(HRL) Hormel Foods - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US4404521001

Canned Meats, Nut Butters, Deli Meats, Bacon, Chili

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS (Earnings per Share) of HRL over the last years for every Quarter: "2020-10": 0.43, "2021-01": 0.41, "2021-04": 0.42, "2021-07": 0.39, "2021-10": 0.51, "2022-01": 0.44, "2022-04": 0.48, "2022-07": 0.4, "2022-10": 0.51, "2023-01": 0.4, "2023-04": 0.4, "2023-07": 0.4, "2023-10": 0.42, "2024-01": 0.41, "2024-04": 0.38, "2024-07": 0.37, "2024-10": 0.42, "2025-01": 0.35, "2025-04": 0.35, "2025-07": 0.35,

Revenue

Revenue of HRL over the last years for every Quarter: 2020-10: 2420.105, 2021-01: 2461.147, 2021-04: 2606.621, 2021-07: 2863.67, 2021-10: 3454.751, 2022-01: 3044.358, 2022-04: 3096.559, 2022-07: 3034.414, 2022-10: 3283.475, 2023-01: 2970.992, 2023-04: 2977.639, 2023-07: 2963.299, 2023-10: 3198.08, 2024-01: 2996.911, 2024-04: 2887.352, 2024-07: 2898.443, 2024-10: 3138.091, 2025-01: 2988.813, 2025-04: 2898.81, 2025-07: 3032.876,
Risk via 10d forecast
Volatility 23.8%
Value at Risk 5%th 36.9%
Relative Tail Risk -5.84%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio -0.98
Alpha -25.36
Character TTM
Hurst Exponent 0.624
Beta 0.078
Beta Downside 0.024
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD 51.86%
Mean DD 28.51%
Median DD 31.84%

Description: HRL Hormel Foods October 30, 2025

Hormel Foods Corp. (NYSE:HRL) manufactures and distributes a broad portfolio of meat, nut, and convenience-food products to food-service, retail, and international customers, organized into Retail, Foodservice, and International segments.

The company’s product mix spans fresh meats, frozen and refrigerated meals, and shelf-stable items such as canned meats, nut butters, and microwaveable entrees, marketed under well-known brands including Hormel, Spam, Skippy, and Applegate.

Key performance indicators that analysts watch include HRL’s 2023 net sales of $12.6 bn, a 5-year average operating margin of ~13 %, and a free cash flow conversion rate of roughly 75 %, which underpins its consistent dividend growth (13 % CAGR over the past decade).

Sector-level drivers remain strong: U.S. protein demand is growing at ~2 % annually, while inflationary pressure on commodity inputs (pork, beef) is partially offset by pricing power in branded, value-added products.

Hormel’s international exposure-about 15 % of total revenue-offers upside as emerging-market middle-class consumption of processed protein rises faster than in mature markets.

For a deeper quantitative breakdown of Hormel’s valuation metrics, the ValueRay platform provides a granular view of its forward earnings multiples and segment cash-flow trends.

HRL Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD 12,204m
Sub-Industry Packaged Foods & Meats
IPO / Inception 1990-01-02
Return 12m vs S&P 500 -31.0%
Analyst Rating 3.25 of 5

HRL Dividends

Metric Value
Dividend Yield 5.11%
Yield on Cost 5y 2.69%
Yield CAGR 5y 4.99%
Payout Consistency 92.3%
Payout Ratio 78.9%

HRL Growth Ratios

Metric Value
CAGR 3y -20.11%
CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio -0.39
CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio -0.71
Current Volume 4430.2k
Average Volume 4244k

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0

Net Income (754.5m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 723.5m TTM)
FCFTA 0.05 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -2.23pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)
NWC/Revenue 16.39% (prev 14.09%; Δ 2.31pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)
CFO/TA 0.07 (>3.0%) and CFO 931.0m > Net Income 754.5m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)
Net Debt (2.26b) to EBITDA (1.30b) ratio: 1.73 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)
Current Ratio 2.47 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (550.4m) change vs 12m ago 0.21% (target <= -2.0% for YES)
Gross Margin 16.32% (prev 16.82%; Δ -0.50pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)
Asset Turnover 90.63% (prev 91.36%; Δ -0.73pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)
Interest Coverage Ratio 13.40 (EBITDA TTM 1.30b / Interest Expense TTM 77.9m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 4.81

(A) 0.15 = (Total Current Assets 3.32b - Total Current Liabilities 1.35b) / Total Assets 13.50b
(B) 0.57 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 7.73b / Total Assets 13.50b
(C) 0.08 = EBIT TTM 1.04b / Avg Total Assets 13.31b
(D) 1.38 = Book Value of Equity 7.47b / Total Liabilities 5.40b
Total Rating: 4.81 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 53.57

1. Piotroski 5.0pt
2. FCF Yield 4.35%
3. FCF Margin 5.21%
4. Debt/Equity 0.35
5. Debt/Ebitda 1.73
6. ROIC - WACC (= 2.23)%
7. RoE 9.39%
8. Rev. Trend -34.60%
9. EPS Trend -76.96%

What is the price of HRL shares?

As of November 24, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 22.69 with a total of 4,430,189 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.22%, over one month by -5.77%, over three months by -20.54% and over the past year by -22.48%.

Is HRL a buy, sell or hold?

Hormel Foods has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.25. Therefor, it is recommend to hold HRL.
  • Strong Buy: 1
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 10
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the HRL price?

Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 27.1 19.3%
Analysts Target Price 27.1 19.3%
ValueRay Target Price 20.2 -11.2%

HRL Fundamental Data Overview November 21, 2025

Market Cap USD = 12.20b (12.20b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 16.1971
P/E Forward = 16.5289
P/S = 1.0121
P/B = 1.5187
P/EG = 3.3604
Beta = 0.333
Revenue TTM = 12.06b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.04b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.30b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.85b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 6.74m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.86b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 2.26b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 14.43b USD (12.20b + Debt 2.86b - CCE 630.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 13.40 (Ebit TTM 1.04b / Interest Expense TTM 77.9m)
FCF Yield = 4.35% (FCF TTM 627.7m / Enterprise Value 14.43b)
FCF Margin = 5.21% (FCF TTM 627.7m / Revenue TTM 12.06b)
Net Margin = 6.26% (Net Income TTM 754.5m / Revenue TTM 12.06b)
Gross Margin = 16.32% ((Revenue TTM 12.06b - Cost of Revenue TTM 10.09b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 16.07% (prev 16.71%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.07 (Enterprise Value 14.43b / Total Assets 13.50b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.68% (Interest Expense 19.5m / Debt 2.86b)
Taxrate = 22.33% (52.8m / 236.5m)
NOPAT = 810.3m (EBIT 1.04b * (1 - 22.33%))
Current Ratio = 2.47 (Total Current Assets 3.32b / Total Current Liabilities 1.35b)
Debt / Equity = 0.35 (Debt 2.86b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 8.08b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.73 (Net Debt 2.26b / EBITDA 1.30b)
Debt / FCF = 3.60 (Net Debt 2.26b / FCF TTM 627.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 8.03b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.59% (Net Income 754.5m / Total Assets 13.50b)
RoE = 9.39% (Net Income TTM 754.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 8.03b)
RoCE = 9.58% (EBIT 1.04b / Capital Employed (Equity 8.03b + L.T.Debt 2.85b))
RoIC = 7.44% (NOPAT 810.3m / Invested Capital 10.89b)
WACC = 5.21% (E(12.20b)/V(15.06b) * Re(6.30%) + D(2.86b)/V(15.06b) * Rd(0.68%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 6.30% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.20%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 77.26% ; FCFE base≈737.8m ; Y1≈689.8m ; Y5≈639.7m
Fair Price DCF = 20.85 (DCF Value 11.47b / Shares Outstanding 550.0m; 5y FCF grow -8.30% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -76.96 | EPS CAGR: -12.79% | SUE: -1.96 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -34.60 | Revenue CAGR: -2.85% | SUE: 0.81 | # QB: 0

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