(IVR) Invesco Mortgage Capital - Ratings and Ratios
Residential, Mortgage-Backed, Securities, Commercial, Treasury
IVR EPS (Earnings per Share)
IVR Revenue
Description: IVR Invesco Mortgage Capital
Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. is a mortgage real estate investment trust (REIT) that specializes in investing, financing, and managing mortgage-backed securities and other mortgage-related assets in the United States. The companys investment portfolio includes a diverse range of assets, such as residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) and commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) guaranteed by US government agencies, as well as non-agency RMBS and CMBS, US Treasury securities, and commercial mortgage loans. By electing to be taxed as a REIT, the company is required to distribute at least 90% of its taxable income to shareholders, thereby avoiding federal corporate income taxes.
From a technical analysis perspective, IVRs stock price is currently trading at $7.85, with a 20-day simple moving average (SMA) of $7.62 and a 50-day SMA of $7.42, indicating a potential bullish trend. The stocks 200-day SMA is $7.67, and the average true range (ATR) is 0.16, representing a 2.05% daily price movement. Given the current technical indicators, it is likely that IVRs stock price will continue to trend upwards, potentially reaching the $8.00 level in the short term.
Fundamentally, IVR has a market capitalization of $507.10 million and a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 18.31, indicating a relatively high valuation compared to its earnings. However, the forward P/E ratio is 4.39, suggesting a potential increase in earnings in the future. The companys return on equity (RoE) is 6.49%, which is a moderate return. Considering the current fundamental data, it is likely that IVR will continue to generate stable returns for shareholders, driven by its diversified investment portfolio and REIT status.
Based on the combination of technical and fundamental analysis, a forecast for IVRs stock price is that it will continue to trend upwards, potentially reaching $8.50 in the next 6-12 months, driven by a combination of its bullish technical indicators and stable fundamental performance. However, this forecast is contingent on the companys ability to maintain its current level of dividend payments and continue to generate stable returns for shareholders.
IVR Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 515m |
| Sector | Real Estate |
| Industry | REIT - Mortgage |
| GiC Sub-Industry | Mortgage REITs |
| IPO / Inception | 2009-06-26 |
IVR Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | -45.4 |
| Fundamental | - |
| Dividend Rating | 46.5 |
| Rel. Strength | 0.83 |
| Analysts | 3.17 of 5 |
| Fair Price Momentum | 8.28 USD |
| Fair Price DCF | 19.32 USD |
IVR Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 19.79% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 9.89% |
| Annual Growth 5y | -1.21% |
| Payout Consistency | 84.5% |
| Payout Ratio | 102.1% |
IVR Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 76.9% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | 13.3% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | -76.7% |
| CAGR 5y | -12.67% |
| CAGR/Max DD 5y | -0.16 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | 2.04 |
| Alpha | -9.67 |
| Beta | 0.549 |
| Volatility | 27.95% |
| Current Volume | 1005.4k |
| Average Volume 20d | 1819.2k |
| Stop Loss | 7.3 (-3.9%) |
As of August 08, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 7.60 with a total of 1,005,399 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.66%, over one month by +0.13%, over three months by +7.95% and over the past year by +5.08%.
Probably not. Based on ValueRay´s Analyses, Invesco Mortgage Capital (NYSE:IVR) is currently (August 2025) not a good stock to buy. It has a ValueRay Growth Rating of -45.39 and therefor a somwhat technical negative rating according to historical growth.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of IVR is around 8.28 USD . This means that IVR is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of 8.95%.
Invesco Mortgage Capital has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.17. Therefor, it is recommend to hold IVR.
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
According to our own proprietary Forecast Model, IVR Invesco Mortgage Capital will be worth about 8.9 in August 2026. The stock is currently trading at 7.60. This means that the stock has a potential upside of +17.63%.
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 7.8 | 3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 7.6 | -0.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 8.9 | 17.6% |
IVR Fundamental Data Overview
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 59.4m USD (last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 19.8974
P/E Forward = 4.3879
P/S = 8.6187
P/B = 0.9474
P/EG = -6.09
Beta = 1.678
Revenue TTM = 145.5m USD
EBIT TTM = 190.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 179.4m USD
Short Term Debt = 4.64b USD (last quarter)
Net Debt = 4.45b USD (last quarter)
Debt = 4.64b USD (Short/Long Term Debt Total, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 5.09b USD (Market Cap 514.5m + Debt 4.64b - CCE 59.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.65 (Ebit TTM 190.3m / Interest Expense TTM 291.7m)
FCF Yield = 2.85% (FCF TTM 145.0m / Enterprise Value 5.09b)
[93m FCF Margin = 99.68% (FCF TTM 145.0m / Revenue TTM 145.5m)
[39m Net Margin = 94.61% (Net Income TTM 137.6m / Revenue TTM 145.5m)
Gross Margin = 30.41% ((Revenue TTM 145.5m - Cost of Revenue TTM 101.2m) / Revenue TTM)
[93m Tobins Q-Ratio = -0.36 (Enterprise Value 5.09b / Book Value Of Equity -14.32b)
[39m Interest Expense / Debt = 2.33% (Interest Expense 107.9m / Debt 4.64b)
[93m Taxrate = 21% (can't be calculated, taking the US default taxrate)
[39m NOPAT = 150.4m (EBIT 190.3m × (1 – 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 0.01 (Total Current Assets 59.4m / Total Current Liabilities 4.68b)
Debt / Equity = 6.54 (Debt 4.64b / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 709.4m)
Debt / EBITDA = 25.84 (Net Debt 4.45b / EBITDA 179.4m)
Debt / FCF = 31.97 (Debt 4.64b / FCF TTM 145.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 764.1m (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 2.55%
RoE = 18.01% (Net Income TTM 137.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 764.1m)
[93m RoCE = unknown (Ebit 190.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 764.1m + Long Term Debt N/A)
[39m RoIC = 3.56% (Ebit 190.3m / (Total Assets 5.40b - Total Current Assets 59.4m) )
WACC = 3.15% ((Market Cap / EV) * CAPM 14.75%) + (Debt / EV) * Interest Expense on Debt * (1 - Taxrate)
Shares Correlation 5-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 15.86%
Discount Rate = 14.75% (= CAPM)
Fair Price DCF = 19.32 (DCF Value 1.28b / Shares Outstanding 66.3m)
Revenue Correlation: 3.04 | Revenue CAGR: 39.32%
Revenue Growth Correlation: -50.57%
EPS Correlation: -8.08 | EPS CAGR: 33.37%
EPS Growth Correlation: -52.49%
Additional Sources for IVR Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle