HAYW Stock Analysis: Hayward Holdings | NYSE
Electrical Equipment & Parts | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 3.245m USD | 12M Return: -6.4% | US4212981009 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 43.5M
EPS Trend: 99.0%
Qual. Beats: 8
Rev. Trend: 98.7%
Qual. Beats: 9
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 5.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Hayward Holdings, Inc. (NYSE: HAYW) is a U.S.-based manufacturer and marketer of pool equipment and automation systems, serving residential and commercial pool markets across North America, Europe, and other international regions. Its product portfolio spans pumps, filters, robotic and suction/pressure cleaners, sanitizers, salt chlorine generators, gas heaters, heat pumps, safety equipment, and LED lighting solutions.
The company distributes its products through specialty distributors, retailers, pool builders, and buying groups, operating in a business model typical of the leisure products industry, which is closely tied to discretionary consumer spending and installed base replacement cycles. Founded in 1925 and headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina, Hayward has a long operating history in the pool equipment category.
Within the GICS Consumer Discretionary sector, HAYW is classified as a mid-cap leisure products company, having gone public on March 12, 2021.
- US existing home sales and pool construction drive demand
- DOE energy efficiency standards accelerate variable-speed pump adoption
- Channel inventory normalization pressures near-term revenue and margins
| Net Income: 169.8m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.13 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 53.70% < 20% (prev 52.13%; Δ 1.57% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 198.5m > Net Income 169.8m |
| Net Debt (489.8m) to EBITDA (317.9m): 1.54 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 3.33 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (216.5m) vs 12m ago -2.65% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 44.59% > 18% (prev 48.77%; Δ -4.18% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 38.59% > 50% (prev 36.23%; Δ 2.35% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.72 > 6 (EBIT TTM 260.8m / Interest Expense TTM 55.2m) |
| A: 0.21 (Total Current Assets 908.3m - Total Current Liabilities 273.0m) / Total Assets 3.10b |
| B: 0.31 (Retained Earnings 952.5m / Total Assets 3.10b) |
| C: 0.09 (EBIT TTM 260.8m / Avg Total Assets 3.07b) |
| D: 1.05 (Book Value of Equity 1.59b / Total Liabilities 1.51b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 4.03 = AA |
| DSRI: 1.11 (Receivables 138.9m/116.1m, Revenue 1.18b/1.10b) |
| GMI: 1.09 (GM 48.77% / 44.59%) |
| AQI: 0.97 (AQ_t 0.63 / AQ_t-1 0.65) |
| SGI: 1.08 (Revenue 1.18b / 1.10b) |
| TATA: -0.01 (NI 169.8m - CFO 198.5m) / TA 3.10b) |
| Beneish M = -2.81 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of October 31, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 16.12 with a total of 5,842,117 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +27.23%, over one month by +30.63%, over three months by +4.88% and over the past year by -6.39%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 15.50 (which is 3.8% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Hayward Holdings has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.60. Therefore, it is recommended to hold HAYW.
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 7
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 17.5 | 8.6% |
P/E Trailing = 20.2208
P/E Forward = 15.083
P/S = 2.7576
P/B = 1.9407
P/EG = 1.2899
Revenue TTM = 1.18b USD
EBIT TTM = 260.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 317.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 945.6m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 10.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 965.3m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 8.87m
Net Debt = 489.8m USD (calculated: Debt 965.3m - CCE 475.4m)
Enterprise Value = 3.73b USD (3.24b + Debt 965.3m - CCE 475.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.72 (Ebit TTM 260.8m / Interest Expense TTM 55.2m)
EV/FCF = 23.28x (Enterprise Value 3.73b / FCF TTM 160.4m)
FCF Yield = 4.30% (FCF TTM 160.4m / Enterprise Value 3.73b)
FCF Margin = 13.56% (FCF TTM 160.4m / Revenue TTM 1.18b)
Net Margin = 14.35% (Net Income TTM 169.8m / Revenue TTM 1.18b)
Gross Margin = 44.59% ((Revenue TTM 1.18b - Cost of Revenue TTM 655.6m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 47.92% (prev 48.70%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.21 (Enterprise Value 3.73b / Total Assets 3.10b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.72% (Interest Expense 55.2m / Debt 965.3m)
Taxrate = 17.50% (36.0m / 205.8m)
NOPAT = 215.2m (EBIT 260.8m * (1 - 17.50%))
Current Ratio = 3.33 (Total Current Assets 908.3m / Total Current Liabilities 273.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.61 (Debt 965.3m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.59b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.54 (Net Debt 489.8m / EBITDA 317.9m)
Debt / FCF = 3.05 (Net Debt 489.8m / FCF TTM 160.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.60b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.54% (Net Income 169.8m / Total Assets 3.10b)
RoE = 10.62% (Net Income TTM 169.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.60b)
RoCE = 10.25% (EBIT 260.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.60b + L.T.Debt 945.6m))
RoIC = 7.75% (NOPAT 215.2m / Invested Capital 2.78b)
WACC = 8.13% (E(3.24b)/V(4.21b) * Re(9.14%) + D(965.3m)/V(4.21b) * Rd(5.72%) * (1-Tc(0.18)))
Discount Rate = 9.14% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -43.29 | Cagr: -0.96%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈172.9m ; Y1≈151.7m ; Y5≈122.5m
[DCF] Fair Price = 7.09 (EV 1.97b - Net Debt 489.8m = Equity 1.48b / Shares 208.4m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 99.04 | EPS CAGR: 18.65% | SUE: 3.43 | # QB: 8
Revenue Correlation: 98.69 | Revenue CAGR: 7.36% | SUE: 1.40 | # QB: 9
EPS current Quarter (2027-03-31): EPS=0.15 | Chg30d=-3.77% | Revisions=-40% | Analysts=7
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.88 | Chg30d=+1.24% | Revisions=-17% | GrowthEPS=+13.7% | GrowthRev=+5.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.96 | Chg30d=-1.28% | Revisions=-17% | GrowthEPS=+9.5% | GrowthRev=+5.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -36% (up=2, down=6)