IP Stock Analysis: International Paper | NYSE
Packaging & Containers | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 17.677m USD | 12M Return: -23.2% | US4601461035 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 174M
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 91.6%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
International Paper Company (NYSE: IP) is a global producer of renewable fiber-based packaging, operating across North America, Latin America, Europe, South America, and North Africa. The company runs through two reportable segments: Packaging Solutions North America and Packaging Solutions EMEA. Its product portfolio includes linerboard, medium, whitetop, and saturating kraft, which the company converts into corrugated boxes, bulk bins, shipping containers, and specialty packaging at its converting facilities. End markets span food and beverage, agriculture, industrial manufacturing, personal care, pharmaceuticals, and consumer goods. International Paper was founded in 1898 and is headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee. It is classified in the Materials sector under the GICS sub-industry of Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials.
The company sits within the containerboard and corrugated packaging segment of the materials industry, whose output is widely recyclable and tied to broader supply chain, e-commerce, and industrial shipping demand. Large integrated producers like International Paper typically combine pulp and paper mills with downstream converting operations to capture additional margin beyond the sale of base containerboard.
- DS Smith acquisition synergy capture drives margin expansion
- Containerboard pricing pressured by demand normalization and new capacity
- Capital returns resume as leverage declines post DS Smith integration
| Net Income: -3.46b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.00 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.89 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 0.51% < 20% (prev 10.63%; Δ -10.12% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 2.38b > Net Income -3.46b |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 1.01 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (529.6m) vs 12m ago 0.30% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 27.77% > 18% (prev 28.96%; Δ -1.19% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 63.46% > 50% (prev 57.85%; Δ 5.60% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -8.36 > 6 (EBIT TTM -3.43b / Interest Expense TTM 410.0m) |
| A: 0.00 (Total Current Assets 8.71b - Total Current Liabilities 8.59b) / Total Assets 35.6b |
| B: 0.09 (Retained Earnings 3.07b / Total Assets 35.6b) |
| C: -0.09 (EBIT TTM -3.43b / Avg Total Assets 38.1b) |
| D: 0.58 (Book Value of Equity 13.1b / Total Liabilities 22.5b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.31 = B |
| DSRI: 0.88 (Receivables 4.32b/4.78b, Revenue 24.2b/23.5b) |
| GMI: 1.04 (GM 28.96% / 27.77%) |
| AQI: 0.87 (AQ_t 0.32 / AQ_t-1 0.37) |
| SGI: 1.03 (Revenue 24.2b / 23.5b) |
| TATA: -0.16 (NI -3.46b - CFO 2.38b) / TA 35.6b) |
| Beneish M = -3.16 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of October 29, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 34.48 with a total of 11,677,393 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.53%, over one month by +1.41%, over three months by -20.91% and over the past year by -23.22%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 33.20 (which is 3.7% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
International Paper has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.36. Therefore, it is recommended to buy IP.
- StrongBuy: 6
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 45.4 | 31.7% |
P/E Forward = 10.8814
P/S = 0.7304
P/B = 1.2236
P/EG = 0.9788
Revenue TTM = 24.2b USD
EBIT TTM = -3.43b USD
EBITDA TTM = -1.23b USD
Long Term Debt = 8.84b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 1.96b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 10.6b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 471.0m
Net Debt = 9.80b USD (calculated: Debt 10.6b - CCE 815.0m)
Enterprise Value = 27.5b USD (17.7b + Debt 10.6b - CCE 815.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -8.36 (Ebit TTM -3.43b / Interest Expense TTM 410.0m)
EV/FCF = 366.3x (Enterprise Value 27.5b / FCF TTM 75.0m)
FCF Yield = 0.27% (FCF TTM 75.0m / Enterprise Value 27.5b)
FCF Margin = 0.31% (FCF TTM 75.0m / Revenue TTM 24.2b)
Net Margin = -14.32% (Net Income TTM -3.46b / Revenue TTM 24.2b)
Gross Margin = 27.77% ((Revenue TTM 24.2b - Cost of Revenue TTM 17.5b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 31.21% (prev 27.65%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.77 (Enterprise Value 27.5b / Total Assets 35.6b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.86% (Interest Expense 410.0m / Debt 10.6b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -2.71b (EBIT -3.43b * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.01 (Total Current Assets 8.71b / Total Current Liabilities 8.59b)
Debt / Equity = 0.81 (Debt 10.6b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 13.1b)
Debt / EBITDA = -7.99 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 9.80b / EBITDA -1.23b)
Debt / FCF = 130.6 (Net Debt 9.80b / FCF TTM 75.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 14.3b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -9.09% (Net Income -3.46b / Total Assets 35.6b)
RoE = -24.19% (Net Income TTM -3.46b / Total Stockholder Equity 14.3b)
RoCE = -14.80% (EBIT -3.43b / Capital Employed (Equity 14.3b + L.T.Debt 8.84b))
RoIC = -9.60% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -2.71b / Invested Capital 28.2b)
WACC = 6.80% (E(17.7b)/V(28.3b) * Re(9.05%) + D(10.6b)/V(28.3b) * Rd(3.86%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 9.05% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 86.71 | Cagr: 19.79%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.44% ; FCFF base≈75.0m ; Y1≈75.3m ; Y5≈79.8m
[DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 1.24b - Net Debt 9.80b = -8.56b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.19 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 91.55 | Revenue CAGR: 14.09% | SUE: -0.33 | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.30 | Chg30d=-2.92% | Revisions=-62% | GrowthEPS=+752.5% | GrowthRev=+3.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.09 | Chg30d=+2.24% | Revisions=+38% | GrowthEPS=+136.6% | GrowthRev=+6.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -15% (up=4, down=6)