HMN Stock Analysis: Horace Mann Educators | NYSE

Insurance - Property & Casualty | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 2.175m USD | 12M Return: 32.8% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Auto Insurance, Home Insurance, Life Insurance, Annuities
Total Rating 49
Safety 31
Buy Signal 0.34
Insurance - Property & Casualty
Industry Rotation: +7.9
Market Cap: 2.17B
Avg Turnover: 15.3M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility21.5%
VaR 5th Pctl3.84%
VaR vs Median8.38%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.29
Rel. Str. IBD73
Rel. Str. Peer Group81.6
Character TTM
Beta0.166
Beta Downside0.061
Hurst Exponent0.507
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD17.14%
CAGR/Max DD1.59
CAGR/Mean DD5.63
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of HMN over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 1.02, "2021-09": 0.5, "2021-12": 0.97, "2022-03": 0.64, "2022-06": -0.01, "2022-09": 0.57, "2022-12": -0.11, "2023-03": 0.23, "2023-06": 0.03, "2023-09": 0.44, "2023-12": 0.91, "2024-03": 0.6, "2024-06": 0.2, "2024-09": 0.76, "2024-12": 1.62, "2025-03": 1.07, "2025-06": 1.06, "2025-09": 1.4, "2025-12": 1.21, "2026-03": 1.28,
EPS CAGR: 112.98%
EPS Trend: 93.5%
Last SUE: 0.69
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of HMN over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 347.1, 2021-09: 312.8, 2021-12: 303.5, 2022-03: 333.7, 2022-06: 332.7, 2022-09: 337.5, 2022-12: 337.6, 2023-03: 349.5, 2023-06: 341.2, 2023-09: 358.2, 2023-12: 384.4, 2024-03: 379.8, 2024-06: 379, 2024-09: 397.6, 2024-12: 393.1, 2025-03: 400.1, 2025-06: 391.6, 2025-09: 417.1, 2025-12: 419.2, 2026-03: 429.3,
Rev. CAGR: 7.06%
Rev. Trend: 98.3%
Last SUE: -0.60
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Fakeout

Tailwinds

Supp Ema8
Idiosyncratic Leader

Seasonality 10.5 years of data

Jan -2.7% 44
Feb -0.5% 0
Mar +0.5% 2
Apr -3.5% 32
May +0.3% 2
Jun +0.1% 0
Jul +2.0% 9
Aug +2.5% 23
Sep -1.8% 10
Oct +1.1% 8
Nov +3.3% 22
Dec -0.5% 8

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: HMN Horace Mann Educators

Horace Mann Educators Corporation (NYSE: HMN) is a U.S. insurance holding company founded in 1945 and headquartered in Springfield, Illinois, that focuses on serving the K-12 educator market. The company operates through three reporting segments-Property & Casualty, Life & Retirement, and Supplemental & Group Benefits-offering products ranging from auto, home, and umbrella insurance to fixed, indexed, and variable annuities, individual life insurance, and 403(b) retirement plans. Employer-sponsored lines include accident, critical illness, limited-benefit indemnity, and short- and long-term disability coverage, while consumer-facing offerings extend to mutual funds, student loan solutions, credit monitoring, and financial wellness workshops.

HMN distributes its products through a multi-channel model that combines agents, brokers, benefit specialists, and direct/digital platforms. As a multi-line insurer classified within the Financials sector, the company combines underwriting income with fee-based retirement and asset management revenue, and its educator-focused niche is reinforced by products such as the Life by Design portfolio and the Horace Mann Retirement Advantage open-architecture defined contribution platform, which are tailored to the financial planning needs of teachers and school employees.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • P&C combined ratio improves on auto rate increases
  • Fixed annuity sales accelerate as higher crediting rates attract educators
  • Investment income expands on rising reinvestment yields
  • Supplemental benefits enrollment grows in K-12 district market
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 6.5
Net Income: 165.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.44 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -306.1% < 20% (prev 57.22%; Δ -363.3% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.03 > 3% & CFO 473.7m > Net Income 165.1m
Net Debt (96.3m) to EBITDA (267.7m): 0.36 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.15 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (41.2m) vs 12m ago -0.96% < -2%
Gross Margin: 41.85% > 18% (prev 31.11%; Δ 10.74% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 11.29% > 50% (prev 10.90%; Δ 0.38% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 6.51 > 6 (EBIT TTM 240.9m / Interest Expense TTM 37.0m)
Altman Z'' -1.63
A: -0.34 (Total Current Assets 920.8m - Total Current Liabilities 5.99b) / Total Assets 15.0b
B: 0.11 (Retained Earnings 1.68b / Total Assets 15.0b)
C: 0.02 (EBIT TTM 240.9m / Avg Total Assets 14.7b)
D: 0.11 (Book Value of Equity 1.47b / Total Liabilities 13.5b)
Altman-Z'' = -1.63 = D
Beneish M -3.25
DSRI: 0.97 (Receivables 421.5m/413.0m, Revenue 1.66b/1.57b)
GMI: 0.74 (GM 31.11% / 41.85%)
AQI: 1.00 (AQ_t 0.93 / AQ_t-1 0.93)
SGI: 1.06 (Revenue 1.66b / 1.57b)
TATA: -0.02 (NI 165.1m - CFO 473.7m) / TA 15.0b)
Beneish M = -3.25 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of HMN shares?

As of July 10, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 52.79 with a total of 150,861 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.32%, over one month by +11.56%, over three months by +18.13% and over the past year by +32.81%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 51.00 (which is 3.4% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).

Is HMN a buy, sell or hold?

Horace Mann Educators has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.67. Therefore, it is recommended to hold HMN.

  • StrongBuy: 1
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 2
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the HMN price?
Analysts Target Price 52 -1.5%
Horace Mann Educators (HMN) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 06 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 2.17b (2.17b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 13.5302
P/E Forward = 9.2507
P/S = 1.2685
P/B = 1.4793
P/EG = 1.1563
Revenue TTM = 1.66b USD
EBIT TTM = 240.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 267.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 593.8m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
 Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
 Debt = 593.8m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 96.3m USD (calculated: Debt 593.8m - CCE 497.5m)
Enterprise Value = 2.27b USD (2.17b + Debt 593.8m - CCE 497.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 6.51 (Ebit TTM 240.9m / Interest Expense TTM 37.0m)
EV/FCF = 4.79x (Enterprise Value 2.27b / FCF TTM 473.7m)
FCF Yield = 20.86% (FCF TTM 473.7m / Enterprise Value 2.27b)
FCF Margin = 28.58% (FCF TTM 473.7m / Revenue TTM 1.66b)
Net Margin = 9.96% (Net Income TTM 165.1m / Revenue TTM 1.66b)
Gross Margin = 41.85% ((Revenue TTM 1.66b - Cost of Revenue TTM 963.7m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 58.91% (prev 37.26%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.15 (Enterprise Value 2.27b / Total Assets 15.0b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 6.23% (Interest Expense 37.0m / Debt 593.8m)
Taxrate = 19.03% (38.8m / 203.9m)
NOPAT = 195.1m (EBIT 240.9m * (1 - 19.03%))
Current Ratio = 0.15 (Total Current Assets 920.8m / Total Current Liabilities 5.99b)
Debt / Equity = 0.40 (Debt 593.8m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.47b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.36 (Net Debt 96.3m / EBITDA 267.7m)
Debt / FCF = 0.20 (Net Debt 96.3m / FCF TTM 473.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.44b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.12% (Net Income 165.1m / Total Assets 15.0b)
RoE = 11.48% (Net Income TTM 165.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.44b)
RoCE = 11.85% (EBIT 240.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.44b + L.T.Debt 593.8m))
RoIC = 2.19% (NOPAT 195.1m / Invested Capital 8.89b)
WACC = 6.24% (E(2.17b)/V(2.77b) * Re(6.57%) + D(593.8m)/V(2.77b) * Rd(6.23%) * (1-Tc(0.19)))
Discount Rate = 6.57% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 15.81 | Cagr: -0.32%
[DCF] Terminal Value 74.18% ; FCFF base≈491.6m ; Y1≈457.9m ; Y5≈417.3m
[DCF] Fair Price = 161.1 (EV 6.60b - Net Debt 96.3m = Equity 6.50b / Shares 40.4m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -8.62% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 93.47 | EPS CAGR: 113.0% | SUE: 0.69 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 98.33 | Revenue CAGR: 7.06% | SUE: -0.60 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.74 | Chg30d=-4.52% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=2
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.07 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.54 | Chg30d=+2.41% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=-3.7% | GrowthRev=+4.0%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=5.07 | Chg30d=+0.86% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=+11.8% | GrowthRev=+5.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +44% (up=5, down=1)