HLT Stock Analysis: Hilton Worldwide Holdings | NYSE

Luxury Hotels, Franchise Operations, Vacation Ownership, Loyalty Program

Total Rating 61

Safety 52

Buy Signal 1.22

Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines
Sub-Industry Rotation: +16.3

Market Cap: 83.8B
Avg Turnover: 753M

Risk 3d forecast

Volatility21.6%

VaR 5^th Pctl3.81%

VaR vs Median7.35%

Reward TTM

Sharpe Ratio1.23

Rel. Str. IBD83.7

Rel. Str. Peer Group79.6 pctl

Character TTM

Beta0.724

Beta Downside0.764

Hurst Exponent0.502

Choppyness58.5%

Drawdowns 3y

Max DD26.35%

CAGR/Max DD1.19

CAGR/Mean DD6.86

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: 13.02%
EPS Trend: 99.6%

Last SUE: 1.90
Qual. Beats: 1

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: 7.88%
Rev. Trend: 99.7%

Last SUE: -0.78
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Altman Z'' In Financial Distress Zone

Tailwinds

Supp Ema8

Confidence

Seasonality 11.9 years of data, until 10/2026

Jan +0.6% 9

Feb +2.0% 14

Mar -2.5% 28

Apr +0.8% 14

May -0.1% 0

Jun -0.6% 4

Jul -0.3% 4

Aug -1.1% 14

Sep -2.3% 14

Oct +0.4% 0

Nov +5.8% 39

Dec +0.2% 0

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, ≥40 worth a closer look and ≥60 is strong.

Description: HLT Hilton Worldwide Holdings

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (NYSE: HLT) is a global hospitality company that manages, franchises, and leases hotels and resorts through two operating segments: Management and Franchise, and Ownership. The companys core business revolves around licensing its brand names, trademarks, and service marks to hotel operators, rather than primarily owning the underlying real estate.

Hilton operates an extensive brand portfolio spanning luxury (Waldorf Astoria, LXR, Conrad), lifestyle (Canopy, Graduate, Tempo, Motto, NoMad), full service (Hilton Hotels & Resorts, DoubleTree, Curio Collection, Tapestry Collection, Embassy Suites), focused service (Hilton Garden Inn, Hampton, Tru, Spark, Home2 Suites), and timeshare (Hilton Grand Vacations) categories. Its Hilton Honors loyalty program supports guest retention across the portfolio.

The company maintains a global footprint across North America, South America, Central America (including the Caribbean), Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia Pacific. Founded in 1919 and headquartered in McLean, Virginia, Hilton is classified as a large-cap stock in the Consumer Discretionary sector within the Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines sub-industry, having gone public on the NYSE in December 2013.

Headlines to Watch Out For

RevPAR declines as US leisure travel demand softens
Record development pipeline accelerates global unit expansion
Asset-light franchise model drives margin expansion

Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 6.5

Net Income: 1.70b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.11 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.62 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -17.03% < 20% (prev -13.46%; Δ -3.57% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.12 > 3% & CFO 2.01b > Net Income 1.70b
Net Debt (13.8b) to EBITDA (3.24b): 4.26 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.59 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (226.0m) vs 12m ago -5.83% < -2%
Gross Margin: 44.63% > 18% (prev 27.81%; Δ 16.82% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 75.89% > 50% (prev 70.52%; Δ 5.37% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.39 > 6 (EBIT TTM 3.04b / Interest Expense TTM 694.0m)

Altman Z'' 0.04

A: -0.13 (Total Current Assets 3.11b - Total Current Liabilities 5.27b) / Total Assets 16.8b
B: -0.01 (Retained Earnings -208.0m / Total Assets 16.8b)
C: 0.18 (EBIT TTM 3.04b / Avg Total Assets 16.7b)
D: -0.28 (Book Value of Equity -6.59b / Total Liabilities 23.4b)
Altman-Z'' = 0.04 = B

Beneish M -3.34

DSRI: 1.01 (Receivables 1.80b/1.65b, Revenue 12.7b/11.7b)
GMI: 0.62 (GM 27.81% / 44.63%)
AQI: 0.95 (AQ_t 0.74 / AQ_t-1 0.79)
SGI: 1.08 (Revenue 12.7b / 11.7b)
TATA: -0.02 (NI 1.70b - CFO 2.01b) / TA 16.8b)
Beneish M = -3.34 (Cap -4..+1) = AA

What is the price of HLT shares?

As of November 13, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 372.73 with a total of 1,115,337 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.84%, over one month by +13.80%, over three months by +15.62% and over the past year by +35.90%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 360.70 (which is 3.2% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).

Is HLT a buy, sell or hold?

Hilton Worldwide Holdings has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.14. Therefore, it is recommended to buy HLT.

StrongBuy: 15
Buy: 4
Hold: 9
Sell: 1
StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the HLT price?

Analysts Target Price	367.8	-1.3%

Hilton Worldwide Holdings (HLT) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 10 November 2026

Market Cap USD = 83.8b (83.8b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 50.8138
P/E Forward = 34.6021
P/S = 16.1768
P/B = 277.4118
P/EG = 2.0152
Revenue TTM = 12.7b USD
EBIT TTM = 3.04b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.24b USD
Long Term Debt = 12.7b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 626.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 14.6b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 615.0m
Net Debt = 13.8b USD (calculated: Debt 14.6b - CCE 774.0m)
Enterprise Value = 97.6b USD (83.8b + Debt 14.6b - CCE 774.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.39 (Ebit TTM 3.04b / Interest Expense TTM 694.0m)
EV/FCF = 50.57x (Enterprise Value 97.6b / FCF TTM 1.93b)
FCF Yield = 1.98% (FCF TTM 1.93b / Enterprise Value 97.6b)
FCF Margin = 15.21% (FCF TTM 1.93b / Revenue TTM 12.7b)
Net Margin = 13.40% (Net Income TTM 1.70b / Revenue TTM 12.7b)
Gross Margin = 44.63% ((Revenue TTM 12.7b - Cost of Revenue TTM 7.03b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 33.17% (prev 30.47%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 5.81 (Enterprise Value 97.6b / Total Assets 16.8b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.76% (Interest Expense 694.0m / Debt 14.6b)
Taxrate = 27.84% (654.0m / 2.35b)
NOPAT = 2.20b (EBIT 3.04b * (1 - 27.84%))
Current Ratio = 0.59 (Total Current Assets 3.11b / Total Current Liabilities 5.27b)
Debt / Equity = -2.21 (negative equity) (Debt 14.6b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -6.59b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.26 (Net Debt 13.8b / EBITDA 3.24b)
Debt / FCF = 7.16 (Net Debt 13.8b / FCF TTM 1.93b)
Total Stockholder Equity = -6.05b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 10.17% (Net Income 1.70b / Total Assets 16.8b)
RoE = -28.11% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 1.70b / Total Stockholder Equity -6.05b)
RoCE = 45.54% (EBIT 3.04b / Capital Employed (Equity -6.05b + L.T.Debt 12.7b))
RoIC = 19.07% (NOPAT 2.20b / Invested Capital 11.5b)
WACC = 7.39% (E(83.8b)/V(98.4b) * Re(8.08%) + D(14.6b)/V(98.4b) * Rd(4.76%) * (1-Tc(0.28)))
Discount Rate = 8.08% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -98.71 | Cagr: -4.72%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈2.10b ; Y1≈1.84b ; Y5≈1.49b
[DCF] Fair Price = 45.09 (EV 23.8b - Net Debt 13.8b = Equity 10.0b / Shares 222.5m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 99.65 | EPS CAGR: 13.02% | SUE: 1.90 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 99.71 | Revenue CAGR: 7.88% | SUE: -0.78 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2027-03-31): EPS=2.21 | Chg30d=+1.56% | Revisions=+30% | Analysts=12
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=9.14 | Chg30d=+1.03% | Revisions=+88% | GrowthEPS=+12.7% | GrowthRev=+7.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=10.46 | Chg30d=+0.02% | Revisions=-4% | GrowthEPS=+14.5% | GrowthRev=+8.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +44% (up=36, down=13)