HLI Stock Analysis: Houlihan Lokey | NYSE

Capital Markets | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 8.993m USD | 12M Return: -31.8% | US4415931009 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Mergers Acquisitions, Capital Markets, Financial Restructuring, Valuation Advisory
Total Rating 35
Safety 77
Buy Signal -1.32
Capital Markets
Industry Rotation: +9.2
Market Cap: 8.99B
Avg Turnover: 115M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility32.6%
VaR 5th Pctl5.73%
VaR vs Median6.79%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-1.25
Rel. Str. IBD3.8
Rel. Str. Peer Group4.5
Character TTM
Beta1.115
Beta Downside1.381
Hurst Exponent0.508
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD40.30%
CAGR/Max DD0.24
CAGR/Mean DD1.00
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of HLI over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 1.19, "2021-09": 1.71, "2021-12": 2.9, "2022-03": 1.3, "2022-06": 1.1, "2022-09": 1.19, "2022-12": 1.14, "2023-03": 1.11, "2023-06": 0.89, "2023-09": 1.11, "2023-12": 1.22, "2024-03": 1.27, "2024-06": 1.22, "2024-09": 1.46, "2024-12": 1.64, "2025-03": 1.96, "2025-06": 2.14, "2025-09": 1.84, "2025-12": 1.94, "2026-03": 1.63, "2026-06": 1.35,
EPS CAGR: 27.59%
EPS Trend: 93.5%
Last SUE: -1.53
Qual. Beats: -2
Revenue Revenue of HLI over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 372.722, 2021-09: 537.272, 2021-12: 888.798, 2022-03: 471.166, 2022-06: 418.644, 2022-09: 489.537, 2022-12: 456.499, 2023-03: 444.767, 2023-06: 415.829, 2023-09: 466.989, 2023-12: 511.13, 2024-03: 520.456, 2024-06: 513.609, 2024-09: 574.957, 2024-12: 634.428, 2025-03: 666.422, 2025-06: 605.349, 2025-09: 659.452, 2025-12: 717.072, 2026-03: 635.643, 2026-06: 511,
Rev. CAGR: 16.65%
Rev. Trend: 96.1%
Last SUE: -3.27
Qual. Beats: -2

Warnings

Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11 years of data

Jan +0.1% 13
Feb -2.9% 31
Mar -4.1% 33
Apr -2.0% 15
May +0.4% 2
Jun -0.1% 5
Jul +3.2% 32
Aug -1.0% 0
Sep -0.7% 39
Oct +1.4% 14
Nov +3.0% 27
Dec -1.5% 16

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: HLI Houlihan Lokey

Houlihan Lokey (NYSE: HLI) is a U.S.-based, mid-cap global investment bank headquartered in Los Angeles, California, founded in 1972 and listed on the NYSE since August 2015. The firm is classified within the GICS Investment Banking & Brokerage sub-industry and operates as a pure advisory and financial services provider, generating revenue primarily from transaction and advisory fees rather than principal trading.

The company is organized into three reportable segments: Corporate Finance (CF), Financial Restructuring (FR), and Financial and Valuation Advisory (FVA). The CF segment provides M&A advisory and capital markets services to public and private companies and financial sponsors. The FR segment advises debtors, creditors, and other stakeholders on recapitalizations, reorganizations, liability management, and related disputes. The FVA segment delivers valuation, fairness and solvency opinions, transaction-related advisory work, and dispute resolution services.

Houlihan Lokey serves a client base of corporations, financial sponsors, and government agencies across multiple geographies. Its financial restructuring practice is widely recognized as one of the larger dedicated restructuring advisory platforms in the global investment banking industry.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • M&A deal pipeline strengthens Corporate Finance advisory revenue
  • Financial Restructuring segment benefits from rising distressed credit cycle
  • Capital return program expands with steady dividend and buybacks
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 7.0
Net Income: 406.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.13 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -7.98 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 12.29% < 20% (prev 17.96%; Δ -5.67% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.13 > 3% & CFO 499.8m > Net Income 406.2m
Net Debt (-304.0m) to EBITDA (594.4m): -0.51 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.44 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (67.6m) vs 12m ago -1.87% < -2%
Gross Margin: 50.79% > 18% (prev 38.50%; Δ 12.29% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 69.75% > 50% (prev 70.53%; Δ -0.78% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 58.43 > 6 (EBIT TTM 559.8m / Interest Expense TTM 9.58m)
Altman Z'' 4.80
A: 0.08 (Total Current Assets 1.02b - Total Current Liabilities 711.0m) / Total Assets 3.72b
B: 0.45 (Retained Earnings 1.67b / Total Assets 3.72b)
C: 0.15 (EBIT TTM 559.8m / Avg Total Assets 3.62b)
D: 1.67 (Book Value of Equity 2.25b / Total Liabilities 1.35b)
Altman-Z'' = 4.80 = AA
Beneish M -3.52
DSRI: 0.55 (Receivables 224.0m/401.5m, Revenue 2.52b/2.48b)
GMI: 0.76 (GM 38.50% / 50.79%)
AQI: 1.15 (AQ_t 0.58 / AQ_t-1 0.50)
SGI: 1.02 (Revenue 2.52b / 2.48b)
TATA: -0.03 (NI 406.2m - CFO 499.8m) / TA 3.72b)
Beneish M = -3.52 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA
What is the price of HLI shares?

As of August 22, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 129.05 with a total of 797,546 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.29%, over one month by -7.74%, over three months by -14.42% and over the past year by -31.77%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 121.80 (which is 5.6% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).

Is HLI a buy, sell or hold?

Houlihan Lokey has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.44. Therefore, it is recommended to hold HLI.

  • StrongBuy: 2
  • Buy: 2
  • Hold: 4
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 1

What are the forecasts/targets for the HLI price?
Analysts Target Price 153.5 18.9%
Houlihan Lokey (HLI) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 17 August 2026
Market Cap USD = 8.99b (8.99b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 21.6269
P/E Forward = 14.881
P/S = 3.5637
P/B = 3.988
P/EG = 6.54
Revenue TTM = 2.52b USD
EBIT TTM = 559.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 594.4m USD
 Long Term Debt = unknown (none)
 Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
 Debt = 493.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 493.0m already included)
Net Debt = -304.0m USD (calculated: Debt 493.0m - CCE 797.0m)
Enterprise Value = 8.69b USD (8.99b + Debt 493.0m - CCE 797.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 58.43 (Ebit TTM 559.8m / Interest Expense TTM 9.58m)
EV/FCF = 17.93x (Enterprise Value 8.69b / FCF TTM 484.6m)
FCF Yield = 5.58% (FCF TTM 484.6m / Enterprise Value 8.69b)
FCF Margin = 19.21% (FCF TTM 484.6m / Revenue TTM 2.52b)
Net Margin = 16.10% (Net Income TTM 406.2m / Revenue TTM 2.52b)
Gross Margin = 50.79% ((Revenue TTM 2.52b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.24b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 30.72% (prev none%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.34 (Enterprise Value 8.69b / Total Assets 3.72b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.94% (Interest Expense 9.58m / Debt 493.0m)
Taxrate = 26.46% (145.6m / 550.2m)
NOPAT = 411.7m (EBIT 559.8m * (1 - 26.46%))
Current Ratio = 1.44 (Total Current Assets 1.02b / Total Current Liabilities 711.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.22 (Debt 493.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.25b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.51 (Net Debt -304.0m / EBITDA 594.4m)
Debt / FCF = -0.63 (Net Debt -304.0m / FCF TTM 484.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.28b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 11.23% (Net Income 406.2m / Total Assets 3.72b)
RoE = 17.78% (Net Income TTM 406.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.28b)
RoCE = 18.62% (EBIT 559.8m / Capital Employed (Total Assets 3.72b - Current Liab 711.0m))
RoIC = 14.30% (NOPAT 411.7m / Invested Capital 2.88b)
WACC = 9.46% (E(8.99b)/V(9.49b) * Re(9.90%) + D(493.0m)/V(9.49b) * Rd(1.94%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 9.90% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -50.03 | Cagr: -0.58%
[DCF] Terminal Value 69.06% ; FCFF base≈586.6m ; Y1≈514.4m ; Y5≈415.6m
[DCF] Fair Price = 109.7 (EV 5.64b - Net Debt -304.0m = Equity 5.94b / Shares 54.2m; r=9.46% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 93.45 | EPS CAGR: 27.59% | SUE: -1.53 | # QB: -2
Revenue Correlation: 96.12 | Revenue CAGR: 16.65% | SUE: -3.27 | # QB: -2
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.67 | Chg30d=-14.09% | Revisions=-73% | Analysts=10
EPS next Quarter (2026-12-31): EPS=1.98 | Chg30d=-7.98% | Revisions=-55% | Analysts=10
EPS current Year (2027-03-31): EPS=7.03 | Chg30d=-12.01% | Revisions=-73% | GrowthEPS=-7.0% | GrowthRev=+0.9%
EPS next Year (2028-03-31): EPS=8.80 | Chg30d=-6.88% | Revisions=-55% | GrowthEPS=+25.2% | GrowthRev=+18.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -80% (up=2, down=30)