IOT Stock Analysis: Samsara | NYSE
Software - Infrastructure | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 24.080m USD | 12M Return: 4.1% | US79589L1061 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 238M
EPS Trend: 87.9%
Qual. Beats: 16
Rev. Trend: 99.8%
Qual. Beats: 15
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 4.8 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Samsara Inc. (NYSE: IOT) is a software and IoT company that helps businesses digitize their physical operations through its Connected Operations Platform. The platform ingests data from IoT devices and third-party systems, offering applications in video-based safety, fleet telematics (GPS tracking, routing, fuel management, EV planning, and maintenance), and site visibility for security and incident response. Samsara serves a broad range of industries, including transportation, construction, logistics, manufacturing, utilities, government, healthcare, and food and beverage. The company was founded in 2015, is headquartered in San Francisco, and went public in December 2021.
As an Application Software company in the Information Technology sector, Samsara operates in the industrial IoT (IIoT) market, selling primarily through a subscription-based SaaS model that combines hardware (sensors and dashcams) with cloud-based analytics. Its core value proposition is converting physical asset data into operational insights, which is a growing segment as enterprises increasingly digitize fleet and facility management.
- Video safety AI drives upsell and large customer expansion
- Freight recession pressures transportation segment revenue growth
- Operating margin expansion accelerates on subscription mix shift
| Net Income: 90.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.09 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.54 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 32.73% < 20% (prev 27.64%; Δ 5.09% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 > 3% & CFO 288.4m > Net Income 90.6m |
| Net Debt (-759.4m) to EBITDA (132.9m): -5.71 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.62 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (590.5m) vs 12m ago 3.64% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 76.38% > 18% (prev 76.87%; Δ -0.49% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 74.26% > 50% (prev 64.64%; Δ 9.62% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: error (cannot be calculated; needs correct EBIT TTM and Interest Expense TTM) |
| A: 0.22 (Total Current Assets 1.57b - Total Current Liabilities 968.1m) / Total Assets 2.77b |
| B: -0.56 (Retained Earnings -1.56b / Total Assets 2.77b) |
| C: 0.04 (EBIT TTM 103.1m / Avg Total Assets 2.49b) |
| D: 1.37 (Book Value of Equity 1.60b / Total Liabilities 1.17b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.32 = BB |
| DSRI: 1.06 (Receivables 337.8m/246.1m, Revenue 1.85b/1.43b) |
| GMI: 1.01 (GM 76.87% / 76.38%) |
| AQI: 0.94 (AQ_t 0.38 / AQ_t-1 0.40) |
| SGI: 1.30 (Revenue 1.85b / 1.43b) |
| TATA: -0.07 (NI 90.6m - CFO 288.4m) / TA 2.77b) |
| Beneish M = -2.80 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of October 07, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 41.74 with a total of 4,451,851 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +9.93%, over one month by +3.96%, over three months by +11.28% and over the past year by +4.14%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 36.70 (which is 12.1% or 2.5 ATR below the current price).
Samsara has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.44. Therefore, it is recommended to buy IOT.
- StrongBuy: 17
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 6
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 52.2 | 25% |
P/E Trailing = 274.1333
P/E Forward = 52.356
P/S = 13.0335
P/B = 14.4055
Revenue TTM = 1.85b USD
EBIT TTM = 103.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 132.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 57.0m USD (estimated: total debt 69.5m - short term 12.5m)
Short Term Debt = 12.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 69.5m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 69.5m already included)
Net Debt = -759.4m USD (calculated: Debt 69.5m - CCE 828.9m)
Enterprise Value = 23.3b USD (24.1b + Debt 69.5m - CCE 828.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM 103.1m / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
EV/FCF = 91.28x (Enterprise Value 23.3b / FCF TTM 255.5m)
FCF Yield = 1.10% (FCF TTM 255.5m / Enterprise Value 23.3b)
FCF Margin = 13.83% (FCF TTM 255.5m / Revenue TTM 1.85b)
Net Margin = 4.90% (Net Income TTM 90.6m / Revenue TTM 1.85b)
Gross Margin = 76.38% ((Revenue TTM 1.85b - Cost of Revenue TTM 436.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 77.21% (prev 75.42%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 8.42 (Enterprise Value 23.3b / Total Assets 2.77b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.0% (Interest Expense 0.0 / Debt 69.5m)
Taxrate = 12.16% (12.5m / 103.1m)
NOPAT = 90.6m (EBIT 103.1m * (1 - 12.16%))
Current Ratio = 1.62 (Total Current Assets 1.57b / Total Current Liabilities 968.1m)
Debt / Equity = 0.04 (Debt 69.5m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.60b)
Debt / EBITDA = -5.71 (Net Debt -759.4m / EBITDA 132.9m)
Debt / FCF = -2.97 (Net Debt -759.4m / FCF TTM 255.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.46b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.64% (Net Income 90.6m / Total Assets 2.77b)
RoE = 6.21% (Net Income TTM 90.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.46b)
RoCE = 6.80% (EBIT 103.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.46b + L.T.Debt 57.0m))
RoIC = 5.26% (NOPAT 90.6m / Invested Capital 1.72b)
WACC = 10.34% (E(24.1b)/V(24.1b) * Re(10.37%) + D(69.5m)/V(24.1b) * Rd(0.0%) * (1-Tc(0.12)))
Discount Rate = 10.37% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 98.07 | Cagr: 3.32%
[DCF] Terminal Value 71.81% ; FCFF base≈221.1m ; Y1≈253.5m ; Y5≈373.1m
[DCF] Fair Price = 12.92 (EV 4.15b - Net Debt -759.4m = Equity 4.91b / Shares 380.3m; r=10.34% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 87.91 | EPS CAGR: 216.0% | SUE: 1.20 | # QB: 16
Revenue Correlation: 99.83 | Revenue CAGR: 31.62% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 15
EPS current Quarter (2026-10-31): EPS=0.19 | Chg30d=+3.46% | Revisions=+67% | Analysts=21
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=0.77 | Chg30d=+8.27% | Revisions=+86% | GrowthEPS=+37.7% | GrowthRev=+26.4%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=0.95 | Chg30d=+5.51% | Revisions=+79% | GrowthEPS=+23.2% | GrowthRev=+20.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +85% (up=55, down=3)