Overview Dividends

(HRI) Herc Holdings - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US42704L1044

Equipment, Rental, Used, Supplies, Services

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS Growth (3y CAGR): -14.72%
EPS Trend (3y Corr): -42.3%

Last SUE: -2.36σ
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Revenue Growth (3y CAGR): 20.16%
Revenue Trend (3y Corr): 79.6%

Last SUE: 0.57σ
Qual. Beats: 0

Risk via 10d forecast
Volatility	58.3%
Value at Risk 5%th	88.4%
Relative Tail Risk	-7.77%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	-0.76
Alpha	-64.58

Character TTM
Hurst Exponent	0.450
Beta	1.591
Beta Downside	1.592

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	56.94%
Mean DD	22.58%
Median DD	19.88%

Description: HRI Herc Holdings November 07, 2025

Herc Holdings Inc. (NYSE:HRI) is a diversified equipment-rental provider operating in the United States and select international markets. Its portfolio spans aerial, earth-moving, material-handling, truck-trailer, air-compressor, compaction, and lighting assets, complemented by solution-based services (ProSolutions) such as power generation, climate control, remediation, and studio equipment, as well as professional-grade tools (ProContractor). The firm also delivers ancillary services-including repair, maintenance, safety training, equipment transport, cleaning, refueling, and labor-and monetizes used equipment and contractor consumables.

Key operational metrics illustrate the scale and resilience of the business: in FY 2023 the company generated roughly $2.5 billion in revenue with an adjusted EBITDA margin near 12%, and it manages a fleet of approximately 800 k units with an average utilization rate of 85% in the most recent quarter. Demand is closely tied to macro-level construction spending (which rose ~4% YoY in 2023) and industrial capital-expenditure cycles, while rising interest rates have modestly pressured short-term rental pricing but are offset by HRI’s broad exposure to non-residential construction, infrastructure, and specialty industrial segments.

For analysts seeking a data-driven, scenario-based assessment of HRI’s valuation and risk profile, the ValueRay platform provides a granular toolkit that can deepen your research.

HRI Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD	4,560m
Sub-Industry	Trading Companies & Distributors
IPO / Inception	2016-07-01
Return 12m vs S&P 500	-50.2%
Analyst Rating	3.90 of 5

HRI Dividends

Metric	Value
Dividend Yield	2.31%
Yield on Cost 5y	4.93%
Yield CAGR 5y	74.57%
Payout Consistency	100.0%
Payout Ratio	30.8%

HRI Growth Ratios

Metric	Value
CAGR 3y	-1.37%
CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio	-0.02
CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio	-0.06
Current Volume	497.9k
Average Volume	459k

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.0

Net Income (-69.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 247.1m TTM)

FCFTA -0.03 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -3.52pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 4.20% (prev 4.47%; Δ -0.26pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.02 (>3.0%) and CFO 331.0m > Net Income -69.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (1.46b) to EBITDA (859.0m) ratio: 1.70 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 1.22 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (33.3m) change vs 12m ago 16.84% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 33.00% (prev 37.69%; Δ -4.69pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 37.27% (prev 42.21%; Δ -4.94pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 1.94 (EBITDA TTM 859.0m / Interest Expense TTM 349.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 0.66

(A) 0.01 = (Total Current Assets 974.0m - Total Current Liabilities 801.0m) / Total Assets 13.93b

(B) 0.04 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 547.0m / Total Assets 13.93b

(D) 0.03 = Book Value of Equity 416.0m / Total Liabilities 12.00b

Total Rating: 0.66 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 42.01

1. Piotroski 2.0pt = -3.0

2. FCF Yield -6.81% = -3.40

3. FCF Margin -9.96% = -3.73

4. Debt/Equity 0.79 = 2.20

5. Debt/Ebitda 1.70 = 0.58

6. ROIC - WACC (= -3.02)% = -3.78

7. RoE -4.19% = -0.70

8. Rev. Trend 79.58% = 5.97

9. EPS Trend -42.32% = -2.12

What is the price of HRI shares?

As of November 20, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 119.74 with a total of 497,885 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -14.14%, over one month by -6.71%, over three months by -1.72% and over the past year by -43.44%.

Is HRI a buy, sell or hold?

Herc Holdings has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.90. Therefore, it is recommended to buy HRI.

Strong Buy: 4
Buy: 2
Hold: 3
Sell: 1
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the HRI price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	167	39.5%
Analysts Target Price	167	39.5%
ValueRay Target Price	118.4	-1.1%

HRI Fundamental Data Overview November 11, 2025

Market Cap USD = 4.56b (4.56b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 9.4251
P/S = 1.1072
P/B = 2.1519
P/EG = 0.3768
Beta = 1.811
Revenue TTM = 4.12b USD
EBIT TTM = 676.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 859.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 4.01b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 86.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.52b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.46b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 6.02b USD (4.56b + Debt 1.52b - CCE 61.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.94 (Ebit TTM 676.0m / Interest Expense TTM 349.0m)
FCF Yield = -6.81% (FCF TTM -410.0m / Enterprise Value 6.02b)
FCF Margin = -9.96% (FCF TTM -410.0m / Revenue TTM 4.12b)
Net Margin = -1.68% (Net Income TTM -69.0m / Revenue TTM 4.12b)
Gross Margin = 33.00% ((Revenue TTM 4.12b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.76b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 28.76% (prev 33.13%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.43 (Enterprise Value 6.02b / Total Assets 13.93b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 8.80% (Interest Expense 134.0m / Debt 1.52b)
Taxrate = 21.05% (8.00m / 38.0m)
NOPAT = 533.7m (EBIT 676.0m * (1 - 21.05%))
Current Ratio = 1.22 (Total Current Assets 974.0m / Total Current Liabilities 801.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.79 (Debt 1.52b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.93b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.70 (Net Debt 1.46b / EBITDA 859.0m)
Debt / FCF = -3.57 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 1.46b / FCF TTM -410.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.65b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -0.50% (Net Income -69.0m / Total Assets 13.93b)
RoE = -4.19% (Net Income TTM -69.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.65b)
RoCE = 11.95% (EBIT 676.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.65b + L.T.Debt 4.01b))
RoIC = 7.62% (NOPAT 533.7m / Invested Capital 7.00b)
WACC = 10.64% (E(4.56b)/V(6.08b) * Re(11.88%) + D(1.52b)/V(6.08b) * Rd(8.80%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 11.88% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 8.28%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -410.0m)
EPS Correlation: -42.32 | EPS CAGR: -14.72% | SUE: -2.36 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 79.58 | Revenue CAGR: 20.16% | SUE: 0.57 | # QB: 0

Additional Sources for HRI Stock

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