Overview Dividends

(HGV) Hilton Grand Vacations - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US43283X1054

Timeshare Points, Villas, Financing, Resort Management

HGV EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS Growth (3Y CAGR): -4.45%
EPS Trend (3Y Correlation): -36.2%

HGV Revenue

Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR): 10.33%
Revenue Trend (3Y Correlation): 88.1%

Risk via 10d forecast
Volatility	37.5%
Value at Risk 5%th	56.0%

Reward
Sharpe Ratio	0.08
Alpha	-19.17

Character
Hurst Exponent	0.620
Beta	1.515

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	36.67%
Mean DD	16.20%

Description: HGV Hilton Grand Vacations November 07, 2025

Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (NYSE:HGV) develops, markets, sells, manages, and operates timeshare resorts and ancillary services under the Hilton Grand Vacations brand across the United States and Europe. The business is split into two segments: (1) Real Estate Sales and Financing, which markets and sells vacation ownership interests (VOIs), sources them via fee-for-service agreements, and provides consumer financing; and (2) Resort Operations and Club Management, which runs the clubs, handles exchange and reservation services, rents inventory generated by ownership exchanges, and delivers on-site amenities such as food-and-beverage, retail, and spa.

Key recent metrics: FY 2023 revenue was about $1.6 billion with an adjusted EBITDA margin near 30%; owned-resort occupancy averaged roughly 85% in 2023, outpacing the broader U.S. hotel RevPAR growth of ~4% YoY. The timeshare market is benefiting from rising discretionary travel spend and a 5% YoY increase in new VOI sales, while higher interest rates are pressuring consumer financing volumes-a sector driver worth monitoring.

For a deeper dive into HGV’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, you might find the data visualizations on ValueRay worth exploring.

HGV Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD	3,402m
Sub-Industry	Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines
IPO / Inception	2017-01-04
Return 12m vs S&P 500	-17.34%
Analyst Rating	3.78 of 5

HGV Dividends

Currently no dividends paid

HGV Growth Ratios

CAGR	-3.20%
CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio	-0.09
CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio	-0.20
Current Volume	1341.3k
Average Volume	900.7k

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.0

Net Income (88.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 299.9m TTM)

FCFTA 0.01 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -2.36pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 49.50% (prev 104.4%; Δ -54.89pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.02 (>3.0%) and CFO 238.0m > Net Income 88.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (6.74b) to EBITDA (708.0m) ratio: 9.52 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 4.90 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (95.5m) change vs 12m ago -6.37% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 40.42% (prev 65.18%; Δ -24.77pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 43.78% (prev 42.28%; Δ 1.50pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 1.42 (EBITDA TTM 708.0m / Interest Expense TTM 314.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 1.68

(A) 0.21 = (Total Current Assets 3.11b - Total Current Liabilities 635.0m) / Total Assets 11.68b

(B) 0.01 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 88.0m / Total Assets 11.68b

(D) 0.01 = Book Value of Equity 77.0m / Total Liabilities 10.14b

Total Rating: 1.68 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 51.17

1. Piotroski 2.0pt = -3.0

2. FCF Yield 1.08% = 0.54

3. FCF Margin 2.26% = 0.57

4. Debt/Equity 5.26 = -2.50

5. Debt/Ebitda 9.52 = -2.50

6. ROIC - WACC (= 2.23)% = 2.79

7. RoE 5.67% = 0.47

8. Rev. Trend 88.10% = 6.61

9. EPS Trend -36.17% = -1.81

What is the price of HGV shares?

As of November 10, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 39.77 with a total of 1,341,335 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.97%, over one month by -4.99%, over three months by -8.60% and over the past year by -6.25%.

Is Hilton Grand Vacations a good stock to buy?

Neither. Based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, Hilton Grand Vacations is currently (November 2025) neither a good nor a bad stock to buy. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 51.17 and therefor a neutral outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of HGV is around 36.64 USD . This means that HGV is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -7.87%.

Is HGV a buy, sell or hold?

Hilton Grand Vacations has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.78. Therefor, it is recommend to hold HGV.

Strong Buy: 3
Buy: 2
Hold: 3
Sell: 1
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the HGV price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	53.1	33.5%
Analysts Target Price	53.1	33.5%
ValueRay Target Price	39.5	-0.8%

HGV Fundamental Data Overview November 10, 2025

Market Cap USD = 3.40b (3.40b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 72.3091
P/E Forward = 11.4416
P/S = 0.7611
P/B = 2.5725
Beta = 1.515
Revenue TTM = 5.00b USD
EBIT TTM = 445.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 708.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 6.92b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 27.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 7.28b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 6.74b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 10.47b USD (3.40b + Debt 7.28b - CCE 215.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.42 (Ebit TTM 445.0m / Interest Expense TTM 314.0m)
FCF Yield = 1.08% (FCF TTM 113.0m / Enterprise Value 10.47b)
FCF Margin = 2.26% (FCF TTM 113.0m / Revenue TTM 5.00b)
Net Margin = 1.76% (Net Income TTM 88.0m / Revenue TTM 5.00b)
Gross Margin = 40.42% ((Revenue TTM 5.00b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.98b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 58.23% (prev 24.33%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.90 (Enterprise Value 10.47b / Total Assets 11.68b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.08% (Interest Expense 79.0m / Debt 7.28b)
Taxrate = -33.33% (negative due to tax credits) (-15.0m / 45.0m)
NOPAT = 593.3m (EBIT 445.0m * (1 - -33.33%)) [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 4.90 (Total Current Assets 3.11b / Total Current Liabilities 635.0m)
Debt / Equity = 5.26 (Debt 7.28b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.39b)
Debt / EBITDA = 9.52 (Net Debt 6.74b / EBITDA 708.0m)
Debt / FCF = 59.64 (Net Debt 6.74b / FCF TTM 113.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.55b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.75% (Net Income 88.0m / Total Assets 11.68b)
RoE = 5.67% (Net Income TTM 88.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.55b)
RoCE = 5.25% (EBIT 445.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.55b + L.T.Debt 6.92b))
RoIC = 6.91% (NOPAT 593.3m / Invested Capital 8.58b)
WACC = 4.68% (E(3.40b)/V(10.68b) * Re(11.60%) + D(7.28b)/V(10.68b) * Rd(1.08%) * (1-Tc(-0.33)))
Discount Rate = 11.60% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -6.82%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 59.93% ; FCFE base≈216.2m ; Y1≈162.6m ; Y5≈97.7m
Fair Price DCF = 13.18 (DCF Value 1.13b / Shares Outstanding 85.5m; 5y FCF grow -29.35% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -36.17 | EPS CAGR: -4.45% | SUE: -1.45 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 88.10 | Revenue CAGR: 10.33% | SUE: -1.20 | # QB: 0

Additional Sources for HGV Stock

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