(HLT) Hilton Worldwide Holdings - NYSE
Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Lodging | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 77.824m USD | Total Return: 40.6% in 12m
Avg Turnover: 445M
EPS Trend: 94.9%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 99.6%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Altman Z'' -0.06 < 1.0 - financial distress zone
Tailwinds
Shakeout
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) is a global hospitality company headquartered in McLean, Virginia, operating a diverse portfolio of luxury, full-service, and focused-service brands. The company’s business model is primarily asset-light, focusing on the Management and Franchise segment where it earns recurring fees through brand licensing and third-party property management. This structure allows for geographic expansion across North America, Europe, and Asia Pacific with lower capital intensity compared to traditional hotel ownership.
The firm maintains a broad market presence through brands ranging from Waldorf Astoria to Hampton by Hilton, catering to both transient business travelers and leisure guests. Within the hotel sector, high brand loyalty and global distribution systems serve as significant barriers to entry for new competitors. Investors seeking deeper insights into these competitive moats may find further analysis on ValueRay beneficial to their process. Founded in 1919, Hilton remains a foundational entity within the Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines GICS sub-industry.
- Systemwide RevPAR growth driven by international luxury and business travel recovery
- Net unit growth acceleration through rapid conversion and midscale brand expansion
- High-margin fee revenue stability from asset-light management and franchise business model
- Macroeconomic sensitivity to corporate discretionary spending and consumer interest rate pressures
- Hilton Honors loyalty program expansion increases direct booking share and reduces commissions
| Net Income: 1.54b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.13 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.38 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -14.53% < 20% (prev -18.33%; Δ 3.81% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 2.29b > Net Income 1.54b |
| Net Debt (13.1b) to EBITDA (3.00b): 4.37 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.61 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (232.0m) vs 12m ago -4.53% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 44.29% > 18% (prev 27.12%; Δ 17.16% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 75.74% > 50% (prev 70.41%; Δ 5.33% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.42 > 6 (EBIT TTM 2.82b / Interest Expense TTM 637.0m) |
| A: -0.11 (Total Current Assets 2.77b - Total Current Liabilities 4.56b) / Total Assets 16.4b |
| B: -0.07 (Retained Earnings -1.16b / Total Assets 16.4b) |
| C: 0.17 (EBIT TTM 2.82b / Avg Total Assets 16.2b) |
| D: -0.27 (Book Value of Equity -5.91b / Total Liabilities 22.3b) |
| Altman-Z'' = -0.06 = B |
| DSRI: 0.98 (Receivables 1.68b/1.57b, Revenue 12.3b/11.3b) |
| GMI: 0.61 (GM 27.12% / 44.29%) |
| AQI: 1.03 (AQ_t 0.79 / AQ_t-1 0.77) |
| SGI: 1.09 (Revenue 12.3b / 11.3b) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI 1.54b - CFO 2.29b) / TA 16.4b) |
| Beneish M = -3.31 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of June 16, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 347.11 with a total of 1,145,864 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.90%,
over one month by +9.84%,
over three months by +17.32% and
over the past year by +40.62%.
Hilton Worldwide Holdings has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.62. Therefore, it is recommended to hold HLT.
- StrongBuy: 7
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 15
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 347.3 | 0.1% |
P/E Trailing = 52.1128
P/E Forward = 38.0228
P/S = 15.3468
P/B = 277.4118
P/EG = 1.692
Revenue TTM = 12.3b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.82b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.00b USD
Long Term Debt = 12.3b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 25.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 13.8b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 699.0m
Net Debt = 13.1b USD (calculated: Debt 13.8b - CCE 619.0m)
Enterprise Value = 91.0b USD (77.8b + Debt 13.8b - CCE 619.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.42 (Ebit TTM 2.82b / Interest Expense TTM 637.0m)
EV/FCF = 41.69x (Enterprise Value 91.0b / FCF TTM 2.18b)
FCF Yield = 2.40% (FCF TTM 2.18b / Enterprise Value 91.0b)
FCF Margin = 17.77% (FCF TTM 2.18b / Revenue TTM 12.3b)
Net Margin = 12.56% (Net Income TTM 1.54b / Revenue TTM 12.3b)
Gross Margin = 44.29% ((Revenue TTM 12.3b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.84b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 40.25% (prev 76.45%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 5.55 (Enterprise Value 91.0b / Total Assets 16.4b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.63% (Interest Expense 637.0m / Debt 13.8b)
Taxrate = 29.36% (640.0m / 2.18b)
NOPAT = 1.99b (EBIT 2.82b * (1 - 29.36%))
Current Ratio = 0.61 (Total Current Assets 2.77b / Total Current Liabilities 4.56b)
Debt / Equity = -2.33 (negative equity) (Debt 13.8b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -5.91b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.37 (Net Debt 13.1b / EBITDA 3.00b)
Debt / FCF = 6.02 (Net Debt 13.1b / FCF TTM 2.18b)
Total Stockholder Equity = -5.20b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 9.51% (Net Income 1.54b / Total Assets 16.4b)
RoE = -29.63% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 1.54b / Total Stockholder Equity -5.20b)
RoCE = 39.52% (EBIT 2.82b / Capital Employed (Equity -5.20b + L.T.Debt 12.3b))
RoIC = 17.71% (NOPAT 1.99b / Invested Capital 11.2b)
WACC = 8.15% (E(77.8b)/V(91.6b) * Re(9.01%) + D(13.8b)/V(91.6b) * Rd(4.63%) * (1-Tc(0.29)))
Discount Rate = 9.01% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -95.56 | Cagr: -4.61%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.81% ; FCFF base≈2.08b ; Y1≈2.36b ; Y5≈3.39b
[DCF] Fair Price = 166.9 (EV 51.1b - Net Debt 13.1b = Equity 38.0b / Shares 227.6m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 13.94% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 94.92 | EPS CAGR: 11.33% | SUE: 0.26 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 99.58 | Revenue CAGR: 8.26% | SUE: -0.23 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=2.25 | Chg30d=-2.26% | Revisions=-60% | Analysts=20
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.43 | Chg30d=+0.59% | Revisions=+64% | Analysts=20
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=9.02 | Chg30d=-0.05% | Revisions=-40% | GrowthEPS=+11.2% | GrowthRev=+8.4%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=10.42 | Chg30d=-0.15% | Revisions=-9% | GrowthEPS=+15.5% | GrowthRev=+8.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +64%