(GSBD) Goldman Sachs BDC - Ratings and Ratios
Senior Debt, Mezzanine Debt, Unitranche, Equity, Middle Market
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 16.1% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 27.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | 1.71% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.59 |
| Alpha | -20.17 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.525 |
| Beta | 0.645 |
| Beta Downside | 0.710 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 29.59% |
| Mean DD | 9.96% |
| Median DD | 9.74% |
Description: GSBD Goldman Sachs BDC November 11, 2025
Goldman Sachs BDC Inc. (GSBD) is a U.S.–focused business development company that targets middle-market and mezzanine financing for privately held firms. It originates a mix of secured (first-lien, unitranche, second-lien) and unsecured (mezzanine) debt, with occasional equity stakes, typically investing $10-$75 million in companies generating $5-$75 million of EBITDA.
Key industry metrics that shape GSBD’s outlook include: (1) the U.S. middle-market loan market, which has grown ~8 % YoY in 2024, expanding the pipeline of eligible borrowers; (2) the average portfolio yield for BDCs, currently around 9.5 % after-tax, reflecting higher credit spreads amid a still-elevated Fed funds rate; and (3) default rates in the mezzanine segment, which remain low (~2 % annualized) but are sensitive to any slowdown in corporate earnings growth. These drivers suggest that GSBD’s performance will be closely tied to macro-credit conditions and the health of U.S. private-company earnings.
For a deeper, data-driven dive into GSBD’s valuation and risk profile, you may find the analytics on ValueRay useful as a next step in your research.
GSBD Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 1,097m |
| Sub-Industry | Asset Management & Custody Banks |
| IPO / Inception | 2015-03-18 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -23.0% |
| Analyst Rating | 2.50 of 5 |
GSBD Dividends
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 20.14% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 19.88% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 0.00% |
| Payout Consistency | 96.1% |
| Payout Ratio | 62.8% |
GSBD Growth Ratios
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| CAGR 3y | -1.37% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | -0.05 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | -0.14 |
| Current Volume | 1415.1k |
| Average Volume | 1277.9k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income (133.1m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 17.5m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.05 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.20pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 22.85% (prev 12.12%; Δ 10.74pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.05 (>3.0%) and CFO 158.5m > Net Income 133.1m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-115.2m) to EBITDA (173.4m) ratio: -0.66 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.90 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (114.4m) change vs 12m ago -2.18% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 62.08% (prev 44.34%; Δ 17.75pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 8.41% (prev 5.78%; Δ 2.63pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 0.55 (EBITDA TTM 173.4m / Interest Expense TTM 110.5m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -0.44
| (A) 0.02 = (Total Current Assets 140.7m - Total Current Liabilities 74.1m) / Total Assets 3.39b |
| (B) -0.13 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -454.3m / Total Assets 3.39b |
| (C) 0.02 = EBIT TTM 61.3m / Avg Total Assets 3.47b |
| (D) -0.24 = Book Value of Equity -454.2m / Total Liabilities 1.93b |
| Total Rating: -0.44 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 59.78
| 1. Piotroski 6.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 5.44% |
| 3. FCF Margin 54.37% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.33 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -0.66 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -2.19)% |
| 7. RoE 8.74% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -1.39% |
| 9. EPS Trend -70.10% |
What is the price of GSBD shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.27%, over one month by -2.59%, over three months by -9.25% and over the past year by -11.92%.
Is GSBD a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 0
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the GSBD price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 10.3 | 4.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 10.3 | 4.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 11.7 | 19.1% |
GSBD Fundamental Data Overview November 25, 2025
P/E Trailing = 8.3565
P/E Forward = 10.7759
P/S = 2.861
P/B = 0.7538
P/EG = 2.15
Beta = 0.678
Revenue TTM = 291.4m USD
EBIT TTM = 61.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 173.4m USD
Long Term Debt = unknown (none)
Short Term Debt = 359.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 1.93b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year)
Net Debt = -115.2m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.91b USD (1.10b + Debt 1.93b - CCE 115.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.55 (Ebit TTM 61.3m / Interest Expense TTM 110.5m)
FCF Yield = 5.44% (FCF TTM 158.5m / Enterprise Value 2.91b)
FCF Margin = 54.37% (FCF TTM 158.5m / Revenue TTM 291.4m)
Net Margin = 45.67% (Net Income TTM 133.1m / Revenue TTM 291.4m)
Gross Margin = 62.08% ((Revenue TTM 291.4m - Cost of Revenue TTM 110.5m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 49.69% (prev 61.64%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.86 (Enterprise Value 2.91b / Total Assets 3.39b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.46% (Interest Expense 28.1m / Debt 1.93b)
Taxrate = 3.73% (956.0k / 25.7m)
NOPAT = 59.0m (EBIT 61.3m * (1 - 3.73%))
Current Ratio = 1.90 (Total Current Assets 140.7m / Total Current Liabilities 74.1m)
Debt / Equity = 1.33 (Debt 1.93b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.45b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.66 (Net Debt -115.2m / EBITDA 173.4m)
Debt / FCF = -0.73 (Net Debt -115.2m / FCF TTM 158.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.52b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.93% (Net Income 133.1m / Total Assets 3.39b)
RoE = 8.74% (Net Income TTM 133.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.52b)
RoCE = 1.85% (EBIT 61.3m / Capital Employed (Total Assets 3.39b - Current Liab 74.1m))
RoIC = 1.74% (NOPAT 59.0m / Invested Capital 3.38b)
WACC = 3.93% (E(1.10b)/V(3.03b) * Re(8.39%) + D(1.93b)/V(3.03b) * Rd(1.46%) * (1-Tc(0.04)))
Discount Rate = 8.39% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 2.18%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 78.45% ; FCFE base≈164.3m ; Y1≈181.0m ; Y5≈233.0m
Fair Price DCF = 33.25 (DCF Value 3.79b / Shares Outstanding 114.1m; 5y FCF grow 11.65% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -70.10 | EPS CAGR: -15.71% | SUE: 0.96 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -1.39 | Revenue CAGR: 20.12% | SUE: -0.36 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for GSBD Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle