(HRI) Herc Holdings - Ratings and Ratios
Equipment, Rental, Used, Supplies, Services
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 2.01% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 5.20% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 74.57% |
| Payout Consistency | 100.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 30.8% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 56.0% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 84.4% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -8.36% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.60 |
| Alpha | -59.58 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.07 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.439 |
| Beta | 1.597 |
| Beta Downside | 1.570 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 56.94% |
| Mean DD | 22.85% |
| Median DD | 20.15% |
Description: HRI Herc Holdings November 07, 2025
Herc Holdings Inc. (NYSE:HRI) is a diversified equipment-rental provider operating in the United States and select international markets. Its portfolio spans aerial, earth-moving, material-handling, truck-trailer, air-compressor, compaction, and lighting assets, complemented by solution-based services (ProSolutions) such as power generation, climate control, remediation, and studio equipment, as well as professional-grade tools (ProContractor). The firm also delivers ancillary services-including repair, maintenance, safety training, equipment transport, cleaning, refueling, and labor-and monetizes used equipment and contractor consumables.
Key operational metrics illustrate the scale and resilience of the business: in FY 2023 the company generated roughly $2.5 billion in revenue with an adjusted EBITDA margin near 12%, and it manages a fleet of approximately 800 k units with an average utilization rate of 85% in the most recent quarter. Demand is closely tied to macro-level construction spending (which rose ~4% YoY in 2023) and industrial capital-expenditure cycles, while rising interest rates have modestly pressured short-term rental pricing but are offset by HRI’s broad exposure to non-residential construction, infrastructure, and specialty industrial segments.
For analysts seeking a data-driven, scenario-based assessment of HRI’s valuation and risk profile, the ValueRay platform provides a granular toolkit that can deepen your research.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0
| Net Income (-69.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 247.1m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.01 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -1.91pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 4.20% (prev 4.47%; Δ -0.26pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.10b > Net Income -69.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (1.46b) to EBITDA (859.0m) ratio: 1.70 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.22 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (33.3m) change vs 12m ago 16.84% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 33.00% (prev 37.69%; Δ -4.69pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 37.27% (prev 42.21%; Δ -4.94pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 1.94 (EBITDA TTM 859.0m / Interest Expense TTM 349.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.66
| (A) 0.01 = (Total Current Assets 974.0m - Total Current Liabilities 801.0m) / Total Assets 13.93b |
| (B) 0.04 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 547.0m / Total Assets 13.93b |
| (C) 0.06 = EBIT TTM 676.0m / Avg Total Assets 11.05b |
| (D) 0.03 = Book Value of Equity 416.0m / Total Liabilities 12.00b |
| Total Rating: 0.66 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 48.07
| 1. Piotroski 3.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -3.18% |
| 3. FCF Margin -4.52% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.79 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.70 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -3.77)% |
| 7. RoE -4.19% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 90.46% |
| 9. EPS Trend -16.06% |
What is the price of HRI shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +14.65%, over one month by +3.00%, over three months by +6.86% and over the past year by -39.49%.
Is HRI a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 4
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the HRI price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 166.9 | 21.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 166.9 | 21.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 138.6 | 1% |
HRI Fundamental Data Overview November 24, 2025
P/E Forward = 12.0773
P/S = 1.0674
P/B = 2.2787
P/EG = 0.5045
Beta = 1.811
Revenue TTM = 4.12b USD
EBIT TTM = 676.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 859.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 8.16b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 86.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.52b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.46b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 5.86b USD (4.40b + Debt 1.52b - CCE 61.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.94 (Ebit TTM 676.0m / Interest Expense TTM 349.0m)
FCF Yield = -3.18% (FCF TTM -186.0m / Enterprise Value 5.86b)
FCF Margin = -4.52% (FCF TTM -186.0m / Revenue TTM 4.12b)
Net Margin = -1.68% (Net Income TTM -69.0m / Revenue TTM 4.12b)
Gross Margin = 33.00% ((Revenue TTM 4.12b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.76b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 28.76% (prev 33.13%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.42 (Enterprise Value 5.86b / Total Assets 13.93b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 8.80% (Interest Expense 134.0m / Debt 1.52b)
Taxrate = 21.05% (8.00m / 38.0m)
NOPAT = 533.7m (EBIT 676.0m * (1 - 21.05%))
Current Ratio = 1.22 (Total Current Assets 974.0m / Total Current Liabilities 801.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.79 (Debt 1.52b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.93b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.70 (Net Debt 1.46b / EBITDA 859.0m)
Debt / FCF = -7.86 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 1.46b / FCF TTM -186.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.65b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -0.50% (Net Income -69.0m / Total Assets 13.93b)
RoE = -4.19% (Net Income TTM -69.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.65b)
RoCE = 6.89% (EBIT 676.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.65b + L.T.Debt 8.16b))
RoIC = 6.86% (NOPAT 533.7m / Invested Capital 7.78b)
WACC = 10.63% (E(4.40b)/V(5.92b) * Re(11.90%) + D(1.52b)/V(5.92b) * Rd(8.80%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 11.90% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 8.28%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -186.0m)
EPS Correlation: -16.06 | EPS CAGR: -2.70% | SUE: -2.36 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 90.46 | Revenue CAGR: 24.23% | SUE: 0.57 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for HRI Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle