(HD) The Home Depot - Overview
Building Materials, Home Improvement, Lawn And Garden, Décor, Installation Services
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 2.49% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 3.85% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 8.66% |
| Payout Consistency | 99.1% |
| Payout Ratio | 61.3% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 21.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -4.75% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.42 |
| Alpha | -21.79 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.619 |
| Beta Downside | 0.364 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 21.79% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.34 |
Description: HD The Home Depot January 26, 2026
The Home Depot, Inc. (NYSE: HD) is the largest U.S. home-improvement retailer, offering building materials, décor, lawn-and-garden items, and a suite of professional installation and equipment-rental services through both physical stores and a broad e-commerce portfolio that includes homedepot.com, homedepot.ca, homedepot.com.mx and several specialty sites.
In its most recent quarter (Q3 FY 2024), the company reported revenue of $41.5 billion, a 6.8 % year-over-year increase in comparable sales, and an operating margin of 14.2 %, reflecting continued strength in both DIY and professional-renovator segments. Inventory turnover accelerated to 5.1×, the highest in three years, indicating efficient supply-chain management.
Key economic drivers for HD include robust housing-starts growth (U.S. starts up 4.1 % YoY in Q3 2024), elevated consumer spending on home improvement despite modestly higher mortgage rates, and a persistent DIY-to-DIFM (do-it-for-me) shift that benefits the company’s service-install business, which now accounts for roughly 15 % of total revenue.
For a deeper quantitative view, you may want to explore the ValueRay platform.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income: 14.58b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.13 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -3.99 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 1.05% < 20% (prev 2.49%; Δ -1.44% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.17 > 3% & CFO 17.65b > Net Income 14.58b |
| Net Debt (57.26b) to EBITDA (25.08b): 2.28 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.05 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (994.0m) vs 12m ago 0.10% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 33.36% > 18% (prev 0.33%; Δ 3302 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 163.3% > 50% (prev 158.9%; Δ 4.36% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 8.81 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 25.08b / Interest Expense TTM 2.46b) |
Altman Z'' 5.47
| A: 0.02 (Total Current Assets 36.12b - Total Current Liabilities 34.37b) / Total Assets 106.27b |
| B: 0.89 (Retained Earnings 94.25b / Total Assets 106.27b) |
| C: 0.21 (EBIT TTM 21.65b / Avg Total Assets 101.77b) |
| D: 0.99 (Book Value of Equity 93.53b / Total Liabilities 94.16b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 5.47 = AAA |
Beneish M -2.90
| DSRI: 1.09 (Receivables 6.76b/5.78b, Revenue 166.19b/154.60b) |
| GMI: 1.00 (GM 33.36% / 33.50%) |
| AQI: 1.05 (AQ_t 0.31 / AQ_t-1 0.30) |
| SGI: 1.07 (Revenue 166.19b / 154.60b) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI 14.58b - CFO 17.65b) / TA 106.27b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.90 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of HD shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.43%, over one month by +8.02%, over three months by -2.08% and over the past year by -8.16%.
Is HD a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 21
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 12
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the HD price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 394.1 | 5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 394.1 | 5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 400.8 | 6.8% |
HD Fundamental Data Overview January 24, 2026
P/E Forward = 25.3165
P/S = 2.2825
P/B = 31.3073
P/EG = 5.3831
Revenue TTM = 166.19b USD
EBIT TTM = 21.65b USD
EBITDA TTM = 25.08b USD
Long Term Debt = 46.34b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 4.62b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 58.95b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 57.26b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 436.58b USD (379.32b + Debt 58.95b - CCE 1.68b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.81 (Ebit TTM 21.65b / Interest Expense TTM 2.46b)
EV/FCF = 31.35x (Enterprise Value 436.58b / FCF TTM 13.93b)
FCF Yield = 3.19% (FCF TTM 13.93b / Enterprise Value 436.58b)
FCF Margin = 8.38% (FCF TTM 13.93b / Revenue TTM 166.19b)
Net Margin = 8.77% (Net Income TTM 14.58b / Revenue TTM 166.19b)
Gross Margin = 33.36% ((Revenue TTM 166.19b - Cost of Revenue TTM 110.76b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 33.41% (prev 33.41%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.11 (Enterprise Value 436.58b / Total Assets 106.27b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.07% (Interest Expense 628.0m / Debt 58.95b)
Taxrate = 24.30% (1.16b / 4.76b)
NOPAT = 16.39b (EBIT 21.65b * (1 - 24.30%))
Current Ratio = 1.05 (Total Current Assets 36.12b / Total Current Liabilities 34.37b)
Debt / Equity = 4.87 (Debt 58.95b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 12.12b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.28 (Net Debt 57.26b / EBITDA 25.08b)
Debt / FCF = 4.11 (Net Debt 57.26b / FCF TTM 13.93b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 9.34b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 14.33% (Net Income 14.58b / Total Assets 106.27b)
RoE = 156.1% (Net Income TTM 14.58b / Total Stockholder Equity 9.34b)
RoCE = 38.87% (EBIT 21.65b / Capital Employed (Equity 9.34b + L.T.Debt 46.34b))
RoIC = 26.08% (NOPAT 16.39b / Invested Capital 62.84b)
WACC = 7.21% (E(379.32b)/V(438.27b) * Re(8.20%) + D(58.95b)/V(438.27b) * Rd(1.07%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 8.20% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.25%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 80.98% ; FCFF base≈15.01b ; Y1≈14.88b ; Y5≈15.47b
Fair Price DCF = 266.4 (EV 322.49b - Net Debt 57.26b = Equity 265.23b / Shares 995.5m; r=7.21% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -1.62% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -8.78 | EPS CAGR: 4.16% | SUE: -2.73 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 37.83 | Revenue CAGR: 3.98% | SUE: 0.32 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-04-30): EPS=3.63 | Chg30d=-0.010 | Revisions Net=-15 | Analysts=25
EPS next Year (2027-01-31): EPS=15.04 | Chg30d=-0.121 | Revisions Net=-5 | Growth EPS=+3.7% | Growth Revenue=+4.4%