(HSY) Hershey - Ratings and Ratios
Chocolate, Confectionery, Snacks, Bars, Baking Ingredients
HSY EPS (Earnings per Share)
HSY Revenue
Description: HSY Hershey
The Hershey Company is a leading manufacturer and seller of confectionery products and pantry items globally, operating through three main segments: North America Confectionery, North America Salty Snacks, and International. The companys diverse portfolio includes well-known brands such as Hersheys, Reeses, and Kit Kat, as well as newer acquisitions like SkinnyPop and Dots Homestyle Pretzels.
From a business perspective, Hersheys has a strong presence in the US market, with a wide distribution network across various channels, including wholesale distributors, grocery stores, and convenience stores. The company also exports its products to approximately 80 countries worldwide, providing a significant opportunity for growth in international markets. Key performance indicators (KPIs) to watch include revenue growth, gross margin expansion, and operating cash flow generation.
In terms of financial health, Hersheys has a market capitalization of around $33.4 billion and a return on equity (ROE) of 37.42%, indicating a strong ability to generate profits from shareholder equity. Other important metrics include the companys dividend yield and payout ratio, as well as its debt-to-equity ratio, which can provide insight into its capital structure and ability to invest in growth initiatives.
To further analyze Hersheys performance, its essential to examine its sales growth, particularly in key categories such as confectionery and salty snacks. Additionally, monitoring the companys marketing spend and promotional activities can help assess its ability to drive consumer engagement and maintain market share in a competitive landscape. Other relevant KPIs include inventory turnover, accounts receivable days, and capital expenditure as a percentage of sales.
HSY Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 37,626m |
| Sub-Industry | Packaged Foods & Meats |
| IPO / Inception | 1985-07-01 |
HSY Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 1.69% |
| Fundamental | 67.9% |
| Dividend Rating | 71.1% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -16.2% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.04 of 5 |
HSY Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 3.02% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 4.43% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 11.68% |
| Payout Consistency | 95.8% |
| Payout Ratio | 65.8% |
HSY Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 72.1% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | -1.4% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 27.2% |
| CAGR 5y | -2.06% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y | -0.05 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y | -0.07 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | -0.05 |
| Alpha | 0.01 |
| Beta | 0.977 |
| Volatility | 25.14% |
| Current Volume | 2505k |
| Average Volume 20d | 1154.8k |
| Stop Loss | 187.6 (-3%) |
| Signal | 1.42 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income (1.53b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 677.7m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.12 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.42pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 13.57% (prev -4.99%; Δ 18.56pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.16 (>3.0%) and CFO 2.15b > Net Income 1.53b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (5.09b) to EBITDA (2.39b) ratio: 2.13 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.53 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (203.2m) change vs 12m ago 0.09% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 40.12% (prev 45.33%; Δ -5.21pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 86.68% (prev 88.71%; Δ -2.03pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 9.74 (EBITDA TTM 2.39b / Interest Expense TTM 196.3m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 3.64
| (A) 0.11 = (Total Current Assets 4.43b - Total Current Liabilities 2.89b) / Total Assets 13.65b |
| (B) 0.40 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 5.44b / Total Assets 13.65b |
| (C) 0.15 = EBIT TTM 1.91b / Avg Total Assets 13.03b |
| (D) 0.59 = Book Value of Equity 5.39b / Total Liabilities 9.13b |
| Total Rating: 3.64 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 67.87
| 1. Piotroski 5.0pt = 0.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.72% = 1.86 |
| 3. FCF Margin 13.98% = 3.49 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.26 = 1.76 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 2.38 = -0.73 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 8.68)% = 10.85 |
| 7. RoE 33.77% = 2.50 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -2.44% = -0.18 |
| 9. EPS Trend -33.43% = -1.67 |
What is the price of HSY shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.07%, over one month by +8.44%, over three months by +14.39% and over the past year by -0.47%.
Is Hershey a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of HSY is around 178.26 USD . This means that HSY is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -7.85%.
Is HSY a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 3
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 17
- Sell: 2
- Strong Sell: 2
What are the forecasts/targets for the HSY price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 185 | -4.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 185 | -4.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 198.7 | 2.7% |
Last update: 2025-09-12 04:38
HSY Fundamental Data Overview
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 912.3m USD (last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 24.6154
P/E Forward = 28.6533
P/S = 3.3311
P/B = 8.3342
P/EG = 47.6925
Beta = 0.259
Revenue TTM = 11.30b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.91b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.39b USD
Long Term Debt = 5.18b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 514.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.69b USD (Calculated: Short Term 514.5m + Long Term 5.18b)
Net Debt = 5.09b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 42.40b USD (37.63b + Debt 5.69b - CCE 912.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 9.74 (Ebit TTM 1.91b / Interest Expense TTM 196.3m)
FCF Yield = 3.72% (FCF TTM 1.58b / Enterprise Value 42.40b)
FCF Margin = 13.98% (FCF TTM 1.58b / Revenue TTM 11.30b)
Net Margin = 13.54% (Net Income TTM 1.53b / Revenue TTM 11.30b)
Gross Margin = 40.12% ((Revenue TTM 11.30b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.76b) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 7.86 (Enterprise Value 42.40b / Book Value Of Equity 5.39b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.01% (Interest Expense 57.3m / Debt 5.69b)
Taxrate = 10.21% (252.7m / 2.47b)
NOPAT = 1.72b (EBIT 1.91b * (1 - 10.21%))
Current Ratio = 1.53 (Total Current Assets 4.43b / Total Current Liabilities 2.89b)
Debt / Equity = 1.26 (Debt 5.69b / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 4.51b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.38 (Net Debt 5.09b / EBITDA 2.39b)
Debt / FCF = 3.60 (Debt 5.69b / FCF TTM 1.58b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.53b (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 11.21% (Net Income 1.53b, Total Assets 13.65b )
RoE = 33.77% (Net Income TTM 1.53b / Total Stockholder Equity 4.53b)
RoCE = 19.69% (Ebit 1.91b / (Equity 4.53b + L.T.Debt 5.18b))
RoIC = 17.15% (NOPAT 1.72b / Invested Capital 10.00b)
WACC = 8.47% (E(37.63b)/V(43.32b) * Re(9.62%)) + (D(5.69b)/V(43.32b) * Rd(1.01%) * (1-Tc(0.10)))
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -72.73 | Cagr: -0.14%
Discount Rate = 9.62% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 73.87% ; FCFE base≈1.50b ; Y1≈1.61b ; Y5≈1.95b
Fair Price DCF = 175.4 (DCF Value 25.98b / Shares Outstanding 148.1m; 5y FCF grow 7.85% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -33.43 | EPS CAGR: -19.14% | SUE: 1.07 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -2.44 | Revenue CAGR: -1.53% | SUE: N/A | # QB: None
Additional Sources for HSY Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle