(HRI) Herc Holdings - Overview
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Rental & Leasing Services | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 4.799m USD | Total Return: 4.9% in 12m
Construction Equipment, Power Generation, Industrial Tools, Climate Control
Total Rating 40
Safety 44
Buy Signal -0.33
Rental & Leasing Services
Industry Rotation: -5.0
Industry Rotation: -5.0
Market Cap:
4.80B
Avg Turnover: 74.5M
Avg Turnover: 74.5M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility60.3%
VaR 5th Pctl9.80%
VaR vs Median-1.31%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.31
Rel. Str. IBD39.2
Rel. Str. Peer Group39.1
Character TTM
Beta2.260
Beta Downside2.666
Hurst Exponent0.456
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD60.90%
CAGR/Max DD0.19
CAGR/Mean DD0.47
EPS (Earnings per Share)
EPS CAGR: -48.18%
EPS Trend: -54.5%
EPS Trend: -54.5%
Last SUE: -0.48
Qual. Beats: 0
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue
Rev. CAGR: 16.62%
Rev. Trend: 90.1%
Rev. Trend: 90.1%
Last SUE: 3.61
Qual. Beats: 1
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Share dilution 16.8% YoY
High Debt/EBITDA (8.6) with thin interest coverage (1.3)
Altman Z'' 0.68 < 1.0 - financial distress zone
Choppy
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Description: HRI Herc Holdings
Herc Holdings Inc. (HRI) is a diversified equipment rental provider operating primarily in the United States. The company supplies a broad range of machinery, including aerial, earthmoving, and material handling equipment, alongside specialized services through its ProSolutions and ProContractor brands. Its business model focuses on the rental of high-value capital assets to a diverse client base spanning non-residential construction, industrial manufacturing, and government infrastructure sectors.
The equipment rental industry is highly cyclical and capital-intensive, as firms must continuously refresh fleets to maintain utilization rates and resale value. Herc Holdings mitigates volatility by offering ancillary services such as maintenance, safety training, and the sale of used equipment and consumables. For a deeper look into these financial fundamentals, investors can explore the analytics available on ValueRay. The company utilizes a direct sales force and digital catalogs to reach customers across various specialty trades and large-scale commercial facilities.
- Non-residential construction spending and infrastructure project starts dictate equipment rental demand
- Fleet age and maintenance costs impact EBITDA margins and capital expenditure cycles
- Interest rate fluctuations influence fleet financing costs and residential construction activity
- Used equipment resale values determine recovery rates on depreciated rental assets
- Growth in data center and industrial manufacturing projects drives specialty equipment revenue
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict)
3.0
| Net Income: -5.00m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.91 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 6.25% < 20% (prev 6.48%; Δ -0.23% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 > 3% & CFO 1.23b > Net Income -5.00m |
| Net Debt (9.60b) to EBITDA (1.12b): 8.59 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.46 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (33.3m) vs 12m ago 16.84% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 29.22% > 18% (prev 0.37%; Δ 2.89k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 43.76% > 50% (prev 47.05%; Δ -3.28% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.27 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 1.12b / Interest Expense TTM 482.0m) |
Altman Z''
0.68
| A: 0.02 (Total Current Assets 919.0m - Total Current Liabilities 628.0m) / Total Assets 13.56b |
| B: 0.04 (Retained Earnings 500.0m / Total Assets 13.56b) |
| C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 611.0m / Avg Total Assets 10.63b) |
| D: 0.03 (Book Value of Equity 376.0m / Total Liabilities 11.67b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 0.68 = B |
Beneish M
-1.83
| DSRI: 1.07 (Receivables 760.0m/554.0m, Revenue 4.65b/3.62b) |
| GMI: 1.27 (GM 29.22% / 37.05%) |
| AQI: 2.33 (AQ_t 0.45 / AQ_t-1 0.19) |
| SGI: 1.28 (Revenue 4.65b / 3.62b) |
| TATA: -0.09 (NI -5.00m - CFO 1.23b) / TA 13.56b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -1.83 (Cap -4..+1) = B |
What is the price of HRI shares?
As of May 17, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 138.20 with a total of 475,902 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.44%, over one month by +37.72%, over three months by -7.51% and over the past year by +4.85%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.44%, over one month by +37.72%, over three months by -7.51% and over the past year by +4.85%.
Is HRI a buy, sell or hold?
Herc Holdings has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.90.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy HRI.
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the HRI price?
| Analysts Target Price | 168.9 | 22.2% |
Herc Holdings (HRI) - Fundamental Data Overview
as of 15 May 2026
P/E Forward = 16.2338 P/S = 1.0312
P/B = 2.3505
P/EG = 0.0587
Revenue TTM = 4.65b USD
EBIT TTM = 611.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.12b USD
Long Term Debt = 7.96b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 89.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 9.64b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 9.60b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 14.40b USD (4.80b + Debt 9.64b - CCE 43.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.27 (Ebit TTM 611.0m / Interest Expense TTM 482.0m)
EV/FCF = 95.99x (Enterprise Value 14.40b / FCF TTM 150.0m)
FCF Yield = 1.04% (FCF TTM 150.0m / Enterprise Value 14.40b)
FCF Margin = 3.22% (FCF TTM 150.0m / Revenue TTM 4.65b)
Net Margin = -0.11% (Net Income TTM -5.00m / Revenue TTM 4.65b)
Gross Margin = 29.22% ((Revenue TTM 4.65b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.29b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 28.62% (prev 27.05%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.06 (Enterprise Value 14.40b / Total Assets 13.56b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.33% (Interest Expense 128.0m / Debt 9.64b)
Taxrate = 0.0% (0.0 / 1.00m)
NOPAT = 611.0m (EBIT 611.0m * (1 - 0.00%))
Current Ratio = 1.46 (Total Current Assets 919.0m / Total Current Liabilities 628.0m)
Debt / Equity = 5.08 (Debt 9.64b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.90b)
Debt / EBITDA = 8.59 (Net Debt 9.60b / EBITDA 1.12b)
Debt / FCF = 64.0 (Net Debt 9.60b / FCF TTM 150.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.92b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -0.05% (Net Income -5.00m / Total Assets 13.56b)
RoE = -0.26% (Net Income TTM -5.00m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.92b)
RoCE = 6.18% (EBIT 611.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.92b + L.T.Debt 7.96b))
RoIC = 6.09% (NOPAT 611.0m / Invested Capital 10.03b)
WACC = 5.52% (E(4.80b)/V(14.44b) * Re(13.93%) + D(9.64b)/V(14.44b) * Rd(1.33%) * (1-Tc(0.0)))
Discount Rate = 13.93% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 85.78 | Cagr: 7.33%
[DCF] Terminal Value 80.82% ; FCFF base≈150.0m ; Y1≈98.5m ; Y5≈45.0m
[DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 1.43b - Net Debt 9.60b = -8.17b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: -54.50 | EPS CAGR: -48.18% | SUE: -0.48 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 90.06 | Revenue CAGR: 16.62% | SUE: 3.61 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.63 | Chg30d=-43.68% | Revisions=-40% | Analysts=8
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.71 | Chg30d=-19.51% | Revisions=-40% | Analysts=8
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=6.09 | Chg30d=-19.71% | Revisions=-33% | GrowthEPS=-19.9% | GrowthRev=+9.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=9.76 | Chg30d=-12.99% | Revisions=-9% | GrowthEPS=+60.2% | GrowthRev=+6.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -40%