(GWW) WW Grainger - Ratings and Ratios
Safety Equipment, Pumps, Tools, Cleaning Supplies, Storage
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 23.1% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 34.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -7.92% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -1.12 |
| Alpha | -31.15 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.443 |
| Beta | 0.630 |
| Beta Downside | 0.462 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 24.50% |
| Mean DD | 8.46% |
| Median DD | 7.26% |
Description: GWW WW Grainger September 29, 2025
W.W. Grainger, Inc. (NYSE:GWW) is a U.S.–based distributor of maintenance, repair, and operating (MRO) products and services, with primary operations in North America, Japan, and the United Kingdom. Founded in 1927 and headquartered in Lake Forest, Illinois, the firm serves a broad customer base ranging from small businesses to large corporations, government entities, and institutions across commercial, healthcare, and manufacturing sectors.
The business is organized into two segments: High-Touch Solutions North America, which focuses on value-added services such as technical support and inventory management, and Endless Assortment, which offers a broad catalog of safety, security, material-handling, plumbing, cleaning, metalworking, and hand-tool products. Sales are delivered through a mix of field representatives, electronic platforms, and e-commerce channels.
Key performance indicators from the most recent fiscal year (FY 2023) include revenue of approximately $13.2 billion, an adjusted operating margin near 12 %, and e-commerce accounting for roughly 30 % of total sales-a trend that has accelerated in the past two years. The company’s inventory-management services have grown at a compound annual rate of about 8 % since 2020, reflecting heightened demand for just-in-time supply-chain solutions.
Grainger’s outlook is closely tied to macro-economic drivers such as industrial production growth, the U.S. manufacturing PMI, and labor-market tightness, which influence corporate MRO spending. A softening in capital-expenditure cycles or a sustained increase in raw-material costs could pressure margins, while continued digital adoption and the expansion of its High-Touch Solutions could offset those risks.
For a deeper, data-driven valuation of Grainger’s exposure to industrial MRO trends, you may find the ValueRay platform’s free analyst toolkit useful.
GWW Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 45,543m |
| Sub-Industry | Trading Companies & Distributors |
| IPO / Inception | 1984-12-17 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -31.9% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.15 of 5 |
GWW Dividends
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.95% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.25% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 7.76% |
| Payout Consistency | 97.3% |
| Payout Ratio | 22.2% |
GWW Growth Ratios
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| CAGR 3y | 17.55% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.72 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 2.07 |
| Current Volume | 485.5k |
| Average Volume | 271.6k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.5
| Net Income (1.73b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.06b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.14 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -6.67pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 19.49% (prev 22.44%; Δ -2.96pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.23 (>3.0%) and CFO 2.05b > Net Income 1.73b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (2.18b) to EBITDA (2.76b) ratio: 0.79 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.72 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (48.1m) change vs 12m ago -1.64% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 39.09% (prev 39.25%; Δ -0.15pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 197.6% (prev 185.8%; Δ 11.86pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 32.18 (EBITDA TTM 2.76b / Interest Expense TTM 78.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 12.93
| (A) 0.39 = (Total Current Assets 5.47b - Total Current Liabilities 2.02b) / Total Assets 8.85b |
| (B) 1.65 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 14.62b / Total Assets 8.85b |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: 1.65 — check mapping/units |
| (C) 0.28 = EBIT TTM 2.51b / Avg Total Assets 8.98b |
| (D) 2.96 = Book Value of Equity 14.45b / Total Liabilities 4.89b |
| Total Rating: 12.93 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 84.66
| 1. Piotroski 7.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 2.58% |
| 3. FCF Margin 6.94% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.76 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.79 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 19.57)% |
| 7. RoE 49.17% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 86.47% |
| 9. EPS Trend 67.99% |
What is the price of GWW shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.70%, over one month by -3.74%, over three months by -8.02% and over the past year by -22.82%.
Is GWW a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 3
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 13
- Sell: 2
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the GWW price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 1054.6 | 13.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 1054.6 | 13.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 980.2 | 5.4% |
GWW Fundamental Data Overview November 24, 2025
P/E Trailing = 26.6634
P/E Forward = 21.8341
P/S = 2.5658
P/B = 12.7139
P/EG = 1.9685
Beta = 1.112
Revenue TTM = 17.75b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.51b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.76b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.37b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 76.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.72b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 2.18b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 47.73b USD (45.54b + Debt 2.72b - CCE 535.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 32.18 (Ebit TTM 2.51b / Interest Expense TTM 78.0m)
FCF Yield = 2.58% (FCF TTM 1.23b / Enterprise Value 47.73b)
FCF Margin = 6.94% (FCF TTM 1.23b / Revenue TTM 17.75b)
Net Margin = 9.75% (Net Income TTM 1.73b / Revenue TTM 17.75b)
Gross Margin = 39.09% ((Revenue TTM 17.75b - Cost of Revenue TTM 10.81b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 38.61% (prev 38.54%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 5.39 (Enterprise Value 47.73b / Total Assets 8.85b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.74% (Interest Expense 20.0m / Debt 2.72b)
Taxrate = 34.76% (171.0m / 492.0m)
NOPAT = 1.64b (EBIT 2.51b * (1 - 34.76%))
Current Ratio = 2.72 (Total Current Assets 5.47b / Total Current Liabilities 2.02b)
Debt / Equity = 0.76 (Debt 2.72b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.56b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.79 (Net Debt 2.18b / EBITDA 2.76b)
Debt / FCF = 1.77 (Net Debt 2.18b / FCF TTM 1.23b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.52b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 19.55% (Net Income 1.73b / Total Assets 8.85b)
RoE = 49.17% (Net Income TTM 1.73b / Total Stockholder Equity 3.52b)
RoCE = 42.65% (EBIT 2.51b / Capital Employed (Equity 3.52b + L.T.Debt 2.37b))
RoIC = 27.47% (NOPAT 1.64b / Invested Capital 5.96b)
WACC = 7.90% (E(45.54b)/V(48.26b) * Re(8.34%) + D(2.72b)/V(48.26b) * Rd(0.74%) * (1-Tc(0.35)))
Discount Rate = 8.34% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.62%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 80.49% ; FCFE base≈1.49b ; Y1≈1.84b ; Y5≈3.14b
Fair Price DCF = 1059 (DCF Value 50.35b / Shares Outstanding 47.5m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 67.99 | EPS CAGR: 13.89% | SUE: 1.13 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 86.47 | Revenue CAGR: 7.66% | SUE: 0.70 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for GWW Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle