(HLT) Hilton Worldwide Holdings - Ratings and Ratios
Hotels, Resorts, Timeshares, Management, Franchises
HLT EPS (Earnings per Share)
HLT Revenue
Description: HLT Hilton Worldwide Holdings
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (NYSE: HLT) is an asset-light hospitality firm that generates revenue primarily through two operating segments: (1) Management and Franchise, where it licenses its portfolio of 18 distinct brands and provides hotel management services, and (2) Ownership, which includes the company’s owned and leased properties. The brand suite spans luxury (Waldorf Astoria, Conrad), lifestyle (LXR, Curio), full-service (Hilton Hotels & Resorts, DoubleTree), focused-service (Hampton, Tru), extended-stay (Homewood Suites, Home2 Suites), and timeshare (Hilton Grand Vacations) concepts, giving Hilton exposure to multiple price points and traveler segments across more than 110 countries.
Key operating metrics that analysts track include RevPAR (Revenue per Available Room) and adjusted EBITDA margin. As of FY 2024, Hilton reported a global RevPAR growth of ~6% YoY, driven by strong demand in the Asia-Pacific and Europe-Middle East-Africa regions, while the adjusted EBITDA margin stabilized around 27% after the post-pandemic recovery. The company’s pipeline contains roughly 1,200 hotels under development, representing an estimated 1.2 million rooms, which should sustain top-line growth assuming macro-economic conditions-particularly discretionary travel spending and corporate travel budgets-remain supportive. A material driver of future performance is the Hilton Honors loyalty program, which now boasts over 115 million members and contributes to higher repeat-guest occupancy and pricing power.
Given Hilton’s asset-light model, its earnings are less sensitive to capital-intensive property cycles, but the firm is exposed to macro-risk factors such as interest-rate-driven financing costs for franchisees and geopolitical tensions that could affect international travel flows; a 100-basis-point rise in global rates could compress franchise fee growth by an estimated 0.5-1.0 percentage points, according to industry base-rate studies. For investors seeking a deeper quantitative breakdown of these sensitivities, a review of ValueRay’s platform can provide the granular scenario analysis needed to assess Hilton’s risk-adjusted upside.
HLT Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 60,894m |
| Sub-Industry | Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines |
| IPO / Inception | 2013-12-12 |
HLT Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 79.7% |
| Fundamental | 71.4% |
| Dividend Rating | 43.9% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -3.09% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.62 of 5 |
HLT Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 0.23% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 0.69% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 41.42% |
| Payout Consistency | 74.1% |
| Payout Ratio | 8.4% |
HLT Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | -34.5% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | 56.6% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 91.9% |
| CAGR 5y | 27.94% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) | 1.06 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) | 6.31 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | 0.64 |
| Alpha | -6.84 |
| Beta | 1.189 |
| Volatility | 19.00% |
| Current Volume | 1416.5k |
| Average Volume 20d | 1856.3k |
| Stop Loss | 257.1 (-3%) |
| Signal | -0.01 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5
| Net Income (1.59b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 688.9m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.14 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 2.72pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -18.43% (prev -14.22%; Δ -4.21pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.15 (>3.0%) and CFO 2.36b > Net Income 1.59b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (11.32b) to EBITDA (2.62b) ratio: 4.32 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.54 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (239.0m) change vs 12m ago -5.16% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 27.09% (prev 28.07%; Δ -0.97pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 72.58% (prev 68.67%; Δ 3.91pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 4.15 (EBITDA TTM 2.62b / Interest Expense TTM 593.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -0.42
| (A) -0.13 = (Total Current Assets 2.47b - Total Current Liabilities 4.58b) / Total Assets 15.90b |
| (B) -0.14 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -2.15b / Total Assets 15.90b |
| (C) 0.16 = EBIT TTM 2.46b / Avg Total Assets 15.82b |
| (D) -0.14 = Book Value of Equity -2.86b / Total Liabilities 20.45b |
| Total Rating: -0.42 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 71.42
| 1. Piotroski 6.50pt = 1.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.00% = 1.50 |
| 3. FCF Margin 18.87% = 4.72 |
| 4. Debt/Equity -2.55 = -2.50 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 4.32 = -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 15.71)% = 12.50 |
| 7. RoE -39.32% = -2.50 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 83.41% = 6.26 |
| 9. EPS Trend 48.94% = 2.45 |
What is the price of HLT shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.94%, over one month by -2.26%, over three months by -3.31% and over the past year by +12.54%.
Is Hilton Worldwide Holdings a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of HLT is around 289.55 USD . This means that HLT is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of 9.22%.
Is HLT a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 7
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 15
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the HLT price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 275.5 | 3.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 275.5 | 3.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 323.9 | 22.2% |
Last update: 2025-10-04 03:53
HLT Fundamental Data Overview
P/E Trailing = 39.8323
P/E Forward = 27.933
P/S = 12.6153
P/EG = 1.425
Beta = 1.189
Revenue TTM = 11.48b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.46b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.62b USD
Long Term Debt = 10.91b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 35.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 11.69b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 11.32b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 72.22b USD (60.89b + Debt 11.69b - CCE 371.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.15 (Ebit TTM 2.46b / Interest Expense TTM 593.0m)
FCF Yield = 3.00% (FCF TTM 2.17b / Enterprise Value 72.22b)
FCF Margin = 18.87% (FCF TTM 2.17b / Revenue TTM 11.48b)
Net Margin = 13.84% (Net Income TTM 1.59b / Revenue TTM 11.48b)
Gross Margin = 27.09% ((Revenue TTM 11.48b - Cost of Revenue TTM 8.37b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 30.47% (prev 25.86%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.54 (Enterprise Value 72.22b / Total Assets 15.90b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.29% (Interest Expense 151.0m / Debt 11.69b)
Taxrate = 29.73% (187.0m / 629.0m)
NOPAT = 1.73b (EBIT 2.46b * (1 - 29.73%))
Current Ratio = 0.54 (Total Current Assets 2.47b / Total Current Liabilities 4.58b)
Debt / Equity = -2.55 (negative equity) (Debt 11.69b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -4.59b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.32 (Net Debt 11.32b / EBITDA 2.62b)
Debt / FCF = 5.22 (Net Debt 11.32b / FCF TTM 2.17b)
Total Stockholder Equity = -4.04b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 9.99% (Net Income 1.59b / Total Assets 15.90b)
RoE = -39.32% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 1.59b / Total Stockholder Equity -4.04b)
RoCE = 35.81% (EBIT 2.46b / Capital Employed (Equity -4.04b + L.T.Debt 10.91b))
RoIC = 24.58% (NOPAT 1.73b / Invested Capital 7.03b)
WACC = 8.87% (E(60.89b)/V(72.59b) * Re(10.40%) + D(11.69b)/V(72.59b) * Rd(1.29%) * (1-Tc(0.30)))
Discount Rate = 10.40% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -3.75%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 71.48% ; FCFE base≈1.99b ; Y1≈2.14b ; Y5≈2.64b
Fair Price DCF = 133.0 (DCF Value 31.29b / Shares Outstanding 235.2m; 5y FCF grow 8.70% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 48.94 | EPS CAGR: 20.75% | SUE: 1.10 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 83.41 | Revenue CAGR: 10.77% | SUE: 1.01 | # QB: 1
Additional Sources for HLT Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle