(ICL) ICL Israel Chemicals - Overview

Sector: Basic Materials | Industry: Agricultural Inputs | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 8.338m USD | Total Return: 3.4% in 12m

Potash, Bromine, Phosphate, Fertilizers, Magnesium
Total Rating 56
Safety 90
Buy Signal 0.61
Agricultural Inputs
Industry Rotation: +2.2
Market Cap: 8.34B
Avg Turnover: 7.32M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility35.7%
VaR 5th Pctl5.84%
VaR vs Median-0.65%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.17
Rel. Str. IBD71.1
Rel. Str. Peer Group68.2
Character TTM
Beta0.535
Beta Downside0.128
Hurst Exponent0.524
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD38.49%
CAGR/Max DD0.29
CAGR/Mean DD0.63
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of ICL over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": 0.11, "2021-06": 0.11, "2021-09": 0.17, "2021-12": 0.26, "2022-03": 0.49, "2022-06": 0.58, "2022-09": 0.49, "2022-12": 0.28, "2023-03": 0.23, "2023-06": 0.13, "2023-09": 0.11, "2023-12": 0.1, "2024-03": 0.09, "2024-06": 0.1, "2024-09": 0.11, "2024-12": 0.08, "2025-03": 0.09, "2025-06": 0.09, "2025-09": 0.1, "2025-12": 0.09, "2026-03": null,
EPS CAGR: -37.50%
EPS Trend: -85.2%
Last SUE: 0.00
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of ICL over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 1510, 2021-06: 1617, 2021-09: 1790, 2021-12: 2038, 2022-03: 2525, 2022-06: 2880, 2022-09: 2519, 2022-12: 2091, 2023-03: 2098, 2023-06: 1868, 2023-09: 1862, 2023-12: 1690, 2024-03: 1735, 2024-06: 1752, 2024-09: 1753, 2024-12: 1601, 2025-03: 1767, 2025-06: 1832, 2025-09: 1853, 2025-12: 1701, 2026-03: 2023,
Rev. CAGR: -4.38%
Rev. Trend: -60.0%
Last SUE: 2.12
Qual. Beats: 1

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

Supp Ema8, Confidence

Description: ICL ICL Israel Chemicals

ICL Group Ltd is a global specialty minerals and chemicals company headquartered in Israel. The firm operates across four primary segments: Industrial Products, Potash, Phosphate Solutions, and Growing Solutions. Its business model leverages mineral assets to produce bromine-based compounds, potash, and phosphate-based fertilizers and food additives. The company serves a diverse range of end-markets, including agriculture, electronics, energy storage, and pharmaceuticals.

The company utilizes a vertically integrated model, extracting bromine from the byproduct of its potash production process to enhance cost efficiency. As a major player in the global fertilizer industry, ICL is subject to the cyclical nature of commodity prices, though its specialty chemical segments provide a degree of margin stability compared to pure-play commodity producers. Further analysis of these segment margins is available on ValueRay.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Global potash price fluctuations directly impact core segment revenue and margins
  • Dead Sea bromine production costs influenced by Israeli government royalty negotiations
  • Global agricultural demand for specialty fertilizers drives Growing Solutions segment growth
  • Geopolitical instability in the Middle East poses significant supply chain disruption risks
  • Expansion into LFP battery materials diversifies revenue beyond traditional agricultural cycles
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 5.5
Net Income: 261.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.62 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 16.41% < 20% (prev 17.94%; Δ -1.53% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 1.06b > Net Income 261.0m
Net Debt (2.82b) to EBITDA (1.35b): 2.09 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.38 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.29b) vs 12m ago -0.02% < -2%
Gross Margin: 30.40% > 18% (prev 0.33%; Δ 3.01k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 59.99% > 50% (prev 58.79%; Δ 1.20% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.45 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 1.35b / Interest Expense TTM 297.0m)
Altman Z'' 3.42
A: 0.09 (Total Current Assets 4.45b - Total Current Liabilities 3.23b) / Total Assets 13.0b
B: 0.45 (Retained Earnings 5.83b / Total Assets 13.0b)
C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 727.0m / Avg Total Assets 12.3b)
D: 0.91 (Book Value of Equity 6.07b / Total Liabilities 6.68b)
Altman-Z'' = 3.42 = A
Beneish M -3.07
DSRI: 0.86 (Receivables 1.65b/1.77b, Revenue 7.41b/6.87b)
GMI: 1.08 (GM 30.40% / 32.87%)
AQI: 1.00 (AQ_t 0.11 / AQ_t-1 0.11)
SGI: 1.08 (Revenue 7.41b / 6.87b)
TATA: -0.06 (NI 261.0m - CFO 1.06b) / TA 13.0b)
Beneish M = -3.07 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of ICL shares?

As of May 30, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 6.64 with a total of 1,669,257 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.63%, over one month by +24.58%, over three months by +39.56% and over the past year by +3.44%.

Is ICL a buy, sell or hold?

ICL Israel Chemicals has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.00. Therefore, it is recommended to hold ICL.

  • StrongBuy: 0
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 4
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the ICL price?
Analysts Target Price 6.4 -4.4%
ICL Israel Chemicals (ICL) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 26 May 2026
Market Cap USD = 8.34b (8.34b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 30.7619
P/E Forward = 55.5556
P/S = 1.1254
P/B = 1.3791
P/EG = 9.44
Revenue TTM = 7.41b USD
EBIT TTM = 727.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.35b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.22b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 926.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.40b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 255.0m
Net Debt = 2.82b USD (calculated: Debt 3.40b - CCE 581.0m)
Enterprise Value = 11.2b USD (8.34b + Debt 3.40b - CCE 581.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.45 (Ebit TTM 727.0m / Interest Expense TTM 297.0m)
EV/FCF = 42.13x (Enterprise Value 11.2b / FCF TTM 265.0m)
FCF Yield = 2.37% (FCF TTM 265.0m / Enterprise Value 11.2b)
FCF Margin = 3.58% (FCF TTM 265.0m / Revenue TTM 7.41b)
Net Margin = 3.52% (Net Income TTM 261.0m / Revenue TTM 7.41b)
Gross Margin = 30.40% ((Revenue TTM 7.41b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.16b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 30.94% (prev 27.51%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.86 (Enterprise Value 11.2b / Total Assets 13.0b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 8.72% (Interest Expense 297.0m / Debt 3.40b)
Taxrate = 27.46% (53.0m / 193.0m)
NOPAT = 527.4m (EBIT 727.0m * (1 - 27.46%))
Current Ratio = 1.38 (Total Current Assets 4.45b / Total Current Liabilities 3.23b)
Debt / Equity = 0.56 (Debt 3.40b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 6.05b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.09 (Net Debt 2.82b / EBITDA 1.35b)
Debt / FCF = 10.66 (Net Debt 2.82b / FCF TTM 265.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 6.04b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.11% (Net Income 261.0m / Total Assets 13.0b)
RoE = 4.32% (Net Income TTM 261.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 6.04b)
RoCE = 8.79% (EBIT 727.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 6.04b + L.T.Debt 2.22b))
RoIC = 4.95% (NOPAT 527.4m / Invested Capital 10.7b)
WACC = 7.42% (E(8.34b)/V(11.7b) * Re(7.86%) + D(3.40b)/V(11.7b) * Rd(8.72%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 7.86% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 37.78 | Cagr: 0.00%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈376.9m ; Y1≈330.5m ; Y5≈267.1m
[DCF] Fair Price = 1.13 (EV 4.29b - Net Debt 2.82b = Equity 1.46b / Shares 1.29b; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -85.24 | EPS CAGR: -37.50% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -60.00 | Revenue CAGR: -4.38% | SUE: 2.12 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.10 | Chg30d=+10.00% | Revisions=+20% | Analysts=4
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.11 | Chg30d=+5.77% | Revisions=-20% | Analysts=4
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.41 | Chg30d=+6.83% | Revisions=+33% | GrowthEPS=+14.2% | GrowthRev=+9.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.45 | Chg30d=+5.36% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+10.0% | GrowthRev=-0.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +33%