(HLLY) Holley - Overview

Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Auto Parts | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 374m USD | Total Return: 31.7% in 12m

Automotive Parts, Performance Parts, Engine Components, Exhaust
Total Rating 43
Safety 69
Buy Signal -0.19
Auto Parts
Industry Rotation: +14.4
Market Cap: 374M
Avg Turnover: 2.78M USD
ATR: 5.60%
Peers RS (IBD): 50.0
Risk 5d forecast
Volatility57.3%
Rel. Tail Risk-12.3%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.64
Alpha-23.05
Character TTM
Beta1.525
Beta Downside2.362
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD77.59%
CAGR/Max DD0.17
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of HLLY over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": 0.175, "2021-06": 0.235, "2021-09": 0.12, "2021-12": 0.08, "2022-03": 0.19, "2022-06": 0.11, "2022-09": -0.04, "2022-12": -0.19, "2023-03": 0.05, "2023-06": 0.14, "2023-09": 0.03, "2023-12": 0.0101, "2024-03": 0.0312, "2024-06": 0.1, "2024-09": -0.01, "2024-12": 0.11, "2025-03": 0.02, "2025-06": 0.09, "2025-09": 0.03, "2025-12": 0.04, "2026-03": 0,
EPS CAGR: -11.29%
EPS Trend: 15.7%
Last SUE: -1.62
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of HLLY over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 160.332, 2021-06: 193.041, 2021-09: 159.673, 2021-12: 179.801, 2022-03: 200.055, 2022-06: 179.42, 2022-09: 154.775, 2022-12: 154.165, 2023-03: 172.205, 2023-06: 175.262, 2023-09: 156.53, 2023-12: 155.707, 2024-03: 158.636, 2024-06: 169.496, 2024-09: 134.038, 2024-12: 140.054, 2025-03: 153.044, 2025-06: 166.661, 2025-09: 138.373, 2025-12: 155.436, 2026-03: null,
Rev. CAGR: -6.51%
Rev. Trend: -60.8%
Last SUE: 2.76
Qual. Beats: 4

Warnings

Volatile

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: HLLY Holley

Holley Inc. designs, manufactures, and distributes aftermarket automotive performance products. The companys product range includes carburetors, fuel systems, superchargers, and exhaust components. These products cater to car and truck enthusiasts in North America and Europe.

The company utilizes a multi-channel distribution strategy, including direct-to-consumer (DTC), e-tailers, and wholesale distributors. The automotive aftermarket sector is characterized by a diverse product offering catering to vehicle customization and performance enhancement. Holley operates under numerous brands, such as Holley EFI, MSD, and Flowmaster.

To gain a deeper understanding of Holleys market position, further research on ValueRay is recommended.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Automotive enthusiast spending impacts aftermarket product demand
  • Raw material costs influence manufacturing profitability
  • Supply chain disruptions affect product availability and delivery
  • Competition from other aftermarket brands pressures market share
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict) 3.5
Net Income: 19.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.31 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 32.77% < 20% (prev 33.57%; Δ -0.80% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.04 > 3% & CFO 48.9m > Net Income 19.2m
Net Debt (485.4m) to EBITDA (105.9m): 4.58 < 3
Current Ratio: 2.75 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (121.5m) vs 12m ago 2.60% < -2%
Gross Margin: 42.83% > 18% (prev 0.41%; Δ 4.24k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 53.41% > 50% (prev 53.14%; Δ 0.27% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.54 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 105.9m / Interest Expense TTM 51.8m)
Altman Z'' 1.87
A: 0.17 (Total Current Assets 316.2m - Total Current Liabilities 115.1m) / Total Assets 1.16b
B: 0.05 (Retained Earnings 63.9m / Total Assets 1.16b)
C: 0.07 (EBIT TTM 79.7m / Avg Total Assets 1.15b)
D: 0.09 (Book Value of Equity 64.1m / Total Liabilities 715.0m)
Altman-Z'' Score: 1.87 = BBB
Beneish M -2.59
DSRI: 1.57 (Receivables 57.9m/36.1m, Revenue 613.5m/602.2m)
GMI: 0.96 (GM 42.83% / 40.97%)
AQI: 1.03 (AQ_t 0.69 / AQ_t-1 0.67)
SGI: 1.02 (Revenue 613.5m / 602.2m)
TATA: -0.03 (NI 19.2m - CFO 48.9m) / TA 1.16b)
Beneish M-Score: -2.59 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of HLLY shares? As of April 13, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 3.12 with a total of 443,679 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.65%, over one month by +4.00%, over three months by -25.89% and over the past year by +31.65%.
Is HLLY a buy, sell or hold? Holley has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.22. Therefore, it is recommended to buy HLLY.
  • StrongBuy: 5
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 3
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the HLLY price?
Analysts Target Price 5.2 65.7%
Holley (HLLY) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 13 April 2026
P/E Trailing = 19.5
P/E Forward = 7.6104
P/S = 0.6095
P/B = 0.8329
P/EG = 0.2718
Revenue TTM = 613.5m USD
EBIT TTM = 79.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = 105.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 516.1m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 6.57m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 522.6m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 485.4m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 859.3m USD (373.9m + Debt 522.6m - CCE 37.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.54 (Ebit TTM 79.7m / Interest Expense TTM 51.8m)
EV/FCF = 59.95x (Enterprise Value 859.3m / FCF TTM 14.3m)
FCF Yield = 1.67% (FCF TTM 14.3m / Enterprise Value 859.3m)
FCF Margin = 2.34% (FCF TTM 14.3m / Revenue TTM 613.5m)
Net Margin = 3.13% (Net Income TTM 19.2m / Revenue TTM 613.5m)
Gross Margin = 42.83% ((Revenue TTM 613.5m - Cost of Revenue TTM 350.7m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 44.59% (prev 43.24%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.74 (Enterprise Value 859.3m / Total Assets 1.16b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.20% (Interest Expense 11.5m / Debt 522.6m)
Taxrate = 36.42% (3.61m / 9.91m)
NOPAT = 50.7m (EBIT 79.7m * (1 - 36.42%))
Current Ratio = 2.75 (Total Current Assets 316.2m / Total Current Liabilities 115.1m)
Debt / Equity = 1.16 (Debt 522.6m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 448.9m)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.58 (Net Debt 485.4m / EBITDA 105.9m)
Debt / FCF = 33.86 (Net Debt 485.4m / FCF TTM 14.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 437.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.67% (Net Income 19.2m / Total Assets 1.16b)
RoE = 4.38% (Net Income TTM 19.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 437.8m)
RoCE = 8.35% (EBIT 79.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 437.8m + L.T.Debt 516.1m))
RoIC = 5.18% (NOPAT 50.7m / Invested Capital 977.7m)
WACC = 5.55% (E(373.9m)/V(896.6m) * Re(11.35%) + D(522.6m)/V(896.6m) * Rd(2.20%) * (1-Tc(0.36)))
Discount Rate = 11.35% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.81%
[DCF] Terminal Value 80.82% ; FCFF base≈24.6m ; Y1≈16.2m ; Y5≈7.40m
 [DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 234.8m - Net Debt 485.4m = -250.6m; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
 EPS Correlation: 15.69 | EPS CAGR: -11.29% | SUE: -1.62 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -60.81 | Revenue CAGR: -6.51% | SUE: 2.76 | # QB: 4
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.12 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=-3 | Analysts=6
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.34 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=-6 | Growth EPS=+88.9% | Growth Revenue=+3.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.42 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+23.5% | Growth Revenue=+4.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -0.60 (1 Up / 4 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 6.2% (Discount Rate 11.3% - Earnings Yield 5.1%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = -2.4% (Analyst 3.9% - Implied 6.2%)
External Resources
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