(IP) International Paper - Overview

Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Packaging & Containers | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 16.934m USD | Total Return: -39.4% in 12m

Corrugated Boxes, Containerboard, Kraft Paper, Shipping Containers
Total Rating 32
Safety 62
Buy Signal -1.42
Packaging & Containers
Industry Rotation: -0.9
Market Cap: 16.9B
Avg Turnover: 240M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility48.4%
VaR 5th Pctl7.66%
VaR vs Median-4.31%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-1.15
Rel. Str. IBD3.6
Rel. Str. Peer Group16.7
Character TTM
Beta1.032
Beta Downside1.174
Hurst Exponent0.568
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD48.61%
CAGR/Max DD0.04
CAGR/Mean DD0.14
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of IP over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": 0.76, "2021-06": 1.06, "2021-09": 1.35, "2021-12": 0.78, "2022-03": 0.76, "2022-06": 1.24, "2022-09": 1.01, "2022-12": 0.87, "2023-03": 0.53, "2023-06": 0.59, "2023-09": 0.64, "2023-12": -0.82, "2024-03": 0.17, "2024-06": 0.55, "2024-09": 0.44, "2024-12": -0.02, "2025-03": 0.23, "2025-06": 0.14, "2025-09": -0.43, "2025-12": -4.52, "2026-03": 0.15,
EPS CAGR: -43.07%
EPS Trend: -64.2%
Last SUE: 0.01
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of IP over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 4593, 2021-06: 4770, 2021-09: 4914, 2021-12: 2670, 2022-03: 5237, 2022-06: 5389, 2022-09: 5402, 2022-12: 5133, 2023-03: 5020, 2023-06: 4682, 2023-09: 4613, 2023-12: 4601, 2024-03: 4619, 2024-06: 4734, 2024-09: 4686, 2024-12: 4580, 2025-03: 5901, 2025-06: 6767, 2025-09: 6222, 2025-12: 6006, 2026-03: 5971,
Rev. CAGR: 2.77%
Rev. Trend: 50.5%
Last SUE: -0.16
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Share dilution 21.5% YoY

Interest Coverage Ratio -8.9 is critical

Altman Z'' 0.45 < 1.0 - financial distress zone

Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: IP International Paper

International Paper (NYSE: IP) is a global producer of fiber-based packaging solutions, operating primarily through its North American and EMEA segments. The company manufactures containerboard, including linerboard and medium, and converts these materials into corrugated boxes and specialty packaging for industries ranging from agriculture to pharmaceuticals.

The business model relies on a vertically integrated supply chain, where the company manages both the production of raw paper materials and the downstream conversion into finished consumer goods packaging. As a major player in the paper and plastic packaging sector, International Papers performance is closely tied to global manufacturing output and the continued growth of e-commerce logistics.

Investors can further evaluate the companys valuation and capital structure on ValueRay. Founded in 1898 and headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee, the firm maintains a diverse geographic footprint across North America, Europe, and North Africa.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Rising e-commerce demand drives corrugated packaging volume growth in North America
  • Fluctuating containerboard prices impact quarterly revenue and operating margins
  • High energy and raw material input costs compress manufacturing profit margins
  • Global manufacturing output levels dictate demand for industrial fiber-based packaging
  • Strategic acquisitions and facility consolidation influence long-term capital allocation efficiency
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict) 4.5
Net Income: -3.35b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.53 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 6.04% < 20% (prev 11.56%; Δ -5.52% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 2.60b > Net Income -3.35b
Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio: 1.21 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (531.8m) vs 12m ago 21.53% < -2%
Gross Margin: 27.83% > 18% (prev 0.29%; Δ 2.75k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 64.34% > 50% (prev 48.34%; Δ 16.00% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -8.89 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -36.0m / Interest Expense TTM 315.0m)
Altman Z'' 0.45
A: 0.04 (Total Current Assets 8.58b - Total Current Liabilities 7.07b) / Total Assets 36.43b
B: 0.13 (Retained Earnings 4.70b / Total Assets 36.43b)
C: -0.07 (EBIT TTM -2.80b / Avg Total Assets 38.80b)
D: 0.23 (Book Value of Equity 4.96b / Total Liabilities 21.63b)
Altman-Z'' Score: 0.45 = B
Beneish M -3.30
DSRI: 0.64 (Receivables 4.02b/5.01b, Revenue 24.97b/19.90b)
GMI: 1.03 (GM 27.83% / 28.59%)
AQI: 0.97 (AQ_t 0.36 / AQ_t-1 0.37)
SGI: 1.25 (Revenue 24.97b / 19.90b)
TATA: -0.16 (NI -3.35b - CFO 2.60b) / TA 36.43b)
Beneish M-Score: -3.30 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of IP shares? As of May 20, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 29.38 with a total of 5,006,099 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -10.62%, over one month by -20.36%, over three months by -36.68% and over the past year by -39.35%.
Is IP a buy, sell or hold? International Paper has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.69. Therefor, it is recommend to hold IP.
  • StrongBuy: 5
  • Buy: 2
  • Hold: 4
  • Sell: 1
  • StrongSell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the IP price?
Analysts Target Price 39.4 34%
International Paper (IP) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 15 May 2026
P/E Forward = 22.3214
P/S = 0.6957
P/B = 1.1811
P/EG = 1.5804
Revenue TTM = 24.97b USD
EBIT TTM = -2.80b USD
EBITDA TTM = -36.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 8.18b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 918.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 9.54b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 8.31b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 25.24b USD (16.93b + Debt 9.54b - CCE 1.24b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -8.89 (Ebit TTM -2.80b / Interest Expense TTM 315.0m)
EV/FCF = 45.64x (Enterprise Value 25.24b / FCF TTM 553.0m)
FCF Yield = 2.19% (FCF TTM 553.0m / Enterprise Value 25.24b)
FCF Margin = 2.22% (FCF TTM 553.0m / Revenue TTM 24.97b)
Net Margin = -13.42% (Net Income TTM -3.35b / Revenue TTM 24.97b)
Gross Margin = 27.83% ((Revenue TTM 24.97b - Cost of Revenue TTM 18.02b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 20.73% (prev 31.35%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.69 (Enterprise Value 25.24b / Total Assets 36.43b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.80% (Interest Expense 76.0m / Debt 9.54b)
Taxrate = 18.28% (17.0m / 93.0m)
NOPAT = -2.29b (EBIT -2.80b * (1 - 18.28%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.21 (Total Current Assets 8.58b / Total Current Liabilities 7.07b)
Debt / Equity = 0.64 (Debt 9.54b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 14.81b)
 Debt / EBITDA = -230.8 (out of range, set to none) (Net Debt 8.31b / EBITDA -36.0m)
 Debt / FCF = 15.02 (Net Debt 8.31b / FCF TTM 553.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 16.39b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -8.64% (Net Income -3.35b / Total Assets 36.43b)
RoE = -20.44% (Net Income TTM -3.35b / Total Stockholder Equity 16.39b)
RoCE = -11.40% (EBIT -2.80b / Capital Employed (Equity 16.39b + L.T.Debt 8.18b))
 RoIC = -8.77% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -2.29b / Invested Capital 26.09b)
 WACC = 6.38% (E(16.93b)/V(26.48b) * Re(9.61%) + D(9.54b)/V(26.48b) * Rd(0.80%) * (1-Tc(0.18)))
Discount Rate = 9.61% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 71.91 | Cagr: 21.00%
[DCF] Terminal Value 80.69% ; FCFF base≈553.0m ; Y1≈406.9m ; Y5≈233.7m
 [DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 6.48b - Net Debt 8.31b = -1.83b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
 EPS Correlation: -64.17 | EPS CAGR: -43.07% | SUE: 0.01 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 50.52 | Revenue CAGR: 2.77% | SUE: -0.16 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=-0.04 | Chg30d=-116.54% | Revisions=-69% | Analysts=9
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.53 | Chg30d=-6.42% | Revisions=-54% | Analysts=9
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.38 | Chg30d=-14.43% | Revisions=-71% | GrowthEPS=+791.7% | GrowthRev=+4.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.68 | Chg30d=-5.95% | Revisions=-29% | GrowthEPS=+93.5% | GrowthRev=+3.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -71%