JBGS Stock Analysis: JBG SMITH Properties | NYSE

REIT - Diversified | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 1.152m USD | 12M Return: -13.8% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Multifamily, Office, Retail, Mixed-Use
Total Rating 18
Safety 19
Buy Signal -0.48
REIT - Diversified
Industry Rotation: +2.7
Market Cap: 1.15B
Avg Turnover: 8.18M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility31.1%
VaR 5th Pctl5.47%
VaR vs Median6.89%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.48
Rel. Str. IBD14.4
Rel. Str. Peer Group5.8
Character TTM
Beta0.321
Beta Downside0.279
Hurst Exponent0.449
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD40.82%
CAGR/Max DD0.06
CAGR/Mean DD0.16
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of JBGS over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": -0.13, "2021-09": 0.32, "2021-12": -0.45, "2022-03": -0.0006, "2022-06": 1.02, "2022-09": -0.17, "2022-12": -0.17, "2023-03": 0.19, "2023-06": 0.1, "2023-09": -0.58, "2023-12": -0.35, "2024-03": -0.36, "2024-06": -0.27, "2024-09": -0.32, "2024-12": -0.7196, "2025-03": -0.5608, "2025-06": -0.2884, "2025-09": -0.4786, "2025-12": -0.78, "2026-03": -0.3165,
Last SUE: -1.52
Qual. Beats: -2
Revenue Revenue of JBGS over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 154.644, 2021-09: 157.022, 2021-12: 157.407, 2022-03: 161.965, 2022-06: 145.505, 2022-09: 147.614, 2022-12: 150.74, 2023-03: 153.395, 2023-06: 152.605, 2023-09: 149.299, 2023-12: 147.579, 2024-03: 145.184, 2024-06: 135.32, 2024-09: 136.026, 2024-12: 130.782, 2025-03: 120.686, 2025-06: 126.479, 2025-09: 123.87, 2025-12: 127.563, 2026-03: 127.602,
Rev. CAGR: -8.13%
Rev. Trend: -97.2%
Last SUE: 0.55
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

High Debt/EBITDA With Thin Interest Coverage
Interest Coverage Ratio Critical
Beneish M-Score Likely Earnings Manipulation
Altman Z'' In Financial Distress Zone
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 9 years of data

Jan -0.3% 2
Feb -0.7% 16
Mar -0.4% 2
Apr +0.8% 12
May +0.1% 16
Jun -0.3% 11
Jul +7.1% 24
Aug -2.2% 16
Sep -2.1% 33
Oct -3.8% 20
Nov +3.4% 16
Dec -2.1% 15

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: JBGS JBG SMITH Properties

JBG SMITH Properties (NYSE: JBGS) is a diversified real estate investment trust (REIT) that owns, operates, and develops mixed-use properties concentrated in amenity-rich, transit-served submarkets in and around Washington, DC. The companys strategy centers on placemaking-cultivating walkable, amenitized neighborhoods-most notably National Landing, a submarket widely associated with Amazons HQ2 campus in Arlington, VA.

Its portfolio spans multifamily, office, and retail assets, and the company maintains a sizable development pipeline, reflecting the asset-heavy, lease-based revenue model common to REITs. Headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland, JBG SMITH was incorporated in 2016 and trades as a small-cap stock on the NYSE.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Washington DC office demand weakens on federal workforce reductions
  • National Landing development pipeline advances with Amazon anchor tenancy
  • Multifamily same-store NOI growth offsets office segment headwinds
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 2.0
Net Income: -112.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.00 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.23 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 6.42% < 20% (prev 10.19%; Δ -3.76% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.01 > 3% & CFO 63.5m > Net Income -112.0m
Net Debt (2.53b) to EBITDA (184.0m): 13.76 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.11 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (59.1m) vs 12m ago -27.54% < -2%
Gross Margin: 35.04% > 18% (prev 49.55%; Δ -14.51% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 11.15% > 50% (prev 11.05%; Δ 0.10% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -0.07 > 6 (EBIT TTM -9.40m / Interest Expense TTM 128.9m)
Altman Z'' -0.42
A: 0.01 (Total Current Assets 334.3m - Total Current Liabilities 301.8m) / Total Assets 4.34b
B: -0.28 (Retained Earnings -1.20b / Total Assets 4.34b)
C: -0.00 (EBIT TTM -9.40m / Avg Total Assets 4.53b)
D: 0.42 (Book Value of Equity 1.14b / Total Liabilities 2.70b)
Altman-Z'' = -0.42 = B
Beneish M 1.00
DSRI: 1.13 (Receivables 210.8m/193.5m, Revenue 505.5m/522.8m)
GMI: 1.41 (GM 49.55% / 35.04%)
AQI: 15.84 (AQ_t 0.91 / AQ_t-1 0.06)
SGI: 0.97 (Revenue 505.5m / 522.8m)
TATA: -0.04 (NI -112.0m - CFO 63.5m) / TA 4.34b)
Beneish M = 6.23 (Cap -4..+1) = D
What is the price of JBGS shares?

As of July 17, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 15.06 with a total of 570,241 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.58%, over one month by +5.09%, over three months by -2.10% and over the past year by -13.83%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 13.80 (which is 8.4% or 2.9 ATR below the current price).

Is JBGS a buy, sell or hold?

JBG SMITH Properties has received a consensus analysts rating of 2.00. Therefore, it is recommended to sell JBGS.

  • StrongBuy: 0
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 1
  • Sell: 1
  • StrongSell: 1

What are the forecasts/targets for the JBGS price?
Analysts Target Price 15 -0.4%
JBG SMITH Properties (JBGS) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 17 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 1.15b (1.15b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/S = 2.278
P/B = 0.7492
Revenue TTM = 505.5m USD
EBIT TTM = -9.40m USD
EBITDA TTM = 184.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.30b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 230.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.61b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 40.1m
Net Debt = 2.53b USD (calculated: Debt 2.61b - CCE 79.8m)
Enterprise Value = 3.68b USD (1.15b + Debt 2.61b - CCE 79.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -0.07 (Ebit TTM -9.40m / Interest Expense TTM 128.9m)
EV/FCF = 350.4x (Enterprise Value 3.68b / FCF TTM 10.5m)
FCF Yield = 0.29% (FCF TTM 10.5m / Enterprise Value 3.68b)
FCF Margin = 2.08% (FCF TTM 10.5m / Revenue TTM 505.5m)
Net Margin = -22.16% (Net Income TTM -112.0m / Revenue TTM 505.5m)
Gross Margin = 35.04% ((Revenue TTM 505.5m - Cost of Revenue TTM 328.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = -8.83% (prev 48.66%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.85 (Enterprise Value 3.68b / Total Assets 4.34b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.94% (Interest Expense 128.9m / Debt 2.61b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -7.43m (EBIT -9.40m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.11 (Total Current Assets 334.3m / Total Current Liabilities 301.8m)
Debt / Equity = 2.29 (Debt 2.61b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.14b)
Debt / EBITDA = 13.76 (Net Debt 2.53b / EBITDA 184.0m)
Debt / FCF = 240.9 (Net Debt 2.53b / FCF TTM 10.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.20b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -2.47% (Net Income -112.0m / Total Assets 4.34b)
RoE = -9.32% (Net Income TTM -112.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.20b)
RoCE = -0.27% (EBIT -9.40m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.20b + L.T.Debt 2.30b))
 RoIC = -0.18% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -7.43m / Invested Capital 4.24b)
 WACC = 4.88% (E(1.15b)/V(3.76b) * Re(7.11%) + D(2.61b)/V(3.76b) * Rd(4.94%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 7.11% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -96.84 | Cagr: -19.20%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.44% ; FCFF base≈10.5m ; Y1≈10.6m ; Y5≈11.2m
 [DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 173.8m - Net Debt 2.53b = -2.36b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
 EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: -1.52 | # QB: -2
Revenue Correlation: -97.18 | Revenue CAGR: -8.13% | SUE: 0.55 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=0
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=0
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | GrowthEPS=+0.0% | GrowthRev=+4.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | GrowthEPS=+0.0% | GrowthRev=+4.1%