(HD) The Home Depot - Overview
Stock: Building Materials, Home Goods, Lawn Garden, Tools, Services
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 24.4% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -5.09% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.16 |
| Alpha | -25.65 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.976 |
| Beta Downside | 1.399 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 21.79% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.43 |
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Description: HD The Home Depot March 04, 2026
The Home Depot, Inc. is a home improvement retailer operating in the United States, Canada, and Mexico. The company sells building materials, home improvement, lawn and garden, and décor products. The home improvement retail sector is cyclical, influenced by housing market trends and consumer spending on renovations.
The Home Depot serves both do-it-yourself (DIY) consumers and professional contractors. This dual customer base provides revenue diversification. The company also offers installation services for various home features and tool/equipment rental.
Products are sold through physical stores and multiple online platforms, including its primary websites, specialized sites for custom window coverings and textiles, and platforms for maintenance, repair, and operations (MRO) products. The MRO business model focuses on recurring sales to businesses for essential supplies.
For more detailed financial analysis, consider exploring ValueRay.
Headlines to watch out for
- Housing market slowdown impacts DIY and professional demand
- Lumber and commodity price volatility affects cost of goods
- Interest rate hikes reduce consumer renovation spending
- Online sales growth competes with traditional retail model
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income: 14.16b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.12 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -4.95 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 1.19% < 20% (prev 1.89%; Δ -0.70% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.16 > 3% & CFO 16.32b > Net Income 14.16b |
| Net Debt (72.12b) to EBITDA (24.29b): 2.97 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.06 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (997.0m) vs 12m ago 0.30% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 33.32% > 18% (prev 0.33%; Δ 3.30k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 163.7% > 50% (prev 166.0%; Δ -2.27% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 8.71 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 24.29b / Interest Expense TTM 2.41b) |
Altman Z'' 4.60
| A: 0.02 (Total Current Assets 34.39b - Total Current Liabilities 32.42b) / Total Assets 105.09b |
| B: 0.90 (Retained Earnings 94.25b / Total Assets 105.09b) |
| C: 0.21 (EBIT TTM 21.01b / Avg Total Assets 100.61b) |
| D: 0.14 (Book Value of Equity 12.81b / Total Liabilities 92.28b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 4.60 = AA |
Beneish M -2.90
| DSRI: 1.11 (Receivables 5.60b/4.90b, Revenue 164.68b/159.51b) |
| GMI: 1.00 (GM 33.32% / 33.42%) |
| AQI: 1.05 (AQ_t 0.32 / AQ_t-1 0.30) |
| SGI: 1.03 (Revenue 164.68b / 159.51b) |
| TATA: -0.02 (NI 14.16b - CFO 16.32b) / TA 105.09b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.90 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of HD shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.64%, over one month by -12.72%, over three months by -4.40% and over the past year by +0.10%.
Is HD a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 21
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 12
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the HD price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 410.3 | 16.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 410.3 | 16.9% |
HD Fundamental Data Overview March 13, 2026
P/E Forward = 23.4192
P/S = 2.1208
P/B = 27.2587
P/EG = 3.2083
Revenue TTM = 164.68b USD
EBIT TTM = 21.01b USD
EBITDA TTM = 24.29b USD
Long Term Debt = 46.34b USD (from longTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Short Term Debt = 10.85b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 73.51b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 72.12b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 421.39b USD (349.27b + Debt 73.51b - CCE 1.39b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.71 (Ebit TTM 21.01b / Interest Expense TTM 2.41b)
EV/FCF = 33.32x (Enterprise Value 421.39b / FCF TTM 12.65b)
FCF Yield = 3.00% (FCF TTM 12.65b / Enterprise Value 421.39b)
FCF Margin = 7.68% (FCF TTM 12.65b / Revenue TTM 164.68b)
Net Margin = 8.60% (Net Income TTM 14.16b / Revenue TTM 164.68b)
Gross Margin = 33.32% ((Revenue TTM 164.68b - Cost of Revenue TTM 109.82b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 32.64% (prev 33.41%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.01 (Enterprise Value 421.39b / Total Assets 105.09b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.81% (Interest Expense 594.0m / Debt 73.51b)
Taxrate = 22.04% (727.0m / 3.30b)
NOPAT = 16.38b (EBIT 21.01b * (1 - 22.04%))
Current Ratio = 1.06 (Total Current Assets 34.39b / Total Current Liabilities 32.42b)
Debt / Equity = 5.74 (Debt 73.51b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 12.81b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.97 (Net Debt 72.12b / EBITDA 24.29b)
Debt / FCF = 5.70 (Net Debt 72.12b / FCF TTM 12.65b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 10.89b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 14.07% (Net Income 14.16b / Total Assets 105.09b)
RoE = 130.0% (Net Income TTM 14.16b / Total Stockholder Equity 10.89b)
RoCE = 36.72% (EBIT 21.01b / Capital Employed (Equity 10.89b + L.T.Debt 46.34b))
RoIC = 25.69% (NOPAT 16.38b / Invested Capital 63.78b)
WACC = 7.97% (E(349.27b)/V(422.78b) * Re(9.51%) + D(73.51b)/V(422.78b) * Rd(0.81%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 9.51% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.20%
[DCF] Terminal Value 78.09% ; FCFF base≈14.12b ; Y1≈13.99b ; Y5≈14.56b
[DCF] Fair Price = 186.8 (EV 258.07b - Net Debt 72.12b = Equity 185.95b / Shares 995.5m; r=7.97% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -1.62% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -41.90 | EPS CAGR: -10.31% | SUE: 3.77 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 20.24 | Revenue CAGR: -0.49% | SUE: 0.22 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-04-30): EPS=3.42 | Chg7d=-0.194 | Chg30d=-0.210 | Revisions Net=-22 | Analysts=29
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=15.06 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=-0.002 | Revisions Net=-3 | Growth EPS=+2.5% | Growth Revenue=+3.9%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=16.31 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=-0.102 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+8.3% | Growth Revenue=+4.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -1.00 (0 Up / 22 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 5.5% (Discount Rate 9.5% - Earnings Yield 4.1%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = -1.2% (Analyst 4.2% - Implied 5.5%)