(HLT) Hilton Worldwide Holdings - Overview

Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Lodging | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 72.114m USD | Total Return: 25.5% in 12m

Hotels, Resorts, Timeshares, Hospitality Management
Total Rating 58
Safety 46
Buy Signal -0.19
Lodging
Industry Rotation: -9.3
Market Cap: 72.1B
Avg Turnover: 515M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility24.6%
VaR 5th Pctl4.40%
VaR vs Median8.71%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.93
Rel. Str. IBD58.5
Rel. Str. Peer Group68.5
Character TTM
Beta0.953
Beta Downside1.024
Hurst Exponent0.543
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD26.35%
CAGR/Max DD1.16
CAGR/Mean DD7.72
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of HLT over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": 0.02, "2021-06": 0.56, "2021-09": 0.78, "2021-12": 0.72, "2022-03": 0.71, "2022-06": 1.29, "2022-09": 1.31, "2022-12": 1.59, "2023-03": 1.24, "2023-06": 1.63, "2023-09": 1.67, "2023-12": 1.68, "2024-03": 1.53, "2024-06": 1.91, "2024-09": 1.92, "2024-12": 1.76, "2025-03": 1.23, "2025-06": 2.2, "2025-09": 2.11, "2025-12": 2.08, "2026-03": 2.01,
EPS CAGR: 12.55%
EPS Trend: 62.8%
Last SUE: 0.46
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of HLT over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 874, 2021-06: 1329, 2021-09: 1749, 2021-12: 1836, 2022-03: 1721, 2022-06: 2240, 2022-09: 2368, 2022-12: 2444, 2023-03: 2293, 2023-06: 2660, 2023-09: 2673, 2023-12: 2609, 2024-03: 2573, 2024-06: 2951, 2024-09: 2867, 2024-12: 2783, 2025-03: 2695, 2025-06: 3137, 2025-09: 3120, 2025-12: 3087, 2026-03: 2937,
Rev. CAGR: 7.49%
Rev. Trend: 89.4%
Last SUE: -0.23
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Altman Z'' 0.13 < 1.0 - financial distress zone

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: HLT Hilton Worldwide Holdings

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) is a global hospitality company headquartered in McLean, Virginia, operating a diverse portfolio of luxury, full-service, and focused-service brands. The company’s business model is primarily asset-light, focusing on the Management and Franchise segment where it earns recurring fees through brand licensing and third-party property management. This structure allows for geographic expansion across North America, Europe, and Asia Pacific with lower capital intensity compared to traditional hotel ownership.

The firm maintains a broad market presence through brands ranging from Waldorf Astoria to Hampton by Hilton, catering to both transient business travelers and leisure guests. Within the hotel sector, high brand loyalty and global distribution systems serve as significant barriers to entry for new competitors. Investors seeking deeper insights into these competitive moats may find further analysis on ValueRay beneficial to their process. Founded in 1919, Hilton remains a foundational entity within the Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines GICS sub-industry.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Systemwide RevPAR growth driven by international luxury and business travel recovery
  • Net unit growth acceleration through rapid conversion and midscale brand expansion
  • High-margin fee revenue stability from asset-light management and franchise business model
  • Macroeconomic sensitivity to corporate discretionary spending and consumer interest rate pressures
  • Hilton Honors loyalty program expansion increases direct booking share and reduces commissions
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict) 6.5
Net Income: 1.54b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.13 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.38 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -14.53% < 20% (prev -18.33%; Δ 3.81% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 2.29b > Net Income 1.54b
Net Debt (12.44b) to EBITDA (3.00b): 4.14 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.61 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (232.0m) vs 12m ago -4.53% < -2%
Gross Margin: 44.29% > 18% (prev 0.27%; Δ 4.40k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 75.74% > 50% (prev 70.41%; Δ 5.33% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.42 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 3.00b / Interest Expense TTM 637.0m)
Altman Z'' 0.13
A: -0.11 (Total Current Assets 2.77b - Total Current Liabilities 4.56b) / Total Assets 16.39b
B: -0.07 (Retained Earnings -1.16b / Total Assets 16.39b)
C: 0.17 (EBIT TTM 2.82b / Avg Total Assets 16.21b)
D: -0.09 (Book Value of Equity -1.90b / Total Liabilities 22.25b)
Altman-Z'' Score: 0.13 = B
Beneish M -3.36
DSRI: 0.98 (Receivables 1.68b/1.57b, Revenue 12.28b/11.30b)
GMI: 0.61 (GM 44.29% / 27.12%)
AQI: 1.03 (AQ_t 0.79 / AQ_t-1 0.77)
SGI: 1.09 (Revenue 12.28b / 11.30b)
TATA: -0.05 (NI 1.54b - CFO 2.29b) / TA 16.39b)
Beneish M-Score: -3.36 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of HLT shares? As of May 17, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 316.17 with a total of 1,952,351 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.19%, over one month by -3.87%, over three months by -0.47% and over the past year by +25.50%.
Is HLT a buy, sell or hold? Hilton Worldwide Holdings has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.62. Therefor, it is recommend to hold HLT.
  • StrongBuy: 7
  • Buy: 3
  • Hold: 15
  • Sell: 1
  • StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the HLT price?
Analysts Target Price 347.4 9.9%
Hilton Worldwide Holdings (HLT) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 17 May 2026
P/E Trailing = 48.2896
P/E Forward = 35.3357
P/S = 14.221
P/B = 277.4118
P/EG = 1.5678
Revenue TTM = 12.28b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.82b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.00b USD
Long Term Debt = 12.33b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 25.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 13.06b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 12.44b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 84.55b USD (72.11b + Debt 13.06b - CCE 619.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.42 (Ebit TTM 2.82b / Interest Expense TTM 637.0m)
EV/FCF = 38.75x (Enterprise Value 84.55b / FCF TTM 2.18b)
FCF Yield = 2.58% (FCF TTM 2.18b / Enterprise Value 84.55b)
FCF Margin = 17.77% (FCF TTM 2.18b / Revenue TTM 12.28b)
Net Margin = 12.56% (Net Income TTM 1.54b / Revenue TTM 12.28b)
Gross Margin = 44.29% ((Revenue TTM 12.28b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.84b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 40.25% (prev 76.45%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 5.16 (Enterprise Value 84.55b / Total Assets 16.39b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.24% (Interest Expense 162.0m / Debt 13.06b)
Taxrate = 26.06% (135.0m / 518.0m)
NOPAT = 2.08b (EBIT 2.82b * (1 - 26.06%))
Current Ratio = 0.61 (Total Current Assets 2.77b / Total Current Liabilities 4.56b)
 Debt / Equity = -2.21 (negative equity) (Debt 13.06b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -5.91b)
 Debt / EBITDA = 4.14 (Net Debt 12.44b / EBITDA 3.00b)
Debt / FCF = 5.70 (Net Debt 12.44b / FCF TTM 2.18b)
Total Stockholder Equity = -5.20b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 9.51% (Net Income 1.54b / Total Assets 16.39b)
 RoE = -29.63% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 1.54b / Total Stockholder Equity -5.20b)
 RoCE = 39.49% (EBIT 2.82b / Capital Employed (Equity -5.20b + L.T.Debt 12.33b))
RoIC = 31.44% (NOPAT 2.08b / Invested Capital 6.62b)
WACC = 8.04% (E(72.11b)/V(85.17b) * Re(9.33%) + D(13.06b)/V(85.17b) * Rd(1.24%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 9.33% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -95.56 | Cagr: -4.61%
[DCF] Terminal Value 79.46% ; FCFF base≈2.08b ; Y1≈2.25b ; Y5≈2.81b
[DCF] Fair Price = 160.9 (EV 49.07b - Net Debt 12.44b = Equity 36.63b / Shares 227.6m; r=8.04% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 9.59% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 62.81 | EPS CAGR: 12.55% | SUE: 0.46 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 89.41 | Revenue CAGR: 7.49% | SUE: -0.23 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=2.25 | Chg30d=-7.55% | Revisions=-62% | Analysts=19
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.42 | Chg30d=+1.18% | Revisions=+70% | Analysts=19
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=9.02 | Chg30d=-0.24% | Revisions=+31% | GrowthEPS=+11.2% | GrowthRev=+8.4%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=10.43 | Chg30d=+0.07% | Revisions=+42% | GrowthEPS=+15.7% | GrowthRev=+8.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +70%