(IX) Orix Ads - Ratings and Ratios
Finance, Leasing, Real Estate, Insurance, Energy
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 2.75% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 7.96% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | -23.49% |
| Payout Consistency | 83.7% |
| Payout Ratio | 17.7% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 22.8% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 35.4% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -5.78% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.50 |
| Alpha | 29.69 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.35 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.425 |
| Beta | 0.707 |
| Beta Downside | 0.841 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 24.34% |
| Mean DD | 5.56% |
| Median DD | 3.98% |
Description: IX Orix Ads December 17, 2025
ORIX Corporation (NYSE:IX) is a diversified financial services group headquartered in Tokyo, operating across Japan, the United States, Europe, Asia and Australasia. Its business is split into nine segments: Corporate Financial Services & Maintenance Leasing (auto, ICT equipment leasing); Real Estate (development, rental, asset management); Private-Equity & Concession; Environment & Energy (ESCO, waste recycling, power retail, solar and renewable generation); Insurance (life products sold through agents, banks and digital channels); Banking & Consumer Finance; Aircraft & Ships (investment, financing, brokerage); ORIX USA (finance, investment, asset management); and ORIX Europe (equity and fixed-income asset management). The firm traces its roots to Orient Leasing (renamed ORIX in 1989) and has been listed on the NYSE since 2001.
As of FY2023, ORIX reported revenue of roughly ¥1.5 trillion (≈ $10 bn) with an operating margin of about 6%, reflecting the relatively low-margin nature of its leasing and asset-management businesses. The company’s earnings are sensitive to three macro drivers: (1) Japanese corporate capital-expenditure trends, which influence demand for leasing of vehicles and ICT equipment; (2) the trajectory of interest rates in major markets, affecting net interest income in its banking and credit arm; and (3) renewable-energy policy incentives, particularly Japan’s feed-in tariff and carbon-neutral targets that bolster the Environment & Energy segment’s growth prospects.
For a data-driven deep-dive into ORIX’s valuation drivers, you may find it useful to explore the analytics available on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0
| Net Income (439.78b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 154.51b TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.00 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.99pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 8.55% (prev 97.85%; Δ -89.30pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.11 (>3.0%) and CFO 1908.21b > Net Income 439.78b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (5245.44b) to EBITDA (885.21b) ratio: 5.93 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.06 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (1.12b) change vs 12m ago 387.8% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 61.90% (prev 89.91%; Δ -28.00pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 15.17% (prev 12.18%; Δ 2.99pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 2.56 (EBITDA TTM 885.21b / Interest Expense TTM 179.15b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.27
| (A) 0.01 = (Total Current Assets 3775.46b - Total Current Liabilities 3555.23b) / Total Assets 17604.28b |
| (B) 0.20 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 3560.09b / Total Assets 17604.28b |
| (C) 0.03 = EBIT TTM 458.27b / Avg Total Assets 16972.13b |
| (D) 0.33 = Book Value of Equity 4339.82b / Total Liabilities 13082.42b |
| Total Rating: 1.27 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 47.61
| 1. Piotroski 3.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -0.56% |
| 3. FCF Margin -2.23% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.47 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 5.93 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -1.07)% |
| 7. RoE 10.49% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 67.01% |
| 9. EPS Trend -56.87% |
What is the price of IX shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.28%, over one month by +7.31%, over three months by +12.30% and over the past year by +42.37%.
Is IX a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 0
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the IX price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 30.2 | 2.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 30.2 | 2.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 39.1 | 33.3% |
IX Fundamental Data Overview December 25, 2025
P/E Trailing = 12.0121
P/S = 0.0109
P/B = 1.1432
Beta = 0.462
Revenue TTM = 2575.10b JPY
EBIT TTM = 458.27b JPY
EBITDA TTM = 885.21b JPY
Long Term Debt = 5911.47b JPY (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 609.88b JPY (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 6521.35b JPY (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 5245.44b JPY (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 10284.01b JPY (5158.39b + Debt 6521.35b - CCE 1395.72b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.56 (Ebit TTM 458.27b / Interest Expense TTM 179.15b)
FCF Yield = -0.56% (FCF TTM -57.48b / Enterprise Value 10284.01b)
FCF Margin = -2.23% (FCF TTM -57.48b / Revenue TTM 2575.10b)
Net Margin = 17.08% (Net Income TTM 439.78b / Revenue TTM 2575.10b)
Gross Margin = 61.90% ((Revenue TTM 2575.10b - Cost of Revenue TTM 980.99b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 88.62% (prev 92.14%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.58 (Enterprise Value 10284.01b / Total Assets 17604.28b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.74% (Interest Expense 48.45b / Debt 6521.35b)
Taxrate = 29.84% (70.41b / 236.00b)
NOPAT = 321.54b (EBIT 458.27b * (1 - 29.84%))
Current Ratio = 1.06 (Total Current Assets 3775.46b / Total Current Liabilities 3555.23b)
Debt / Equity = 1.47 (Debt 6521.35b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4441.68b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.93 (Net Debt 5245.44b / EBITDA 885.21b)
Debt / FCF = -91.26 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 5245.44b / FCF TTM -57.48b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4190.83b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.50% (Net Income 439.78b / Total Assets 17604.28b)
RoE = 10.49% (Net Income TTM 439.78b / Total Stockholder Equity 4190.83b)
RoCE = 4.54% (EBIT 458.27b / Capital Employed (Equity 4190.83b + L.T.Debt 5911.47b))
RoIC = 3.03% (NOPAT 321.54b / Invested Capital 10613.57b)
WACC = 4.10% (E(5158.39b)/V(11679.74b) * Re(8.62%) + D(6521.35b)/V(11679.74b) * Rd(0.74%) * (1-Tc(0.30)))
Discount Rate = 8.62% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 120.4%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -57.48b)
EPS Correlation: -56.87 | EPS CAGR: -20.58% | SUE: 0.62 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 67.01 | Revenue CAGR: 4.36% | SUE: -0.22 | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2026-03-31): EPS=2.54 | Chg30d=-0.011 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=-76.1% | Growth Revenue=+461.7%
EPS next Year (2027-03-31): EPS=2.60 | Chg30d=-0.016 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+2.3% | Growth Revenue=+5.3%
Additional Sources for IX Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle