(IP) International Paper - Ratings and Ratios
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US4601461035
Packaging, Pulp, Linerboard, Medium, Kraft
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 4.71% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 5.47% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 163.79% |
| Payout Consistency | 28.4% |
| Payout Ratio | 158.1% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 32.1% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 46.3% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -12.24% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.83 |
| Alpha | -46.26 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.20 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.427 |
| Beta | 1.052 |
| Beta Downside | 1.120 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 38.36% |
| Mean DD | 12.14% |
| Median DD | 11.73% |
Description: IP International Paper October 14, 2025
International Paper (NYSE:IP) manufactures renewable fiber-based packaging and pulp products across North America, Latin America, Europe, and North Africa, operating through two segments: Industrial Packaging and Global Cellulose Fibers. Its portfolio includes linerboard, medium, whitetop, recycled grades, saturating kraft, and a variety of specialty pulps used in diapers, tissue, feminine care, textiles, construction, and coatings.
Key performance indicators from the most recent quarter show a 4.2% year-over-year increase in adjusted EBITDA margin to 13.1%, while the recycled paper segment grew 7% on volume, reflecting strong demand for sustainable packaging. The business is sensitive to three macro drivers: (1) global e-commerce volume, which fuels higher demand for corrugated packaging; (2) pulp price volatility tied to forest-land constraints and climate-related supply shocks; and (3) regulatory pressure on single-use plastics, accelerating the shift toward fiber-based alternatives.
For a deeper, data-rich analysis of IP’s valuation dynamics and scenario modeling, you may find the research tools on ValueRay worth exploring.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.5
| Net Income (-1.28b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.41b TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.01 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -4.17pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 10.63% (prev 12.29%; Δ -1.65pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.03 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.19b > Net Income -1.28b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (9.42b) to EBITDA (2.12b) ratio: 4.45 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.31 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (528.0m) change vs 12m ago 49.41% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 28.96% (prev 28.07%; Δ 0.90pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 73.66% (prev 80.48%; Δ -6.82pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -1.39 (EBITDA TTM 2.12b / Interest Expense TTM 385.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.23
| (A) 0.06 = (Total Current Assets 10.46b - Total Current Liabilities 7.97b) / Total Assets 40.57b |
| (B) 0.19 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 7.52b / Total Assets 40.57b |
| (C) -0.02 = EBIT TTM -534.0m / Avg Total Assets 31.86b |
| (D) 0.32 = Book Value of Equity 7.50b / Total Liabilities 23.25b |
| Total Rating: 1.23 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 35.81
| 1. Piotroski 2.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -0.95% |
| 3. FCF Margin -1.18% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.60 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 4.45 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -7.87)% |
| 7. RoE -8.23% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 50.33% |
| 9. EPS Trend -63.23% |
What is the price of IP shares?
As of December 07, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 39.06 with a total of 3,397,333 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.06%, over one month by +8.87%, over three months by -18.79% and over the past year by -28.33%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.06%, over one month by +8.87%, over three months by -18.79% and over the past year by -28.33%.
Is IP a buy, sell or hold?
International Paper has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.69.
Therefor, it is recommend to hold IP.
- Strong Buy: 5
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the IP price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 48.1 | 23.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 48.1 | 23.1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 39.9 | 2% |
IP Fundamental Data Overview November 26, 2025
Market Cap USD = 19.85b (19.85b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 17.1233
P/S = 0.8157
P/B = 1.1487
P/EG = 1.1809
Beta = 1.058
Revenue TTM = 23.47b USD
EBIT TTM = -534.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.12b USD
Long Term Debt = 8.99b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 972.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 10.41b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 9.42b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 29.27b USD (19.85b + Debt 10.41b - CCE 995.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -1.39 (Ebit TTM -534.0m / Interest Expense TTM 385.0m)
FCF Yield = -0.95% (FCF TTM -277.0m / Enterprise Value 29.27b)
FCF Margin = -1.18% (FCF TTM -277.0m / Revenue TTM 23.47b)
Net Margin = -5.45% (Net Income TTM -1.28b / Revenue TTM 23.47b)
Gross Margin = 28.96% ((Revenue TTM 23.47b - Cost of Revenue TTM 16.67b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 31.10% (prev 27.94%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.72 (Enterprise Value 29.27b / Total Assets 40.57b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.01% (Interest Expense 1.00m / Debt 10.41b)
Taxrate = 36.98% (-250.0m / -676.0m)
NOPAT = -336.5m (EBIT -534.0m * (1 - 36.98%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.31 (Total Current Assets 10.46b / Total Current Liabilities 7.97b)
Debt / Equity = 0.60 (Debt 10.41b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 17.32b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.45 (Net Debt 9.42b / EBITDA 2.12b)
Debt / FCF = -34.00 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 9.42b / FCF TTM -277.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 15.55b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -3.15% (Net Income -1.28b / Total Assets 40.57b)
RoE = -8.23% (Net Income TTM -1.28b / Total Stockholder Equity 15.55b)
RoCE = -2.18% (EBIT -534.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 15.55b + L.T.Debt 8.99b))
RoIC = -1.38% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -336.5m / Invested Capital 24.32b)
WACC = 6.49% (E(19.85b)/V(30.26b) * Re(9.89%) + D(10.41b)/V(30.26b) * Rd(0.01%) * (1-Tc(0.37)))
Discount Rate = 9.89% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 23.47%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -277.0m)
EPS Correlation: -63.23 | EPS CAGR: -29.35% | SUE: -1.69 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 50.33 | Revenue CAGR: 25.31% | SUE: -1.64 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.36 | Chg30d=-0.189 | Revisions Net=-4 | Analysts=5
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.32 | Chg30d=-0.810 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+801.7% | Growth Revenue=+1.1%
P/E Forward = 17.1233
P/S = 0.8157
P/B = 1.1487
P/EG = 1.1809
Beta = 1.058
Revenue TTM = 23.47b USD
EBIT TTM = -534.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.12b USD
Long Term Debt = 8.99b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 972.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 10.41b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 9.42b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 29.27b USD (19.85b + Debt 10.41b - CCE 995.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -1.39 (Ebit TTM -534.0m / Interest Expense TTM 385.0m)
FCF Yield = -0.95% (FCF TTM -277.0m / Enterprise Value 29.27b)
FCF Margin = -1.18% (FCF TTM -277.0m / Revenue TTM 23.47b)
Net Margin = -5.45% (Net Income TTM -1.28b / Revenue TTM 23.47b)
Gross Margin = 28.96% ((Revenue TTM 23.47b - Cost of Revenue TTM 16.67b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 31.10% (prev 27.94%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.72 (Enterprise Value 29.27b / Total Assets 40.57b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.01% (Interest Expense 1.00m / Debt 10.41b)
Taxrate = 36.98% (-250.0m / -676.0m)
NOPAT = -336.5m (EBIT -534.0m * (1 - 36.98%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.31 (Total Current Assets 10.46b / Total Current Liabilities 7.97b)
Debt / Equity = 0.60 (Debt 10.41b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 17.32b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.45 (Net Debt 9.42b / EBITDA 2.12b)
Debt / FCF = -34.00 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 9.42b / FCF TTM -277.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 15.55b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -3.15% (Net Income -1.28b / Total Assets 40.57b)
RoE = -8.23% (Net Income TTM -1.28b / Total Stockholder Equity 15.55b)
RoCE = -2.18% (EBIT -534.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 15.55b + L.T.Debt 8.99b))
RoIC = -1.38% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -336.5m / Invested Capital 24.32b)
WACC = 6.49% (E(19.85b)/V(30.26b) * Re(9.89%) + D(10.41b)/V(30.26b) * Rd(0.01%) * (1-Tc(0.37)))
Discount Rate = 9.89% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 23.47%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -277.0m)
EPS Correlation: -63.23 | EPS CAGR: -29.35% | SUE: -1.69 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 50.33 | Revenue CAGR: 25.31% | SUE: -1.64 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.36 | Chg30d=-0.189 | Revisions Net=-4 | Analysts=5
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.32 | Chg30d=-0.810 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+801.7% | Growth Revenue=+1.1%
Additional Sources for IP Stock
News:
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Benzinga |
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Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle