(GXO) GXO Logistics - Overview
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Integrated Freight & Logistics | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 5.461m USD | Total Return: 20.8% in 12m
Avg Turnover: 71.1M
EPS Trend: -56.3%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: 98.5%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Altman Z'' 0.17 < 1.0 - financial distress zone
Choppy
Tailwinds
Garp
GXO Logistics, Inc. is a pure-play contract logistics provider specializing in high-complexity supply chain solutions. The company manages outsourced warehousing, e-commerce fulfillment, and reverse logistics across more than 1,000 facilities globally. Its business model relies heavily on long-term, multi-year contracts that often involve high levels of automation and integrated technology to serve diverse sectors such as omnichannel retail and consumer electronics.
The contract logistics sector typically benefits from the structural shift toward e-commerce, which requires significantly more warehouse space and labor than traditional brick-and-mortar retail. As a leader in this space, GXO utilizes scaled operations to manage the increasing complexity of global return processing and inventory distribution. Reviewing GXO’s historical margin trends on ValueRay can provide further clarity on its operational efficiency.
Headquartered in Greenwich, Connecticut, GXO was established as an independent entity in 2021 following its spin-off from XPO. The company focuses on blue-chip clients, leveraging its geographical footprint to support industrial manufacturing and consumer packaged goods supply chains on an international scale.
- Growth in e-commerce outsourcing drives long-term contract revenue expansion
- Rising labor costs and automation capital expenditures impact operating margins
- Macroeconomic slowdown reduces inventory turnover across retail and industrial sectors
- Strategic acquisitions and synergy realization accelerate international market share gains
- Shift toward reverse logistics services provides counter-cyclical revenue stability
| Net Income: 132.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.06 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -4.18% < 20% (prev -6.06%; Δ 1.88% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.03 > 3% & CFO 405.0m > Net Income 132.0m |
| Net Debt (8.02b) to EBITDA (849.0m): 9.44 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.85 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (115.8m) vs 12m ago -2.65% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 12.70% > 18% (prev 0.12%; Δ 1.26k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 114.8% > 50% (prev 108.0%; Δ 6.79% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.51 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 849.0m / Interest Expense TTM 110.0m) |
| A: -0.05 (Total Current Assets 3.21b - Total Current Liabilities 3.77b) / Total Assets 12.2b |
| B: 0.06 (Retained Earnings 722.0m / Total Assets 12.2b) |
| C: 0.03 (EBIT TTM 386.0m / Avg Total Assets 11.8b) |
| D: 0.05 (Book Value of Equity 501.0m / Total Liabilities 9.19b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.17 = B |
| DSRI: 0.97 (Receivables 2.02b/1.90b, Revenue 13.5b/12.2b) |
| GMI: 0.93 (GM 12.70% / 11.80%) |
| AQI: 0.94 (AQ_t 0.42 / AQ_t-1 0.45) |
| SGI: 1.10 (Revenue 13.5b / 12.2b) |
| TATA: -0.02 (NI 132.0m - CFO 405.0m) / TA 12.2b) |
| Beneish M = -3.10 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of May 28, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 50.24 with a total of 1,797,017 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +10.37%,
over one month by -12.09%,
over three months by -20.04% and
over the past year by +20.77%.
GXO Logistics has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.29. Therefore, it is recommended to buy GXO.
- StrongBuy: 10
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 70.2 | 39.7% |
P/E Trailing = 42.3839
P/E Forward = 15.4321
P/S = 0.4046
P/B = 1.8401
P/EG = 1.2864
Revenue TTM = 13.5b USD
EBIT TTM = 386.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 849.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.65b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.21b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 8.81b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 2.85b
Net Debt = 8.02b USD (calculated: Debt 8.81b - CCE 794.0m)
Enterprise Value = 13.5b USD (5.46b + Debt 8.81b - CCE 794.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.51 (Ebit TTM 386.0m / Interest Expense TTM 110.0m)
EV/FCF = 31.51x (Enterprise Value 13.5b / FCF TTM 427.7m)
FCF Yield = 3.17% (FCF TTM 427.7m / Enterprise Value 13.5b)
FCF Margin = 3.17% (FCF TTM 427.7m / Revenue TTM 13.5b)
Net Margin = 0.98% (Net Income TTM 132.0m / Revenue TTM 13.5b)
Gross Margin = 12.70% ((Revenue TTM 13.5b - Cost of Revenue TTM 11.8b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 11.37% (prev 12.12%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.11 (Enterprise Value 13.5b / Total Assets 12.2b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.25% (Interest Expense 110.0m / Debt 8.81b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = 304.9m (EBIT 386.0m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 0.85 (Total Current Assets 3.21b / Total Current Liabilities 3.77b)
Debt / Equity = 2.97 (Debt 8.81b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.97b)
Debt / EBITDA = 9.44 (Net Debt 8.02b / EBITDA 849.0m)
Debt / FCF = 18.74 (Net Debt 8.02b / FCF TTM 427.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.96b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.12% (Net Income 132.0m / Total Assets 12.2b)
RoE = 4.46% (Net Income TTM 132.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.96b)
RoCE = 6.88% (EBIT 386.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.96b + L.T.Debt 2.65b))
RoIC = 3.20% (NOPAT 304.9m / Invested Capital 9.52b)
WACC = 4.47% (E(5.46b)/V(14.3b) * Re(10.08%) + D(8.81b)/V(14.3b) * Rd(1.25%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 10.08% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -33.33 | Cagr: -1.44%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈322.2m ; Y1≈369.4m ; Y5≈543.6m
[DCF] Fair Price = 1.42 (EV 8.18b - Net Debt 8.02b = Equity 163.5m / Shares 115.0m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -56.27 | EPS CAGR: -5.74% | SUE: 1.44 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 98.55 | Revenue CAGR: 15.72% | SUE: 1.20 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.58 | Chg30d=+1.21% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=14
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.93 | Chg30d=-4.69% | Revisions=-65% | Analysts=14
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.05 | Chg30d=+1.83% | Revisions=+57% | GrowthEPS=+21.5% | GrowthRev=+6.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.48 | Chg30d=+0.41% | Revisions=+38% | GrowthEPS=+14.1% | GrowthRev=+5.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -65%