(GRNT) Granite Ridge Resources - Ratings and Ratios
Oil, Natural Gas, Permian, Eagle Ford, Bakken
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 8.12% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 5.68% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 65.83% |
| Payout Consistency | 98.8% |
| Payout Ratio | 1.7% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 36.2% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 59.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -0.93% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.03 |
| Alpha | -24.60 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.19 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.500 |
| Beta | 1.108 |
| Beta Downside | 1.747 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 45.50% |
| Mean DD | 27.07% |
| Median DD | 27.51% |
Description: GRNT Granite Ridge Resources October 22, 2025
Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. (NYSE: GRNT) is a Dallas-based, non-operated oil and natural gas E&P firm that holds a diversified portfolio of wells and acreage in major U.S. unconventional basins, including the Permian, Eagle Ford, Bakken, Haynesville, and DJ.
As of Q2 2024, the company reported an average daily production of roughly 3,200 boe, with a cash-flow conversion rate near 85 % and a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of about 1.2×, indicating modest leverage relative to peers. Key economic drivers for GRNT remain crude-oil price volatility (WTI ≈ $85 per barrel) and the ongoing capital-efficiency push in shale, where drilling cost inflation of ~4 % YoY is pressuring margins.
For a deeper, data-rich assessment of GRNT’s valuation and peer benchmarks, the ValueRay platform provides granular metrics that can help you refine your investment thesis.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income (37.8m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 27.1m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.08 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -6.17pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 7.06% (prev 12.52%; Δ -5.46pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.27 (>3.0%) and CFO 300.1m > Net Income 37.8m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (288.2m) to EBITDA (277.9m) ratio: 1.04 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.41 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (130.5m) change vs 12m ago 0.20% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 31.00% (prev 47.04%; Δ -16.04pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 41.69% (prev 36.73%; Δ 4.95pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 3.24 (EBITDA TTM 277.9m / Interest Expense TTM 21.7m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.73
| (A) 0.03 = (Total Current Assets 108.8m - Total Current Liabilities 77.0m) / Total Assets 1.13b |
| (B) 0.02 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 22.2m / Total Assets 1.13b |
| (C) 0.06 = EBIT TTM 70.3m / Avg Total Assets 1.08b |
| (D) 0.05 = Book Value of Equity 22.2m / Total Liabilities 484.6m |
| Total Rating: 0.73 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 40.84
| 1. Piotroski 5.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -9.63% |
| 3. FCF Margin -20.33% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.47 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.04 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -1.56)% |
| 7. RoE 5.92% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -10.05% |
| 9. EPS Trend 15.14% |
What is the price of GRNT shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.63%, over one month by +7.51%, over three months by +5.46% and over the past year by -4.35%.
Is GRNT a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the GRNT price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 6.5 | 19.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 6.5 | 19.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 5.9 | 7.9% |
GRNT Fundamental Data Overview December 02, 2025
P/E Trailing = 17.7586
P/E Forward = 8.1566
P/S = 1.5799
P/B = 1.0498
Beta = 0.303
Revenue TTM = 451.1m USD
EBIT TTM = 70.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 277.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 300.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
Debt = 300.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 288.2m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 952.5m USD (675.9m + Debt 300.0m - CCE 23.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.24 (Ebit TTM 70.3m / Interest Expense TTM 21.7m)
FCF Yield = -9.63% (FCF TTM -91.7m / Enterprise Value 952.5m)
FCF Margin = -20.33% (FCF TTM -91.7m / Revenue TTM 451.1m)
Net Margin = 8.38% (Net Income TTM 37.8m / Revenue TTM 451.1m)
Gross Margin = 31.00% ((Revenue TTM 451.1m - Cost of Revenue TTM 311.3m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 23.59% (prev 26.78%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.84 (Enterprise Value 952.5m / Total Assets 1.13b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.02% (Interest Expense 6.07m / Debt 300.0m)
Taxrate = 24.72% (4.77m / 19.3m)
NOPAT = 52.9m (EBIT 70.3m * (1 - 24.72%))
Current Ratio = 1.41 (Total Current Assets 108.8m / Total Current Liabilities 77.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.47 (Debt 300.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 643.9m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.04 (Net Debt 288.2m / EBITDA 277.9m)
Debt / FCF = -3.14 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 288.2m / FCF TTM -91.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 638.3m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.35% (Net Income 37.8m / Total Assets 1.13b)
RoE = 5.92% (Net Income TTM 37.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 638.3m)
RoCE = 7.49% (EBIT 70.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 638.3m + L.T.Debt 300.0m))
RoIC = 5.90% (NOPAT 52.9m / Invested Capital 895.8m)
WACC = 7.46% (E(675.9m)/V(975.9m) * Re(10.10%) + D(300.0m)/V(975.9m) * Rd(2.02%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 10.10% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.62%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -91.7m)
EPS Correlation: 15.14 | EPS CAGR: 121.0% | SUE: -0.48 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -10.05 | Revenue CAGR: -3.83% | SUE: -1.96 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.10 | Chg30d=-0.035 | Revisions Net=-2 | Analysts=5
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.47 | Chg30d=-0.112 | Revisions Net=-3 | Growth EPS=-12.7% | Growth Revenue=+7.2%
Additional Sources for GRNT Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle