(GXO) GXO Logistics - Ratings and Ratios
Warehousing, Distribution, Fulfillment, Logistics, Supply Chain
GXO EPS (Earnings per Share)
GXO Revenue
Description: GXO GXO Logistics November 05, 2025
GXO Logistics, Inc. (NYSE:GXO) operates a global network of 1,030 logistics facilities, delivering warehousing, distribution, order-fulfilment, e-commerce, and reverse-logistics services to customers across e-commerce, omnichannel retail, technology, food & beverage, industrial manufacturing, and consumer packaged goods sectors. The company, incorporated in 2021 and headquartered in Greenwich, Connecticut, is classified under the Air Freight & Logistics sub-industry.
Recent performance indicators show FY 2024 revenue of approximately $9.5 billion, with an adjusted EBITDA margin hovering around 6 %, reflecting modest profitability amid a competitive market. GXO’s growth is being driven by sustained e-commerce volume expansion (estimated 12 % YoY increase) and a shift toward near-shoring, which boosts demand for flexible, technology-enabled warehousing solutions. Additionally, the broader logistics sector is sensitive to macro-economic factors such as freight rate volatility and labor market tightness, both of which can affect capacity utilization and pricing power.
For a deeper quantitative dive, the ValueRay platform provides granular metrics and scenario analysis that can help you assess GXO’s upside potential.
GXO Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 6,435m |
| Sub-Industry | Air Freight & Logistics |
| IPO / Inception | 2021-07-22 |
GXO Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 3.41% |
| Fundamental | 53.7% |
| Dividend Rating | - |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -27.9% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.29 of 5 |
GXO Dividends
Currently no dividends paidGXO Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 48.7% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | 30.1% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | -45.2% |
| CAGR 5y | 6.33% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) | 0.12 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) | 0.33 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | -0.83 |
| Alpha | -42.89 |
| Beta | 1.709 |
| Volatility | 52.44% |
| Current Volume | 1898k |
| Average Volume 20d | 808.2k |
| Stop Loss | 48.6 (-4.4%) |
| Signal | 0.68 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income (63.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 761.0m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.01 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -2.20pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -26.87% (prev -4.55%; Δ -22.31pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.03 (>3.0%) and CFO 416.0m > Net Income 63.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (5.35m) to EBITDA (688.0m) ratio: 0.01 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.00 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (116.9m) change vs 12m ago -2.33% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 12.41% (prev 13.13%; Δ -0.72pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 108.9% (prev 91.22%; Δ 17.71pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 1.41 (EBITDA TTM 688.0m / Interest Expense TTM 174.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -1.51
| (A) -0.29 = (Total Current Assets 2.59m - Total Current Liabilities 3.41b) / Total Assets 11.93b |
| (B) 0.05 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 616.0m / Total Assets 11.93b |
| (C) 0.02 = EBIT TTM 245.0m / Avg Total Assets 11.64b |
| (D) 0.06 = Book Value of Equity 497.0m / Total Liabilities 8.95b |
| Total Rating: -1.51 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 53.69
| 1. Piotroski 5.0pt = 0.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 0.78% = 0.39 |
| 3. FCF Margin 0.73% = 0.18 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.89 = 0.93 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.01 = 2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -3.99)% = -4.99 |
| 7. RoE 2.11% = 0.18 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 91.34% = 6.85 |
| 9. EPS Trend -47.08% = -2.35 |
What is the price of GXO shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.61%, over one month by -8.32%, over three months by +0.65% and over the past year by -17.29%.
Is GXO Logistics a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of GXO is around 44.89 USD . This means that GXO is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -11.67%.
Is GXO a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 10
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the GXO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 62.1 | 22.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 62.1 | 22.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 49.3 | -3% |
GXO Fundamental Data Overview November 03, 2025
P/E Trailing = 110.2157
P/E Forward = 17.3611
P/S = 0.5073
P/B = 2.0948
P/EG = 1.4462
Beta = 1.709
Revenue TTM = 12.68b USD
EBIT TTM = 245.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 688.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.60b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 822.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.56b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 5.35m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 11.99b USD (6.43b + Debt 5.56b - CCE 205.0k)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.41 (Ebit TTM 245.0m / Interest Expense TTM 174.0m)
FCF Yield = 0.78% (FCF TTM 93.0m / Enterprise Value 11.99b)
FCF Margin = 0.73% (FCF TTM 93.0m / Revenue TTM 12.68b)
Net Margin = 0.50% (Net Income TTM 63.0m / Revenue TTM 12.68b)
Gross Margin = 12.41% ((Revenue TTM 12.68b - Cost of Revenue TTM 11.11b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 11.40% (prev 10.41%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.01 (Enterprise Value 11.99b / Total Assets 11.93b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.65% (Interest Expense 36.0m / Debt 5.56b)
Taxrate = 34.88% (15.0m / 43.0m)
NOPAT = 159.5m (EBIT 245.0m * (1 - 34.88%))
Current Ratio = 0.00 (Total Current Assets 2.59m / Total Current Liabilities 3.41b)
Debt / Equity = 1.89 (Debt 5.56b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.94b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.01 (Net Debt 5.35m / EBITDA 688.0m)
Debt / FCF = 0.06 (Net Debt 5.35m / FCF TTM 93.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.98b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.53% (Net Income 63.0m / Total Assets 11.93b)
RoE = 2.11% (Net Income TTM 63.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.98b)
RoCE = 4.39% (EBIT 245.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.98b + L.T.Debt 2.60b))
RoIC = 2.81% (NOPAT 159.5m / Invested Capital 5.68b)
WACC = 6.80% (E(6.43b)/V(11.99b) * Re(12.31%) + D(5.56b)/V(11.99b) * Rd(0.65%) * (1-Tc(0.35)))
Discount Rate = 12.31% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -1.17%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 62.32% ; FCFE base≈191.0m ; Y1≈174.5m ; Y5≈154.5m
Fair Price DCF = 13.41 (DCF Value 1.53b / Shares Outstanding 114.5m; 5y FCF grow -10.81% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -47.08 | EPS CAGR: -61.87% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 91.34 | Revenue CAGR: 14.25% | SUE: 3.41 | # QB: 1
Additional Sources for GXO Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle