Overview Dividends

(HLLY) Holley - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US43538H1032

Carburetors, Fuel-Injection, Superchargers, Exhaust, Tuners, Ignition

HLLY EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS Growth (3Y CAGR): 308.03%
EPS Trend (3Y Correlation): 30.0%

HLLY Revenue

Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR): 2.73%
Revenue Trend (3Y Correlation): -28.3%

Description: HLLY Holley October 28, 2025

Holley Inc. (NYSE:HLLY) designs, manufactures and distributes a broad portfolio of performance-oriented automotive aftermarket parts-including carburetors, fuel-injection systems, superchargers, exhaust components and transmission kits-under brands such as Holley, MSD, Flowmaster and Superchips. The company serves car- and truck-enthusiasts primarily in the United States, Canada and Europe through direct-to-consumer, e-tailer, wholesale-distributor and job-installer channels, and has operated since its 1903 founding out of Bowling Green, Kentucky.

Key recent metrics: FY 2023 revenue reached roughly **$400 million**, up about **6 % YoY**, with a **gross margin near 39 %**-both modestly above the historical average for the aftermarket segment. The U.S. automotive-aftermarket market is projected to grow at a **~4 % CAGR through 2029**, driven by an aging vehicle fleet and a sustained DIY performance-tuning culture. However, tightening emissions standards and the gradual shift toward electric powertrains represent a structural headwind for internal-combustion-engine performance parts.

For a deeper quantitative view of Holley’s valuation and risk profile, you may want to explore its data on ValueRay.

HLLY Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD	346m
Sub-Industry	Automotive Parts & Equipment
IPO / Inception	2020-11-27

HLLY Stock Ratings

Growth Rating	-21.7%
Fundamental	43.4%
Dividend Rating	-
Return 12m vs S&P 500	-8.74%
Analyst Rating	4.22 of 5

HLLY Dividends

Currently no dividends paid

HLLY Growth Ratios

Growth Correlation 3m	-51%
Growth Correlation 12m	11.5%
Growth Correlation 5y	-76%
CAGR 5y	-6.62%
CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio)	-0.09
CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio)	-0.14
Sharpe Ratio 12m	-0.06
Alpha	-21.29
Beta	1.372
Volatility	65.77%
Current Volume	338.1k
Average Volume 20d	362.7k
Stop Loss	2.7 (-6.2%)
Signal	-0.31

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0

Net Income (-30.4m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 35.6m TTM)

FCFTA 0.02 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -5.45pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 33.62% (prev 30.23%; Δ 3.39pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.03 (>3.0%) and CFO 35.0m > Net Income -30.4m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (491.8m) to EBITDA (50.7m) ratio: 9.71 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 2.93 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (119.8m) change vs 12m ago 0.44% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 43.23% (prev 36.01%; Δ 7.22pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 50.40% (prev 53.45%; Δ -3.05pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 0.39 (EBITDA TTM 50.7m / Interest Expense TTM 55.6m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 1.50

(A) 0.17 = (Total Current Assets 303.2m - Total Current Liabilities 103.6m) / Total Assets 1.16b

(B) 0.05 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 58.4m / Total Assets 1.16b

(D) 0.08 = Book Value of Equity 58.2m / Total Liabilities 720.4m

Total Rating: 1.50 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 43.37

1. Piotroski 3.0pt = -2.0

2. FCF Yield 2.97% = 1.48

3. FCF Margin 4.18% = 1.05

4. Debt/Equity 1.27 = 1.75

5. Debt/Ebitda 9.71 = -2.50

6. ROIC - WACC (= -3.70)% = -4.63

7. RoE -6.98% = -1.16

8. Rev. Trend -28.26% = -2.12

9. EPS Trend 30.03% = 1.50

What is the price of HLLY shares?

As of October 31, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 2.88 with a total of 338,074 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.71%, over one month by -10.84%, over three months by +33.33% and over the past year by +8.27%.

Is Holley a good stock to buy?

No, based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, Holley (NYSE:HLLY) is currently (October 2025) a stock to sell. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 43.37 and therefor a negative outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of HLLY is around 2.56 USD . This means that HLLY is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -11.11%.

Is HLLY a buy, sell or hold?

Holley has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.22. Therefore, it is recommended to buy HLLY.

Strong Buy: 5
Buy: 1
Hold: 3
Sell: 0
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the HLLY price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	3.9	36.1%
Analysts Target Price	3.9	36.1%
ValueRay Target Price	2.8	-3.8%

HLLY Fundamental Data Overview October 20, 2025

Market Cap USD = 345.8m (345.8m USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 7.7519
P/S = 0.5824
P/B = 0.8532
Beta = 1.372
Revenue TTM = 593.8m USD
EBIT TTM = 21.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 50.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 543.3m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 12.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 555.6m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 491.8m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 837.6m USD (345.8m + Debt 555.6m - CCE 63.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.39 (Ebit TTM 21.8m / Interest Expense TTM 55.6m)
FCF Yield = 2.97% (FCF TTM 24.8m / Enterprise Value 837.6m)
FCF Margin = 4.18% (FCF TTM 24.8m / Revenue TTM 593.8m)
Net Margin = -5.12% (Net Income TTM -30.4m / Revenue TTM 593.8m)
Gross Margin = 43.23% ((Revenue TTM 593.8m - Cost of Revenue TTM 337.1m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 41.74% (prev 41.88%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.72 (Enterprise Value 837.6m / Total Assets 1.16b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.41% (Interest Expense 13.4m / Debt 555.6m)
Taxrate = 24.38% (3.50m / 14.4m)
NOPAT = 16.5m (EBIT 21.8m * (1 - 24.38%))
Current Ratio = 2.93 (Total Current Assets 303.2m / Total Current Liabilities 103.6m)
Debt / Equity = 1.27 (Debt 555.6m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 437.8m)
Debt / EBITDA = 9.71 (Net Debt 491.8m / EBITDA 50.7m)
Debt / FCF = 19.80 (Net Debt 491.8m / FCF TTM 24.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 435.6m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -2.62% (Net Income -30.4m / Total Assets 1.16b)
RoE = -6.98% (Net Income TTM -30.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 435.6m)
RoCE = 2.22% (EBIT 21.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 435.6m + L.T.Debt 543.3m))
RoIC = 1.67% (NOPAT 16.5m / Invested Capital 988.2m)
WACC = 5.37% (E(345.8m)/V(901.5m) * Re(11.07%) + D(555.6m)/V(901.5m) * Rd(2.41%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 11.07% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.09%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 58.15% ; FCFE base≈51.3m ; Y1≈33.7m ; Y5≈15.4m
Fair Price DCF = 1.66 (DCF Value 199.9m / Shares Outstanding 120.5m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 30.03 | EPS CAGR: 308.0% | SUE: -1.07 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -28.26 | Revenue CAGR: 2.73% | SUE: 0.97 | # QB: 2

Additional Sources for HLLY Stock

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