(HBM) Hudbay Minerals - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: Canada • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: CA4436281022

Copper, Gold, Silver, Zinc, Molybdenum

HBM EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS (Earnings per Share) of HBM over the last years for every Quarter: "2020-09": -0.1, "2020-12": -0.06, "2021-03": -0.06, "2021-06": 0.02, "2021-09": 0.15, "2021-12": 0.13, "2022-03": 0.02, "2022-06": 0.12, "2022-09": -0.05, "2022-12": 0.01, "2023-03": 0.0208, "2023-06": -0.07, "2023-09": 0.07, "2023-12": 0.2, "2024-03": 0.16, "2024-06": -0.045, "2024-09": 0.13, "2024-12": 0.18, "2025-03": 0.24, "2025-06": 0.19, "2025-09": 0,

HBM Revenue

Revenue of HBM over the last years for every Quarter: 2020-09: 316.108, 2020-12: 322.29, 2021-03: 313.624, 2021-06: 404.242, 2021-09: 358.961, 2021-12: 425.17, 2022-03: 378.619, 2022-06: 415.454, 2022-09: 346.171, 2022-12: 321.196, 2023-03: 295.219, 2023-06: 312.166, 2023-09: 480.456, 2023-12: 604.282, 2024-03: 525, 2024-06: 425.52, 2024-09: 485.773, 2024-12: 584.918, 2025-03: 594.9, 2025-06: 536.4, 2025-09: null,
Risk via 10d forecast
Volatility 53.4%
Value at Risk 5%th 80.5%
Reward
Sharpe Ratio 1.35
Alpha Jensen 58.40
Character
Hurst Exponent 0.466
Beta 2.081
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD 41.10%
Mean DD 15.22%

Description: HBM Hudbay Minerals November 07, 2025

Hudbay Minerals Inc. (NYSE: HBM) is a Toronto-based, diversified mining company operating primarily in North and South America. Its portfolio includes the flagship Constancia copper-gold-silver mine in Cusco, Peru, and it produces copper concentrates (with by-product gold and silver), silver/gold doré, zinc concentrates (with gold), and molybdenum concentrates.

Key operational metrics from FY 2023 show ≈ 260 kt of copper produced, ≈ 1.4 Mt of zinc, and ≈ 0.7 Mt of molybdenum, generating US$1.2 bn of revenue and a free cash flow conversion of roughly 45 %. The company’s exposure to copper prices remains a primary driver, with the ongoing EV-induced demand surge and Peru’s recent fiscal reforms influencing both cost structure and permitting timelines. Debt stands at US$1.1 bn (net-debt to EBITDA ≈ 2.3×), giving it moderate leverage relative to peers.

For a deeper quantitative view of HBM’s valuation and risk profile, a quick scan of the analyst tools on ValueRay could be a useful next step.

HBM Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD 6,382m
Sub-Industry Diversified Metals & Mining
IPO / Inception 2009-02-13
Return 12m vs S&P 500 61.6%
Analyst Rating 4.50 of 5

HBM Dividends

Dividend Yield 0.09%
Yield on Cost 5y 0.25%
Yield CAGR 5y -1.71%
Payout Consistency 87.0%
Payout Ratio 2.3%

HBM Growth Ratios

CAGR 43.64%
CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio 1.06
CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio 2.87
Current Volume 7059.9k
Average Volume 6655.5k

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.5

Net Income (289.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 132.1m TTM)
FCFTA 0.06 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.28pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)
NWC/Revenue 1.22% (prev 20.82%; Δ -19.61pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)
CFO/TA 0.14 (>3.0%) and CFO 772.7m > Net Income 289.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)
Net Debt (511.2m) to EBITDA (1.03b) ratio: 0.50 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)
Current Ratio 1.03 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (395.8m) change vs 12m ago 7.46% (target <= -2.0% for YES)
Gross Margin 38.79% (prev 25.56%; Δ 13.23pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)
Asset Turnover 39.78% (prev 37.40%; Δ 2.38pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)
Interest Coverage Ratio 7.78 (EBITDA TTM 1.03b / Interest Expense TTM 77.7m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 1.92

(A) 0.00 = (Total Current Assets 1.04b - Total Current Liabilities 1.01b) / Total Assets 5.63b
(B) 0.02 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 112.9m / Total Assets 5.63b
(C) 0.11 = EBIT TTM 604.6m / Avg Total Assets 5.54b
(D) 1.04 = Book Value of Equity 2.86b / Total Liabilities 2.77b
Total Rating: 1.92 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 73.38

1. Piotroski 7.50pt = 2.50
2. FCF Yield 5.25% = 2.63
3. FCF Margin 16.44% = 4.11
4. Debt/Equity 0.40 = 2.42
5. Debt/Ebitda 0.50 = 2.31
6. ROIC - WACC (= 0.28)% = 0.35
7. RoE 10.90% = 0.91
8. Rev. Trend 79.10% = 5.93
9. EPS Trend 44.32% = 2.22

What is the price of HBM shares?

As of November 14, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 15.86 with a total of 7,059,947 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.76%, over one month by -9.73%, over three months by +40.07% and over the past year by +84.08%.

Is Hudbay Minerals a good stock to buy?

Partly, yes. Based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, Hudbay Minerals (NYSE:HBM) is currently (November 2025) ok to buy, but has to be watched. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 73.38 and therefor a somewhat positive outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of HBM is around 17.62 USD . This means that HBM is currently undervalued and has a potential upside of +11.1% (Margin of Safety).

Is HBM a buy, sell or hold?

Hudbay Minerals has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.50. Therefore, it is recommended to buy HBM.
  • Strong Buy: 8
  • Buy: 8
  • Hold: 0
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the HBM price?

Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 20.1 26.7%
Analysts Target Price 20.1 26.7%
ValueRay Target Price 20.2 27.6%

HBM Fundamental Data Overview November 09, 2025

Market Cap USD = 6.38b (6.38b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 22.0959
P/E Forward = 17.7305
P/S = 2.8984
P/B = 2.135
P/EG = 2.09
Beta = 2.081
Revenue TTM = 2.20b USD
EBIT TTM = 604.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.03b USD
Long Term Debt = 535.8m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 559.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.14b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 511.2m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 6.89b USD (6.38b + Debt 1.14b - CCE 625.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 7.78 (Ebit TTM 604.6m / Interest Expense TTM 77.7m)
FCF Yield = 5.25% (FCF TTM 362.0m / Enterprise Value 6.89b)
FCF Margin = 16.44% (FCF TTM 362.0m / Revenue TTM 2.20b)
Net Margin = 13.13% (Net Income TTM 289.0m / Revenue TTM 2.20b)
Gross Margin = 38.79% ((Revenue TTM 2.20b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.35b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 32.90% (prev 38.88%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.22 (Enterprise Value 6.89b / Total Assets 5.63b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.68% (Interest Expense 19.1m / Debt 1.14b)
Taxrate = 25.08% (38.4m / 153.1m)
NOPAT = 452.9m (EBIT 604.6m * (1 - 25.08%))
Current Ratio = 1.03 (Total Current Assets 1.04b / Total Current Liabilities 1.01b)
Debt / Equity = 0.40 (Debt 1.14b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.86b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.50 (Net Debt 511.2m / EBITDA 1.03b)
Debt / FCF = 1.41 (Net Debt 511.2m / FCF TTM 362.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.65b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.13% (Net Income 289.0m / Total Assets 5.63b)
RoE = 10.90% (Net Income TTM 289.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.65b)
RoCE = 18.97% (EBIT 604.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.65b + L.T.Debt 535.8m))
RoIC = 12.08% (NOPAT 452.9m / Invested Capital 3.75b)
WACC = 11.80% (E(6.38b)/V(7.52b) * Re(13.68%) + D(1.14b)/V(7.52b) * Rd(1.68%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 13.68% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 6.48%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 65.26% ; FCFE base≈329.5m ; Y1≈406.4m ; Y5≈693.4m
Fair Price DCF = 13.64 (DCF Value 5.40b / Shares Outstanding 395.7m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 44.32 | EPS CAGR: -4.19% | SUE: -2.35 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 79.10 | Revenue CAGR: 17.26% | SUE: 0.14 | # QB: 0

Additional Sources for HBM Stock

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