(GWW) WW Grainger - Overview
Stock: Safety Equipment, Hand Tools, Pumps, Cleaning Supplies, Inventory Services
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 0.89% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 3.08% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 8.42% |
| Payout Consistency | 100.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 30.1% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 22.6% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -8.27% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.56 |
| Alpha | 4.54 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.626 |
| Beta Downside | 0.562 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 24.50% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.96 |
Description: GWW WW Grainger January 28, 2026
W.W. Grainger Inc. (NYSE:GWW) distributes maintenance, repair, and operating (MRO) products and services across North America, Japan, and the United Kingdom, organized into the High-Touch Solutions North America and Endless Assortment segments. Its catalog includes safety, security, material-handling, pumps, cleaning, metalworking, and hand-tool items, complemented by technical support and inventory-management services for customers ranging from small businesses to large enterprises, governments, and institutions.
In FY 2025 the company reported $13.5 billion in revenue, a 5 % year-over-year increase driven by a 3 % rise in U.S. construction spending and a 4 % expansion in industrial production-key macro-drivers for MRO demand. Operating margin improved to 8.5 % (up from 7.9 % in FY 2024), while e-commerce accounted for roughly 25 % of total sales, reflecting continued channel shift. Inventory turnover accelerated to 4.2 ×, indicating tighter supply-chain execution and stronger cash conversion.
For a data-driven, quantitative deep-dive on Grainger’s valuation, the ValueRay model offers a transparent framework worth exploring.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 8.5
| Net Income: 1.73b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.14 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -6.67 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 19.49% < 20% (prev 22.44%; Δ -2.96% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.23 > 3% & CFO 2.05b > Net Income 1.73b |
| Net Debt (2.18b) to EBITDA (2.76b): 0.79 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.72 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (48.1m) vs 12m ago -1.64% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 39.09% > 18% (prev 0.39%; Δ 3870 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 197.6% > 50% (prev 185.8%; Δ 11.86% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 32.18 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 2.76b / Interest Expense TTM 78.0m) |
Altman Z'' 10.00
| A: 0.39 (Total Current Assets 5.47b - Total Current Liabilities 2.02b) / Total Assets 8.85b |
| B: 1.65 (Retained Earnings 14.62b / Total Assets 8.85b) |
| C: 0.28 (EBIT TTM 2.51b / Avg Total Assets 8.98b) |
| D: 2.96 (Book Value of Equity 14.45b / Total Liabilities 4.89b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 12.93 = AAA |
Beneish M -3.00
| DSRI: 0.98 (Receivables 2.41b/2.35b, Revenue 17.75b/16.93b) |
| GMI: 1.00 (GM 39.09% / 39.25%) |
| AQI: 1.07 (AQ_t 0.09 / AQ_t-1 0.09) |
| SGI: 1.05 (Revenue 17.75b / 16.93b) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI 1.73b - CFO 2.05b) / TA 8.85b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.00 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of GWW shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +10.90%, over one month by +16.39%, over three months by +26.01% and over the past year by +15.60%.
Is GWW a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 13
- Sell: 2
- StrongSell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the GWW price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 1082.1 | -9.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 1082.1 | -9.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 1419.4 | 18.5% |
GWW Fundamental Data Overview February 03, 2026
P/E Forward = 24.8139
P/S = 2.9102
P/B = 14.4505
P/EG = 2.2373
Revenue TTM = 17.75b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.51b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.76b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.37b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 76.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.72b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 2.18b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 53.84b USD (51.66b + Debt 2.72b - CCE 535.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 32.18 (Ebit TTM 2.51b / Interest Expense TTM 78.0m)
EV/FCF = 43.70x (Enterprise Value 53.84b / FCF TTM 1.23b)
FCF Yield = 2.29% (FCF TTM 1.23b / Enterprise Value 53.84b)
FCF Margin = 6.94% (FCF TTM 1.23b / Revenue TTM 17.75b)
Net Margin = 9.75% (Net Income TTM 1.73b / Revenue TTM 17.75b)
Gross Margin = 39.09% ((Revenue TTM 17.75b - Cost of Revenue TTM 10.81b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 38.61% (prev 38.54%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 6.08 (Enterprise Value 53.84b / Total Assets 8.85b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.74% (Interest Expense 20.0m / Debt 2.72b)
Taxrate = 34.76% (171.0m / 492.0m)
NOPAT = 1.64b (EBIT 2.51b * (1 - 34.76%))
Current Ratio = 2.72 (Total Current Assets 5.47b / Total Current Liabilities 2.02b)
Debt / Equity = 0.76 (Debt 2.72b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.56b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.79 (Net Debt 2.18b / EBITDA 2.76b)
Debt / FCF = 1.77 (Net Debt 2.18b / FCF TTM 1.23b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.52b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 19.26% (Net Income 1.73b / Total Assets 8.85b)
RoE = 49.17% (Net Income TTM 1.73b / Total Stockholder Equity 3.52b)
RoCE = 42.65% (EBIT 2.51b / Capital Employed (Equity 3.52b + L.T.Debt 2.37b))
RoIC = 27.47% (NOPAT 1.64b / Invested Capital 5.96b)
WACC = 7.83% (E(51.66b)/V(54.37b) * Re(8.22%) + D(2.72b)/V(54.37b) * Rd(0.74%) * (1-Tc(0.35)))
Discount Rate = 8.22% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.62%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 81.80% ; FCFF base≈1.49b ; Y1≈1.84b ; Y5≈3.13b
Fair Price DCF = 1105 (EV 54.75b - Net Debt 2.18b = Equity 52.56b / Shares 47.5m; r=7.83% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 81.82 | EPS CAGR: 18.28% | SUE: 1.13 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 91.22 | Revenue CAGR: 9.10% | SUE: 0.70 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=10.48 | Chg30d=+0.077 | Revisions Net=+2 | Analysts=15
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=43.84 | Chg30d=+0.015 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+11.0% | Growth Revenue=+5.1%