GVA Stock Analysis: Granite Construction | NYSE

Engineering & Construction | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 5.497m USD | 12M Return: 13.3% | US3873281071 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Infrastructure, Aggregates, Asphalt, Bridges
Total Rating 33
Safety 67
Buy Signal -0.09
Engineering & Construction
Industry Rotation: +3.5
Market Cap: 5.50B
Avg Turnover: 99.1M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility36.0%
VaR 5th Pctl5.82%
VaR vs Median-1.80%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.42
Rel. Str. IBD29.3
Rel. Str. Peer Group38.4
Character TTM
Beta1.224
Beta Downside1.030
Hurst Exponent0.553
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD29.06%
CAGR/Max DD1.60
CAGR/Mean DD6.84
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of GVA over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 0.91, "2021-09": 0.93, "2021-12": -0.29, "2022-03": -0.28, "2022-06": 0.38, "2022-09": 1.41, "2022-12": 0.56, "2023-03": -0.41, "2023-06": 1.03, "2023-09": 1.69, "2023-12": 0.82, "2024-03": -0.21, "2024-06": 1.73, "2024-09": 2.05, "2024-12": 1.23, "2025-03": 0.01, "2025-06": 1.93, "2025-09": 2.7, "2025-12": 1.4, "2026-03": 0.26, "2026-06": 2.1,
EPS CAGR: 35.68%
EPS Trend: 98.0%
Last SUE: -0.42
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of GVA over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 834.671, 2021-09: 1062.129, 2021-12: 313.839, 2022-03: 653.886, 2022-06: 849.247, 2022-09: 1008.91, 2022-12: 787.062, 2023-03: 560.068, 2023-06: 898.552, 2023-09: 1116.82, 2023-12: 933.698, 2024-03: 672.275, 2024-06: 1082.486, 2024-09: 1275.51, 2024-12: 977.303, 2025-03: 699.547, 2025-06: 1125.964, 2025-09: 1433.498, 2025-12: 1165.37, 2026-03: 912.465, 2026-06: 1455.872,
Rev. CAGR: 13.15%
Rev. Trend: 98.1%
Last SUE: 0.75
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Interest Coverage Ratio Critical
Altman Z'' In Financial Distress Zone
Below Avwap Earnings
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

Confidence

Seasonality 11.6 years of data

Jan -0.9% 8
Feb -0.6% 7
Mar -5.4% 19
Apr -7.2% 9
May -3.3% 5
Jun +2.8% 5
Jul -3.9% 6
Aug -0.3% 13
Sep -3.0% 30
Oct -0.9% 2
Nov +9.3% 61
Dec -2.6% 15

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: GVA Granite Construction

Granite Construction Incorporated (NYSE: GVA) is a U.S.-based infrastructure solutions provider operating through two segments: Construction and Materials. The Construction segment handles roads, bridges, airports, rail, dams, marine ports, and site development for public and private clients, while the Materials segment produces aggregates, asphalt, and recycled materials for both internal use and third-party sale. The company also offers site preparation, mining, and construction management services, and owns aggregate reserves and processing plants. Granite serves a broad customer base including federal agencies, state DOTs, local transit authorities, utilities, developers, and private site owners. Incorporated in 1922 and headquartered in Watsonville, California, Granite has been publicly traded since 1990 and operates within the heavy civil construction industry, where revenue is closely tied to public infrastructure budgets and transportation spending at the federal, state, and municipal levels.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • IIJA infrastructure funding lifts Granites transportation project backlog
  • Materials segment margins face asphalt and aggregate pricing pressure
  • State DOT contract awards accelerate Construction segment revenue
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 3.5
Net Income: -164.9m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.10 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.08 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 0.63% < 20% (prev 15.09%; Δ -14.46% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.13 > 3% & CFO 605.0m > Net Income -164.9m
Net Debt (861.1m) to EBITDA (190.2m): 4.53 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.01 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (43.8m) vs 12m ago -16.85% < -2%
Gross Margin: 15.64% > 18% (prev 15.61%; Δ 0.03% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 126.0% > 50% (prev 131.3%; Δ -5.31% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.05 > 6 (EBIT TTM 3.14m / Interest Expense TTM 69.6m)
Altman Z'' 0.55
A: 0.01 (Total Current Assets 2.45b - Total Current Liabilities 2.42b) / Total Assets 4.78b
B: 0.09 (Retained Earnings 443.3m / Total Assets 4.78b)
C: 0.00 (EBIT TTM 3.14m / Avg Total Assets 3.94b)
D: 0.19 (Book Value of Equity 752.7m / Total Liabilities 3.97b)
Altman-Z'' = 0.55 = B
Beneish M -2.96
DSRI: 0.97 (Receivables 1.17b/994.2m, Revenue 4.97b/4.08b)
GMI: 1.00 (GM 15.61% / 15.64%)
AQI: 0.93 (AQ_t 0.18 / AQ_t-1 0.19)
SGI: 1.22 (Revenue 4.97b / 4.08b)
TATA: -0.16 (NI -164.9m - CFO 605.0m) / TA 4.78b)
Beneish M = -2.96 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of GVA shares?

As of August 24, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 123.74 with a total of 182,929 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.64%, over one month by -2.34%, over three months by -7.25% and over the past year by +13.34%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 116.00 (which is 6.3% or 1.6 ATR below the current price).

Is GVA a buy, sell or hold?

Granite Construction has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy GVA.

  • StrongBuy: 2
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 0
  • Sell: 1
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the GVA price?
Analysts Target Price 171.7 38.7%
Granite Construction (GVA) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 24 August 2026
Market Cap USD = 5.50b (5.50b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 18.315
P/S = 1.1067
P/B = 7.3031
P/EG = 0.1464
Revenue TTM = 4.97b USD
EBIT TTM = 3.14m USD
EBITDA TTM = 190.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.18b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 417.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.91b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 173.8m
Net Debt = 861.1m USD (calculated: Debt 1.91b - CCE 1.05b)
Enterprise Value = 6.36b USD (5.50b + Debt 1.91b - CCE 1.05b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.05 (Ebit TTM 3.14m / Interest Expense TTM 69.6m)
EV/FCF = 13.47x (Enterprise Value 6.36b / FCF TTM 471.9m)
FCF Yield = 7.42% (FCF TTM 471.9m / Enterprise Value 6.36b)
FCF Margin = 9.50% (FCF TTM 471.9m / Revenue TTM 4.97b)
Net Margin = -3.32% (Net Income TTM -164.9m / Revenue TTM 4.97b)
Gross Margin = 15.64% ((Revenue TTM 4.97b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.19b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 16.40% (prev 12.04%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.33 (Enterprise Value 6.36b / Total Assets 4.78b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.65% (Interest Expense 69.6m / Debt 1.91b)
Taxrate = 23.71% (68.5m / 288.8m)
NOPAT = 2.39m (EBIT 3.14m * (1 - 23.71%))
Current Ratio = 1.01 (Total Current Assets 2.45b / Total Current Liabilities 2.42b)
Debt / Equity = 2.53 (Debt 1.91b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 752.7m)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.53 (Net Debt 861.1m / EBITDA 190.2m)
Debt / FCF = 1.82 (Net Debt 861.1m / FCF TTM 471.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.03b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -4.18% (Net Income -164.9m / Total Assets 4.78b)
RoE = -16.01% (Net Income TTM -164.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.03b)
RoCE = 0.14% (EBIT 3.14m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.03b + L.T.Debt 1.18b))
RoIC = 0.09% (NOPAT 2.39m / Invested Capital 2.53b)
WACC = 8.36% (E(5.50b)/V(7.40b) * Re(10.29%) + D(1.91b)/V(7.40b) * Rd(3.65%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 10.29% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -19.88 | Cagr: -0.24%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.94% ; FCFF base≈406.8m ; Y1≈466.3m ; Y5≈686.3m
[DCF] Fair Price = 212.8 (EV 10.3b - Net Debt 861.1m = Equity 9.45b / Shares 44.4m; r=8.36% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 97.99 | EPS CAGR: 35.68% | SUE: -0.42 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 98.08 | Revenue CAGR: 13.15% | SUE: 0.75 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=3.38 | Chg30d=+7.09% | Revisions=+50% | Analysts=5
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=7.08 | Chg30d=+4.86% | Revisions=+17% | GrowthEPS=+16.6% | GrowthRev=+22.0%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=7.99 | Chg30d=+4.07% | Revisions=+17% | GrowthEPS=+12.9% | GrowthRev=+9.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +42% (up=7, down=2)