(HRL) Hormel Foods - Ratings and Ratios
Canned Meats, Nut Butters, Deli Meats, Bacon, Chili
HRL EPS (Earnings per Share)
HRL Revenue
Description: HRL Hormel Foods October 30, 2025
Hormel Foods Corp. (NYSE:HRL) manufactures and distributes a broad portfolio of meat, nut, and convenience-food products to food-service, retail, and international customers, organized into Retail, Foodservice, and International segments.
The company’s product mix spans fresh meats, frozen and refrigerated meals, and shelf-stable items such as canned meats, nut butters, and microwaveable entrees, marketed under well-known brands including Hormel, Spam, Skippy, and Applegate.
Key performance indicators that analysts watch include HRL’s 2023 net sales of $12.6 bn, a 5-year average operating margin of ~13 %, and a free cash flow conversion rate of roughly 75 %, which underpins its consistent dividend growth (13 % CAGR over the past decade).
Sector-level drivers remain strong: U.S. protein demand is growing at ~2 % annually, while inflationary pressure on commodity inputs (pork, beef) is partially offset by pricing power in branded, value-added products.
Hormel’s international exposure-about 15 % of total revenue-offers upside as emerging-market middle-class consumption of processed protein rises faster than in mature markets.
For a deeper quantitative breakdown of Hormel’s valuation metrics, the ValueRay platform provides a granular view of its forward earnings multiples and segment cash-flow trends.
HRL Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 13,106m |
| Sub-Industry | Packaged Foods & Meats |
| IPO / Inception | 1990-01-02 |
HRL Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | -75.2% |
| Fundamental | 52.5% |
| Dividend Rating | 64.7% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -39.3% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.25 of 5 |
HRL Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 5.37% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.72% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 4.99% |
| Payout Consistency | 96.6% |
| Payout Ratio | 78.9% |
HRL Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | -92.4% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | -59.4% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | -83% |
| CAGR 5y | -19.72% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) | -0.38 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) | -0.71 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | -0.49 |
| Alpha | -35.18 |
| Beta | 0.296 |
| Volatility | 37.88% |
| Current Volume | 8030.8k |
| Average Volume 20d | 4258.5k |
| Stop Loss | 20.9 (-3.2%) |
| Signal | 0.18 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income (754.5m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 723.5m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.05 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -2.23pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 16.39% (prev 14.09%; Δ 2.31pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 (>3.0%) and CFO 931.0m > Net Income 754.5m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (2.26b) to EBITDA (1.30b) ratio: 1.73 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.47 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (550.4m) change vs 12m ago 0.21% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 16.32% (prev 16.82%; Δ -0.50pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 90.63% (prev 91.36%; Δ -0.73pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 13.40 (EBITDA TTM 1.30b / Interest Expense TTM 77.9m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 4.81
| (A) 0.15 = (Total Current Assets 3.32b - Total Current Liabilities 1.35b) / Total Assets 13.50b |
| (B) 0.57 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 7.73b / Total Assets 13.50b |
| (C) 0.08 = EBIT TTM 1.04b / Avg Total Assets 13.31b |
| (D) 1.38 = Book Value of Equity 7.47b / Total Liabilities 5.40b |
| Total Rating: 4.81 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 52.53
| 1. Piotroski 5.0pt = 0.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 4.09% = 2.05 |
| 3. FCF Margin 5.21% = 1.30 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.35 = 2.44 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.73 = 0.52 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 1.51)% = 1.88 |
| 7. RoE 9.39% = 0.78 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -34.60% = -2.59 |
| 9. EPS Trend -76.96% = -3.85 |
What is the price of HRL shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -9.40%, over one month by -11.65%, over three months by -22.19% and over the past year by -26.36%.
Is Hormel Foods a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of HRL is around 17.73 USD . This means that HRL is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -17.88%.
Is HRL a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 10
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the HRL price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 28.8 | 33.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 28.8 | 33.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 19.3 | -10.6% |
HRL Fundamental Data Overview October 27, 2025
P/E Trailing = 17.3942
P/E Forward = 15.8983
P/S = 1.0869
P/B = 1.6779
P/EG = 3.0189
Beta = 0.296
Revenue TTM = 12.06b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.04b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.30b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.85b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 6.74m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.86b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 2.26b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 15.33b USD (13.11b + Debt 2.86b - CCE 630.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 13.40 (Ebit TTM 1.04b / Interest Expense TTM 77.9m)
FCF Yield = 4.09% (FCF TTM 627.7m / Enterprise Value 15.33b)
FCF Margin = 5.21% (FCF TTM 627.7m / Revenue TTM 12.06b)
Net Margin = 6.26% (Net Income TTM 754.5m / Revenue TTM 12.06b)
Gross Margin = 16.32% ((Revenue TTM 12.06b - Cost of Revenue TTM 10.09b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 16.07% (prev 16.71%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.14 (Enterprise Value 15.33b / Total Assets 13.50b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.68% (Interest Expense 19.5m / Debt 2.86b)
Taxrate = 22.33% (52.8m / 236.5m)
NOPAT = 810.3m (EBIT 1.04b * (1 - 22.33%))
Current Ratio = 2.47 (Total Current Assets 3.32b / Total Current Liabilities 1.35b)
Debt / Equity = 0.35 (Debt 2.86b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 8.08b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.73 (Net Debt 2.26b / EBITDA 1.30b)
Debt / FCF = 3.60 (Net Debt 2.26b / FCF TTM 627.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 8.03b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.59% (Net Income 754.5m / Total Assets 13.50b)
RoE = 9.39% (Net Income TTM 754.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 8.03b)
RoCE = 9.58% (EBIT 1.04b / Capital Employed (Equity 8.03b + L.T.Debt 2.85b))
RoIC = 7.44% (NOPAT 810.3m / Invested Capital 10.89b)
WACC = 5.93% (E(13.11b)/V(15.96b) * Re(7.11%) + D(2.86b)/V(15.96b) * Rd(0.68%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 7.11% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.20%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 77.26% ; FCFE base≈737.8m ; Y1≈689.8m ; Y5≈639.7m
Fair Price DCF = 20.85 (DCF Value 11.47b / Shares Outstanding 550.0m; 5y FCF grow -8.30% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -76.96 | EPS CAGR: -12.79% | SUE: -1.96 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -34.60 | Revenue CAGR: -2.85% | SUE: 0.81 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for HRL Stock
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