GWW Stock Analysis: WW Grainger | NYSE
Industrial Distribution | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 62.677m USD | 12M Return: 40.5% | US3848021040 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 347M
EPS Trend: 96.2%
Qual. Beats: 2
Rev. Trend: 98.4%
Qual. Beats: 3
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
W.W. Grainger, Inc. (NYSE: GWW) is a large-cap U.S. industrial distributor of maintenance, repair, and operating (MRO) products and services, operating primarily across North America, Japan, and the United Kingdom. Founded in 1927 and headquartered in Lake Forest, Illinois, the company runs through two segments: High-Touch Solutions North America, focused on customers needing advisory and value-added services, and Endless Assortment, which serves customers seeking a broad, transactional product selection. Its offerings span safety and security equipment, material handling and storage, pumps and plumbing, cleaning and maintenance, and metalworking and hand tools, complemented by technical support and inventory management services. Grainger serves a diverse customer base ranging from small businesses to large corporations, government entities, and institutions across commercial, healthcare, and manufacturing sectors, distributing through both sales/service representatives and digital/e-commerce channels.
As an MRO distributor, Grainger benefits from the largely fragmented nature of the industrial supply industry, where customers frequently prioritize reliability of supply and speed of delivery over brand loyalty, allowing well-established distributors with extensive inventories and broad logistics networks to capture significant market share. The companys two-segment structure reflects a broader industry trend of segmenting service levels-offering deeper technical engagement for complex accounts while efficiently serving smaller, transaction-oriented customers through streamlined digital platforms.
- High-Touch Solutions N.A. revenue grows on large customer contracts
- Endless Assortment segment scales via Zoro and MonotaRO e-commerce
- US industrial production drives MRO product demand
| Net Income: 1.87b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.16 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.14 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 20.48% < 20% (prev 20.87%; Δ -0.39% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.23 > 3% & CFO 2.17b > Net Income 1.87b |
| Net Debt (2.60b) to EBITDA (3.02b): 0.86 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.81 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (47.3m) vs 12m ago -1.87% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 39.40% > 18% (prev 39.25%; Δ 0.15% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 203.1% > 50% (prev 195.6%; Δ 7.52% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 34.15 > 6 (EBIT TTM 2.77b / Interest Expense TTM 81.0m) |
| A: 0.40 (Total Current Assets 6.00b - Total Current Liabilities 2.14b) / Total Assets 9.62b |
| B: 1.65 (Retained Earnings 15.9b / Total Assets 9.62b) |
| C: 0.30 (EBIT TTM 2.77b / Avg Total Assets 9.28b) |
| D: 0.81 (Book Value of Equity 4.13b / Total Liabilities 5.11b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 10.86 = AAA |
| DSRI: 1.06 (Receivables 2.83b/2.47b, Revenue 18.8b/17.5b) |
| GMI: 1.00 (GM 39.25% / 39.40%) |
| AQI: 0.97 (AQ_t 0.09 / AQ_t-1 0.09) |
| SGI: 1.08 (Revenue 18.8b / 17.5b) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI 1.87b - CFO 2.17b) / TA 9.62b) |
| Beneish M = -2.95 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of October 19, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 1330.70 with a total of 236,442 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.17%, over one month by +5.39%, over three months by -4.42% and over the past year by +40.49%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 1270.00 (which is 4.6% or 2.2 ATR below the current price).
WW Grainger has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.26. Therefore, it is recommended to hold GWW.
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 13
- Sell: 2
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 1331.6 | 0.1% |
P/E Trailing = 33.9378
P/E Forward = 24.7525
P/S = 3.3259
P/B = 14.488
P/EG = 1.732
Revenue TTM = 18.8b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.77b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.02b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.41b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 74.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.19b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 389.0m
Net Debt = 2.60b USD (calculated: Debt 3.19b - CCE 589.0m)
Enterprise Value = 65.3b USD (62.7b + Debt 3.19b - CCE 589.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 34.15 (Ebit TTM 2.77b / Interest Expense TTM 81.0m)
EV/FCF = 43.23x (Enterprise Value 65.3b / FCF TTM 1.51b)
FCF Yield = 2.31% (FCF TTM 1.51b / Enterprise Value 65.3b)
FCF Margin = 8.01% (FCF TTM 1.51b / Revenue TTM 18.8b)
Net Margin = 9.92% (Net Income TTM 1.87b / Revenue TTM 18.8b)
Gross Margin = 39.40% ((Revenue TTM 18.8b - Cost of Revenue TTM 11.4b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 39.51% (prev 39.98%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 6.79 (Enterprise Value 65.3b / Total Assets 9.62b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.54% (Interest Expense 81.0m / Debt 3.19b)
Taxrate = 26.22% (704.0m / 2.69b)
NOPAT = 2.04b (EBIT 2.77b * (1 - 26.22%))
Current Ratio = 2.81 (Total Current Assets 6.00b / Total Current Liabilities 2.14b)
Debt / Equity = 0.77 (Debt 3.19b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.13b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.86 (Net Debt 2.60b / EBITDA 3.02b)
Debt / FCF = 1.72 (Net Debt 2.60b / FCF TTM 1.51b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.84b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 20.16% (Net Income 1.87b / Total Assets 9.62b)
RoE = 48.70% (Net Income TTM 1.87b / Total Stockholder Equity 3.84b)
RoCE = 44.29% (EBIT 2.77b / Capital Employed (Equity 3.84b + L.T.Debt 2.41b))
RoIC = 29.30% (NOPAT 2.04b / Invested Capital 6.96b)
WACC = 6.45% (E(62.7b)/V(65.9b) * Re(6.68%) + D(3.19b)/V(65.9b) * Rd(2.54%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 6.68% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -99.34 | Cagr: -1.91%
[DCF] Terminal Value 76.28% ; FCFF base≈1.47b ; Y1≈1.56b ; Y5≈1.84b
[DCF] Fair Price = 545.5 (EV 28.3b - Net Debt 2.60b = Equity 25.7b / Shares 47.1m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 6.64% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 96.18 | EPS CAGR: 6.16% | SUE: 1.43 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 98.44 | Revenue CAGR: 5.04% | SUE: 1.05 | # QB: 3
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=11.66 | Chg30d=-0.15% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=16
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=46.48 | Chg30d=+0.05% | Revisions=-12% | GrowthEPS=+17.7% | GrowthRev=+9.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=51.06 | Chg30d=+0.04% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+9.9% | GrowthRev=+7.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -6% (up=6, down=7)