(HOV) Hovnanian Enterprises - Overview
Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Residential Construction | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 649m USD | Total Return: 20.7% in 12m
Avg Turnover: 12.3M
EPS Trend: -70.2%
Qual. Beats: 2
Rev. Trend: 66.1%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Beneish M-Score -1.43 > -1.5 - likely earnings manipulation
Altman Z'' 0.58 < 1.0 - financial distress zone
Choppy
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Hovnanian Enterprises, Inc. (HOV) is a residential homebuilder operating across the United States. The company designs and constructs a diverse portfolio including single-family detached homes, townhomes, condominiums, and active lifestyle communities. Its business model targets a broad demographic spectrum, ranging from first-time and move-up buyers to luxury and active adult segments.
The company operates within the homebuilding sector, which is highly sensitive to mortgage interest rates and regional land availability. To diversify revenue streams and streamline the closing process, Hovnanian integrates financial services by offering mortgage loans and title services to its customers. Investors can find deeper historical performance data and valuation metrics on ValueRay.
Founded in 1959 and headquartered in Matawan, New Jersey, the firm manages the entire development lifecycle, from land acquisition and entitlement to construction and marketing. This vertical integration allows the company to maintain control over community amenities such as clubhouses and recreational facilities, which are central to its active lifestyle offerings.
- Mortgage rate volatility impacts homebuyer affordability and new contract cancellation rates
- Elevated land acquisition costs and labor shortages pressure gross profit margins
- Strategic focus on first-time and move-up buyers drives core revenue growth
- High debt leverage ratios increase sensitivity to interest rate and credit cycles
- Limited existing home inventory boosts demand for new residential construction projects
| Net Income: 36.5m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.13 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 11.06 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -2.60% < 20% (prev 45.37%; Δ -47.97% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 385.0m > Net Income 36.5m |
| Net Debt (633.7m) to EBITDA (106.6m): 5.94 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.91 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (6.45m) vs 12m ago -7.16% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 73.80% > 18% (prev 0.18%; Δ 7.36k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 108.4% > 50% (prev 119.9%; Δ -11.51% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.20 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 106.6m / Interest Expense TTM 41.4m) |
| A: -0.03 (Total Current Assets 737.3m - Total Current Liabilities 813.2m) / Total Assets 2.83b |
| B: 0.05 (Retained Earnings 142.6m / Total Assets 2.83b) |
| C: 0.03 (EBIT TTM 91.3m / Avg Total Assets 2.69b) |
| D: 0.34 (Book Value of Equity 689.6m / Total Liabilities 2.00b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.58 = B |
| DSRI: 2.01 (Receivables 47.4m/24.7m, Revenue 2.92b/3.06b) |
| GMI: 0.24 (GM 73.80% / 17.88%) |
| AQI: 3.71 (AQ_t 0.72 / AQ_t-1 0.19) |
| SGI: 0.95 (Revenue 2.92b / 3.06b) |
| TATA: -0.12 (NI 36.5m - CFO 385.0m) / TA 2.83b) |
| Beneish M = -1.43 (Cap -4..+1) = D |
As of May 30, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 110.36 with a total of 109,973 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.42%,
over one month by -0.99%,
over three months by -12.15% and
over the past year by +20.72%.
Hovnanian Enterprises has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.00. Therefore, it is recommended to hold HOV.
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 74 | -32.9% |
P/E Trailing = 30.7424
P/E Forward = 13.4953
P/S = 0.2225
P/B = 0.9417
P/EG = 1.9969
Revenue TTM = 2.92b USD
EBIT TTM = 91.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 106.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 930.2m USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 11.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 954.5m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 19.9m
Net Debt = 633.7m USD (calculated: Debt 954.5m - CCE 320.9m)
Enterprise Value = 1.28b USD (649.4m + Debt 954.5m - CCE 320.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.20 (Ebit TTM 91.3m / Interest Expense TTM 41.4m)
EV/FCF = 3.59x (Enterprise Value 1.28b / FCF TTM 357.9m)
FCF Yield = 27.89% (FCF TTM 357.9m / Enterprise Value 1.28b)
FCF Margin = 12.26% (FCF TTM 357.9m / Revenue TTM 2.92b)
Net Margin = 1.25% (Net Income TTM 36.5m / Revenue TTM 2.92b)
Gross Margin = 73.80% ((Revenue TTM 2.92b - Cost of Revenue TTM 764.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = none% (prev none%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.45 (Enterprise Value 1.28b / Total Assets 2.83b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.34% (Interest Expense 41.4m / Debt 954.5m)
Taxrate = 25.81% (22.2m / 86.1m)
NOPAT = 67.7m (EBIT 91.3m * (1 - 25.81%))
Current Ratio = 0.91 (Total Current Assets 737.3m / Total Current Liabilities 813.2m)
Debt / Equity = 1.16 (Debt 954.5m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 824.9m)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.94 (Net Debt 633.7m / EBITDA 106.6m)
Debt / FCF = 1.77 (Net Debt 633.7m / FCF TTM 357.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 831.7m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.36% (Net Income 36.5m / Total Assets 2.83b)
RoE = 4.39% (Net Income TTM 36.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 831.7m)
RoCE = 5.18% (EBIT 91.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 831.7m + L.T.Debt 930.2m))
RoIC = 3.97% (NOPAT 67.7m / Invested Capital 1.71b)
WACC = 6.85% (E(649.4m)/V(1.60b) * Re(12.19%) + D(954.5m)/V(1.60b) * Rd(4.34%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 12.19% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -37.78 | Cagr: -3.16%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈231.0m ; Y1≈264.8m ; Y5≈389.7m
[DCF] Fair Price = 1.03k (EV 5.86b - Net Debt 633.7m = Equity 5.23b / Shares 5.07m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -70.16 | EPS CAGR: -34.58% | SUE: 1.07 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 66.08 | Revenue CAGR: 3.17% | SUE: 1.78 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-07-31): EPS=-0.56 | Chg30d=+66.27% | Revisions=+20% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-10-31): EPS=1.26 | Chg30d=+227.27% | Revisions=+20% | GrowthEPS=-83.0% | GrowthRev=-5.8%
EPS next Year (2027-10-31): EPS=-3.45 | Chg30d=+7.26% | Revisions=+20% | GrowthEPS=-373.8% | GrowthRev=+2.7%