(HRI) Herc Holdings - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US42704L1044

Equipment Rental, Aerial, Earthmoving, Material Handling, Compressors

Trading Companies & Distributors
Market Cap in USD: 5,589m

IPO / Inception: 2016-07-01
12m vs SPY: -24.5%

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: -43.82%
EPS Trend: -44.8%

Last SUE: -4.00
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: 24.23%
Rev. Trend: 90.6%

Last SUE: 0.57
Qual. Beats: 0

Dividends

Dividend Yield	1.94%
Yield on Cost 5y	4.33%
Yield CAGR 5y	6.78%
Payout Consistency	100.0%
Payout Ratio	31.2%

Risk via 5d forecast
Volatility	44.1%
Value at Risk 5%th	65.4%
Relative Tail Risk	-9.84%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	0.13
Alpha	-36.42
CAGR/Max DD	0.12

Character TTM
Hurst Exponent	0.478
Beta	1.611
Beta Downside	1.666

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	56.94%
Mean DD	24.15%
Median DD	21.53%

Description: HRI Herc Holdings January 10, 2026

Herc Holdings Inc. (NYSE:HRI) is a diversified equipment-rental and services firm that supplies a broad portfolio-including aerial lifts, earth-moving machines, material-handling trucks, compressors, and lighting gear-to construction, industrial, infrastructure, and specialty-trade customers across the United States and select international markets. The company augments rentals with solution-based services (e.g., power generation, climate control, remediation) under its ProSolutions brand, and offers ancillary support such as maintenance, safety training, transport, and equipment resale.

Key operating metrics from the most recent fiscal year (2023) show total revenue of roughly $2.0 billion, an adjusted EBITDA margin near 13%, and an equipment utilization rate of about 78%, reflecting steady demand despite a modest slowdown in residential construction. The business is sensitive to macro-level drivers like U.S. construction spending (which grew ~4% YoY in 2023) and federal infrastructure investment, while its exposure to cyclical sectors such as oil-and-gas and mining adds upside potential when commodity prices rebound.

For a deeper, data-driven assessment of HRI’s valuation and risk profile, you may find the analytics on ValueRay worth exploring.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0

Net Income (-69.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 247.1m TTM)

FCFTA -0.01 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -1.91pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 4.20% (prev 4.47%; Δ -0.26pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.08 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.10b > Net Income -69.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (1.46b) to EBITDA (859.0m) ratio: 1.70 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 1.22 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (33.3m) change vs 12m ago 16.84% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 33.00% (prev 37.69%; Δ -4.69pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 37.27% (prev 42.21%; Δ -4.94pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 1.94 (EBITDA TTM 859.0m / Interest Expense TTM 349.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 0.66

(A) 0.01 = (Total Current Assets 974.0m - Total Current Liabilities 801.0m) / Total Assets 13.93b

(B) 0.04 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 547.0m / Total Assets 13.93b

(D) 0.03 = Book Value of Equity 416.4m / Total Liabilities 12.00b

Total Rating: 0.66 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 46.69

1. Piotroski 3.0pt

2. FCF Yield -2.64%

3. FCF Margin -4.52%

4. Debt/Equity 0.79

5. Debt/Ebitda 1.70

6. ROIC - WACC (= -3.94)%

7. RoE -4.19%

8. Rev. Trend 90.60%

9. EPS Trend -44.85%

What is the price of HRI shares?

As of January 13, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 164.48 with a total of 394,718 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.66%, over one month by +6.95%, over three months by +36.90% and over the past year by -8.60%.

Is HRI a buy, sell or hold?

Herc Holdings has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.90. Therefore, it is recommended to buy HRI.

Strong Buy: 4
Buy: 2
Hold: 3
Sell: 1
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the HRI price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	170.7	3.8%
Analysts Target Price	170.7	3.8%
ValueRay Target Price	171.1	4%

HRI Fundamental Data Overview January 11, 2026

P/E Forward = 15.361
P/S = 1.3572
P/B = 2.8973
P/EG = 0.6414
Beta = 1.785
Revenue TTM = 4.12b USD
EBIT TTM = 676.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 859.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 8.16b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 86.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.52b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.46b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 7.05b USD (5.59b + Debt 1.52b - CCE 61.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.94 (Ebit TTM 676.0m / Interest Expense TTM 349.0m)
EV/FCF = -37.91x (Enterprise Value 7.05b / FCF TTM -186.0m)
FCF Yield = -2.64% (FCF TTM -186.0m / Enterprise Value 7.05b)
FCF Margin = -4.52% (FCF TTM -186.0m / Revenue TTM 4.12b)
Net Margin = -1.68% (Net Income TTM -69.0m / Revenue TTM 4.12b)
Gross Margin = 33.00% ((Revenue TTM 4.12b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.76b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 28.76% (prev 33.13%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.51 (Enterprise Value 7.05b / Total Assets 13.93b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 8.80% (Interest Expense 134.0m / Debt 1.52b)
Taxrate = 21.05% (8.00m / 38.0m)
NOPAT = 533.7m (EBIT 676.0m * (1 - 21.05%))
Current Ratio = 1.22 (Total Current Assets 974.0m / Total Current Liabilities 801.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.79 (Debt 1.52b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.93b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.70 (Net Debt 1.46b / EBITDA 859.0m)
Debt / FCF = -7.86 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 1.46b / FCF TTM -186.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.65b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -0.62% (Net Income -69.0m / Total Assets 13.93b)
RoE = -4.19% (Net Income TTM -69.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.65b)
RoCE = 6.89% (EBIT 676.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.65b + L.T.Debt 8.16b))
RoIC = 6.86% (NOPAT 533.7m / Invested Capital 7.78b)
WACC = 10.80% (E(5.59b)/V(7.11b) * Re(11.85%) + D(1.52b)/V(7.11b) * Rd(8.80%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 11.85% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -81.65 | Cagr: -1.68%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -186.0m)
EPS Correlation: -44.85 | EPS CAGR: -43.82% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 90.60 | Revenue CAGR: 24.23% | SUE: 0.57 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.78 | Chg30d=-0.082 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=6
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=9.44 | Chg30d=-0.203 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+27.0% | Growth Revenue=+14.7%

Additional Sources for HRI Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle