.20% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 30.82% > 18% (prev 0.33%; Δ 3.05k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 83.67% > 50% (prev 94.54%; Δ -10.88% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: error (cannot be calculated; needs correct EBITDA TTM and Interest Expense TTM) |
| A: 0.83 (Total Current Assets 2.36b - Total Current Liabilities 261.7m) / Total Assets 2.53b |
| B: 0.64 (Retained Earnings 1.62b / Total Assets 2.53b) |
| C: 0.16 (EBIT TTM 392.0m / Avg Total Assets 2.40b) |
| D: 2.99 (Book Value of Equity 1.62b / Total Liabilities 542.5m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 11.79 = AAA |
| DSRI: 2.62 (Receivables 30.8m/12.6m, Revenue 2.01b/2.15b) |
| GMI: 1.07 (GM 30.82% / 33.03%) |
| AQI: 1.06 (AQ_t 0.06 / AQ_t-1 0.06) |
| SGI: 0.93 (Revenue 2.01b / 2.15b) |
| TATA: 0.04 (NI 299.1m - CFO 200.8m) / TA 2.53b) |
| Beneish M = -1.60 (Cap -4..+1) = CCC |
As of May 30, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 67.26 with a total of 123,666 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.10%,
over one month by -0.12%,
over three months by -8.69% and
over the past year by +14.29%.
Green Brick Partners has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.00. Therefore, it is recommended to hold GRBK.
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 62 | -7.8% |
P/E Trailing = 9.8881
P/E Forward = 10.627
P/S = 1.3963
P/B = 1.5501
P/EG = 1.1506
Revenue TTM = 2.01b USD
EBIT TTM = 392.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 396.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 251.4m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.59m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 290.6m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 8.24m
Net Debt = 113.6m USD (calculated: Debt 290.6m - CCE 177.0m)
Enterprise Value = 3.01b USD (2.90b + Debt 290.6m - CCE 177.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM 392.0m / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
EV/FCF = 15.40x (Enterprise Value 3.01b / FCF TTM 195.5m)
FCF Yield = 6.49% (FCF TTM 195.5m / Enterprise Value 3.01b)
FCF Margin = 9.73% (FCF TTM 195.5m / Revenue TTM 2.01b)
Net Margin = 14.90% (Net Income TTM 299.1m / Revenue TTM 2.01b)
Gross Margin = 30.82% ((Revenue TTM 2.01b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.39b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 28.99% (prev 32.56%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.19 (Enterprise Value 3.01b / Total Assets 2.53b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.0% (Interest Expense 0.0 / Debt 290.6m)
Taxrate = 21.87% (18.4m / 84.3m)
NOPAT = 306.3m (EBIT 392.0m * (1 - 21.87%))
Current Ratio = 9.03 (Total Current Assets 2.36b / Total Current Liabilities 261.7m)
Debt / Equity = 0.15 (Debt 290.6m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.92b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.29 (Net Debt 113.6m / EBITDA 396.8m)
Debt / FCF = 0.58 (Net Debt 113.6m / FCF TTM 195.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.83b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 12.46% (Net Income 299.1m / Total Assets 2.53b)
RoE = 16.38% (Net Income TTM 299.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.83b)
RoCE = 18.87% (EBIT 392.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.83b + L.T.Debt 251.4m))
RoIC = 13.56% (NOPAT 306.3m / Invested Capital 2.26b)
WACC = 8.11% (E(2.90b)/V(3.19b) * Re(8.92%) + D(290.6m)/V(3.19b) * Rd(0.0%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 8.92% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -94.39 | Cagr: -2.08%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈153.1m ; Y1≈175.5m ; Y5≈258.3m
[DCF] Fair Price = 87.44 (EV 3.89b - Net Debt 113.6m = Equity 3.77b / Shares 43.1m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 62.31 | EPS CAGR: 9.55% | SUE: 0.86 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 83.72 | Revenue CAGR: 7.96% | SUE: 0.30 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.39 | Chg30d=-3.14% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=2
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.43 | Chg30d=+10.85% | Revisions=+33% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.75 | Chg30d=+3.05% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=-18.7% | GrowthRev=-9.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=6.24 | Chg30d=-2.81% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+8.4% | GrowthRev=+7.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +33%