(HGV) Hilton Grand Vacations - Overview
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US43283X1054
Stock: Vacation Ownership, Resort Management, Financing, Travel Services
Total Rating 33
Risk 90
Buy Signal 0.37
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 37.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -7.96% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.27 |
| Alpha | -20.46 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.471 |
| Beta Downside | 1.791 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 34.62% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.01 |
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Description: HGV Hilton Grand Vacations March 04, 2026
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) operates in the timeshare industry, developing, marketing, selling, and managing resorts and timeshare plans under the Hilton Grand Vacations brand in the US and Europe.
The company has two primary segments. The Real Estate Sales and Financing segment focuses on marketing and selling Vacation Ownership Interests (VOIs) and providing consumer financing for these purchases. The Resort Operations and Club Management segment manages resort operations, club services (including exchanges and reservations), and ancillary services like food and beverage at timeshare properties. Timeshare companies typically generate revenue from both initial sales and ongoing management fees.
HGV was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Orlando, Florida. The companys business model relies on recurring revenue streams from club memberships and resort management, a common characteristic in the hospitality sector.
For more detailed financial analysis, consider exploring ValueRay.
Headlines to watch out for
- Timeshare sales volume drives real estate revenue
- Consumer financing interest rates impact profitability
- Resort operations revenue depends on club membership
- Travel demand fluctuations affect occupancy rates
- Regulatory changes in timeshare industry pose risk
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.5
| Net Income: 116.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.24 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 103.7% < 20% (prev 103.0%; Δ 0.65% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.03 > 3% & CFO 300.0m > Net Income 116.0m |
| Net Debt (6.78b) to EBITDA (1.23b): 5.52 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 5.20 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (95.5m) vs 12m ago -4.50% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 56.69% > 18% (prev 0.57%; Δ 5612 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 43.93% > 50% (prev 43.53%; Δ 0.39% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.22 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 1.23b / Interest Expense TTM 781.0m) |
Altman Z'' 3.55
| A: 0.45 (Total Current Assets 6.48b - Total Current Liabilities 1.25b) / Total Assets 11.54b |
| B: 0.00 (Retained Earnings 34.0m / Total Assets 11.54b) |
| C: 0.08 (EBIT TTM 956.0m / Avg Total Assets 11.49b) |
| D: 0.00 (Book Value of Equity 13.0m / Total Liabilities 10.10b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 3.55 = A |
Beneish M -3.03
| DSRI: 1.01 (Receivables 3.38b/3.32b, Revenue 5.05b/4.98b) |
| GMI: 1.00 (GM 56.69% / 56.92%) |
| AQI: 1.00 (AQ_t 0.36 / AQ_t-1 0.36) |
| SGI: 1.01 (Revenue 5.05b / 4.98b) |
| TATA: -0.02 (NI 116.0m - CFO 300.0m) / TA 11.54b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.03 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of HGV shares?
As of March 10, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 43.22 with a total of 935,413 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.26%, over one month by -7.87%, over three months by +3.35% and over the past year by +15.16%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.26%, over one month by -7.87%, over three months by +3.35% and over the past year by +15.16%.
Is HGV a buy, sell or hold?
Hilton Grand Vacations has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.78.
Therefor, it is recommend to hold HGV.
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the HGV price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 53.5 | 23.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 53.5 | 23.8% |
HGV Fundamental Data Overview March 08, 2026
P/E Trailing = 50.6279
P/E Forward = 11.4416
P/S = 0.8253
P/B = 2.8596
Revenue TTM = 5.05b USD
EBIT TTM = 956.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.23b USD
Long Term Debt = 7.26b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
Debt = 7.35b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 6.78b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 10.50b USD (3.72b + Debt 7.35b - CCE 571.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.22 (Ebit TTM 956.0m / Interest Expense TTM 781.0m)
EV/FCF = 49.55x (Enterprise Value 10.50b / FCF TTM 212.0m)
FCF Yield = 2.02% (FCF TTM 212.0m / Enterprise Value 10.50b)
FCF Margin = 4.20% (FCF TTM 212.0m / Revenue TTM 5.05b)
Net Margin = 2.30% (Net Income TTM 116.0m / Revenue TTM 5.05b)
Gross Margin = 56.69% ((Revenue TTM 5.05b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.19b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 89.12% (prev 58.23%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.91 (Enterprise Value 10.50b / Total Assets 11.54b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 7.43% (Interest Expense 546.0m / Debt 7.35b)
Taxrate = 43.01% (40.0m / 93.0m)
NOPAT = 544.8m (EBIT 956.0m * (1 - 43.01%))
Current Ratio = 5.20 (Total Current Assets 6.48b / Total Current Liabilities 1.25b)
Debt / Equity = 5.70 (Debt 7.35b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.29b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.52 (Net Debt 6.78b / EBITDA 1.23b)
Debt / FCF = 31.98 (Net Debt 6.78b / FCF TTM 212.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.44b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.01% (Net Income 116.0m / Total Assets 11.54b)
RoE = 8.08% (Net Income TTM 116.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.44b)
RoCE = 10.99% (EBIT 956.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.44b + L.T.Debt 7.26b))
RoIC = 6.37% (NOPAT 544.8m / Invested Capital 8.55b)
WACC = 6.62% (E(3.72b)/V(11.07b) * Re(11.34%) + D(7.35b)/V(11.07b) * Rd(7.43%) * (1-Tc(0.43)))
Discount Rate = 11.34% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -7.35%
[DCF] Terminal Value 79.31% ; FCFF base≈200.4m ; Y1≈150.1m ; Y5≈89.2m
[DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 2.25b - Net Debt 6.78b = -4.52b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: -25.49 | EPS CAGR: 21.80% | SUE: -0.98 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 86.85 | Revenue CAGR: 15.40% | SUE: -2.04 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.90 | Chg7d=-0.063 | Chg30d=-0.063 | Revisions Net=-3 | Analysts=8
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.29 | Chg7d=-0.050 | Chg30d=-0.050 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=+106.1% | Growth Revenue=+10.4%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=4.81 | Chg7d=-0.363 | Chg30d=-0.363 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+12.2% | Growth Revenue=+1.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -1.00 (0 Up / 3 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 9.4% (Discount Rate 11.3% - Earnings Yield 2.0%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = +1.4% (Analyst 10.7% - Implied 9.4%)
P/E Forward = 11.4416
P/S = 0.8253
P/B = 2.8596
Revenue TTM = 5.05b USD
EBIT TTM = 956.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.23b USD
Long Term Debt = 7.26b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
Debt = 7.35b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 6.78b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 10.50b USD (3.72b + Debt 7.35b - CCE 571.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.22 (Ebit TTM 956.0m / Interest Expense TTM 781.0m)
EV/FCF = 49.55x (Enterprise Value 10.50b / FCF TTM 212.0m)
FCF Yield = 2.02% (FCF TTM 212.0m / Enterprise Value 10.50b)
FCF Margin = 4.20% (FCF TTM 212.0m / Revenue TTM 5.05b)
Net Margin = 2.30% (Net Income TTM 116.0m / Revenue TTM 5.05b)
Gross Margin = 56.69% ((Revenue TTM 5.05b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.19b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 89.12% (prev 58.23%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.91 (Enterprise Value 10.50b / Total Assets 11.54b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 7.43% (Interest Expense 546.0m / Debt 7.35b)
Taxrate = 43.01% (40.0m / 93.0m)
NOPAT = 544.8m (EBIT 956.0m * (1 - 43.01%))
Current Ratio = 5.20 (Total Current Assets 6.48b / Total Current Liabilities 1.25b)
Debt / Equity = 5.70 (Debt 7.35b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.29b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.52 (Net Debt 6.78b / EBITDA 1.23b)
Debt / FCF = 31.98 (Net Debt 6.78b / FCF TTM 212.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.44b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.01% (Net Income 116.0m / Total Assets 11.54b)
RoE = 8.08% (Net Income TTM 116.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.44b)
RoCE = 10.99% (EBIT 956.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.44b + L.T.Debt 7.26b))
RoIC = 6.37% (NOPAT 544.8m / Invested Capital 8.55b)
WACC = 6.62% (E(3.72b)/V(11.07b) * Re(11.34%) + D(7.35b)/V(11.07b) * Rd(7.43%) * (1-Tc(0.43)))
Discount Rate = 11.34% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -7.35%
[DCF] Terminal Value 79.31% ; FCFF base≈200.4m ; Y1≈150.1m ; Y5≈89.2m
[DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 2.25b - Net Debt 6.78b = -4.52b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: -25.49 | EPS CAGR: 21.80% | SUE: -0.98 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 86.85 | Revenue CAGR: 15.40% | SUE: -2.04 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.90 | Chg7d=-0.063 | Chg30d=-0.063 | Revisions Net=-3 | Analysts=8
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.29 | Chg7d=-0.050 | Chg30d=-0.050 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=+106.1% | Growth Revenue=+10.4%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=4.81 | Chg7d=-0.363 | Chg30d=-0.363 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+12.2% | Growth Revenue=+1.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -1.00 (0 Up / 3 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 9.4% (Discount Rate 11.3% - Earnings Yield 2.0%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = +1.4% (Analyst 10.7% - Implied 9.4%)