IHG Stock Analysis: InterContinental Hotels | NYSE
Lodging | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 23.634m USD | 12M Return: 33% | US45857P8068 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 23.2M
EPS Trend: -62.5%
Qual. Beats: -1
Rev. Trend: 98.7%
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
InterContinental Hotels Group PLC (IHG) is a global hospitality company that owns, manages, franchises, and leases hotels across the United Kingdom, the United States, and other international markets. The company operates one of the industrys largest brand portfolios, spanning luxury to economy segments, including Six Senses, Regent, InterContinental Hotels & Resorts, Kimpton, Hotel Indigo, Crowne Plaza, Holiday Inn, Holiday Inn Express, and Candlewood Suites, among others. IHG also runs the IHG Rewards loyalty program. Founded in 1777 and headquartered in Windsor, UK, the company was formerly known as Six Continents PLC before adopting its current name in June 2003.
IHG operates within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines) and is classified as a large-cap stock. The hotel industry commonly uses a capital-light business model in which operators like IHG generate most of their revenue and room growth through franchising and management contracts rather than direct property ownership, which reduces capital expenditure requirements compared to traditional real estate-heavy hoteliers.
- Americas RevPAR growth lifts fee revenue
- Luxury brand expansion and new hotel signings accelerate
- IHG Rewards loyalty membership drives direct booking mix
| Net Income: 714.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.17 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.15 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -17.79% < 20% (prev -8.58%; Δ -9.21% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.18 > 3% & CFO 935.0m > Net Income 714.0m |
| Net Debt (4.11b) to EBITDA (1.25b): 3.30 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.66 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (151.1m) vs 12m ago -8.37% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 31.77% > 18% (prev 59.85%; Δ -28.09% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 104.8% > 50% (prev 104.1%; Δ 0.72% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 5.64 > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.11b / Interest Expense TTM 196.6m) |
| A: -0.18 (Total Current Assets 1.88b - Total Current Liabilities 2.82b) / Total Assets 5.23b |
| B: -0.12 (Retained Earnings -620.0m / Total Assets 5.23b) |
| C: 0.22 (EBIT TTM 1.11b / Avg Total Assets 5.08b) |
| D: -0.36 (Book Value of Equity -2.98b / Total Liabilities 8.20b) |
| Altman-Z'' = -0.49 = B |
| DSRI: 0.93 (Receivables 993.0m/1.03b, Revenue 5.33b/5.14b) |
| GMI: 1.88 (GM 59.85% / 31.77%) |
| AQI: 0.98 (AQ_t 0.57 / AQ_t-1 0.58) |
| SGI: 1.04 (Revenue 5.33b / 5.14b) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI 714.0m - CFO 935.0m) / TA 5.23b) |
| Beneish M = -2.28 (Cap -4..+1) = BBB |
As of October 10, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 160.68 with a total of 163,914 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.66%, over one month by +3.85%, over three months by -1.76% and over the past year by +33.03%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 154.60 (which is 3.8% or 2.4 ATR below the current price).
InterContinental Hotels has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.00. Therefore, it is recommended to hold IHG.
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 2
- StrongSell: 2
| Analysts Target Price | 148.8 | -7.4% |
P/E Trailing = 34.267
P/E Forward = 22.2717
P/S = 4.4349
P/B = 25.8882
P/EG = 1.2657
Revenue TTM = 5.33b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.11b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.25b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.10b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.08b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.95b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 394.0m
Net Debt = 4.11b USD (calculated: Debt 4.95b - CCE 831.0m)
Enterprise Value = 27.7b USD (23.6b + Debt 4.95b - CCE 831.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.64 (Ebit TTM 1.11b / Interest Expense TTM 196.6m)
EV/FCF = 30.55x (Enterprise Value 27.7b / FCF TTM 908.2m)
FCF Yield = 3.27% (FCF TTM 908.2m / Enterprise Value 27.7b)
FCF Margin = 17.04% (FCF TTM 908.2m / Revenue TTM 5.33b)
Net Margin = 13.40% (Net Income TTM 714.0m / Revenue TTM 5.33b)
Gross Margin = 31.77% ((Revenue TTM 5.33b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.64b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 26.85% (prev 36.67%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 5.31 (Enterprise Value 27.7b / Total Assets 5.23b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.98% (Interest Expense 196.6m / Debt 4.95b)
Taxrate = 29.83% (304.0m / 1.02b)
NOPAT = 778.2m (EBIT 1.11b * (1 - 29.83%))
Current Ratio = 0.66 (Total Current Assets 1.88b / Total Current Liabilities 2.82b)
Debt / Equity = -1.66 (negative equity) (Debt 4.95b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -2.98b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.30 (Net Debt 4.11b / EBITDA 1.25b)
Debt / FCF = 4.53 (Net Debt 4.11b / FCF TTM 908.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -2.67b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 14.05% (Net Income 714.0m / Total Assets 5.23b)
RoE = -26.75% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 714.0m / Total Stockholder Equity -2.67b)
RoCE = 256.6% (EBIT 1.11b / Capital Employed (Equity -2.67b + L.T.Debt 3.10b))
RoIC = 24.20% (NOPAT 778.2m / Invested Capital 3.22b)
WACC = 7.61% (E(23.6b)/V(28.6b) * Re(8.62%) + D(4.95b)/V(28.6b) * Rd(3.98%) * (1-Tc(0.30)))
Discount Rate = 8.62% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -98.67 | Cagr: -7.25%
[DCF] Terminal Value 76.29% ; FCFF base≈885.1m ; Y1≈938.6m ; Y5≈1.11b
[DCF] Fair Price = 88.57 (EV 17.1b - Net Debt 4.11b = Equity 12.9b / Shares 146.1m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 6.77% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -62.45 | EPS CAGR: -10.58% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: -1
Revenue Correlation: 98.74 | Revenue CAGR: 44.45% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.97 | Chg30d=-1.14% | Revisions=+50% | GrowthEPS=+19.0% | GrowthRev=+6.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=6.77 | Chg30d=-1.54% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+13.5% | GrowthRev=+5.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +38% (up=4, down=1)