(HSY) Hershey - Ratings and Ratios
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US4278661081
Chocolate, Confectionery, Snacks, Beverages, Spreads
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 3.01% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 4.14% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 14.81% |
| Payout Consistency | 92.6% |
| Payout Ratio | 87.0% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 24.0% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 38.7% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -1.82% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.20 |
| Alpha | -4.89 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.13 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.535 |
| Beta | 0.099 |
| Beta Downside | 0.094 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 45.25% |
| Mean DD | 25.04% |
| Median DD | 28.63% |
Description: HSY Hershey December 03, 2025
The Hershey Company (HSY) manufactures and sells a broad portfolio of confectionery, salty-snack, and pantry products across three operating segments-North America Confectionery, North America Salty Snacks, and International-reaching roughly 80 countries through wholesale, grocery, mass-merchant, drug-store, and convenience channels. Its marquee brands include Hershey’s, Reese’s, Kisses, Kit Kat, and emerging snack names such as SkinnyPop, ONE Bar, and Pirates Booty.
Key recent metrics: FY 2023 net sales were $11.6 billion, with the North America Salty Snacks segment delivering a 9% YoY revenue growth driven by the expanding protein-bar and popcorn categories. The company’s operating margin hovered around 28%, reflecting pricing power that partially offset higher cocoa and sugar input costs. A primary macro driver is consumer discretionary spending, which remains sensitive to inflation trends and real-wage growth; a 1% rise in U.S. inflation historically depresses confectionery volume growth by roughly 0.3% (based on sector-wide historical data).
For a deeper quantitative dive and scenario analysis, you might explore the company’s profile on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income (1.36b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 689.3m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.16 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 2.79pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 10.19% (prev -5.86%; Δ 16.05pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.17 (>3.0%) and CFO 2.29b > Net Income 1.36b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (4.58b) to EBITDA (2.26b) ratio: 2.02 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.36 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (203.5m) change vs 12m ago 0.23% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 37.46% (prev 44.35%; Δ -6.89pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 87.70% (prev 86.93%; Δ 0.77pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 8.79 (EBITDA TTM 2.26b / Interest Expense TTM 201.2m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 3.41
| (A) 0.09 = (Total Current Assets 4.40b - Total Current Liabilities 3.23b) / Total Assets 13.58b |
| (B) 0.40 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 5.45b / Total Assets 13.58b |
| (C) 0.14 = EBIT TTM 1.77b / Avg Total Assets 13.10b |
| (D) 0.60 = Book Value of Equity 5.42b / Total Liabilities 9.01b |
| Total Rating: 3.41 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 72.56
| 1. Piotroski 6.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 5.28% |
| 3. FCF Margin 18.78% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.26 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 2.02 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 7.39)% |
| 7. RoE 29.44% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 37.37% |
| 9. EPS Trend -39.84% |
What is the price of HSY shares?
As of December 14, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 181.83 with a total of 884,200 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.26%, over one month by +2.79%, over three months by -0.96% and over the past year by +2.09%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.26%, over one month by +2.79%, over three months by -0.96% and over the past year by +2.09%.
Is HSY a buy, sell or hold?
Hershey has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.04.
Therefor, it is recommend to hold HSY.
- Strong Buy: 3
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 17
- Sell: 2
- Strong Sell: 2
What are the forecasts/targets for the HSY price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 189.6 | 4.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 189.6 | 4.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 187.5 | 3.1% |
HSY Fundamental Data Overview December 11, 2025
Market Cap USD = 36.25b (36.25b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 26.7235
P/E Forward = 27.027
P/S = 3.1555
P/B = 8.0315
P/EG = 48.5713
Beta = 0.177
Revenue TTM = 11.49b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.77b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.26b USD
Long Term Debt = 4.68b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 763.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.74b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 4.58b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 40.83b USD (36.25b + Debt 5.74b - CCE 1.16b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.79 (Ebit TTM 1.77b / Interest Expense TTM 201.2m)
FCF Yield = 5.28% (FCF TTM 2.16b / Enterprise Value 40.83b)
FCF Margin = 18.78% (FCF TTM 2.16b / Revenue TTM 11.49b)
Net Margin = 11.84% (Net Income TTM 1.36b / Revenue TTM 11.49b)
Gross Margin = 37.46% ((Revenue TTM 11.49b - Cost of Revenue TTM 7.19b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 31.58% (prev 30.45%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.01 (Enterprise Value 40.83b / Total Assets 13.58b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.90% (Interest Expense 51.5m / Debt 5.74b)
Taxrate = 25.70% (95.6m / 371.9m)
NOPAT = 1.31b (EBIT 1.77b * (1 - 25.70%))
Current Ratio = 1.36 (Total Current Assets 4.40b / Total Current Liabilities 3.23b)
Debt / Equity = 1.26 (Debt 5.74b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.56b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.02 (Net Debt 4.58b / EBITDA 2.26b)
Debt / FCF = 2.12 (Net Debt 4.58b / FCF TTM 2.16b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.62b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 10.01% (Net Income 1.36b / Total Assets 13.58b)
RoE = 29.44% (Net Income TTM 1.36b / Total Stockholder Equity 4.62b)
RoCE = 19.03% (EBIT 1.77b / Capital Employed (Equity 4.62b + L.T.Debt 4.68b))
RoIC = 12.99% (NOPAT 1.31b / Invested Capital 10.12b)
WACC = 5.60% (E(36.25b)/V(41.99b) * Re(6.38%) + D(5.74b)/V(41.99b) * Rd(0.90%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 6.38% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.45%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 79.25% ; FCFE base≈1.96b ; Y1≈2.09b ; Y5≈2.54b
Fair Price DCF = 300.1 (DCF Value 44.47b / Shares Outstanding 148.2m; 5y FCF grow 7.85% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -39.84 | EPS CAGR: -6.76% | SUE: 0.56 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 37.37 | Revenue CAGR: 8.71% | SUE: 0.55 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.81 | Chg30d=-0.006 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=14
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=6.83 | Chg30d=+0.080 | Revisions Net=+4 | Growth EPS=+14.2% | Growth Revenue=+3.6%
P/E Trailing = 26.7235
P/E Forward = 27.027
P/S = 3.1555
P/B = 8.0315
P/EG = 48.5713
Beta = 0.177
Revenue TTM = 11.49b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.77b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.26b USD
Long Term Debt = 4.68b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 763.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.74b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 4.58b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 40.83b USD (36.25b + Debt 5.74b - CCE 1.16b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.79 (Ebit TTM 1.77b / Interest Expense TTM 201.2m)
FCF Yield = 5.28% (FCF TTM 2.16b / Enterprise Value 40.83b)
FCF Margin = 18.78% (FCF TTM 2.16b / Revenue TTM 11.49b)
Net Margin = 11.84% (Net Income TTM 1.36b / Revenue TTM 11.49b)
Gross Margin = 37.46% ((Revenue TTM 11.49b - Cost of Revenue TTM 7.19b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 31.58% (prev 30.45%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.01 (Enterprise Value 40.83b / Total Assets 13.58b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.90% (Interest Expense 51.5m / Debt 5.74b)
Taxrate = 25.70% (95.6m / 371.9m)
NOPAT = 1.31b (EBIT 1.77b * (1 - 25.70%))
Current Ratio = 1.36 (Total Current Assets 4.40b / Total Current Liabilities 3.23b)
Debt / Equity = 1.26 (Debt 5.74b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.56b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.02 (Net Debt 4.58b / EBITDA 2.26b)
Debt / FCF = 2.12 (Net Debt 4.58b / FCF TTM 2.16b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.62b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 10.01% (Net Income 1.36b / Total Assets 13.58b)
RoE = 29.44% (Net Income TTM 1.36b / Total Stockholder Equity 4.62b)
RoCE = 19.03% (EBIT 1.77b / Capital Employed (Equity 4.62b + L.T.Debt 4.68b))
RoIC = 12.99% (NOPAT 1.31b / Invested Capital 10.12b)
WACC = 5.60% (E(36.25b)/V(41.99b) * Re(6.38%) + D(5.74b)/V(41.99b) * Rd(0.90%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 6.38% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.45%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 79.25% ; FCFE base≈1.96b ; Y1≈2.09b ; Y5≈2.54b
Fair Price DCF = 300.1 (DCF Value 44.47b / Shares Outstanding 148.2m; 5y FCF grow 7.85% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -39.84 | EPS CAGR: -6.76% | SUE: 0.56 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 37.37 | Revenue CAGR: 8.71% | SUE: 0.55 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.81 | Chg30d=-0.006 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=14
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=6.83 | Chg30d=+0.080 | Revisions Net=+4 | Growth EPS=+14.2% | Growth Revenue=+3.6%
Additional Sources for HSY Stock
News:
Wall Street Journal |
Benzinga |
Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle