GWW Stock Analysis: WW Grainger | NYSE

Industrial Distribution | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 62.298m USD | 12M Return: 32.4% | US3848021040 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Safety Equipment, Hand Tools, Plumbing Equipment, Material Handling
Total Rating 77
Safety 86
Buy Signal 0.38
Industrial Distribution
Industry Rotation: -3.9
Market Cap: 62.3B
Avg Turnover: 361M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility22.7%
VaR 5th Pctl3.63%
VaR vs Median-2.67%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.14
Rel. Str. IBD67.6
Rel. Str. Peer Group54.7
Character TTM
Beta0.348
Beta Downside0.348
Hurst Exponent0.508
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD24.50%
CAGR/Max DD0.98
CAGR/Mean DD2.78
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of GWW over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 4.27, "2021-09": 5.65, "2021-12": 5.44, "2022-03": 7.07, "2022-06": 7.19, "2022-09": 8.27, "2022-12": 7.14, "2023-03": 9.61, "2023-06": 9.28, "2023-09": 9.43, "2023-12": 8.33, "2024-03": 9.62, "2024-06": 9.76, "2024-09": 9.87, "2024-12": 9.71, "2025-03": 9.86, "2025-06": 9.97, "2025-09": 10.21, "2025-12": 9.44, "2026-03": 11.65, "2026-06": 12.01,
EPS CAGR: 6.16%
EPS Trend: 96.2%
Last SUE: 1.43
Qual. Beats: 2
Revenue Revenue of GWW over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 3207, 2021-09: 3372, 2021-12: 3359, 2022-03: 3647, 2022-06: 3837, 2022-09: 3942, 2022-12: 3802, 2023-03: 4091, 2023-06: 4182, 2023-09: 4208, 2023-12: 3997, 2024-03: 4235, 2024-06: 4312, 2024-09: 4388, 2024-12: 4233, 2025-03: 4306, 2025-06: 4554, 2025-09: 4657, 2025-12: 4425, 2026-03: 4742, 2026-06: 5021,
Rev. CAGR: 5.04%
Rev. Trend: 98.4%
Last SUE: 1.05
Qual. Beats: 3

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.6 years of data

Jan +2.8% 8
Feb +0.5% 8
Mar -0.4% 8
Apr -1.7% 8
May -0.1% 7
Jun -2.0% 8
Jul -0.6% 8
Aug -2.3% 19
Sep -4.9% 32
Oct +2.3% 29
Nov +4.6% 55
Dec +0.9% 14

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: GWW WW Grainger

W.W. Grainger, Inc. (GWW) is a U.S.-based industrial distributor that supplies maintenance, repair, and operating (MRO) products and related services to business customers across North America, Japan, and the United Kingdom. The company operates through two segments: High-Touch Solutions North America, which emphasizes relationship-based sales and services, and Endless Assortment, its digital/direct-ship business. Grainger sells a broad range of categories including safety and security products, material handling and storage equipment, pumps and plumbing supplies, cleaning and maintenance items, and metalworking and hand tools, and complements these offerings with technical support and inventory management services. Its customer base spans small businesses, large corporations, government entities, and institutions operating in commercial, healthcare, and manufacturing end markets, reached through a mix of field sales representatives, service teams, and electronic/ecommerce channels. The company was founded in 1927 and is headquartered in Lake Forest, Illinois. As a member of the GICS Industrials sector and the Trading Companies & Distributors sub-industry, Grainger sits within a peer group of large-scale industrial suppliers whose business model centers on aggregating fragmented demand from business buyers and delivering a wide assortment of consumable and operational products, often supported by value-added services such as vending, kitting, and supply chain management.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • High-Touch Solutions N.A. pricing and organic sales growth
  • Endless Assortment segment lifts margins via MonotaRO and Zoro
  • U.S. industrial production cycle drives MRO demand
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 7.5
Net Income: 1.87b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.16 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.14 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 20.48% < 20% (prev 20.87%; Δ -0.39% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.23 > 3% & CFO 2.17b > Net Income 1.87b
Net Debt (2.60b) to EBITDA (3.00b): 0.87 < 3
Current Ratio: 2.81 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (47.3m) vs 12m ago -1.87% < -2%
Gross Margin: 39.40% > 18% (prev 39.25%; Δ 0.15% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 203.1% > 50% (prev 195.6%; Δ 7.52% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 33.89 > 6 (EBIT TTM 2.75b / Interest Expense TTM 81.0m)
Altman Z'' 10.00
A: 0.40 (Total Current Assets 6.00b - Total Current Liabilities 2.14b) / Total Assets 9.62b
B: 1.65 (Retained Earnings 15.9b / Total Assets 9.62b)
C: 0.30 (EBIT TTM 2.75b / Avg Total Assets 9.28b)
D: 0.81 (Book Value of Equity 4.13b / Total Liabilities 5.11b)
Altman-Z'' = 10.85 = AAA
Beneish M -2.95
DSRI: 1.06 (Receivables 2.83b/2.47b, Revenue 18.8b/17.5b)
GMI: 1.00 (GM 39.25% / 39.40%)
AQI: 0.97 (AQ_t 0.09 / AQ_t-1 0.09)
SGI: 1.08 (Revenue 18.8b / 17.5b)
TATA: -0.03 (NI 1.87b - CFO 2.17b) / TA 9.62b)
Beneish M = -2.95 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of GWW shares?

As of August 20, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 1306.95 with a total of 174,018 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.16%, over one month by -4.50%, over three months by +5.23% and over the past year by +32.38%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 1254.20 (which is 4% or 1.8 ATR below the current price).

Is GWW a buy, sell or hold?

WW Grainger has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.22. Therefore, it is recommended to hold GWW.

  • StrongBuy: 4
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 11
  • Sell: 2
  • StrongSell: 1

What are the forecasts/targets for the GWW price?
Analysts Target Price 1318.3 0.9%
WW Grainger (GWW) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 15 August 2026
Market Cap USD = 62.3b (62.3b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 33.7064
P/E Forward = 29.0698
P/S = 3.3058
P/B = 14.7933
P/EG = 2.0331
Revenue TTM = 18.8b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.75b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.00b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.41b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 74.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.19b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 389.0m
Net Debt = 2.60b USD (calculated: Debt 3.19b - CCE 589.0m)
Enterprise Value = 64.9b USD (62.3b + Debt 3.19b - CCE 589.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 33.89 (Ebit TTM 2.75b / Interest Expense TTM 81.0m)
EV/FCF = 42.98x (Enterprise Value 64.9b / FCF TTM 1.51b)
FCF Yield = 2.33% (FCF TTM 1.51b / Enterprise Value 64.9b)
FCF Margin = 8.01% (FCF TTM 1.51b / Revenue TTM 18.8b)
Net Margin = 9.92% (Net Income TTM 1.87b / Revenue TTM 18.8b)
Gross Margin = 39.40% ((Revenue TTM 18.8b - Cost of Revenue TTM 11.4b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 39.51% (prev 39.98%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 6.75 (Enterprise Value 64.9b / Total Assets 9.62b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.54% (Interest Expense 81.0m / Debt 3.19b)
Taxrate = 26.22% (704.0m / 2.69b)
NOPAT = 2.03b (EBIT 2.75b * (1 - 26.22%))
Current Ratio = 2.81 (Total Current Assets 6.00b / Total Current Liabilities 2.14b)
Debt / Equity = 0.77 (Debt 3.19b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.13b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.87 (Net Debt 2.60b / EBITDA 3.00b)
Debt / FCF = 1.72 (Net Debt 2.60b / FCF TTM 1.51b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.84b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 20.16% (Net Income 1.87b / Total Assets 9.62b)
RoE = 48.70% (Net Income TTM 1.87b / Total Stockholder Equity 3.84b)
RoCE = 43.95% (EBIT 2.75b / Capital Employed (Equity 3.84b + L.T.Debt 2.41b))
RoIC = 29.08% (NOPAT 2.03b / Invested Capital 6.96b)
WACC = 6.95% (E(62.3b)/V(65.5b) * Re(7.21%) + D(3.19b)/V(65.5b) * Rd(2.54%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 7.21% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -99.34 | Cagr: -1.91%
[DCF] Terminal Value 76.28% ; FCFF base≈1.47b ; Y1≈1.56b ; Y5≈1.84b
[DCF] Fair Price = 545.5 (EV 28.3b - Net Debt 2.60b = Equity 25.7b / Shares 47.1m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 6.64% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 96.18 | EPS CAGR: 6.16% | SUE: 1.43 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 98.44 | Revenue CAGR: 5.04% | SUE: 1.05 | # QB: 3
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=11.69 | Chg30d=-0.59% | Revisions=-40% | Analysts=16
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=46.37 | Chg30d=+1.61% | Revisions=+50% | GrowthEPS=+17.4% | GrowthRev=+9.5%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=51.04 | Chg30d=+1.13% | Revisions=+59% | GrowthEPS=+10.1% | GrowthRev=+7.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +30% (up=27, down=14)