GSL Stock Analysis: Global Ship Lease | NYSE
Marine Shipping | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 1.444m USD | 12M Return: 61% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 10.5M
EPS Trend: 91.3%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: 98.2%
Qual. Beats: 6
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Global Ship Lease, Inc. (NYSE: GSL) is a Greece-based, Athens-headquartered owner and charterer of containerships, founded in 2007 and originally listed in 2006. The company charters its vessels under fixed-rate agreements to container shipping lines worldwide, a model that locks in contracted revenue and reduces exposure to short-term freight rate swings. As of March 12, 2026, the fleet comprised 71 mid-sized and smaller containerships (2,207–11,040 TEU), with an aggregate capacity of 423,003 TEU. Global Ship Lease was formed through a 2008 corporate rebranding of Marathon Acquisition Corp., and it operates within the Marine Transportation sub-industry of the broader Industrials sector.
- Container charter rates strengthen on tight vessel supply and demand
- Debt refinancing costs pressure margins amid higher interest rate environment
- Fleet acquisitions expand TEU capacity and long-term charter coverage
| Net Income: 386.9m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.14 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 9.06 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 49.31% < 20% (prev 28.54%; Δ 20.77% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.17 > 3% & CFO 505.8m > Net Income 386.9m |
| Net Debt (122.7m) to EBITDA (557.9m): 0.22 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.26 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (36.6m) vs 12m ago 2.86% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 53.13% > 18% (prev 54.74%; Δ -1.61% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 28.13% > 50% (prev 27.76%; Δ 0.37% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 11.07 > 6 (EBIT TTM 425.3m / Interest Expense TTM 38.4m) |
| A: 0.13 (Total Current Assets 681.3m - Total Current Liabilities 301.5m) / Total Assets 2.90b |
| B: 0.40 (Retained Earnings 1.17b / Total Assets 2.90b) |
| C: 0.16 (EBIT TTM 425.3m / Avg Total Assets 2.74b) |
| D: 1.83 (Book Value of Equity 1.88b / Total Liabilities 1.02b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 5.14 = AAA |
| DSRI: 2.25 (Receivables 55.1m/22.8m, Revenue 770.2m/715.2m) |
| GMI: 1.03 (GM 54.74% / 53.13%) |
| AQI: 1.23 (AQ_t 0.08 / AQ_t-1 0.06) |
| SGI: 1.08 (Revenue 770.2m / 715.2m) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI 386.9m - CFO 505.8m) / TA 2.90b) |
| Beneish M = -1.78 (Cap -4..+1) = B |
As of July 17, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 41.63 with a total of 271,273 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.55%, over one month by +7.35%, over three months by +7.79% and over the past year by +60.98%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 39.20 (which is 5.8% or 2.5 ATR below the current price).
Global Ship Lease has received a consensus analysts rating of 5.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy GSL.
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 48 | 15.3% |
P/E Trailing = 3.8298
P/E Forward = 3.1066
P/S = 1.9069
P/B = 0.7698
P/EG = 0.8742
Revenue TTM = 770.2m USD
EBIT TTM = 425.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 557.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 505.3m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 147.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 671.9m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 19.1m
Net Debt = 122.7m USD (calculated: Debt 671.9m - CCE 549.2m)
Enterprise Value = 1.57b USD (1.44b + Debt 671.9m - CCE 549.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 11.07 (Ebit TTM 425.3m / Interest Expense TTM 38.4m)
EV/FCF = 3.87x (Enterprise Value 1.57b / FCF TTM 404.5m)
FCF Yield = 25.82% (FCF TTM 404.5m / Enterprise Value 1.57b)
FCF Margin = 52.51% (FCF TTM 404.5m / Revenue TTM 770.2m)
Net Margin = 50.23% (Net Income TTM 386.9m / Revenue TTM 770.2m)
Gross Margin = 53.13% ((Revenue TTM 770.2m - Cost of Revenue TTM 361.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 53.65% (prev 51.00%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.54 (Enterprise Value 1.57b / Total Assets 2.90b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.72% (Interest Expense 38.4m / Debt 671.9m)
Taxrate = 0.0% (0.0 / 386.9m)
NOPAT = 425.3m (EBIT 425.3m * (1 - 0.00%))
Current Ratio = 2.26 (Total Current Assets 681.3m / Total Current Liabilities 301.5m)
Debt / Equity = 0.36 (Debt 671.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.88b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.22 (Net Debt 122.7m / EBITDA 557.9m)
Debt / FCF = 0.30 (Net Debt 122.7m / FCF TTM 404.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.76b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 14.13% (Net Income 386.9m / Total Assets 2.90b)
RoE = 21.99% (Net Income TTM 386.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.76b)
RoCE = 18.78% (EBIT 425.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.76b + L.T.Debt 505.3m))
RoIC = 15.71% (NOPAT 425.3m / Invested Capital 2.71b)
WACC = 7.27% (E(1.44b)/V(2.12b) * Re(7.99%) + D(671.9m)/V(2.12b) * Rd(5.72%) * (1-Tc(0.0)))
Discount Rate = 7.99% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 80.65 | Cagr: 1.75%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈293.1m ; Y1≈336.0m ; Y5≈494.5m
[DCF] Fair Price = 203.1 (EV 7.44b - Net Debt 122.7m = Equity 7.32b / Shares 36.0m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 91.31 | EPS CAGR: 6.91% | SUE: 1.08 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 98.18 | Revenue CAGR: 6.84% | SUE: 1.93 | # QB: 6
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=2.42 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=2
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.44 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=9.88 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+17% | GrowthEPS=-3.7% | GrowthRev=-0.4%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=8.99 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=-17% | GrowthEPS=-9.0% | GrowthRev=-6.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0% (up=5, down=5)