(HGV) Hilton Grand Vacations - Ratings and Ratios
Timeshare, Resort, Club, Vacation, Financing
HGV EPS (Earnings per Share)
HGV Revenue
Description: HGV Hilton Grand Vacations
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc (NYSE:HGV) is a leading timeshare company operating under the Hilton brand, developing, marketing, and managing resorts and timeshare plans across the United States and Europe. The companys business is divided into two main segments: Real Estate Sales and Financing, and Resort Operations and Club Management.
The Real Estate Sales and Financing segment is responsible for marketing and selling Vacation Ownership Interests (VOIs) and providing consumer financing options. This segment also sources VOIs through fee-for-service agreements, highlighting the companys ability to generate revenue through both sales and financing activities.
The Resort Operations and Club Management segment focuses on managing and operating the clubs, offering exchange, leisure travel, and reservation services to its members. Additionally, this segment generates revenue through the rental of inventory made available due to ownership exchanges and provides ancillary services such as food and beverage, retail, and spa at its timeshare properties.
From a performance perspective, key metrics to consider include Revenue Growth, Occupancy Rates, and Average Sales Price per VOI. Given the companys business model, metrics such as the number of VOIs sold, the average contract duration, and the percentage of financing provided to customers could also be relevant. Furthermore, the companys ability to manage its inventory and maintain a healthy level of unsold VOIs is crucial.
Analyzing HGVs financials, we can observe that the company has a Market Cap of approximately $4.3 billion, with a Forward P/E ratio of 11.44, indicating potential for growth. The Return on Equity (RoE) stands at 8.96%, suggesting a relatively stable return for shareholders. To further assess the companys performance, it would be essential to examine its Debt-to-Equity ratio, Interest Coverage, and Operating Margins.
HGV Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 4,074m |
| Sub-Industry | Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines |
| IPO / Inception | 2017-01-04 |
HGV Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 32.1% |
| Fundamental | 46.1% |
| Dividend Rating | - |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 1.74% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.78 of 5 |
HGV Dividends
Currently no dividends paidHGV Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 26.4% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | 52.1% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | -0.4% |
| CAGR 5y | 6.37% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y | 0.17 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y | 0.41 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | -1.13 |
| Alpha | 0.16 |
| Beta | 0.185 |
| Volatility | 34.08% |
| Current Volume | 858.6k |
| Average Volume 20d | 858.6k |
| Stop Loss | 43.3 (-3.2%) |
| Signal | -0.80 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 1.5
| Net Income (182.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 300.2m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.01 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -2.14pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 51.32% (prev 104.9%; Δ -53.63pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.03 (>3.0%) and CFO 295.0m > Net Income 182.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (6.90b) to EBITDA (762.0m) ratio: 9.05 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 5.66 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (93.4m) change vs 12m ago -10.41% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 40.63% (prev 43.97%; Δ -3.34pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 43.13% (prev 38.62%; Δ 4.51pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 1.56 (EBITDA TTM 762.0m / Interest Expense TTM 319.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.79
| (A) 0.22 = (Total Current Assets 3.12b - Total Current Liabilities 551.0m) / Total Assets 11.74b |
| (B) 0.01 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 167.0m / Total Assets 11.74b |
| (C) 0.04 = EBIT TTM 498.0m / Avg Total Assets 11.60b |
| (D) 0.02 = Book Value of Equity 163.0m / Total Liabilities 10.10b |
| Total Rating: 1.79 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 46.06
| 1. Piotroski 1.50pt = -3.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 1.29% = 0.64 |
| 3. FCF Margin 2.80% = 0.70 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 4.75 = -2.47 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 9.28 = -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -0.19)% = -0.24 |
| 7. RoE 10.92% = 0.91 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 76.04% = 5.70 |
| 9. EPS Trend -63.78% = -3.19 |
What is the price of HGV shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.13%, over one month by +0.54%, over three months by +13.47% and over the past year by +20.59%.
Is Hilton Grand Vacations a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of HGV is around 43.22 USD . This means that HGV is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -3.4%.
Is HGV a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 3
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the HGV price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 53.4 | 19.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 53.4 | 19.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 45.7 | 2.1% |
Last update: 2025-09-13 04:36
HGV Fundamental Data Overview
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 269.0m USD (last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 84.0727
P/E Forward = 11.4416
P/S = 0.9099
P/B = 2.7364
Beta = 1.678
Revenue TTM = 5.00b USD
EBIT TTM = 498.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 762.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 7.07b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = unknown (0.0)
Debt = 7.07b USD (Calculated: Short Term 0.0 + Long Term 7.07b)
Net Debt = 6.90b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 10.88b USD (4.07b + Debt 7.07b - CCE 269.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.56 (Ebit TTM 498.0m / Interest Expense TTM 319.0m)
FCF Yield = 1.29% (FCF TTM 140.0m / Enterprise Value 10.88b)
FCF Margin = 2.80% (FCF TTM 140.0m / Revenue TTM 5.00b)
Net Margin = 3.64% (Net Income TTM 182.0m / Revenue TTM 5.00b)
Gross Margin = 40.63% ((Revenue TTM 5.00b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.97b) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 66.74 (Enterprise Value 10.88b / Book Value Of Equity 163.0m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.12% (Interest Expense 79.0m / Debt 7.07b)
Taxrate = 55.88% (76.0m / 136.0m)
NOPAT = 219.7m (EBIT 498.0m * (1 - 55.88%))
Current Ratio = 5.66 (Total Current Assets 3.12b / Total Current Liabilities 551.0m)
Debt / Equity = 4.75 (Debt 7.07b / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 1.49b)
Debt / EBITDA = 9.28 (Net Debt 6.90b / EBITDA 762.0m)
Debt / FCF = 50.52 (Debt 7.07b / FCF TTM 140.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.67b (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 1.55% (Net Income 182.0m, Total Assets 11.74b )
RoE = 10.92% (Net Income TTM 182.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.67b)
RoCE = 5.70% (Ebit 498.0m / (Equity 1.67b + L.T.Debt 7.07b))
RoIC = 2.57% (NOPAT 219.7m / Invested Capital 8.55b)
WACC = 2.76% (E(4.07b)/V(11.15b) * Re(6.70%)) + (D(7.07b)/V(11.15b) * Rd(1.12%) * (1-Tc(0.56)))
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.00 | Cagr: -2.33%
Discount Rate = 6.70% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + ERP 8.05%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 73.38% ; FCFE base≈236.8m ; Y1≈178.1m ; Y5≈107.0m
Fair Price DCF = 22.91 (DCF Value 2.02b / Shares Outstanding 88.1m; 5y FCF grow -29.35% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -63.78 | EPS CAGR: -26.09% | SUE: -0.94 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 76.04 | Revenue CAGR: 4.69% | SUE: N/A | # QB: None
Additional Sources for HGV Stock
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