(HBM) Hudbay Minerals - Ratings and Ratios
Copper, Gold, Silver, Zinc, Molybdenum
HBM EPS (Earnings per Share)
HBM Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 53.4% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 80.5% |
| Reward | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.35 |
| Alpha Jensen | 58.40 |
| Character | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.466 |
| Beta | 2.081 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 41.10% |
| Mean DD | 15.22% |
Description: HBM Hudbay Minerals November 07, 2025
Hudbay Minerals Inc. (NYSE: HBM) is a Toronto-based, diversified mining company operating primarily in North and South America. Its portfolio includes the flagship Constancia copper-gold-silver mine in Cusco, Peru, and it produces copper concentrates (with by-product gold and silver), silver/gold doré, zinc concentrates (with gold), and molybdenum concentrates.
Key operational metrics from FY 2023 show ≈ 260 kt of copper produced, ≈ 1.4 Mt of zinc, and ≈ 0.7 Mt of molybdenum, generating US$1.2 bn of revenue and a free cash flow conversion of roughly 45 %. The company’s exposure to copper prices remains a primary driver, with the ongoing EV-induced demand surge and Peru’s recent fiscal reforms influencing both cost structure and permitting timelines. Debt stands at US$1.1 bn (net-debt to EBITDA ≈ 2.3×), giving it moderate leverage relative to peers.
For a deeper quantitative view of HBM’s valuation and risk profile, a quick scan of the analyst tools on ValueRay could be a useful next step.
HBM Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 6,382m |
| Sub-Industry | Diversified Metals & Mining |
| IPO / Inception | 2009-02-13 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 61.6% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.50 of 5 |
HBM Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 0.09% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 0.25% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | -1.71% |
| Payout Consistency | 87.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 2.3% |
HBM Growth Ratios
| CAGR | 43.64% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 1.06 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 2.87 |
| Current Volume | 7059.9k |
| Average Volume | 6655.5k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.5
| Net Income (289.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 132.1m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.06 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.28pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 1.22% (prev 20.82%; Δ -19.61pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 (>3.0%) and CFO 772.7m > Net Income 289.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (511.2m) to EBITDA (1.03b) ratio: 0.50 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.03 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (395.8m) change vs 12m ago 7.46% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 38.79% (prev 25.56%; Δ 13.23pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 39.78% (prev 37.40%; Δ 2.38pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 7.78 (EBITDA TTM 1.03b / Interest Expense TTM 77.7m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.92
| (A) 0.00 = (Total Current Assets 1.04b - Total Current Liabilities 1.01b) / Total Assets 5.63b |
| (B) 0.02 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 112.9m / Total Assets 5.63b |
| (C) 0.11 = EBIT TTM 604.6m / Avg Total Assets 5.54b |
| (D) 1.04 = Book Value of Equity 2.86b / Total Liabilities 2.77b |
| Total Rating: 1.92 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 73.38
| 1. Piotroski 7.50pt = 2.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 5.25% = 2.63 |
| 3. FCF Margin 16.44% = 4.11 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.40 = 2.42 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.50 = 2.31 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 0.28)% = 0.35 |
| 7. RoE 10.90% = 0.91 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 79.10% = 5.93 |
| 9. EPS Trend 44.32% = 2.22 |
What is the price of HBM shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.76%, over one month by -9.73%, over three months by +40.07% and over the past year by +84.08%.
Is Hudbay Minerals a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of HBM is around 17.62 USD . This means that HBM is currently undervalued and has a potential upside of +11.1% (Margin of Safety).
Is HBM a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 8
- Buy: 8
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the HBM price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 20.1 | 26.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 20.1 | 26.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 20.2 | 27.6% |
HBM Fundamental Data Overview November 09, 2025
P/E Trailing = 22.0959
P/E Forward = 17.7305
P/S = 2.8984
P/B = 2.135
P/EG = 2.09
Beta = 2.081
Revenue TTM = 2.20b USD
EBIT TTM = 604.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.03b USD
Long Term Debt = 535.8m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 559.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.14b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 511.2m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 6.89b USD (6.38b + Debt 1.14b - CCE 625.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 7.78 (Ebit TTM 604.6m / Interest Expense TTM 77.7m)
FCF Yield = 5.25% (FCF TTM 362.0m / Enterprise Value 6.89b)
FCF Margin = 16.44% (FCF TTM 362.0m / Revenue TTM 2.20b)
Net Margin = 13.13% (Net Income TTM 289.0m / Revenue TTM 2.20b)
Gross Margin = 38.79% ((Revenue TTM 2.20b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.35b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 32.90% (prev 38.88%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.22 (Enterprise Value 6.89b / Total Assets 5.63b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.68% (Interest Expense 19.1m / Debt 1.14b)
Taxrate = 25.08% (38.4m / 153.1m)
NOPAT = 452.9m (EBIT 604.6m * (1 - 25.08%))
Current Ratio = 1.03 (Total Current Assets 1.04b / Total Current Liabilities 1.01b)
Debt / Equity = 0.40 (Debt 1.14b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.86b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.50 (Net Debt 511.2m / EBITDA 1.03b)
Debt / FCF = 1.41 (Net Debt 511.2m / FCF TTM 362.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.65b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.13% (Net Income 289.0m / Total Assets 5.63b)
RoE = 10.90% (Net Income TTM 289.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.65b)
RoCE = 18.97% (EBIT 604.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.65b + L.T.Debt 535.8m))
RoIC = 12.08% (NOPAT 452.9m / Invested Capital 3.75b)
WACC = 11.80% (E(6.38b)/V(7.52b) * Re(13.68%) + D(1.14b)/V(7.52b) * Rd(1.68%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 13.68% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 6.48%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 65.26% ; FCFE base≈329.5m ; Y1≈406.4m ; Y5≈693.4m
Fair Price DCF = 13.64 (DCF Value 5.40b / Shares Outstanding 395.7m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 44.32 | EPS CAGR: -4.19% | SUE: -2.35 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 79.10 | Revenue CAGR: 17.26% | SUE: 0.14 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for HBM Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle