(HGV) Hilton Grand Vacations - Overview
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US43283X1054
Stock:
Total Rating 33
Risk 74
Buy Signal -0.27
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 37.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -8.48% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.25 |
| Alpha | -11.49 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.454 |
| Beta Downside | 1.480 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 36.67% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.05 |
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Risks
Fundamental:
P/E ratio: 88.2546
Description: HGV Hilton Grand Vacations
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. develops, markets, sells, manages, and operates the resorts, timeshare plans, and ancillary reservation services under the Hilton Grand Vacations brand in the United States and Europe. It operates through two segments: Real Estate Sales and Financing, and Resort Operations and Club Management segments. The Real Estate Sales and Financing segment market and sells the VOIs, and source VOIs through fee-for-service agreements; and provides consumer financing and services loans. The Resort Operations and Club Management segment manages and operates the clubs which provides exchange, leisure travel, and reservation services, as well as engages in the rental of inventory made available due to ownership exchanges through its club programs, and provides ancillary services including food and beverage, retail and spa at timeshare properties. Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Orlando, Florida.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0
| Net Income: 88.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.13 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 95.92% < 20% (prev 104.4%; Δ -8.47% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.02 > 3% & CFO 238.0m > Net Income 88.0m |
| Net Debt (7.07b) to EBITDA (708.0m): 9.98 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 3.82 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (95.5m) vs 12m ago -6.37% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 40.42% > 18% (prev 0.65%; Δ 3976 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 43.78% > 50% (prev 42.28%; Δ 1.50% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.42 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 708.0m / Interest Expense TTM 314.0m) |
Altman Z'' 2.99
| A: 0.41 (Total Current Assets 6.50b - Total Current Liabilities 1.70b) / Total Assets 11.68b |
| B: 0.01 (Retained Earnings 88.0m / Total Assets 11.68b) |
| C: 0.04 (EBIT TTM 445.0m / Avg Total Assets 11.42b) |
| D: 0.01 (Book Value of Equity 77.0m / Total Liabilities 10.14b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 2.99 = A |
Beneish M -2.48
| DSRI: 0.97 (Receivables 3.50b/3.41b, Revenue 5.00b/4.72b) |
| GMI: 1.61 (GM 40.42% / 65.18%) |
| AQI: 0.99 (AQ_t 0.36 / AQ_t-1 0.37) |
| SGI: 1.06 (Revenue 5.00b / 4.72b) |
| TATA: -0.01 (NI 88.0m - CFO 238.0m) / TA 11.68b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.48 (Cap -4..+1) = BBB |
What is the price of HGV shares?
As of February 28, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 44.96 with a total of 1,221,372 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -7.38%, over one month by +0.90%, over three months by +4.97% and over the past year by +5.79%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -7.38%, over one month by +0.90%, over three months by +4.97% and over the past year by +5.79%.
Is HGV a buy, sell or hold?
Hilton Grand Vacations has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.78.
Therefor, it is recommend to hold HGV.
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the HGV price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 52 | 15.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 52 | 15.7% |
HGV Fundamental Data Overview February 24, 2026
P/E Trailing = 88.2546
P/E Forward = 11.4416
P/S = 0.9569
P/B = 2.5725
Revenue TTM = 5.00b USD
EBIT TTM = 445.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 708.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 7.19b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 27.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 7.28b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 7.07b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 11.34b USD (4.28b + Debt 7.28b - CCE 215.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.42 (Ebit TTM 445.0m / Interest Expense TTM 314.0m)
EV/FCF = 100.4x (Enterprise Value 11.34b / FCF TTM 113.0m)
FCF Yield = 1.00% (FCF TTM 113.0m / Enterprise Value 11.34b)
FCF Margin = 2.26% (FCF TTM 113.0m / Revenue TTM 5.00b)
Net Margin = 1.76% (Net Income TTM 88.0m / Revenue TTM 5.00b)
Gross Margin = 40.42% ((Revenue TTM 5.00b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.98b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 58.23% (prev 24.33%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.97 (Enterprise Value 11.34b / Total Assets 11.68b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.08% (Interest Expense 79.0m / Debt 7.28b)
Taxrate = 33.33% (15.0m / 45.0m)
NOPAT = 296.7m (EBIT 445.0m * (1 - 33.33%))
Current Ratio = 3.82 (Total Current Assets 6.50b / Total Current Liabilities 1.70b)
Debt / Equity = 5.26 (Debt 7.28b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.39b)
Debt / EBITDA = 9.98 (Net Debt 7.07b / EBITDA 708.0m)
Debt / FCF = 62.54 (Net Debt 7.07b / FCF TTM 113.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.55b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.77% (Net Income 88.0m / Total Assets 11.68b)
RoE = 5.67% (Net Income TTM 88.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.55b)
RoCE = 5.09% (EBIT 445.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.55b + L.T.Debt 7.19b))
RoIC = 3.46% (NOPAT 296.7m / Invested Capital 8.58b)
WACC = 4.63% (E(4.28b)/V(11.56b) * Re(11.27%) + D(7.28b)/V(11.56b) * Rd(1.08%) * (1-Tc(0.33)))
Discount Rate = 11.27% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -6.82%
[DCF] Terminal Value 82.87% ; FCFF base≈116.6m ; Y1≈87.3m ; Y5≈51.9m
[DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 1.61b - Net Debt 7.07b = -5.45b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: -51.78 | EPS CAGR: -36.00% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 87.85 | Revenue CAGR: 12.42% | SUE: -1.20 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.65 | Chg7d=-0.020 | Chg30d=-0.020 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=7
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.34 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=-0.041 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+79.0% | Growth Revenue=+8.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -1.00 (0 Up / 1 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 10.1% (Discount Rate 11.3% - Earnings Yield 1.1%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = +2.1% (Analyst 12.3% - Implied 10.1%)
P/E Forward = 11.4416
P/S = 0.9569
P/B = 2.5725
Revenue TTM = 5.00b USD
EBIT TTM = 445.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 708.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 7.19b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 27.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 7.28b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 7.07b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 11.34b USD (4.28b + Debt 7.28b - CCE 215.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.42 (Ebit TTM 445.0m / Interest Expense TTM 314.0m)
EV/FCF = 100.4x (Enterprise Value 11.34b / FCF TTM 113.0m)
FCF Yield = 1.00% (FCF TTM 113.0m / Enterprise Value 11.34b)
FCF Margin = 2.26% (FCF TTM 113.0m / Revenue TTM 5.00b)
Net Margin = 1.76% (Net Income TTM 88.0m / Revenue TTM 5.00b)
Gross Margin = 40.42% ((Revenue TTM 5.00b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.98b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 58.23% (prev 24.33%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.97 (Enterprise Value 11.34b / Total Assets 11.68b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.08% (Interest Expense 79.0m / Debt 7.28b)
Taxrate = 33.33% (15.0m / 45.0m)
NOPAT = 296.7m (EBIT 445.0m * (1 - 33.33%))
Current Ratio = 3.82 (Total Current Assets 6.50b / Total Current Liabilities 1.70b)
Debt / Equity = 5.26 (Debt 7.28b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.39b)
Debt / EBITDA = 9.98 (Net Debt 7.07b / EBITDA 708.0m)
Debt / FCF = 62.54 (Net Debt 7.07b / FCF TTM 113.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.55b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.77% (Net Income 88.0m / Total Assets 11.68b)
RoE = 5.67% (Net Income TTM 88.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.55b)
RoCE = 5.09% (EBIT 445.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.55b + L.T.Debt 7.19b))
RoIC = 3.46% (NOPAT 296.7m / Invested Capital 8.58b)
WACC = 4.63% (E(4.28b)/V(11.56b) * Re(11.27%) + D(7.28b)/V(11.56b) * Rd(1.08%) * (1-Tc(0.33)))
Discount Rate = 11.27% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -6.82%
[DCF] Terminal Value 82.87% ; FCFF base≈116.6m ; Y1≈87.3m ; Y5≈51.9m
[DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 1.61b - Net Debt 7.07b = -5.45b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: -51.78 | EPS CAGR: -36.00% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 87.85 | Revenue CAGR: 12.42% | SUE: -1.20 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.65 | Chg7d=-0.020 | Chg30d=-0.020 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=7
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.34 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=-0.041 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+79.0% | Growth Revenue=+8.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -1.00 (0 Up / 1 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 10.1% (Discount Rate 11.3% - Earnings Yield 1.1%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = +2.1% (Analyst 12.3% - Implied 10.1%)