(GSBD) Goldman Sachs BDC - Ratings and Ratios
Senior Debt, Mezzanine Debt, Unitranche, Equity, Middle Market
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 19.2% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 32.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | 1.56% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.71 |
| Alpha | -21.47 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.564 |
| Beta | 0.639 |
| Beta Downside | 0.709 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 29.59% |
| Mean DD | 9.91% |
| Median DD | 9.74% |
Description: GSBD Goldman Sachs BDC November 11, 2025
Goldman Sachs BDC Inc. (GSBD) is a U.S.–focused business development company that targets middle-market and mezzanine financing for privately held firms. It originates a mix of secured (first-lien, unitranche, second-lien) and unsecured (mezzanine) debt, with occasional equity stakes, typically investing $10-$75 million in companies generating $5-$75 million of EBITDA.
Key industry metrics that shape GSBD’s outlook include: (1) the U.S. middle-market loan market, which has grown ~8 % YoY in 2024, expanding the pipeline of eligible borrowers; (2) the average portfolio yield for BDCs, currently around 9.5 % after-tax, reflecting higher credit spreads amid a still-elevated Fed funds rate; and (3) default rates in the mezzanine segment, which remain low (~2 % annualized) but are sensitive to any slowdown in corporate earnings growth. These drivers suggest that GSBD’s performance will be closely tied to macro-credit conditions and the health of U.S. private-company earnings.
For a deeper, data-driven dive into GSBD’s valuation and risk profile, you may find the analytics on ValueRay useful as a next step in your research.
GSBD Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 1,119m |
| Sub-Industry | Asset Management & Custody Banks |
| IPO / Inception | 2015-03-18 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -22.5% |
| Analyst Rating | 2.50 of 5 |
GSBD Dividends
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 20.80% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 20.91% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 0.00% |
| Payout Consistency | 96.1% |
| Payout Ratio | 61.3% |
GSBD Growth Ratios
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| CAGR 3y | -3.20% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | -0.11 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | -0.32 |
| Current Volume | 1189.8k |
| Average Volume | 1112.7k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income (153.7m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 19.6m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.13 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 6.02pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 20.36% (prev 12.12%; Δ 8.24pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.16 (>3.0%) and CFO 525.4m > Net Income 153.7m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-115.2m) to EBITDA (222.1m) ratio: -0.52 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.90 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (114.4m) change vs 12m ago -2.18% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 74.81% (prev 44.34%; Δ 30.47pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 9.44% (prev 5.78%; Δ 3.66pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 0.55 (EBITDA TTM 222.1m / Interest Expense TTM 110.5m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -0.44
| (A) 0.02 = (Total Current Assets 140.7m - Total Current Liabilities 74.1m) / Total Assets 3.39b |
| (B) -0.13 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -454.3m / Total Assets 3.39b |
| (C) 0.02 = EBIT TTM 61.3m / Avg Total Assets 3.47b |
| (D) -0.24 = Book Value of Equity -454.2m / Total Liabilities 1.93b |
| Total Rating: -0.44 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 55.85
| 1. Piotroski 7.0pt = 2.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 14.86% = 5.0 |
| 3. FCF Margin data missing |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.33 = 1.68 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -0.52 = 2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -2.20)% = -2.75 |
| 7. RoE 10.10% = 0.84 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 1.32% = 0.10 |
| 9. EPS Trend -70.31% = -3.52 |
What is the price of GSBD shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.47%, over one month by -3.07%, over three months by -10.94% and over the past year by -11.91%.
Is GSBD a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 0
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the GSBD price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 10.6 | 11.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 10.6 | 11.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 11.3 | 19.7% |
GSBD Fundamental Data Overview November 16, 2025
P/E Trailing = 8.4261
P/E Forward = 10.7759
P/S = 2.9205
P/B = 0.7695
P/EG = 2.15
Beta = 0.678
Revenue TTM = 327.2m USD
EBIT TTM = 61.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 222.1m USD
Long Term Debt = unknown (none)
Short Term Debt = 359.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 1.93b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year)
Net Debt = -115.2m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.93b USD (1.12b + Debt 1.93b - CCE 115.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.55 (Ebit TTM 61.3m / Interest Expense TTM 110.5m)
FCF Yield = 14.86% (FCF TTM 435.9m / Enterprise Value 2.93b)
FCF Margin = 133.2% (FCF TTM 435.9m / Revenue TTM 327.2m)
Net Margin = 46.97% (Net Income TTM 153.7m / Revenue TTM 327.2m)
Gross Margin = 74.81% ((Revenue TTM 327.2m - Cost of Revenue TTM 82.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 100.0% (prev 61.64%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.87 (Enterprise Value 2.93b / Total Assets 3.39b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.46% (Interest Expense 28.1m / Debt 1.93b)
Taxrate = 1.96% (907.0k / 46.2m)
NOPAT = 60.0m (EBIT 61.3m * (1 - 1.96%))
Current Ratio = 1.90 (Total Current Assets 140.7m / Total Current Liabilities 74.1m)
Debt / Equity = 1.33 (Debt 1.93b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.45b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.52 (Net Debt -115.2m / EBITDA 222.1m)
Debt / FCF = -0.26 (Net Debt -115.2m / FCF TTM 435.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.52b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.54% (Net Income 153.7m / Total Assets 3.39b)
RoE = 10.10% (Net Income TTM 153.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.52b)
RoCE = 1.85% (EBIT 61.3m / Capital Employed (Total Assets 3.39b - Current Liab 74.1m))
RoIC = 1.77% (NOPAT 60.0m / Invested Capital 3.38b)
WACC = 3.98% (E(1.12b)/V(3.05b) * Re(8.37%) + D(1.93b)/V(3.05b) * Rd(1.46%) * (1-Tc(0.02)))
Discount Rate = 8.37% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 6.18%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 74.15% ; FCFE base≈358.7m ; Y1≈301.0m ; Y5≈224.7m
Fair Price DCF = 34.08 (DCF Value 3.89b / Shares Outstanding 114.1m; 5y FCF grow -19.48% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -70.31 | EPS CAGR: -15.71% | SUE: 1.10 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 1.32 | Revenue CAGR: 43.83% | SUE: 0.04 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for GSBD Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle