GWW Stock Analysis: WW Grainger | NYSE
Industrial Distribution | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 65.863m USD | 12M Return: 35.3% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 444M
EPS Trend: 97.0%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: 99.3%
Qual. Beats: 2
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
W.W. Grainger, Inc. (GWW) is a U.S.-based industrial distributor that supplies maintenance, repair, and operating (MRO) products and related services to business customers across North America, Japan, and the United Kingdom. The company operates through two segments: High-Touch Solutions North America, which emphasizes relationship-based sales and services, and Endless Assortment, its digital/direct-ship business. Grainger sells a broad range of categories including safety and security products, material handling and storage equipment, pumps and plumbing supplies, cleaning and maintenance items, and metalworking and hand tools, and complements these offerings with technical support and inventory management services. Its customer base spans small businesses, large corporations, government entities, and institutions operating in commercial, healthcare, and manufacturing end markets, reached through a mix of field sales representatives, service teams, and electronic/ecommerce channels. The company was founded in 1927 and is headquartered in Lake Forest, Illinois. As a member of the GICS Industrials sector and the Trading Companies & Distributors sub-industry, Grainger sits within a peer group of large-scale industrial suppliers whose business model centers on aggregating fragmented demand from business buyers and delivering a wide assortment of consumable and operational products, often supported by value-added services such as vending, kitting, and supply chain management.
- High-Touch Solutions N.A. pricing and organic sales growth
- Endless Assortment segment lifts margins via MonotaRO and Zoro
- U.S. industrial production cycle drives MRO demand
| Net Income: 1.78b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.15 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -3.33 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 20.18% < 20% (prev 20.38%; Δ -0.20% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.22 > 3% & CFO 2.11b > Net Income 1.78b |
| Net Debt (2.46b) to EBITDA (2.88b): 0.85 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.69 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (47.4m) vs 12m ago -1.86% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 39.15% > 18% (prev 39.45%; Δ -0.30% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 202.7% > 50% (prev 199.1%; Δ 3.61% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 32.46 > 6 (EBIT TTM 2.63b / Interest Expense TTM 81.0m) |
| A: 0.39 (Total Current Assets 5.91b - Total Current Liabilities 2.20b) / Total Assets 9.47b |
| B: 1.63 (Retained Earnings 15.4b / Total Assets 9.47b) |
| C: 0.29 (EBIT TTM 2.63b / Avg Total Assets 9.07b) |
| D: 0.77 (Book Value of Equity 3.93b / Total Liabilities 5.13b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 10.62 = AAA |
| DSRI: 1.04 (Receivables 2.63b/2.37b, Revenue 18.4b/17.2b) |
| GMI: 1.01 (GM 39.45% / 39.15%) |
| AQI: 1.00 (AQ_t 0.09 / AQ_t-1 0.09) |
| SGI: 1.07 (Revenue 18.4b / 17.2b) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI 1.78b - CFO 2.11b) / TA 9.47b) |
| Beneish M = -2.94 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of July 21, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 1371.22 with a total of 157,881 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.47%, over one month by +2.22%, over three months by +18.13% and over the past year by +35.31%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 1320.20 (which is 3.7% or 1.7 ATR below the current price).
WW Grainger has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.22. Therefore, it is recommended to hold GWW.
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 11
- Sell: 2
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 1281.6 | -6.5% |
P/E Trailing = 37.5507
P/E Forward = 31.348
P/S = 3.5838
P/B = 16.8433
P/EG = 2.1957
Revenue TTM = 18.4b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.63b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.88b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.41b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 73.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.15b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 370.0m
Net Debt = 2.46b USD (calculated: Debt 3.15b - CCE 695.0m)
Enterprise Value = 68.3b USD (65.9b + Debt 3.15b - CCE 695.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 32.46 (Ebit TTM 2.63b / Interest Expense TTM 81.0m)
EV/FCF = 49.54x (Enterprise Value 68.3b / FCF TTM 1.38b)
FCF Yield = 2.02% (FCF TTM 1.38b / Enterprise Value 68.3b)
FCF Margin = 7.50% (FCF TTM 1.38b / Revenue TTM 18.4b)
Net Margin = 9.70% (Net Income TTM 1.78b / Revenue TTM 18.4b)
Gross Margin = 39.15% ((Revenue TTM 18.4b - Cost of Revenue TTM 11.2b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 39.98% (prev 39.46%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 7.21 (Enterprise Value 68.3b / Total Assets 9.47b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.57% (Interest Expense 81.0m / Debt 3.15b)
Taxrate = 25.86% (659.0m / 2.55b)
NOPAT = 1.95b (EBIT 2.63b * (1 - 25.86%))
Current Ratio = 2.69 (Total Current Assets 5.91b / Total Current Liabilities 2.20b)
Debt / Equity = 0.80 (Debt 3.15b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.93b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.85 (Net Debt 2.46b / EBITDA 2.88b)
Debt / FCF = 1.78 (Net Debt 2.46b / FCF TTM 1.38b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.73b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 19.66% (Net Income 1.78b / Total Assets 9.47b)
RoE = 47.84% (Net Income TTM 1.78b / Total Stockholder Equity 3.73b)
RoCE = 42.86% (EBIT 2.63b / Capital Employed (Equity 3.73b + L.T.Debt 2.41b))
RoIC = 29.30% (NOPAT 1.95b / Invested Capital 6.65b)
WACC = 7.40% (E(65.9b)/V(69.0b) * Re(7.66%) + D(3.15b)/V(69.0b) * Rd(2.57%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 7.66% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -99.46 | Cagr: -2.08%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.80% ; FCFF base≈1.45b ; Y1≈1.32b ; Y5≈1.15b
[DCF] Fair Price = 335.6 (EV 18.3b - Net Debt 2.46b = Equity 15.8b / Shares 47.2m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -10.97% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 96.96 | EPS CAGR: 5.95% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 99.33 | Revenue CAGR: 4.66% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 2
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=11.30 | Chg30d=+0.71% | Revisions=+50% | Analysts=17
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=11.78 | Chg30d=+0.02% | Revisions=+17% | Analysts=17
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=45.63 | Chg30d=+0.09% | Revisions=+17% | GrowthEPS=+15.6% | GrowthRev=+8.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=50.48 | Chg30d=+0.18% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=+10.6% | GrowthRev=+6.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +50% (up=9, down=2)