(HOMB) Home BancShares - Ratings and Ratios
Checking, Savings, Loans, Insurance, Digital
HOMB EPS (Earnings per Share)
HOMB Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 27.1% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 38.6% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -13.49% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.41 |
| Alpha | -22.15 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.378 |
| Beta | 0.852 |
| Beta Downside | 0.982 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 21.45% |
| Mean DD | 8.70% |
| Median DD | 8.46% |
Description: HOMB Home BancShares November 05, 2025
Home BancShares, Inc. (NYSE:HOMB) is the holding company for Centennial Bank, delivering commercial and retail banking services-including checking, savings, money-market accounts, CDs, and a suite of loan products-to businesses, developers, individuals, and municipalities across Arkansas, Florida, South Alabama, Texas, and New York City. The bank also offers digital banking, cash-management tools, insurance underwriting, and safe-deposit services, positioning itself as a full-service regional bank.
As of the most recent quarter (Q3 2024), HOMB reported a net interest margin of 3.45% and a loan-to-deposit ratio of 78%, reflecting modest loan growth (≈5% YoY) amid a tightening Fed policy environment that is pressuring regional banks’ earnings. Deposit balances have risen ~3% YoY, driven by higher rates attracting retail savers, while non-farm loan delinquencies remain below the industry average of 1.2%. The broader regional-bank sector is sensitive to the Fed’s rate-path and credit-quality trends, which could amplify earnings volatility for HOMB.
For a deeper quantitative assessment of HOMB’s valuation and risk profile, consider reviewing the analytics available on the ValueRay platform.
HOMB Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 5,415m |
| Sub-Industry | Regional Banks |
| IPO / Inception | 2006-06-23 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -20.1% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.88 of 5 |
HOMB Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 2.95% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 4.69% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 9.07% |
| Payout Consistency | 99.4% |
| Payout Ratio | 35.8% |
HOMB Growth Ratios
| CAGR 3y | 6.28% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.29 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 0.72 |
| Current Volume | 802.8k |
| Average Volume | 857.1k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5
| Net Income (457.8m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 81.6m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.02 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.45pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 74.35% (prev -869.8%; Δ 944.1pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.02 (>3.0%) and CFO 385.7m <= Net Income 457.8m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (975.6m) to EBITDA (601.0m) ratio: 1.62 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.06 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (197.3m) change vs 12m ago -1.09% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 75.91% (prev 66.22%; Δ 9.68pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 5.98% (prev 6.29%; Δ -0.31pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 1.44 (EBITDA TTM 601.0m / Interest Expense TTM 400.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.89
| (A) 0.04 = (Total Current Assets 18.32b - Total Current Liabilities 17.31b) / Total Assets 22.71b |
| (B) 0.10 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 2.18b / Total Assets 22.71b |
| (C) 0.03 = EBIT TTM 577.4m / Avg Total Assets 22.77b |
| (D) 0.11 = Book Value of Equity 2.00b / Total Liabilities 18.49b |
| Total Rating: 0.89 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 68.57
| 1. Piotroski 3.50pt = -1.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 11.68% = 5.0 |
| 3. FCF Margin 27.30% = 6.82 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.23 = 2.47 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.62 = 0.73 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 0.48)% = 0.60 |
| 7. RoE 11.23% = 0.94 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 12.05% = 0.90 |
| 9. EPS Trend 52.22% = 2.61 |
What is the price of HOMB shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.07%, over one month by -2.97%, over three months by -4.65% and over the past year by -8.40%.
Is Home BancShares a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of HOMB is around 24.77 USD . This means that HOMB is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -9.23%.
Is HOMB a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 3
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the HOMB price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 33.1 | 21.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 33.1 | 21.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 27.8 | 1.7% |
HOMB Fundamental Data Overview November 11, 2025
P/E Trailing = 11.9783
P/E Forward = 11.2108
P/S = 5.1944
P/B = 1.2814
P/EG = 3.72
Beta = 0.779
Revenue TTM = 1.36b USD
EBIT TTM = 577.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 601.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 729.1m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 146.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 975.6m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 975.6m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 3.18b USD (5.41b + Debt 975.6m - CCE 3.21b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.44 (Ebit TTM 577.4m / Interest Expense TTM 400.0m)
FCF Yield = 11.68% (FCF TTM 371.4m / Enterprise Value 3.18b)
FCF Margin = 27.30% (FCF TTM 371.4m / Revenue TTM 1.36b)
Net Margin = 33.65% (Net Income TTM 457.8m / Revenue TTM 1.36b)
Gross Margin = 75.91% ((Revenue TTM 1.36b - Cost of Revenue TTM 327.8m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 98.03% (prev 72.07%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.14 (Enterprise Value 3.18b / Total Assets 22.71b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 9.98% (Interest Expense 97.4m / Debt 975.6m)
Taxrate = 16.95% (25.2m / 148.8m)
NOPAT = 479.5m (EBIT 577.4m * (1 - 16.95%))
Current Ratio = 1.06 (Total Current Assets 18.32b / Total Current Liabilities 17.31b)
Debt / Equity = 0.23 (Debt 975.6m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.21b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.62 (Net Debt 975.6m / EBITDA 601.0m)
Debt / FCF = 2.63 (Net Debt 975.6m / FCF TTM 371.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.08b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.02% (Net Income 457.8m / Total Assets 22.71b)
RoE = 11.23% (Net Income TTM 457.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 4.08b)
RoCE = 12.02% (EBIT 577.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 4.08b + L.T.Debt 729.1m))
RoIC = 9.49% (NOPAT 479.5m / Invested Capital 5.05b)
WACC = 9.02% (E(5.41b)/V(6.39b) * Re(9.15%) + D(975.6m)/V(6.39b) * Rd(9.98%) * (1-Tc(0.17)))
Discount Rate = 9.15% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.15%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 74.62% ; FCFE base≈412.9m ; Y1≈419.8m ; Y5≈460.6m
Fair Price DCF = 33.95 (DCF Value 6.67b / Shares Outstanding 196.5m; 5y FCF grow 1.43% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 52.22 | EPS CAGR: 5.24% | SUE: 0.44 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 12.05 | Revenue CAGR: -5.35% | SUE: 0.07 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for HOMB Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle