(HUM) Humana - Ratings and Ratios
Health Plans, Medicare, Medicaid, Supplemental
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.28% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 0.85% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 6.04% |
| Payout Consistency | 54.9% |
| Payout Ratio | 18.7% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 54.8% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 65.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -27.42% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.24 |
| Alpha | -2.42 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.29 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.516 |
| Beta | 0.363 |
| Beta Downside | 0.578 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 57.88% |
| Mean DD | 31.81% |
| Median DD | 34.86% |
Description: HUM Humana December 17, 2025
Humana Inc. (NYSE:HUM) operates two primary segments-Insurance and CenterWell-offering a broad suite of medical, specialty, and supplemental health plans to individuals and employer groups across the United States. The firm administers Medicare-Advantage and Medicaid contracts, including the Limited Income Newly Eligible Transition (LINET) prescription-drug program, and provides ancillary services such as pharmacy-benefit management, senior-focused primary-care centers, home health, hospice, and TRICARE military health services.
Key metrics highlight Humana’s scale and growth: 2023 total revenue reached roughly $92 billion, with Medicare Advantage enrollment surpassing 21 million members (up ~7% YoY), and a medical loss ratio of about 84%, reflecting efficient cost management. Sector-wide drivers-an aging U.S. population, rising Medicare Advantage penetration, and regulatory pressure on drug pricing-continue to shape Humana’s earnings outlook.
For a deeper, data-driven dive into HUM’s valuation dynamics, you may find ValueRay’s analytical platform worth exploring.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income (1.29b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 7.58b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.03 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 11.80pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 13.11% (prev 12.35%; Δ 0.77pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.04 (>3.0%) and CFO 2.04b > Net Income 1.29b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (7.25b) to EBITDA (3.20b) ratio: 2.27 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.02 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (120.8m) change vs 12m ago 0.01% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 1.35% (prev 88.39%; Δ -87.04pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 253.4% (prev 230.0%; Δ 23.43pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 3.59 (EBITDA TTM 3.20b / Interest Expense TTM 649.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 5.46
| (A) 0.33 = (Total Current Assets 32.75b - Total Current Liabilities 16.18b) / Total Assets 49.72b |
| (B) 0.60 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 29.98b / Total Assets 49.72b |
| (C) 0.05 = EBIT TTM 2.33b / Avg Total Assets 49.86b |
| (D) 0.94 = Book Value of Equity 29.35b / Total Liabilities 31.14b |
| Total Rating: 5.46 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 65.47
| 1. Piotroski 5.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 4.06% |
| 3. FCF Margin 1.22% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.68 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 2.27 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 3.05)% |
| 7. RoE 7.29% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 95.04% |
| 9. EPS Trend -13.40% |
What is the price of HUM shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.95%, over one month by +8.63%, over three months by -6.55% and over the past year by +4.97%.
Is HUM a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 6
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 17
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the HUM price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 287.8 | 3.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 287.8 | 3.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 259.4 | -6.6% |
HUM Fundamental Data Overview January 03, 2026
P/E Trailing = 23.9822
P/E Forward = 19.0114
P/S = 0.2438
P/B = 1.6632
P/EG = 1.0223
Beta = 0.466
Revenue TTM = 126.36b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.33b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.20b USD
Long Term Debt = 12.61b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 577.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 12.64b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 7.25b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 38.06b USD (30.81b + Debt 12.64b - CCE 5.39b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.59 (Ebit TTM 2.33b / Interest Expense TTM 649.0m)
FCF Yield = 4.06% (FCF TTM 1.55b / Enterprise Value 38.06b)
FCF Margin = 1.22% (FCF TTM 1.55b / Revenue TTM 126.36b)
Net Margin = 1.02% (Net Income TTM 1.29b / Revenue TTM 126.36b)
Gross Margin = 1.35% ((Revenue TTM 126.36b - Cost of Revenue TTM 124.66b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 0.41% (prev 2.29%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.77 (Enterprise Value 38.06b / Total Assets 49.72b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.33% (Interest Expense 168.0m / Debt 12.64b)
Taxrate = -79.63% (out of range, set to none) (-86.0m / 108.0m)
NOPAT = unknown (EBIT/Op.Income or Taxrate missing)
Current Ratio = 2.02 (Total Current Assets 32.75b / Total Current Liabilities 16.18b)
Debt / Equity = 0.68 (Debt 12.64b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 18.52b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.27 (Net Debt 7.25b / EBITDA 3.20b)
Debt / FCF = 4.69 (Net Debt 7.25b / FCF TTM 1.55b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 17.72b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.60% (Net Income 1.29b / Total Assets 49.72b)
RoE = 7.29% (Net Income TTM 1.29b / Total Stockholder Equity 17.72b)
RoCE = 7.67% (EBIT 2.33b / Capital Employed (Equity 17.72b + L.T.Debt 12.61b))
RoIC = 8.27% (EBIT 2.33b / (Assets 49.72b - Curr.Liab 16.18b - Cash 5.39b))
WACC = 5.21% (E(30.81b)/V(43.45b) * Re(7.35%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 7.35% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.69%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 70.46% ; FCFE base≈1.55b ; Y1≈1.02b ; Y5≈464.5m
Fair Price DCF = 75.91 (DCF Value 9.13b / Shares Outstanding 120.3m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -13.40 | EPS CAGR: 29.19% | SUE: 0.51 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 95.04 | Revenue CAGR: 12.41% | SUE: 0.75 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=10.64 | Chg30d=-0.054 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=19
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=12.45 | Chg30d=-0.311 | Revisions Net=-5 | Growth EPS=-27.0% | Growth Revenue=+11.4%
Additional Sources for HUM Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle