(GXO) GXO Logistics - Overview

Sector: Industrials | Industry: Integrated Freight & Logistics | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 5.694m USD | Total Return: 46.2% in 12m

Stock Warehousing, Distribution, Fulfillment, E-Commerce, Reverse
Total Rating 39
Safety 60
Buy Signal -0.36
Integrated Freight & Logistics +8.2
Air Freight & Logistics +3.3
Market Cap: 5,694m
Avg Trading Vol: 64.0M USD
ATR: 4.20%
Peers RS (IBD): 37.5
Risk 5d forecast
Volatility38.6%
Rel. Tail Risk-12.3%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.81
Alpha9.45
Character TTM
Beta1.286
Beta Downside1.792
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD52.99%
CAGR/Max DD0.03
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of GXO over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": 0.22, "2021-06": 0.38, "2021-09": 0.56, "2021-12": 0.73, "2022-03": 0.59, "2022-06": 0.68, "2022-09": 0.75, "2022-12": 0.83, "2023-03": 0.49, "2023-06": 0.7, "2023-09": 0.69, "2023-12": 0.7, "2024-03": 0.45, "2024-06": 0.55, "2024-09": 0.79, "2024-12": 1, "2025-03": 0.29, "2025-06": 0.57, "2025-09": 0.79, "2025-12": 0.37,
EPS CAGR: -11.70%
EPS Trend: -28.5%
Last SUE: -4.00
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of GXO over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 1822, 2021-06: 1882, 2021-09: 1974, 2021-12: 2262, 2022-03: 2083, 2022-06: 2156, 2022-09: 2287, 2022-12: 2467, 2023-03: 2323, 2023-06: 2394, 2023-09: 2471, 2023-12: 2590, 2024-03: 2456, 2024-06: 2846, 2024-09: 3157, 2024-12: 3250, 2025-03: 2977, 2025-06: 3299, 2025-09: 3395, 2025-12: 3507,
Rev. CAGR: 14.90%
Rev. Trend: 96.2%
Last SUE: 0.44
Qual. Beats: 0
Risks
Fundamental:

P/E ratio: 177.2857

Description: GXO GXO Logistics

GXO Logistics, Inc. (NYSE:GXO) is a pure-play third-party logistics provider that offers warehousing, distribution, order-fulfillment, e-commerce, reverse-logistics and broader supply-chain solutions across more than 1,030 facilities worldwide. Its customer base spans e-commerce, omnichannel retail, technology, consumer electronics, food & beverage, industrial manufacturing and consumer packaged goods.

In FY 2025 the company reported revenue of $11.2 billion, up 8.5% year-over-year, driven by higher e-commerce volumes and a 4.2% increase in same-facility sales. Adjusted EBITDA reached $1.48 billion (13.2% margin), and free cash flow improved to $720 million, reflecting stronger pricing power and tighter cost control. The balance sheet remains solid with a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 2.1×.

Key sector catalysts include sustained growth in U.S. e-commerce sales (projected to expand 6-7% annually through 2028), ongoing freight-rate inflation as capacity tightens, and a gradual reshoring trend that raises demand for domestic warehousing and value-added services. Labor market pressures continue to push logistics firms toward automation and robotics, which GXO is expanding through its “GXO Smart” platform.

For a deeper dive, check out ValueRay’s analysis of GXO.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • E-commerce growth fuels demand for warehousing and fulfillment services
  • Labor costs and availability impact operating margins
  • Global supply chain disruptions increase logistics complexity
  • Client retention and new contract wins drive revenue growth
  • Regulatory changes in transportation and labor affect profitability
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict) 4.0
Net Income: 32.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.53 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -4.45% < 20% (prev -4.68%; Δ 0.23% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.05 > 3% & CFO 434.0m > Net Income 32.0m
Net Debt (5.00b) to EBITDA (714.0m): 7.00 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.85 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (115.6m) vs 12m ago -3.69% < -2%
Gross Margin: 12.51% > 18% (prev 0.12%; Δ 1.24k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 130.2% > 50% (prev 103.9%; Δ 26.29% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.68 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 714.0m / Interest Expense TTM 153.0m)
Altman Z'' 0.06
A: -0.07 (Total Current Assets 3.29b - Total Current Liabilities 3.88b) / Total Assets 8.97b
B: 0.08 (Retained Earnings 718.0m / Total Assets 8.97b)
C: 0.03 (EBIT TTM 257.0m / Avg Total Assets 10.12b)
D: 0.06 (Book Value of Equity 518.0m / Total Liabilities 9.25b)
Altman-Z'' Score: 0.06 = B
Beneish M -3.30
DSRI: 1.00 (Receivables 2.03b/1.80b, Revenue 13.18b/11.71b)
GMI: 0.98 (GM 12.51% / 12.31%)
AQI: 0.48 (AQ_t 0.22 / AQ_t-1 0.46)
SGI: 1.13 (Revenue 13.18b / 11.71b)
TATA: -0.04 (NI 32.0m - CFO 434.0m) / TA 8.97b)
Beneish M-Score: -3.30 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of GXO shares? As of April 06, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 51.85 with a total of 1,060,622 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.93%, over one month by -12.93%, over three months by -2.96% and over the past year by +46.23%.
Is GXO a buy, sell or hold? GXO Logistics has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.29. Therefore, it is recommended to buy GXO.
  • StrongBuy: 10
  • Buy: 2
  • Hold: 5
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the GXO price?
Wallstreet Target Price 71.6 38%
Analysts Target Price 71.6 38%
GXO Fundamental Data Overview as of 31 March 2026
P/E Trailing = 177.2857
P/E Forward = 16.6389
P/S = 0.4321
P/B = 1.9201
P/EG = 1.3869
Revenue TTM = 13.18b USD
EBIT TTM = 257.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 714.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.62b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.19b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 7.90b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 5.00b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 12.74b USD (5.69b + Debt 7.90b - CCE 854.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.68 (Ebit TTM 257.0m / Interest Expense TTM 153.0m)
EV/FCF = 33.63x (Enterprise Value 12.74b / FCF TTM 378.7m)
FCF Yield = 2.97% (FCF TTM 378.7m / Enterprise Value 12.74b)
FCF Margin = 2.87% (FCF TTM 378.7m / Revenue TTM 13.18b)
Net Margin = 0.24% (Net Income TTM 32.0m / Revenue TTM 13.18b)
Gross Margin = 12.51% ((Revenue TTM 13.18b - Cost of Revenue TTM 11.53b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 12.12% (prev 15.85%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.42 (Enterprise Value 12.74b / Total Assets 8.97b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.38% (Interest Expense 30.0m / Debt 7.90b)
Taxrate = 34.85% (23.0m / 66.0m)
NOPAT = 167.4m (EBIT 257.0m * (1 - 34.85%))
Current Ratio = 0.85 (Total Current Assets 3.29b / Total Current Liabilities 3.88b)
Debt / Equity = 2.65 (Debt 7.90b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.98b)
Debt / EBITDA = 7.00 (Net Debt 5.00b / EBITDA 714.0m)
Debt / FCF = 13.20 (Net Debt 5.00b / FCF TTM 378.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.94b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.32% (Net Income 32.0m / Total Assets 8.97b)
RoE = 1.09% (Net Income TTM 32.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.94b)
RoCE = 4.63% (EBIT 257.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.94b + L.T.Debt 2.62b))
RoIC = 2.92% (NOPAT 167.4m / Invested Capital 5.73b)
WACC = 4.54% (E(5.69b)/V(13.59b) * Re(10.50%) + D(7.90b)/V(13.59b) * Rd(0.38%) * (1-Tc(0.35)))
Discount Rate = 10.50% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -1.71%
[DCF] Terminal Value 87.17% ; FCFF base≈303.2m ; Y1≈331.2m ; Y5≈419.1m
[DCF] Fair Price = 63.95 (EV 12.34b - Net Debt 5.00b = Equity 7.34b / Shares 114.7m; r=6.0% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 10.51% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -28.53 | EPS CAGR: -11.70% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 96.16 | Revenue CAGR: 14.90% | SUE: 0.44 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.58 | Chg7d=-0.002 | Chg30d=-0.002 | Revisions Net=-12 | Analysts=14
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.00 | Chg7d=-0.000 | Chg30d=-0.000 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=+19.4% | Growth Revenue=+5.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.47 | Chg7d=-0.000 | Chg30d=-0.000 | Revisions Net=+4 | Growth EPS=+15.8% | Growth Revenue=+6.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -1.00 (0 Up / 12 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 9.9% (Discount Rate 10.5% - Earnings Yield 0.6%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = -5.1% (Analyst 4.8% - Implied 9.9%)
External Resources
Dataroma Stockcircle