IX Stock Analysis: Orix Ads | NYSE

Financial Conglomerates | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 42.510m USD | 12M Return: 57% | US6863301015 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Leasing, Real Estate, Insurance, Banking
Total Rating 59
Safety 78
Buy Signal 0.68
Financial Conglomerates
Industry Rotation: +0.2
Market Cap: 42.5B
Avg Turnover: 10.8M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility25.6%
VaR 5th Pctl4.30%
VaR vs Median1.96%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.62
Rel. Str. IBD80.1
Rel. Str. Peer Group54.2
Character TTM
Beta0.829
Beta Downside0.758
Hurst Exponent0.535
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD24.34%
CAGR/Max DD1.40
CAGR/Mean DD5.46
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of IX over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 2.97, "2021-12": 2.34, "2022-03": 3.26, "2022-06": 1.95, "2022-09": 1.74, "2022-12": 2.9, "2023-03": 1.94, "2023-06": 1.89, "2023-09": 1.86, "2023-12": 2.64, "2024-03": 3.6931, "2024-06": 2.4155, "2024-09": 0.55, "2024-12": 0.51, "2025-03": 2.42, "2025-06": 0.65, "2025-09": 0.9864, "2025-12": 0.6911, "2026-03": 0.3341, "2026-06": 1.57,
EPS CAGR: -36.09%
EPS Trend: -89.3%
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of IX over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 632721, 2021-12: 626579, 2022-03: 652252, 2022-06: 657813, 2022-09: 707003, 2022-12: 630028, 2023-03: 668815, 2023-06: 676974, 2023-09: 682982, 2023-12: 678125, 2024-03: 776501, 2024-06: 708139, 2024-09: 695494, 2024-12: 750851, 2025-03: 720337, 2025-06: 768641, 2025-09: 795856, 2025-12: 840322, 2026-03: 938857.698, 2026-06: 876628,
Rev. CAGR: 8.58%
Rev. Trend: 94.5%
Last SUE: -0.07
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

Avwap Ph Week

Seasonality 11.6 years of data

Jan +0.1% 7
Feb -2.9% 19
Mar +2.9% 6
Apr -2.1% 30
May +1.7% 31
Jun -4.8% 33
Jul +2.3% 23
Aug +1.4% 14
Sep +2.6% 25
Oct +0.4% 11
Nov +1.4% 14
Dec -1.2% 25

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: IX Orix Ads

ORIX Corporation (NYSE: IX) is a Tokyo-based diversified financial services company that operates across Japan, the United States, Asia, Europe, and Australasia. Originally incorporated in 1950 as Orient Leasing Co., Ltd., the firm adopted its current name in 1989 and trades as a large-cap stock on the NYSE, classified under the Diversified Financial Services sub-industry.

ORIX runs a highly diversified business spanning multiple segments. Corporate Financial Services and Maintenance Leasing covers automobile and equipment leasing and rentals. Real Estate includes property development, rental, management, and asset management. The PE Investment and Concession segment handles private equity and concession operations. Environment and Energy provides ESCO services, recycling and waste management, solar panel sales, and renewable energy generation. Insurance is distributed through agents, banks, and both face-to-face and online channels. Banking and Credit offers consumer finance services, while the Aircraft and Ships segment manages aircraft leasing, ship finance, maritime asset management, and ship brokerage. Geographically, ORIX USA delivers finance, investment, and asset management; ORIX Europe focuses on equity and fixed-income asset management; and the Asia and Australia segment carries out finance and investment activities.

As a Japanese diversified financial, the company combines traditional lending and leasing with operating businesses such as real estate, renewable energy, and aircraft leasing, a structure that gives it both financial and industrial revenue streams across global markets.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • BoJ rate hikes expand net interest margins across lending segments
  • Aircraft leasing profits recover as global air travel rebounds
  • Yen weakness lifts translation of overseas segment earnings
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 4.5
Net Income: 622b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.00 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -6.87 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 91.19% < 20% (prev 191.1%; Δ -99.92% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 1370b > Net Income 622b
Net Debt (5340b) to EBITDA (1279b): 4.18 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.68 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.10b) vs 12m ago -3.08% < -2%
Gross Margin: 35.30% > 18% (prev 42.49%; Δ -7.20% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 19.58% > 50% (prev 17.27%; Δ 2.31% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.49 > 6 (EBIT TTM 872b / Interest Expense TTM 194b)
Altman Z'' 2.50
A: 0.17 (Total Current Assets 7793b - Total Current Liabilities 4646b) / Total Assets 18256b
B: 0.20 (Retained Earnings 3715b / Total Assets 18256b)
C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 872b / Avg Total Assets 17628b)
D: 0.35 (Book Value of Equity 4710b / Total Liabilities 13414b)
Altman-Z'' = 2.50 = A
Beneish M -3.15
DSRI: 0.48 (Receivables 3168b/5621b, Revenue 3452b/2935b)
GMI: 1.20 (GM 42.49% / 35.30%)
AQI: 1.00 (AQ_t 0.52 / AQ_t-1 0.52)
SGI: 1.18 (Revenue 3452b / 2935b)
TATA: -0.04 (NI 622b - CFO 1370b) / TA 18256b)
Beneish M = -3.15 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of IX shares?

As of September 03, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 39.94 with a total of 250,830 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.53%, over one month by -0.08%, over three months by +2.91% and over the past year by +57.02%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 38.90 (which is 2.6% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).

Is IX a buy, sell or hold?

Orix Ads has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.00. Therefore, it is recommended to hold IX.

  • StrongBuy: 0
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 1
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the IX price?
Analysts Target Price 41.4 3.6%
Orix Ads (IX) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 29 August 2026
Market Cap USD = 42.5b (42.5b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
Market Cap JPY = 6810b (42.5b USD * 160.19 USD.JPY)
P/E Trailing = 11.2486
P/E Forward = 14.245
P/S = 0.0122
P/B = 1.4579
P/EG = 2.7166
Revenue TTM = 3452b JPY
EBIT TTM = 872b JPY
EBITDA TTM = 1279b JPY
Long Term Debt = 5726b JPY (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 583b JPY (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 6309b JPY (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 5340b JPY (calculated: Debt 6309b - CCE 969b)
Enterprise Value = 12150b JPY (6810b + Debt 6309b - CCE 969b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.49 (Ebit TTM 872b / Interest Expense TTM 194b)
EV/FCF = 327.2x (Enterprise Value 12150b / FCF TTM 37.1b)
FCF Yield = 0.31% (FCF TTM 37.1b / Enterprise Value 12150b)
FCF Margin = 1.08% (FCF TTM 37.1b / Revenue TTM 3452b)
Net Margin = 18.02% (Net Income TTM 622b / Revenue TTM 3452b)
Gross Margin = 35.30% ((Revenue TTM 3452b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2233b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 44.51% (prev 34.79%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.67 (Enterprise Value 12150b / Total Assets 18256b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.08% (Interest Expense 194b / Debt 6309b)
Taxrate = 33.21% (314b / 944b)
NOPAT = 583b (EBIT 872b * (1 - 33.21%))
Current Ratio = 1.68 (Total Current Assets 7793b / Total Current Liabilities 4646b)
Debt / Equity = 1.34 (Debt 6309b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4710b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.18 (Net Debt 5340b / EBITDA 1279b)
Debt / FCF = 143.8 (Net Debt 5340b / FCF TTM 37.1b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4560b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.53% (Net Income 622b / Total Assets 18256b)
RoE = 13.64% (Net Income TTM 622b / Total Stockholder Equity 4560b)
RoCE = 8.48% (EBIT 872b / Capital Employed (Equity 4560b + L.T.Debt 5726b))
RoIC = 4.16% (NOPAT 583b / Invested Capital 14021b)
WACC = 5.61% (E(6810b)/V(13118b) * Re(8.90%) + D(6309b)/V(13118b) * Rd(3.08%) * (1-Tc(0.33)))
Discount Rate = 8.90% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -95.13 | Cagr: -2.71%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈503b ; Y1≈441b ; Y5≈357b
[DCF] Fair Price = 352.0 (EV 5724b - Net Debt 5340b = Equity 384b / Shares 1.09b; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -89.26 | EPS CAGR: -36.09% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 94.50 | Revenue CAGR: 8.58% | SUE: -0.07 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=0
EPS next Quarter (2026-12-31): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=0
EPS current Year (2027-03-31): EPS=4.90 | Chg30d=+56.06% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=-61.7% | GrowthRev=+379.2%
EPS next Year (2028-03-31): EPS=3.00 | Chg30d=+0.71% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=-38.6% | GrowthRev=+4.4%