(GSL) Global Ship Lease - Overview
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Marine Shipping | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 1.472m USD | Total Return: 66.7% in 12m
Industry Rotation: +8.5
Avg Turnover: 11.4M
EPS Trend: -26.1%
Qual. Beats: -1
Rev. Trend: 93.5%
Qual. Beats: 5
Warnings
Beneish M-Score -0.72 > -1.5 - likely earnings manipulation
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Global Ship Lease, Inc. (GSL) is a Marshall Islands corporation headquartered in Athens, Greece, that specializes in the ownership and leasing of containerships. The company operates a fleet of 71 mid-sized and smaller vessels, with capacities ranging from 2,207 to 11,040 TEU, totaling 423,003 TEU as of March 2026.
The business model relies on long-term, fixed-rate time charters with global liner companies, which provides predictable cash flow and mitigates exposure to short-term spot market volatility. In the marine transportation sector, mid-sized vessels are often prioritized for regional trade routes and feeder services that larger post-Panamax ships cannot navigate due to port infrastructure constraints.
Investors may find additional valuation metrics and historical performance data on ValueRay to further their analysis. Originally founded as Marathon Acquisition Corp. in 2007, the firm transitioned to its current identity in 2008 and remains a significant provider of outsourced tonnage to the container shipping industry.
- Long-term fixed-rate charter renewals determine revenue stability and forward cash flow visibility
- Global container trade demand fluctuations impact spot market rates and asset valuations
- Scarcity of mid-sized vessel supply supports higher re-chartering rates and margins
- Financing costs and debt service obligations influence dividend capacity and shareholder returns
- Environmental regulatory compliance costs for older vessels pressure long-term capital expenditure requirements
| Net Income: 416.5m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.13 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 4.63 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 42.14% < 20% (prev 5.27%; Δ 36.87% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.18 > 3% & CFO 528.3m > Net Income 416.5m |
| Net Debt (364.7m) to EBITDA (557.3m): 0.65 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.04 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (35.9m) vs 12m ago 1.20% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 53.22% > 18% (prev 0.55%; Δ 5.27k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 29.04% > 50% (prev 29.79%; Δ -0.76% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 11.08 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 557.3m / Interest Expense TTM 39.0m) |
| A: 0.11 (Total Current Assets 627.0m - Total Current Liabilities 306.8m) / Total Assets 2.86b |
| B: 0.39 (Retained Earnings 1.10b / Total Assets 2.86b) |
| C: 0.16 (EBIT TTM 431.6m / Avg Total Assets 2.62b) |
| D: 1.04 (Book Value of Equity 1.11b / Total Liabilities 1.06b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 4.20 = AA |
| DSRI: 3.62 (Receivables 50.0m/12.8m, Revenue 759.9m/707.0m) |
| GMI: 1.04 (GM 53.22% / 55.48%) |
| AQI: 1.16 (AQ_t 0.08 / AQ_t-1 0.07) |
| SGI: 1.07 (Revenue 759.9m / 707.0m) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI 416.5m - CFO 528.3m) / TA 2.86b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -0.72 (Cap -4..+1) = D |
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.38%, over one month by +4.90%, over three months by +6.87% and over the past year by +66.71%.
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 48 | 17.5% |
P/E Forward = 3.1066
P/S = 1.9555
P/B = 0.8461
P/EG = 0.8742
Revenue TTM = 759.9m USD
EBIT TTM = 431.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 557.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 541.6m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 147.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 689.1m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 364.7m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.89b USD (1.47b + Debt 689.1m - CCE 273.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 11.08 (Ebit TTM 431.6m / Interest Expense TTM 39.0m)
EV/FCF = 5.26x (Enterprise Value 1.89b / FCF TTM 358.6m)
FCF Yield = 19.00% (FCF TTM 358.6m / Enterprise Value 1.89b)
FCF Margin = 47.19% (FCF TTM 358.6m / Revenue TTM 759.9m)
Net Margin = 54.80% (Net Income TTM 416.5m / Revenue TTM 759.9m)
Gross Margin = 53.22% ((Revenue TTM 759.9m - Cost of Revenue TTM 355.5m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 51.00% (prev 53.44%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.66 (Enterprise Value 1.89b / Total Assets 2.86b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.30% (Interest Expense 8.96m / Debt 689.1m)
Taxrate = 0.0% (0.0 / 102.6m)
NOPAT = 431.6m (EBIT 431.6m * (1 - 0.00%))
Current Ratio = 2.04 (Total Current Assets 627.0m / Total Current Liabilities 306.8m)
Debt / Equity = 0.38 (Debt 689.1m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.80b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.65 (Net Debt 364.7m / EBITDA 557.3m)
Debt / FCF = 1.02 (Net Debt 364.7m / FCF TTM 358.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.68b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 15.91% (Net Income 416.5m / Total Assets 2.86b)
RoE = 24.76% (Net Income TTM 416.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.68b)
RoCE = 19.41% (EBIT 431.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.68b + L.T.Debt 541.6m))
RoIC = 17.88% (NOPAT 431.6m / Invested Capital 2.41b)
WACC = 5.99% (E(1.47b)/V(2.16b) * Re(8.18%) + D(689.1m)/V(2.16b) * Rd(1.30%) * (1-Tc(0.0)))
Discount Rate = 8.18% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 64.44 | Cagr: 0.65%
[DCF] Terminal Value 81.71% ; FCFF base≈290.2m ; Y1≈201.2m ; Y5≈102.6m
[DCF] Fair Price = 79.24 (EV 3.22b - Net Debt 364.7m = Equity 2.86b / Shares 36.0m; r=6.0% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -35.96% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -26.09 | EPS CAGR: -43.77% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: -1
Revenue Correlation: 93.52 | Revenue CAGR: 8.47% | SUE: 2.54 | # QB: 5
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=2.42 | Chg30d=+1.68% | Revisions=-20% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=9.90 | Chg30d=+1.61% | Revisions=-20% | GrowthEPS=-3.5% | GrowthRev=-2.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=9.07 | Chg30d=-3.63% | Revisions=+20% | GrowthEPS=-8.3% | GrowthRev=-6.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -20%