(HTH) Hilltop Holdings - Overview
Sector: Financial Services | Industry: Financial Conglomerates | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 2.184m USD | Total Return: 28.7% in 12m
Avg Turnover: 11.4M
EPS Trend: 68.6%
Qual. Beats: 3
Rev. Trend: 87.1%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
Confidence
Hilltop Holdings Inc. (NYSE: HTH) is a Dallas-based financial holding company operating through three primary segments: Banking, Broker-Dealer, and Mortgage Origination. Its core banking division provides traditional commercial and consumer deposit products, treasury management, and specialized lending, including agricultural and real estate finance. The broker-dealer arm, operating under the Hillman Securities brand, focuses on public finance, municipal advisory services, and structured product underwriting.
The company’s business model relies on a diversified revenue stream that balances interest income from its regional banking operations with fee-based income from mortgage originations and capital markets activities. Regional banks often face higher sensitivity to local economic conditions and interest rate fluctuations compared to national money-center banks. For a deeper look into these financial drivers, consider reviewing the fundamental data on ValueRay. The mortgage segment specifically targets a variety of government-backed and conventional loan products, including FHA, VA, and USDA loans, to serve a broad range of residential borrowers.
- Net interest margin sensitivity to Federal Reserve monetary policy shifts
- Secondary market mortgage volume fluctuations impact origination segment profitability
- Texas regional economic growth drives commercial and industrial loan demand
- Municipal bond market volatility affects broker-dealer underwriting and advisory revenue
- Regulatory capital requirement changes influence share repurchase and dividend capacity
| Net Income: 161.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.22 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -263.3% < 20% (prev -556.0%; Δ 292.7% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -0.01 > 3% & CFO -124.1m > Net Income 161.3m |
| Net Debt (-1.46b) to EBITDA (226.8m): -6.45 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.17 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (59.2m) vs 12m ago -8.37% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 79.42% > 18% (prev 0.73%; Δ 7.87k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 10.10% > 50% (prev 9.84%; Δ 0.26% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.65 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 226.8m / Interest Expense TTM 327.9m) |
| A: -0.27 (Total Current Assets 874.2m - Total Current Liabilities 5.07b) / Total Assets 15.7b |
| B: 0.08 (Retained Earnings 1.27b / Total Assets 15.7b) |
| C: 0.01 (EBIT TTM 213.9m / Avg Total Assets 15.8b) |
| D: 0.09 (Book Value of Equity 1.19b / Total Liabilities 13.5b) |
| Altman-Z'' = -1.30 = CCC |
As of May 27, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 37.75 with a total of 225,797 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.64%,
over one month by +3.12%,
over three months by -2.25% and
over the past year by +28.69%.
Hilltop Holdings has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.00. Therefore, it is recommended to hold HTH.
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 39.7 | 5.1% |
P/E Trailing = 14.1901
P/E Forward = 13.4953
P/S = 1.7233
P/B = 1.0161
P/EG = 0.6082
Revenue TTM = 1.59b USD
EBIT TTM = 213.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 226.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 148.6m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.05b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.42b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 106.2m
Net Debt = -1.46b USD (calculated: Debt 1.42b - CCE 2.88b)
Enterprise Value = 721.0m USD (2.18b + Debt 1.42b - CCE 2.88b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.65 (Ebit TTM 213.9m / Interest Expense TTM 327.9m)
EV/FCF = -4.91x (Enterprise Value 721.0m / FCF TTM -146.7m)
FCF Yield = -20.35% (FCF TTM -146.7m / Enterprise Value 721.0m)
FCF Margin = -9.22% (FCF TTM -146.7m / Revenue TTM 1.59b)
Net Margin = 10.13% (Net Income TTM 161.3m / Revenue TTM 1.59b)
Gross Margin = 79.42% ((Revenue TTM 1.59b - Cost of Revenue TTM 327.6m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 80.16% (prev 78.33%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.05 (Enterprise Value 721.0m / Total Assets 15.7b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 23.17% (Interest Expense 327.9m / Debt 1.42b)
Taxrate = 22.65% (11.4m / 50.4m)
NOPAT = 165.4m (EBIT 213.9m * (1 - 22.65%))
Current Ratio = 0.17 (Total Current Assets 874.2m / Total Current Liabilities 5.07b)
Debt / Equity = 0.66 (Debt 1.42b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.14b)
Debt / EBITDA = -6.45 (Net Debt -1.46b / EBITDA 226.8m)
Debt / FCF = 9.97 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -1.46b / FCF TTM -146.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.17b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.02% (Net Income 161.3m / Total Assets 15.7b)
RoE = 7.42% (Net Income TTM 161.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.17b)
RoCE = 9.20% (EBIT 213.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.17b + L.T.Debt 148.6m))
RoIC = 1.05% (NOPAT 165.4m / Invested Capital 15.7b)
WACC = 12.12% (E(2.18b)/V(3.60b) * Re(8.36%) + D(1.42b)/V(3.60b) * Rd(23.17%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 8.36% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -81.65 | Cagr: -4.21%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -146.7m)
EPS Correlation: 68.61 | EPS CAGR: 10.80% | SUE: 0.91 | # QB: 3
Revenue Correlation: 87.08 | Revenue CAGR: 3.86% | SUE: 0.55 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.49 | Chg30d=+16.47% | Revisions=+43% | Analysts=4
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.65 | Chg30d=+8.82% | Revisions=+43% | Analysts=4
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.38 | Chg30d=+13.88% | Revisions=+43% | GrowthEPS=+17.7% | GrowthRev=+1.5%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.39 | Chg30d=+2.91% | Revisions=+43% | GrowthEPS=+0.3% | GrowthRev=+3.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +43%