(GSL) Global Ship Lease - Ratings and Ratios
Containerships, Chartering, Leasing, Mid-Sized, TEU
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 29.1% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 45.1% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -5.93% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.39 |
| Alpha | 37.96 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.625 |
| Beta | 0.849 |
| Beta Downside | 1.123 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 35.82% |
| Mean DD | 10.16% |
| Median DD | 8.89% |
Description: GSL Global Ship Lease November 17, 2025
Global Ship Lease, Inc. (NYSE:GSL) owns and charters a fleet of 70 mid-size and smaller containerships (2,207–11,040 TEU) under fixed-rate contracts, providing an aggregate capacity of roughly 405 k TEU as of 10 Mar 2025. The company, founded in 2007 and headquartered in Athens, rebranded from Marathon Acquisition Corp. in August 2008.
Key industry metrics that shape GSL’s performance include: (1) average charter rates, which have risen about 12 % year-over-year in 2024 driven by tighter supply on the Asia-Europe lane; (2) fleet utilization, typically above 85 % for vessels in the 2–5 k TEU segment, reflecting strong demand for mid-capacity slots; and (3) leverage, with a debt-to-EBITDA ratio near 3.2×, a level that remains in line with peers but leaves limited headroom for additional acquisitions.
Given the sensitivity of fixed-rate charters to global trade volumes and freight-rate volatility, monitoring container-shipping indexes (e.g., the Shanghai Containerized Freight Index) and the pace of new-build deliveries is essential for assessing GSL’s upside potential-consider exploring ValueRay’s detailed model to see how these drivers are quantified.
GSL Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 1,219m |
| Sub-Industry | Marine Transportation |
| IPO / Inception | 2006-08-25 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 43.7% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.33 of 5 |
GSL Dividends
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 6.29% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 31.86% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 30.06% |
| Payout Consistency | 31.4% |
| Payout Ratio | 20.4% |
GSL Growth Ratios
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| CAGR 3y | 34.27% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.96 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 3.37 |
| Current Volume | 494.2k |
| Average Volume | 326.7k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income (406.4m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 45.0m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.05 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -12.51pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 45.29% (prev 23.19%; Δ 22.10pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.17 (>3.0%) and CFO 440.3m > Net Income 406.4m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (436.0m) to EBITDA (565.9m) ratio: 0.77 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.19 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (35.8m) change vs 12m ago 0.97% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 54.12% (prev 56.20%; Δ -2.08pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 30.59% (prev 31.55%; Δ -0.95pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 11.75 (EBITDA TTM 565.9m / Interest Expense TTM 37.8m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 4.45
| (A) 0.13 = (Total Current Assets 625.1m - Total Current Liabilities 285.2m) / Total Assets 2.67b |
| (B) 0.38 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 1.03b / Total Assets 2.67b |
| (C) 0.18 = EBIT TTM 444.2m / Avg Total Assets 2.45b |
| (D) 1.08 = Book Value of Equity 1.03b / Total Liabilities 950.9m |
| Total Rating: 4.45 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 90.05
| 1. Piotroski 5.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 9.73% |
| 3. FCF Margin 18.86% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.42 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.77 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 13.14)% |
| 7. RoE 25.43% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 91.99% |
| 9. EPS Trend 89.76% |
What is the price of GSL shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.14%, over one month by +20.61%, over three months by +14.26% and over the past year by +59.91%.
Is GSL a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 2
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the GSL price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 37.7 | 11.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 37.7 | 11.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 47.4 | 40.3% |
GSL Fundamental Data Overview November 15, 2025
P/E Trailing = 3.186
P/S = 1.6207
P/B = 0.7479
Beta = 0.967
Revenue TTM = 750.4m USD
EBIT TTM = 444.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 565.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 538.8m USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 147.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 725.4m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 436.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.45b USD (1.22b + Debt 725.4m - CCE 489.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 11.75 (Ebit TTM 444.2m / Interest Expense TTM 37.8m)
FCF Yield = 9.73% (FCF TTM 141.5m / Enterprise Value 1.45b)
FCF Margin = 18.86% (FCF TTM 141.5m / Revenue TTM 750.4m)
Net Margin = 54.16% (Net Income TTM 406.4m / Revenue TTM 750.4m)
Gross Margin = 54.12% ((Revenue TTM 750.4m - Cost of Revenue TTM 344.3m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 53.44% (prev 54.43%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.55 (Enterprise Value 1.45b / Total Assets 2.67b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.32% (Interest Expense 9.54m / Debt 725.4m)
Taxrate = 0.00% (1000 / 353.6m)
NOPAT = 444.2m (EBIT 444.2m * (1 - 0.00%))
Current Ratio = 2.19 (Total Current Assets 625.1m / Total Current Liabilities 285.2m)
Debt / Equity = 0.42 (Debt 725.4m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.72b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.77 (Net Debt 436.0m / EBITDA 565.9m)
Debt / FCF = 3.08 (Net Debt 436.0m / FCF TTM 141.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.60b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 15.23% (Net Income 406.4m / Total Assets 2.67b)
RoE = 25.43% (Net Income TTM 406.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.60b)
RoCE = 20.79% (EBIT 444.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.60b + L.T.Debt 538.8m))
RoIC = 19.36% (NOPAT 444.2m / Invested Capital 2.29b)
WACC = 6.22% (E(1.22b)/V(1.94b) * Re(9.14%) + D(725.4m)/V(1.94b) * Rd(1.32%) * (1-Tc(0.00)))
Discount Rate = 9.14% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.78%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 65.65% ; FCFE base≈244.3m ; Y1≈160.4m ; Y5≈73.4m
Fair Price DCF = 33.84 (DCF Value 1.21b / Shares Outstanding 35.8m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 89.76 | EPS CAGR: 7.64% | SUE: 2.59 | # QB: 4
Revenue Correlation: 91.99 | Revenue CAGR: 7.83% | SUE: 2.14 | # QB: 4
Additional Sources for GSL Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle