(HAYW) Hayward Holdings - Ratings and Ratios
Pumps, Filters, Heaters, Cleaners, Automation
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 31.9% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 46.8% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -10.75% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.09 |
| Alpha | -14.45 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.69 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.489 |
| Beta | 1.039 |
| Beta Downside | 0.954 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 31.81% |
| Mean DD | 11.57% |
| Median DD | 10.81% |
Description: HAYW Hayward Holdings November 09, 2025
Hayward Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:HAYW) designs, manufactures, and markets a broad range of residential and commercial pool equipment-including pumps, filters, robotic cleaners, heaters, water sanitizers, and LED lighting-across North America, Europe, and other international markets. The company distributes its products through specialty distributors, retailers, pool builders, and buying groups, leveraging a legacy brand that dates back to its 1925 founding in Charlotte, North Carolina.
Key recent metrics: FY 2023 revenue rose ~7% year-over-year to $1.02 billion, while adjusted EBITDA margin held near 14%, reflecting stable pricing power despite raw-material cost pressures. The residential pool segment accounts for roughly 70% of sales, making the business sensitive to housing-starts trends and discretionary-spending cycles. Additionally, the growing consumer focus on energy-efficient solutions-such as heat-pump heaters and LED illumination-acts as a sector tailwind, driving incremental demand for higher-margin, technology-enabled products.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, you may want to explore ValueRay’s detailed valuation models for HAYW.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income (137.9m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 65.6m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.06 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -1.21pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 52.47% (prev 40.02%; Δ 12.45pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 (>3.0%) and CFO 219.3m > Net Income 137.9m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-415.3m) to EBITDA (292.1m) ratio: -1.42 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 3.18 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (222.4m) change vs 12m ago 0.44% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 49.06% (prev 46.95%; Δ 2.11pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 36.88% (prev 34.71%; Δ 2.17pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 4.30 (EBITDA TTM 292.1m / Interest Expense TTM 54.3m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 3.15
| (A) 0.19 = (Total Current Assets 835.8m - Total Current Liabilities 262.5m) / Total Assets 3.04b |
| (B) 0.26 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 782.7m / Total Assets 3.04b |
| (C) 0.08 = EBIT TTM 233.7m / Avg Total Assets 2.96b |
| (D) 0.51 = Book Value of Equity 777.0m / Total Liabilities 1.51b |
| Total Rating: 3.15 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 56.26
| 1. Piotroski 5.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 6.16% |
| 3. FCF Margin 17.54% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.01 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -1.42 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -2.41)% |
| 7. RoE 9.37% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -44.16% |
| 9. EPS Trend -23.26% |
What is the price of HAYW shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.85%, over one month by -1.09%, over three months by +3.80% and over the past year by +2.31%.
Is HAYW a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 2
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 6
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the HAYW price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 17.7 | 8.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 17.7 | 8.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 15.6 | -4.5% |
HAYW Fundamental Data Overview December 03, 2025
P/E Trailing = 26.3871
P/E Forward = 19.2308
P/S = 3.2258
P/B = 2.3299
P/EG = 1.365
Beta = 1.12
Revenue TTM = 1.09b USD
EBIT TTM = 233.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = 292.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 947.7m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 13.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 13.4m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -415.3m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 3.11b USD (3.55b + Debt 13.4m - CCE 448.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.30 (Ebit TTM 233.7m / Interest Expense TTM 54.3m)
FCF Yield = 6.16% (FCF TTM 191.7m / Enterprise Value 3.11b)
FCF Margin = 17.54% (FCF TTM 191.7m / Revenue TTM 1.09b)
Net Margin = 12.62% (Net Income TTM 137.9m / Revenue TTM 1.09b)
Gross Margin = 49.06% ((Revenue TTM 1.09b - Cost of Revenue TTM 556.6m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 49.74% (prev 50.39%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.03 (Enterprise Value 3.11b / Total Assets 3.04b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 84.37% (Interest Expense 11.3m / Debt 13.4m)
Taxrate = 23.00% (7.18m / 31.2m)
NOPAT = 179.9m (EBIT 233.7m * (1 - 23.00%))
Current Ratio = 3.18 (Total Current Assets 835.8m / Total Current Liabilities 262.5m)
Debt / Equity = 0.01 (Debt 13.4m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.52b)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.42 (Net Debt -415.3m / EBITDA 292.1m)
Debt / FCF = -2.17 (Net Debt -415.3m / FCF TTM 191.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.47b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.54% (Net Income 137.9m / Total Assets 3.04b)
RoE = 9.37% (Net Income TTM 137.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.47b)
RoCE = 9.66% (EBIT 233.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.47b + L.T.Debt 947.7m))
RoIC = 7.39% (NOPAT 179.9m / Invested Capital 2.43b)
WACC = 9.80% (E(3.55b)/V(3.56b) * Re(9.84%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 9.84% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.36%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 75.83% ; FCFE base≈202.0m ; Y1≈249.2m ; Y5≈425.2m
Fair Price DCF = 24.35 (DCF Value 5.28b / Shares Outstanding 216.9m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -23.26 | EPS CAGR: -16.07% | SUE: 2.01 | # QB: 4
Revenue Correlation: -44.16 | Revenue CAGR: -10.02% | SUE: 0.72 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.13 | Chg30d=+0.003 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=5
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.86 | Chg30d=+0.028 | Revisions Net=+7 | Growth EPS=+12.4% | Growth Revenue=+5.7%
Additional Sources for HAYW Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle