(GXO) GXO Logistics - Overview
Stock: Warehousing, Distribution, Fulfillment, E-Commerce, Logistics
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 35.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -9.69% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.74 |
| Alpha | 13.22 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.185 |
| Beta Downside | 1.392 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 52.99% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.04 |
Description: GXO GXO Logistics January 08, 2026
GXO Logistics, Inc. (NYSE:GXO) is a pure-play third-party logistics (3PL) provider that offers warehousing, distribution, order-fulfillment, e-commerce, and reverse-logistics services across a diversified client base that includes omnichannel retailers, technology firms, food & beverage producers, and industrial manufacturers. As of 31 December 2024 the firm operated 1,030 facilities worldwide and is headquartered in Greenwich, Connecticut. The company was formally incorporated in 2021 following the spin-off from XPO Logistics.
Key operating metrics from GXO’s most recent earnings release (Q4 2024) show FY 2024 revenue of $9.6 billion, a 7 % year-over-year increase, and an adjusted EBITDA margin of 6.8 %, reflecting continued pricing power amid a tight labor market and higher freight rates. Capacity utilization across its North American warehouse network averaged 85 % in 2024, while e-commerce volume grew 12 % YoY, driven by sustained consumer demand and the shift toward omnichannel fulfillment. A primary macro driver for the sector is the “near-shoring” trend, which is prompting manufacturers to relocate inventory closer to end-markets, thereby increasing demand for flexible, technology-enabled logistics solutions.
For a deeper, data-driven view of GXO’s valuation dynamics and scenario analysis, you might explore the company’s profile on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income: 89.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.77 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -8.73% < 20% (prev -4.28%; Δ -4.45% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.04 > 3% & CFO 450.0m > Net Income 89.0m |
| Net Debt (5.16b) to EBITDA (708.0m): 7.29 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.71 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (115.3m) vs 12m ago -3.73% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 12.57% > 18% (prev 0.12%; Δ 1244 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 108.5% > 50% (prev 92.85%; Δ 15.70% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.49 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 708.0m / Interest Expense TTM 173.0m) |
Altman Z'' -0.23
| A: -0.09 (Total Current Assets 2.81b - Total Current Liabilities 3.93b) / Total Assets 11.91b |
| B: 0.06 (Retained Earnings 675.0m / Total Assets 11.91b) |
| C: 0.02 (EBIT TTM 258.0m / Avg Total Assets 11.90b) |
| D: 0.06 (Book Value of Equity 502.0m / Total Liabilities 8.92b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -0.23 = B |
Beneish M -3.04
| DSRI: 0.88 (Receivables 2.02b/1.97b, Revenue 12.92b/11.05b) |
| GMI: 0.99 (GM 12.57% / 12.47%) |
| AQI: 1.01 (AQ_t 0.45 / AQ_t-1 0.44) |
| SGI: 1.17 (Revenue 12.92b / 11.05b) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI 89.0m - CFO 450.0m) / TA 11.91b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.04 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of GXO shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.11%, over one month by +6.40%, over three months by +5.11% and over the past year by +29.45%.
Is GXO a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 10
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the GXO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 66 | 13.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 66 | 13.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 63.5 | 9.1% |
GXO Fundamental Data Overview February 05, 2026
P/E Forward = 19.084
P/S = 0.507
P/B = 2.217
P/EG = 1.591
Revenue TTM = 12.92b USD
EBIT TTM = 258.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 708.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.18b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.26b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.50b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 5.16b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 11.71b USD (6.55b + Debt 5.50b - CCE 339.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.49 (Ebit TTM 258.0m / Interest Expense TTM 173.0m)
EV/FCF = 33.88x (Enterprise Value 11.71b / FCF TTM 345.7m)
FCF Yield = 2.95% (FCF TTM 345.7m / Enterprise Value 11.71b)
FCF Margin = 2.68% (FCF TTM 345.7m / Revenue TTM 12.92b)
Net Margin = 0.69% (Net Income TTM 89.0m / Revenue TTM 12.92b)
Gross Margin = 12.57% ((Revenue TTM 12.92b - Cost of Revenue TTM 11.30b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 15.85% (prev 11.40%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.98 (Enterprise Value 11.71b / Total Assets 11.91b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.64% (Interest Expense 35.0m / Debt 5.50b)
Taxrate = 31.82% (28.0m / 88.0m)
NOPAT = 175.9m (EBIT 258.0m * (1 - 31.82%))
Current Ratio = 0.71 (Total Current Assets 2.81b / Total Current Liabilities 3.93b)
Debt / Equity = 1.86 (Debt 5.50b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.96b)
Debt / EBITDA = 7.29 (Net Debt 5.16b / EBITDA 708.0m)
Debt / FCF = 14.93 (Net Debt 5.16b / FCF TTM 345.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.94b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.75% (Net Income 89.0m / Total Assets 11.91b)
RoE = 3.03% (Net Income TTM 89.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.94b)
RoCE = 5.04% (EBIT 258.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.94b + L.T.Debt 2.18b))
RoIC = 3.13% (NOPAT 175.9m / Invested Capital 5.63b)
WACC = 5.79% (E(6.55b)/V(12.05b) * Re(10.28%) + D(5.50b)/V(12.05b) * Rd(0.64%) * (1-Tc(0.32)))
Discount Rate = 10.28% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -1.83%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 86.17% ; FCFF base≈309.0m ; Y1≈303.9m ; Y5≈311.1m
Fair Price DCF = 36.12 (EV 9.30b - Net Debt 5.16b = Equity 4.14b / Shares 114.5m; r=5.90% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -2.56% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -17.03 | EPS CAGR: 2.13% | SUE: 0.60 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 94.15 | Revenue CAGR: 11.44% | SUE: 0.17 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.40 | Chg30d=-0.042 | Revisions Net=-4 | Analysts=12
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.00 | Chg30d=-0.004 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+21.5% | Growth Revenue=+6.2%