(IP) International Paper - Ratings and Ratios
Linerboard, Medium, Pulp, Packaging, Fiber
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 4.49% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 5.15% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | -19.82% |
| Payout Consistency | 33.8% |
| Payout Ratio | 158.1% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 31.9% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 46.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -12.28% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.47 |
| Alpha | -40.32 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.20 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.321 |
| Beta | 1.055 |
| Beta Downside | 1.128 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 38.36% |
| Mean DD | 12.89% |
| Median DD | 12.24% |
Description: IP International Paper December 17, 2025
International Paper (NYSE:IP) manufactures renewable fiber-based packaging and pulp products across North America, Latin America, Europe, and North Africa, organized into two segments: Industrial Packaging and Global Cellulose Fibers. Its product slate includes linerboard, medium, whitetop, recycled board, saturating kraft, and a variety of specialty pulps used in diapers, tissue, feminine-care, textiles, construction, and coatings. Sales are made directly to converters and end-users as well as through agents, resellers, and distributors. The firm, founded in 1898, is headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee.
Key operational metrics (FY 2023) show net sales of roughly $20 billion, an adjusted EBITDA margin near 13 %, and a free-cash-flow conversion of about 70 % of EBITDA, reflecting strong cash generation. The company’s earnings are sensitive to pulp price cycles (≈ 30 % of margin exposure) and to e-commerce-driven demand for corrugated packaging, which has grown at ~5 % CAGR over the past five years. Sustainability trends-particularly the shift toward recyclable and renewable packaging-provide a secular tailwind, while higher input costs (energy, wood fiber) and potential trade-policy shifts in Europe and North Africa constitute material risks.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, you may find ValueRay’s sector dashboard useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.5
| Net Income (-1.28b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.41b TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.01 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -4.17pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 10.63% (prev 12.29%; Δ -1.65pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.03 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.19b > Net Income -1.28b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (9.42b) to EBITDA (2.12b) ratio: 4.45 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.31 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (528.0m) change vs 12m ago 49.41% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 28.96% (prev 24.37%; Δ 4.59pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 73.66% (prev 80.48%; Δ -6.82pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -1.39 (EBITDA TTM 2.12b / Interest Expense TTM 385.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.23
| (A) 0.06 = (Total Current Assets 10.46b - Total Current Liabilities 7.97b) / Total Assets 40.57b |
| (B) 0.19 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 7.52b / Total Assets 40.57b |
| (C) -0.02 = EBIT TTM -534.0m / Avg Total Assets 31.86b |
| (D) 0.32 = Book Value of Equity 7.50b / Total Liabilities 23.25b |
| Total Rating: 1.23 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 35.09
| 1. Piotroski 2.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -0.90% |
| 3. FCF Margin -1.18% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.60 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 4.45 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -8.03)% |
| 7. RoE -8.23% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 50.33% |
| 9. EPS Trend -74.10% |
What is the price of IP shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.20%, over one month by +6.47%, over three months by -9.54% and over the past year by -20.26%.
Is IP a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 5
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the IP price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 47.4 | 15.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 47.4 | 15.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 42.1 | 2.8% |
IP Fundamental Data Overview January 05, 2026
P/E Forward = 18.2815
P/S = 0.8734
P/B = 1.2273
P/EG = 1.2618
Beta = 1.056
Revenue TTM = 23.47b USD
EBIT TTM = -534.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.12b USD
Long Term Debt = 8.99b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 972.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 10.41b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 9.42b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 30.67b USD (21.25b + Debt 10.41b - CCE 995.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -1.39 (Ebit TTM -534.0m / Interest Expense TTM 385.0m)
FCF Yield = -0.90% (FCF TTM -277.0m / Enterprise Value 30.67b)
FCF Margin = -1.18% (FCF TTM -277.0m / Revenue TTM 23.47b)
Net Margin = -5.45% (Net Income TTM -1.28b / Revenue TTM 23.47b)
Gross Margin = 28.96% ((Revenue TTM 23.47b - Cost of Revenue TTM 16.67b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 31.10% (prev 27.94%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.76 (Enterprise Value 30.67b / Total Assets 40.57b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.01% (Interest Expense 1.00m / Debt 10.41b)
Taxrate = 36.98% (-250.0m / -676.0m)
NOPAT = -336.5m (EBIT -534.0m * (1 - 36.98%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.31 (Total Current Assets 10.46b / Total Current Liabilities 7.97b)
Debt / Equity = 0.60 (Debt 10.41b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 17.32b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.45 (Net Debt 9.42b / EBITDA 2.12b)
Debt / FCF = -34.00 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 9.42b / FCF TTM -277.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 15.55b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -3.15% (Net Income -1.28b / Total Assets 40.57b)
RoE = -8.23% (Net Income TTM -1.28b / Total Stockholder Equity 15.55b)
RoCE = -2.18% (EBIT -534.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 15.55b + L.T.Debt 8.99b))
RoIC = -1.38% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -336.5m / Invested Capital 24.32b)
WACC = 6.65% (E(21.25b)/V(31.67b) * Re(9.90%) + D(10.41b)/V(31.67b) * Rd(0.01%) * (1-Tc(0.37)))
Discount Rate = 9.90% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 23.47%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -277.0m)
EPS Correlation: -74.10 | EPS CAGR: -56.46% | SUE: -2.46 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 50.33 | Revenue CAGR: 25.31% | SUE: -1.64 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.34 | Chg30d=-0.054 | Revisions Net=-4 | Analysts=5
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.20 | Chg30d=-0.104 | Revisions Net=-4 | Growth EPS=+744.7% | Growth Revenue=+1.1%
Additional Sources for IP Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle