(GWW) WW Grainger - Ratings and Ratios
Safety, Hand Tools, Pumps, Storage
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 0.89% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.37% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 8.42% |
| Payout Consistency | 100.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 22.2% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 22.1% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 33.4% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -8.17% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.33 |
| Alpha | -17.68 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.95 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.465 |
| Beta | 0.642 |
| Beta Downside | 0.508 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 24.50% |
| Mean DD | 8.98% |
| Median DD | 8.15% |
Description: GWW WW Grainger December 03, 2025
W.W. Grainger Inc. (NYSE:GWW) distributes maintenance, repair, and operating (MRO) products and services across North America, Japan, and the United Kingdom, operating through two segments: High-Touch Solutions North America and Endless Assortment.
The product portfolio includes safety and security gear, material-handling and storage equipment, pumps, plumbing, cleaning supplies, metal-working tools, and related technical support and inventory-management services. Grainger reaches customers-from small businesses to large corporations, government agencies, and institutions in commercial, healthcare, and manufacturing sectors-via a field sales force, e-commerce platforms, and electronic channels.
Key recent metrics: FY 2024 revenue of approximately $13.5 billion, operating margin around 9 %, and e-commerce sales growth of roughly 10 % year-over-year, driven by continued digitization of procurement. The business is sensitive to macro-economic factors such as U.S. industrial production, construction spending, and labor-shortage-induced demand for outsourced maintenance services.
For a deeper quantitative view, you might explore ValueRay’s analyst toolkit to model Grainger’s earnings sensitivity under different economic scenarios.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.5
| Net Income (1.73b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.06b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.14 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -6.67pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 19.49% (prev 22.44%; Δ -2.96pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.23 (>3.0%) and CFO 2.05b > Net Income 1.73b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (2.18b) to EBITDA (2.76b) ratio: 0.79 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.72 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (48.1m) change vs 12m ago -1.64% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 39.09% (prev 39.25%; Δ -0.15pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 197.6% (prev 185.8%; Δ 11.86pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 32.18 (EBITDA TTM 2.76b / Interest Expense TTM 78.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 12.93
| (A) 0.39 = (Total Current Assets 5.47b - Total Current Liabilities 2.02b) / Total Assets 8.85b |
| (B) 1.65 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 14.62b / Total Assets 8.85b |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: 1.65 — check mapping/units |
| (C) 0.28 = EBIT TTM 2.51b / Avg Total Assets 8.98b |
| (D) 2.96 = Book Value of Equity 14.45b / Total Liabilities 4.89b |
| Total Rating: 12.93 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 85.57
| 1. Piotroski 7.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 2.31% |
| 3. FCF Margin 6.94% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.76 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.79 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 19.59)% |
| 7. RoE 49.17% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 91.22% |
| 9. EPS Trend 81.82% |
What is the price of GWW shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.73%, over one month by -0.06%, over three months by +6.78% and over the past year by -6.95%.
Is GWW a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 3
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 13
- Sell: 2
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the GWW price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 1064.8 | 3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 1064.8 | 3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 1220.8 | 18% |
GWW Fundamental Data Overview January 18, 2026
P/E Forward = 24.3902
P/S = 2.88
P/B = 14.198
P/EG = 2.1982
Revenue TTM = 17.75b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.51b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.76b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.37b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 76.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.72b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 2.18b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 53.30b USD (51.12b + Debt 2.72b - CCE 535.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 32.18 (Ebit TTM 2.51b / Interest Expense TTM 78.0m)
EV/FCF = 43.26x (Enterprise Value 53.30b / FCF TTM 1.23b)
FCF Yield = 2.31% (FCF TTM 1.23b / Enterprise Value 53.30b)
FCF Margin = 6.94% (FCF TTM 1.23b / Revenue TTM 17.75b)
Net Margin = 9.75% (Net Income TTM 1.73b / Revenue TTM 17.75b)
Gross Margin = 39.09% ((Revenue TTM 17.75b - Cost of Revenue TTM 10.81b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 38.61% (prev 38.54%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 6.02 (Enterprise Value 53.30b / Total Assets 8.85b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.74% (Interest Expense 20.0m / Debt 2.72b)
Taxrate = 34.76% (171.0m / 492.0m)
NOPAT = 1.64b (EBIT 2.51b * (1 - 34.76%))
Current Ratio = 2.72 (Total Current Assets 5.47b / Total Current Liabilities 2.02b)
Debt / Equity = 0.76 (Debt 2.72b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.56b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.79 (Net Debt 2.18b / EBITDA 2.76b)
Debt / FCF = 1.77 (Net Debt 2.18b / FCF TTM 1.23b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.52b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 19.26% (Net Income 1.73b / Total Assets 8.85b)
RoE = 49.17% (Net Income TTM 1.73b / Total Stockholder Equity 3.52b)
RoCE = 42.65% (EBIT 2.51b / Capital Employed (Equity 3.52b + L.T.Debt 2.37b))
RoIC = 27.47% (NOPAT 1.64b / Invested Capital 5.96b)
WACC = 7.89% (E(51.12b)/V(53.84b) * Re(8.28%) + D(2.72b)/V(53.84b) * Rd(0.74%) * (1-Tc(0.35)))
Discount Rate = 8.28% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.62%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 81.63% ; FCFF base≈1.49b ; Y1≈1.84b ; Y5≈3.13b
Fair Price DCF = 1093 (EV 54.14b - Net Debt 2.18b = Equity 51.96b / Shares 47.5m; r=7.89% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 81.82 | EPS CAGR: 18.28% | SUE: 1.15 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 91.22 | Revenue CAGR: 9.10% | SUE: 0.70 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=10.48 | Chg30d=+0.076 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=14
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=43.91 | Chg30d=+0.077 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+11.1% | Growth Revenue=+5.2%
Additional Sources for GWW Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle