HXL Stock Analysis: Hexcel | NYSE
Aerospace & Defense | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 7.551m USD | 12M Return: 69.3% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 99.4M
EPS Trend: 39.1%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: 89.3%
Qual. Beats: 2
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Hexcel Corporation (NYSE: HXL) is a U.S.-based mid-cap industrial company that develops, manufactures, and markets advanced lightweight composites technology. Founded in 1946 and headquartered in Stamford, Connecticut, the company operates in the Aerospace & Defense sub-industry (GICS Industrials sector), serving the commercial aerospace, defense and space, and industrial markets. Composite materials like carbon fiber are favored in aerospace for their high strength-to-weight ratio, which helps reduce fuel consumption and emissions.
Hexcel organizes its operations into two reporting segments. The Composite Materials segment produces carbon fibers, fabrics, specialty reinforcements, prepregs, structural adhesives, honeycomb cores, molding compounds, tooling materials, polyurethane systems, and laminates, with applications spanning military aircraft, transportation, and recreational products. The Engineered Products segment manufactures finished aircraft structures and components, including wing-to-body fairings, wing panels, flight deck panels, door liners, rotorcraft blades, spars, and tip caps, as well as structural sub-components for flaps, wings, elevators, and engine nacelles. It also supplies radio-frequency (RF) interference control products, dielectric absorber foams, magnetic absorbers, and thermoplastics used in commercial and defense applications.
The company sells its products through a combination of in-house marketing managers, product managers, and direct sales personnel, supplemented by independent distributors across the Americas, Europe, Asia Pacific, India, and Africa. Hexcel has been listed on the NYSE since its IPO in November 1987, reflecting its long-standing position as a tier-one supplier to the global aerospace supply chain.
- Boeing 787 and A350 build rate ramp lifts composite demand
- Defense and space segment margins offset commercial aerospace softness
- Carbon fiber capacity expansion supports long-term aerospace growth
| Net Income: 117.7m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.09 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.60 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 23.60% < 20% (prev 26.76%; Δ -3.16% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 > 3% & CFO 278.0m > Net Income 117.7m |
| Net Debt (946.0m) to EBITDA (307.9m): 3.07 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.45 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (76.7m) vs 12m ago -6.12% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 23.62% > 18% (prev 24.06%; Δ -0.44% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 70.21% > 50% (prev 67.90%; Δ 2.31% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.47 > 6 (EBIT TTM 186.2m / Interest Expense TTM 41.7m) |
| A: 0.17 (Total Current Assets 769.7m - Total Current Liabilities 313.7m) / Total Assets 2.72b |
| B: 0.86 (Retained Earnings 2.33b / Total Assets 2.72b) |
| C: 0.07 (EBIT TTM 186.2m / Avg Total Assets 2.75b) |
| D: 0.87 (Book Value of Equity 1.27b / Total Liabilities 1.46b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 5.25 = AAA |
| DSRI: 1.10 (Receivables 331.4m/294.3m, Revenue 1.93b/1.89b) |
| GMI: 1.02 (GM 24.06% / 23.62%) |
| AQI: -3.93 (AQ_t -0.50 / AQ_t-1 0.13) |
| SGI: 1.02 (Revenue 1.93b / 1.89b) |
| TATA: -0.06 (NI 117.7m - CFO 278.0m) / TA 2.72b) |
| Beneish M = -5.84 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA |
As of July 10, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 99.75 with a total of 436,936 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.69%, over one month by +7.19%, over three months by +18.40% and over the past year by +69.34%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 93.90 (which is 5.9% or 1.9 ATR below the current price).
Hexcel has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.59. Therefore, it is recommended to hold HXL.
- StrongBuy: 5
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 10
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 97 | -2.8% |
P/E Trailing = 66.298
P/E Forward = 48.3092
P/S = 3.8945
P/B = 5.9159
P/EG = 1.5402
Revenue TTM = 1.93b USD
EBIT TTM = 186.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 307.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 996.1m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
Debt = 1.00b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 2.00m
Net Debt = 946.0m USD (calculated: Debt 1.00b - CCE 54.1m)
Enterprise Value = 8.50b USD (7.55b + Debt 1.00b - CCE 54.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.47 (Ebit TTM 186.2m / Interest Expense TTM 41.7m)
EV/FCF = 33.83x (Enterprise Value 8.50b / FCF TTM 251.2m)
FCF Yield = 2.96% (FCF TTM 251.2m / Enterprise Value 8.50b)
FCF Margin = 13.00% (FCF TTM 251.2m / Revenue TTM 1.93b)
Net Margin = 6.09% (Net Income TTM 117.7m / Revenue TTM 1.93b)
Gross Margin = 23.62% ((Revenue TTM 1.93b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.48b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 25.05% (prev 24.63%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.12 (Enterprise Value 8.50b / Total Assets 2.72b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.17% (Interest Expense 41.7m / Debt 1.00b)
Taxrate = 18.55% (26.8m / 144.5m)
NOPAT = 151.7m (EBIT 186.2m * (1 - 18.55%))
Current Ratio = 2.45 (Total Current Assets 769.7m / Total Current Liabilities 313.7m)
Debt / Equity = 0.79 (Debt 1.00b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.27b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.07 (Net Debt 946.0m / EBITDA 307.9m)
Debt / FCF = 3.77 (Net Debt 946.0m / FCF TTM 251.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.41b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.28% (Net Income 117.7m / Total Assets 2.72b)
RoE = 8.35% (Net Income TTM 117.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.41b)
RoCE = 7.74% (EBIT 186.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.41b + L.T.Debt 996.1m))
RoIC = 6.44% (NOPAT 151.7m / Invested Capital 2.36b)
WACC = 9.48% (E(7.55b)/V(8.55b) * Re(10.29%) + D(1.00b)/V(8.55b) * Rd(4.17%) * (1-Tc(0.19)))
Discount Rate = 10.29% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -95.56 | Cagr: -4.16%
[DCF] Terminal Value 74.39% ; FCFF base≈224.3m ; Y1≈257.1m ; Y5≈378.4m
[DCF] Fair Price = 50.39 (EV 4.75b - Net Debt 946.0m = Equity 3.80b / Shares 75.4m; r=9.48% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 39.15 | EPS CAGR: 2.42% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 89.28 | Revenue CAGR: 3.74% | SUE: 1.00 | # QB: 2
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.57 | Chg30d=-0.40% | Revisions=-17% | Analysts=14
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.49 | Chg30d=-1.10% | Revisions=-17% | Analysts=14
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.29 | Chg30d=-0.15% | Revisions=+38% | GrowthEPS=+29.9% | GrowthRev=+9.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.17 | Chg30d=-0.05% | Revisions=+17% | GrowthEPS=+38.9% | GrowthRev=+12.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +12% (up=8, down=6)