GXO Stock Analysis: GXO Logistics | NYSE
Integrated Freight & Logistics | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 5.964m USD | 12M Return: -2.9% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 65.9M
EPS Trend: -56.3%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: 98.5%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 4.9 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
GXO Logistics, Inc. (NYSE: GXO) is a global contract logistics provider offering warehousing, distribution, order fulfilment, e-commerce, reverse logistics, and other supply chain services. As of December 31, 2025, the company operated 1,043 facilities worldwide, serving customers across diverse end markets including e-commerce, omnichannel retail, technology and consumer electronics, food and beverage, industrial and manufacturing, and consumer packaged goods. GXO was incorporated in 2021 and is headquartered in Greenwich, Connecticut.
Operating within the Industrials sector and the Air Freight & Logistics sub-industry, GXO functions as a third-party logistics (3PL) provider, managing outsourced warehousing and fulfilment operations on behalf of client companies rather than transporting freight itself. The company was created through the spin-off of XPO Logistics contract logistics segment and listed on the NYSE in July 2021, positioning it as one of the larger pure-play contract logistics operators in the industry.
- E-commerce volume growth fuels warehouse and fulfillment revenue
- Wincanton acquisition expands UK contract logistics market share
- Labor cost inflation and automation capex pressure operating margins
| Net Income: 132.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.06 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -4.18% < 20% (prev -6.06%; Δ 1.88% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.03 > 3% & CFO 405.0m > Net Income 132.0m |
| Net Debt (8.02b) to EBITDA (787.0m): 10.19 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.85 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (115.8m) vs 12m ago -2.65% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 12.70% > 18% (prev 11.80%; Δ 0.90% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 114.8% > 50% (prev 108.0%; Δ 6.79% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.94 > 6 (EBIT TTM 324.0m / Interest Expense TTM 110.0m) |
| A: -0.05 (Total Current Assets 3.21b - Total Current Liabilities 3.77b) / Total Assets 12.2b |
| B: 0.06 (Retained Earnings 722.0m / Total Assets 12.2b) |
| C: 0.03 (EBIT TTM 324.0m / Avg Total Assets 11.8b) |
| D: 0.32 (Book Value of Equity 2.97b / Total Liabilities 9.19b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.41 = B |
| DSRI: 0.97 (Receivables 2.02b/1.90b, Revenue 13.5b/12.2b) |
| GMI: 0.93 (GM 11.80% / 12.70%) |
| AQI: 0.94 (AQ_t 0.42 / AQ_t-1 0.45) |
| SGI: 1.10 (Revenue 13.5b / 12.2b) |
| TATA: -0.02 (NI 132.0m - CFO 405.0m) / TA 12.2b) |
| Beneish M = -3.08 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of July 13, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 50.61 with a total of 1,047,498 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.58%, over one month by +1.83%, over three months by -10.58% and over the past year by -2.90%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 47.10 (which is 6.9% or 2 ATR below the current price).
GXO Logistics has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.29. Therefore, it is recommended to buy GXO.
- StrongBuy: 10
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 70.9 | 40% |
P/E Trailing = 46.2857
P/E Forward = 16.8919
P/S = 0.4418
P/B = 2.0137
P/EG = 1.4079
Revenue TTM = 13.5b USD
EBIT TTM = 324.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 787.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.65b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.21b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 8.81b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 2.85b
Net Debt = 8.02b USD (calculated: Debt 8.81b - CCE 794.0m)
Enterprise Value = 14.0b USD (5.96b + Debt 8.81b - CCE 794.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.94 (Ebit TTM 324.0m / Interest Expense TTM 110.0m)
EV/FCF = 32.69x (Enterprise Value 14.0b / FCF TTM 427.7m)
FCF Yield = 3.06% (FCF TTM 427.7m / Enterprise Value 14.0b)
FCF Margin = 3.17% (FCF TTM 427.7m / Revenue TTM 13.5b)
Net Margin = 0.98% (Net Income TTM 132.0m / Revenue TTM 13.5b)
Gross Margin = 12.70% ((Revenue TTM 13.5b - Cost of Revenue TTM 11.8b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 11.37% (prev 12.12%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.15 (Enterprise Value 14.0b / Total Assets 12.2b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.25% (Interest Expense 110.0m / Debt 8.81b)
Taxrate = 36.45% (78.0m / 214.0m)
NOPAT = 205.9m (EBIT 324.0m * (1 - 36.45%))
Current Ratio = 0.85 (Total Current Assets 3.21b / Total Current Liabilities 3.77b)
Debt / Equity = 2.97 (Debt 8.81b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.97b)
Debt / EBITDA = 10.19 (Net Debt 8.02b / EBITDA 787.0m)
Debt / FCF = 18.74 (Net Debt 8.02b / FCF TTM 427.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.96b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.12% (Net Income 132.0m / Total Assets 12.2b)
RoE = 4.46% (Net Income TTM 132.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.96b)
RoCE = 5.78% (EBIT 324.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.96b + L.T.Debt 2.65b))
RoIC = 2.30% (NOPAT 205.9m / Invested Capital 8.96b)
WACC = 4.59% (E(5.96b)/V(14.8b) * Re(10.21%) + D(8.81b)/V(14.8b) * Rd(1.25%) * (1-Tc(0.36)))
Discount Rate = 10.21% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -33.33 | Cagr: -1.44%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈322.2m ; Y1≈369.4m ; Y5≈543.6m
[DCF] Fair Price = 1.42 (EV 8.18b - Net Debt 8.02b = Equity 163.5m / Shares 115.0m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -56.27 | EPS CAGR: -5.74% | SUE: 1.44 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 98.55 | Revenue CAGR: 15.72% | SUE: 1.20 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.59 | Chg30d=-0.15% | Revisions=+31% | Analysts=14
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.93 | Chg30d=+0.04% | Revisions=-71% | Analysts=14
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.06 | Chg30d=+0.08% | Revisions=+64% | GrowthEPS=+21.9% | GrowthRev=+6.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.51 | Chg30d=+0.01% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+14.8% | GrowthRev=+5.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +7% (up=21, down=18)