HXL Stock Analysis: Hexcel | NYSE

Aerospace & Defense | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 7.098m USD | 12M Return: 49.6% | US4282911084 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Carbon Fiber, Prepregs, Honeycomb, Aircraft Parts
Total Rating 66
Safety 74
Buy Signal 0.16
Aerospace & Defense
Industry Rotation: +1.8
Market Cap: 7.10B
Avg Turnover: 90.0M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility34.7%
VaR 5th Pctl6.19%
VaR vs Median8.23%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.22
Rel. Str. IBD66.7
Rel. Str. Peer Group74.6
Character TTM
Beta1.093
Beta Downside0.949
Hurst Exponent0.562
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD37.76%
CAGR/Max DD0.26
CAGR/Mean DD0.76
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of HXL over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 0.08, "2021-09": 0.13, "2021-12": 0.16, "2022-03": 0.22, "2022-06": 0.33, "2022-09": 0.33, "2022-12": 0.4, "2023-03": 0.5, "2023-06": 0.5, "2023-09": 0.38, "2023-12": 0.43, "2024-03": 0.44, "2024-06": 0.6, "2024-09": 0.47, "2024-12": 0.52, "2025-03": 0.37, "2025-06": 0.5, "2025-09": 0.37, "2025-12": 0.52, "2026-03": 0.59, "2026-06": 0.66,
EPS CAGR: 3.50%
EPS Trend: 47.7%
Last SUE: 1.72
Qual. Beats: 2
Revenue Revenue of HXL over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 320.3, 2021-09: 333.8, 2021-12: 360.3, 2022-03: 390.6, 2022-06: 393, 2022-09: 364.7, 2022-12: 429.4, 2023-03: 457.7, 2023-06: 454.3, 2023-09: 419.5, 2023-12: 457.5, 2024-03: 472.1, 2024-06: 500.4, 2024-09: 456.5, 2024-12: 473.8, 2025-03: 456.5, 2025-06: 489.9, 2025-09: 456.2, 2025-12: 491.3, 2026-03: 494.6, 2026-06: 529.3,
Rev. CAGR: 3.31%
Rev. Trend: 90.7%
Last SUE: 0.04
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

Confidence

Seasonality 11.6 years of data

Jan -0.5% 5
Feb +3.9% 33
Mar -4.9% 33
Apr -1.7% 8
May +2.9% 21
Jun +2.5% 18
Jul -0.7% 5
Aug +1.1% 25
Sep -2.2% 40
Oct -0.5% 2
Nov +5.5% 54
Dec -1.8% 37

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: HXL Hexcel

Hexcel Corporation (NYSE: HXL) is a U.S.-based mid-cap industrial company that develops, manufactures, and markets advanced lightweight composites technology. Founded in 1946 and headquartered in Stamford, Connecticut, the company operates in the Aerospace & Defense sub-industry (GICS Industrials sector), serving the commercial aerospace, defense and space, and industrial markets. Composite materials like carbon fiber are favored in aerospace for their high strength-to-weight ratio, which helps reduce fuel consumption and emissions.

Hexcel organizes its operations into two reporting segments. The Composite Materials segment produces carbon fibers, fabrics, specialty reinforcements, prepregs, structural adhesives, honeycomb cores, molding compounds, tooling materials, polyurethane systems, and laminates, with applications spanning military aircraft, transportation, and recreational products. The Engineered Products segment manufactures finished aircraft structures and components, including wing-to-body fairings, wing panels, flight deck panels, door liners, rotorcraft blades, spars, and tip caps, as well as structural sub-components for flaps, wings, elevators, and engine nacelles. It also supplies radio-frequency (RF) interference control products, dielectric absorber foams, magnetic absorbers, and thermoplastics used in commercial and defense applications.

The company sells its products through a combination of in-house marketing managers, product managers, and direct sales personnel, supplemented by independent distributors across the Americas, Europe, Asia Pacific, India, and Africa. Hexcel has been listed on the NYSE since its IPO in November 1987, reflecting its long-standing position as a tier-one supplier to the global aerospace supply chain.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Boeing 787 and A350 build rate ramp lifts composite demand
  • Defense and space segment margins offset commercial aerospace softness
  • Carbon fiber capacity expansion supports long-term aerospace growth
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 9.0
Net Income: 153.5m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.11 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 5.03 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 23.63% < 20% (prev 28.34%; Δ -4.71% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.12 > 3% & CFO 332.4m > Net Income 153.5m
Net Debt (899.1m) to EBITDA (354.7m): 2.53 < 3
Current Ratio: 2.43 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (76.5m) vs 12m ago -5.09% < -2%
Gross Margin: 24.50% > 18% (prev 23.39%; Δ 1.11% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 70.74% > 50% (prev 66.00%; Δ 4.73% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 5.21 > 6 (EBIT TTM 232.5m / Interest Expense TTM 44.6m)
Altman Z'' 5.46
A: 0.17 (Total Current Assets 792.2m - Total Current Liabilities 326.4m) / Total Assets 2.73b
B: 0.87 (Retained Earnings 2.37b / Total Assets 2.73b)
C: 0.08 (EBIT TTM 232.5m / Avg Total Assets 2.79b)
D: 0.91 (Book Value of Equity 1.30b / Total Liabilities 1.43b)
Altman-Z'' = 5.46 = AAA
Beneish M -3.10
DSRI: 0.91 (Receivables 299.2m/312.1m, Revenue 1.97b/1.88b)
GMI: 0.95 (GM 23.39% / 24.50%)
AQI: 1.01 (AQ_t 0.13 / AQ_t-1 0.13)
SGI: 1.05 (Revenue 1.97b / 1.88b)
TATA: -0.07 (NI 153.5m - CFO 332.4m) / TA 2.73b)
Beneish M = -3.10 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of HXL shares?

As of August 26, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 92.57 with a total of 596,488 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -10.21%, over one month by -15.91%, over three months by +5.42% and over the past year by +49.64%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 87.90 (which is 5% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).

Is HXL a buy, sell or hold?

Hexcel has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.59. Therefore, it is recommended to hold HXL.

  • StrongBuy: 5
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 10
  • Sell: 1
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the HXL price?
Analysts Target Price 109.9 18.7%
Hexcel (HXL) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 24 August 2026
Market Cap USD = 7.10b (7.10b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 47.404
P/E Forward = 42.9185
P/S = 3.5879
P/B = 5.4676
P/EG = 1.2948
Revenue TTM = 1.97b USD
EBIT TTM = 232.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 354.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 957.5m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
 Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
 Debt = 961.3m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 1.90m
Net Debt = 899.1m USD (calculated: Debt 961.3m - CCE 62.2m)
Enterprise Value = 8.00b USD (7.10b + Debt 961.3m - CCE 62.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.21 (Ebit TTM 232.5m / Interest Expense TTM 44.6m)
EV/FCF = 26.55x (Enterprise Value 8.00b / FCF TTM 301.2m)
FCF Yield = 3.77% (FCF TTM 301.2m / Enterprise Value 8.00b)
FCF Margin = 15.28% (FCF TTM 301.2m / Revenue TTM 1.97b)
Net Margin = 7.79% (Net Income TTM 153.5m / Revenue TTM 1.97b)
Gross Margin = 24.50% ((Revenue TTM 1.97b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.49b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 26.09% (prev 25.05%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.93 (Enterprise Value 8.00b / Total Assets 2.73b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.64% (Interest Expense 44.6m / Debt 961.3m)
Taxrate = 16.30% (29.9m / 183.4m)
NOPAT = 194.6m (EBIT 232.5m * (1 - 16.30%))
Current Ratio = 2.43 (Total Current Assets 792.2m / Total Current Liabilities 326.4m)
Debt / Equity = 0.74 (Debt 961.3m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.30b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.53 (Net Debt 899.1m / EBITDA 354.7m)
Debt / FCF = 2.99 (Net Debt 899.1m / FCF TTM 301.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.35b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.51% (Net Income 153.5m / Total Assets 2.73b)
RoE = 11.41% (Net Income TTM 153.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.35b)
RoCE = 10.10% (EBIT 232.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.35b + L.T.Debt 957.5m))
RoIC = 8.31% (NOPAT 194.6m / Invested Capital 2.34b)
WACC = 9.12% (E(7.10b)/V(8.06b) * Re(9.83%) + D(961.3m)/V(8.06b) * Rd(4.64%) * (1-Tc(0.16)))
Discount Rate = 9.83% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -97.34 | Cagr: -4.47%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.51% ; FCFF base≈249.0m ; Y1≈285.4m ; Y5≈420.1m
[DCF] Fair Price = 61.72 (EV 5.57b - Net Debt 899.1m = Equity 4.67b / Shares 75.6m; r=9.12% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 47.65 | EPS CAGR: 3.50% | SUE: 1.72 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 90.66 | Revenue CAGR: 3.31% | SUE: 0.04 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.50 | Chg30d=+2.03% | Revisions=-8% | Analysts=14
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.40 | Chg30d=+5.08% | Revisions=+81% | GrowthEPS=+36.3% | GrowthRev=+10.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.12 | Chg30d=-1.89% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=+29.8% | GrowthRev=+11.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +49% (up=26, down=8)