(HLT) Hilton Worldwide Holdings - Overview

Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Lodging | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 69.283m USD | Total Return: 54.4% in 12m

Hotels, Resorts, Brands, Management
Total Rating 67
Safety 73
Buy Signal 0.79
Lodging
Industry Rotation: +13.9
Market Cap: 69.3B
Avg Turnover: 451M USD
ATR: 2.60%
Peers RS (IBD): 69.6
Risk 5d forecast
Volatility23.6%
Rel. Tail Risk-0.65%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.62
Alpha23.93
Character TTM
Beta0.962
Beta Downside1.336
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD26.35%
CAGR/Max DD1.20
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of HLT over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": 0.02, "2021-06": 0.56, "2021-09": 0.78, "2021-12": 0.72, "2022-03": 0.71, "2022-06": 1.29, "2022-09": 1.31, "2022-12": 1.59, "2023-03": 1.24, "2023-06": 1.63, "2023-09": 1.67, "2023-12": 1.68, "2024-03": 1.53, "2024-06": 1.91, "2024-09": 1.92, "2024-12": 1.76, "2025-03": 1.23, "2025-06": 2.2, "2025-09": 2.11, "2025-12": 2.08, "2026-03": 0,
EPS CAGR: -44.04%
EPS Trend: -9.2%
Last SUE: -4.00
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of HLT over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 874, 2021-06: 1329, 2021-09: 1749, 2021-12: 1836, 2022-03: 1721, 2022-06: 2240, 2022-09: 2368, 2022-12: 2444, 2023-03: 2293, 2023-06: 2660, 2023-09: 2673, 2023-12: 2609, 2024-03: 2573, 2024-06: 2951, 2024-09: 2867, 2024-12: 2783, 2025-03: 2695, 2025-06: 3137, 2025-09: 3120, 2025-12: 3087, 2026-03: null,
Rev. CAGR: 16.86%
Rev. Trend: 86.8%
Last SUE: 2.32
Qual. Beats: 3

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: HLT Hilton Worldwide Holdings

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) manages, franchises, and leases hotels and resorts globally. The company operates through two segments: Management and Franchise, and Ownership. The hospitality sector relies heavily on brand recognition and loyalty programs.

HLT’s business model involves licensing its brand names, trademarks, and service marks to property owners. This asset-light approach, common in the modern hotel industry, reduces capital expenditure while expanding market presence.

Its extensive brand portfolio spans luxury, lifestyle, full-service, focused-service, and all-suites categories. This diversification allows HLT to target various customer segments and adapt to market demand fluctuations.

Geographically, HLT has operations across North America, South America, Central America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia Pacific. Understanding specific market performance within these regions can offer further insights.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Global travel demand impacts hotel occupancy and room rates
  • Franchise fee growth drives revenue expansion
  • Labor costs and supply chain affect operating margins
  • Interest rate changes influence development and investment
  • Economic downturns reduce leisure and business travel
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict) 6.0
Net Income: 1.46b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.12 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.85 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 20.05% < 20% (prev -12.78%; Δ 32.83% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.13 > 3% & CFO 2.13b > Net Income 1.46b
Net Debt (14.70b) to EBITDA (2.87b): 5.12 < 3
Current Ratio: 10.81 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (238.0m) vs 12m ago -3.25% < -2%
Gross Margin: 41.15% > 18% (prev 0.27%; Δ 4.09k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 72.31% > 50% (prev 67.63%; Δ 4.68% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.34 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 2.87b / Interest Expense TTM 620.0m)
Altman Z'' 1.64
A: 0.14 (Total Current Assets 2.66b - Total Current Liabilities 246.0m) / Total Assets 16.77b
B: -0.09 (Retained Earnings -1.51b / Total Assets 16.77b)
C: 0.16 (EBIT TTM 2.69b / Avg Total Assets 16.65b)
D: -0.09 (Book Value of Equity -2.01b / Total Liabilities 22.12b)
Altman-Z'' Score: 1.64 = BB
Beneish M -3.30
DSRI: 0.99 (Receivables 1.69b/1.58b, Revenue 12.04b/11.17b)
GMI: 0.67 (GM 41.15% / 27.41%)
AQI: 1.03 (AQ_t 0.77 / AQ_t-1 0.74)
SGI: 1.08 (Revenue 12.04b / 11.17b)
TATA: -0.04 (NI 1.46b - CFO 2.13b) / TA 16.77b)
Beneish M-Score: -3.30 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of HLT shares? As of April 12, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 323.43 with a total of 1,270,295 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.39%, over one month by +8.40%, over three months by +7.72% and over the past year by +54.41%.
Is HLT a buy, sell or hold? Hilton Worldwide Holdings has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.62. Therefor, it is recommend to hold HLT.
  • StrongBuy: 7
  • Buy: 3
  • Hold: 15
  • Sell: 1
  • StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the HLT price?
Analysts Target Price 328.2 1.5%
Hilton Worldwide Holdings (HLT) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 09 April 2026
P/E Trailing = 49.4534
P/E Forward = 33.4448
P/S = 13.9852
P/B = 277.4118
P/EG = 1.4429
Revenue TTM = 12.04b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.69b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.87b USD
Long Term Debt = 12.34b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 246.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 15.67b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 14.70b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 84.03b USD (69.28b + Debt 15.67b - CCE 918.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.34 (Ebit TTM 2.69b / Interest Expense TTM 620.0m)
EV/FCF = 42.33x (Enterprise Value 84.03b / FCF TTM 1.99b)
FCF Yield = 2.36% (FCF TTM 1.99b / Enterprise Value 84.03b)
FCF Margin = 16.49% (FCF TTM 1.99b / Revenue TTM 12.04b)
Net Margin = 12.10% (Net Income TTM 1.46b / Revenue TTM 12.04b)
Gross Margin = 41.15% ((Revenue TTM 12.04b - Cost of Revenue TTM 7.08b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 76.45% (prev 30.16%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 5.01 (Enterprise Value 84.03b / Total Assets 16.77b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.05% (Interest Expense 165.0m / Debt 15.67b)
Taxrate = 31.47% (135.0m / 429.0m)
NOPAT = 1.85b (EBIT 2.69b * (1 - 31.47%))
Current Ratio = 10.81 (Total Current Assets 2.66b / Total Current Liabilities 246.0m)
 Debt / Equity = -2.91 (negative equity) (Debt 15.67b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -5.39b)
 Debt / EBITDA = 5.12 (Net Debt 14.70b / EBITDA 2.87b)
Debt / FCF = 7.41 (Net Debt 14.70b / FCF TTM 1.99b)
Total Stockholder Equity = -4.82b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.75% (Net Income 1.46b / Total Assets 16.77b)
 RoE = -30.22% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 1.46b / Total Stockholder Equity -4.82b)
 RoCE = 35.83% (EBIT 2.69b / Capital Employed (Equity -4.82b + L.T.Debt 12.34b))
RoIC = 27.54% (NOPAT 1.85b / Invested Capital 6.70b)
WACC = 7.77% (E(69.28b)/V(84.95b) * Re(9.36%) + D(15.67b)/V(84.95b) * Rd(1.05%) * (1-Tc(0.31)))
Discount Rate = 9.36% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -3.95%
[DCF] Terminal Value 80.44% ; FCFF base≈1.92b ; Y1≈2.08b ; Y5≈2.59b
[DCF] Fair Price = 145.3 (EV 47.95b - Net Debt 14.70b = Equity 33.25b / Shares 228.8m; r=7.77% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 9.59% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -9.16 | EPS CAGR: -44.04% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 86.76 | Revenue CAGR: 16.86% | SUE: 2.32 | # QB: 3
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=2.44 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=+0.005 | Revisions Net=-9 | Analysts=20
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=9.04 | Chg7d=+0.002 | Chg30d=+0.018 | Revisions Net=-19 | Growth EPS=+11.4% | Growth Revenue=+8.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=10.42 | Chg7d=+0.002 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=-6 | Growth EPS=+15.3% | Growth Revenue=+8.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -0.53 (4 Up / 13 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 7.3% (Discount Rate 9.4% - Earnings Yield 2.0%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = +0.8% (Analyst 8.1% - Implied 7.3%)
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