(GRNT) Granite Ridge Resources - Ratings and Ratios
Oil, Natural Gas, Permian, Eagle Ford, Bakken
GRNT EPS (Earnings per Share)
GRNT Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 37.6% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 61.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -1.17% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.27 |
| Alpha | -30.52 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.439 |
| Beta | 1.128 |
| Beta Downside | 1.770 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 47.20% |
| Mean DD | 28.87% |
| Median DD | 29.50% |
Description: GRNT Granite Ridge Resources October 22, 2025
Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. (NYSE: GRNT) is a Dallas-based, non-operated oil and natural gas E&P firm that holds a diversified portfolio of wells and acreage in major U.S. unconventional basins, including the Permian, Eagle Ford, Bakken, Haynesville, and DJ.
As of Q2 2024, the company reported an average daily production of roughly 3,200 boe, with a cash-flow conversion rate near 85 % and a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of about 1.2×, indicating modest leverage relative to peers. Key economic drivers for GRNT remain crude-oil price volatility (WTI ≈ $85 per barrel) and the ongoing capital-efficiency push in shale, where drilling cost inflation of ~4 % YoY is pressuring margins.
For a deeper, data-rich assessment of GRNT’s valuation and peer benchmarks, the ValueRay platform provides granular metrics that can help you refine your investment thesis.
GRNT Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 693m |
| Sub-Industry | Oil & Gas Exploration & Production |
| IPO / Inception | 2020-11-06 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -27.0% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.60 of 5 |
GRNT Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 8.49% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 5.62% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 65.83% |
| Payout Consistency | 98.8% |
| Payout Ratio | 2.6% |
GRNT Growth Ratios
| CAGR 3y | -13.25% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | -0.28 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | -0.46 |
| Current Volume | 402.5k |
| Average Volume | 402.5k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 8.0
| Net Income (32.3m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 26.0m TTM) |
| FCFTA 48.41 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 4843 pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 6.12% (prev 21.09%; Δ -14.96pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 63.39 (>3.0%) and CFO 429.9m > Net Income 32.3m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (271.3m) to EBITDA (258.9m) ratio: 1.05 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.32 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (130.6m) change vs 12m ago 0.26% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 63.47% (prev 44.30%; Δ 19.17pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 86.74% (prev 39.86%; Δ 46.88pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 3.09 (EBITDA TTM 258.9m / Interest Expense TTM 20.4m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 37.17
| (A) 3.91 = (Total Current Assets 109.0m - Total Current Liabilities 82.5m) / Total Assets 6.78m |
| (B) 3.26 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 22.1m / Total Assets 6.78m |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: 3.26 — check mapping/units |
| (C) 0.13 = EBIT TTM 63.1m / Avg Total Assets 498.6m |
| (D) 0.05 = Book Value of Equity 22.1m / Total Liabilities 462.5m |
| Total Rating: 37.17 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 64.79
| 1. Piotroski 8.0pt = 3.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 34.04% = 5.0 |
| 3. FCF Margin 75.89% = 7.50 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.43 = 2.41 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.05 = 1.70 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -2.23)% = -2.79 |
| 7. RoE 5.03% = 0.42 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -8.03% = -0.60 |
| 9. EPS Trend -36.83% = -1.84 |
What is the price of GRNT shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.97%, over one month by -1.52%, over three months by -0.51% and over the past year by -15.59%.
Is Granite Ridge Resources a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of GRNT is around 4.90 USD . This means that GRNT is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -5.41%.
Is GRNT a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the GRNT price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 6.7 | 28.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 6.7 | 28.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 5.4 | 4.8% |
GRNT Fundamental Data Overview November 04, 2025
P/E Trailing = 21.12
P/E Forward = 8.1566
P/S = 1.693
P/B = 1.095
Beta = 0.305
Revenue TTM = 432.5m USD
EBIT TTM = 63.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 258.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 275.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
Debt = 275.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 271.3m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 964.2m USD (693.0m + Debt 275.0m - CCE 3.74m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.09 (Ebit TTM 63.1m / Interest Expense TTM 20.4m)
FCF Yield = 34.04% (FCF TTM 328.2m / Enterprise Value 964.2m)
FCF Margin = 75.89% (FCF TTM 328.2m / Revenue TTM 432.5m)
Net Margin = 7.47% (Net Income TTM 32.3m / Revenue TTM 432.5m)
Gross Margin = 63.47% ((Revenue TTM 432.5m - Cost of Revenue TTM 158.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 94.11% (prev 40.57%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 142.2 (set to none) (Enterprise Value 964.2m / Total Assets 6.78m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.15% (Interest Expense 5.91m / Debt 275.0m)
Taxrate = 23.67% (7.78m / 32.9m)
NOPAT = 48.2m (EBIT 63.1m * (1 - 23.67%))
Current Ratio = 1.32 (Total Current Assets 109.0m / Total Current Liabilities 82.5m)
Debt / Equity = 0.43 (Debt 275.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 642.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.05 (Net Debt 271.3m / EBITDA 258.9m)
Debt / FCF = 0.83 (Net Debt 271.3m / FCF TTM 328.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 642.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 476.7% (Net Income 32.3m / Total Assets 6.78m)
RoE = 5.03% (Net Income TTM 32.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 642.5m)
RoCE = 6.88% (EBIT 63.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 642.5m + L.T.Debt 275.0m))
RoIC = 5.51% (NOPAT 48.2m / Invested Capital 873.7m)
WACC = 7.75% (E(693.0m)/V(968.0m) * Re(10.17%) + D(275.0m)/V(968.0m) * Rd(2.15%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 10.17% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.58%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 61.50% ; FCFE base≈328.2m ; Y1≈215.5m ; Y5≈98.6m
Fair Price DCF = 10.81 (DCF Value 1.42b / Shares Outstanding 131.2m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -36.83 | EPS CAGR: 126.7% | SUE: 0.89 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -8.03 | Revenue CAGR: 7.21% | SUE: 0.04 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for GRNT Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle