(JBGS) JBG SMITH Properties - Ratings and Ratios
Multifamily, Office, Retail, Mixed-Use, Development
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 4.06% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.76% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | -0.70% |
| Payout Consistency | 93.9% |
| Payout Ratio | 101.1% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 32.9% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 52.3% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -3.21% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.34 |
| Alpha | -1.18 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.03 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.559 |
| Beta | 0.680 |
| Beta Downside | 0.801 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 36.46% |
| Mean DD | 17.43% |
| Median DD | 18.21% |
Description: JBGS JBG SMITH Properties November 15, 2025
JBG SMITH (NYSE: JBGS) is a mixed-use REIT that acquires, operates, and develops properties in Metro-served submarkets around Washington, DC, with a pronounced emphasis on “placemaking” to create walkable, amenity-rich neighborhoods.
About 75 % of its portfolio is concentrated in the National Landing submarket of Northern Virginia, a location anchored by four primary demand catalysts: Amazon’s HQ2 campus, Virginia Tech’s $1 billion Innovation Campus, proximity to the Pentagon, and ongoing public-infrastructure and placemaking projects. The firm’s exposure to these anchors implies that any material shift in Amazon’s or Virginia Tech’s expansion plans would materially affect cash-flow stability.
The current asset base totals roughly 11.8 million sq ft of multifamily, office, and retail space, of which 98 % is Metro-served. JBG SMITH also reports a development pipeline of about 8.7 million sq ft, predominantly multifamily, indicating a pipeline-to-asset ratio of ~0.74, which is higher than the industry median of ~0.5 for comparable REITs.
From publicly available FY-2023 filings, the company posted an occupancy rate of ~96 % in its multifamily holdings and an office vacancy of ~14 % in the DC metro area-both metrics that sit above the national REIT averages (multifamily ~93 %, office ~18 %). At the same time, cap rates for mixed-use assets in the DC market have compressed to roughly 5.5 % (versus a national mixed-use average of ~6.2 %), reflecting strong investor demand but also increasing sensitivity to rising interest rates.
JBG SMITH emphasizes ESG-aligned construction, targeting green, smart, and healthy building standards, which aligns with the broader sector trend where investors are assigning a 5-10 % premium to properties with verified sustainability certifications.
For a deeper quantitative view of JBGS’s valuation metrics and peer comparison, you might explore the data dashboards on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.5
| Net Income (-153.4m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 30.1m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.00 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 2.18pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 14.45% (prev 38.92%; Δ -24.47pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.02 (>3.0%) and CFO 83.1m > Net Income -153.4m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (2.44b) to EBITDA (144.8m) ratio: 16.88 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.30 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (60.6m) change vs 12m ago -28.94% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 49.92% (prev 50.72%; Δ -0.79pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 10.45% (prev 10.88%; Δ -0.43pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -0.18 (EBITDA TTM 144.8m / Interest Expense TTM 317.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -1.23
| (A) 0.02 = (Total Current Assets 311.9m - Total Current Liabilities 239.4m) / Total Assets 4.42b |
| (B) -0.25 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -1.11b / Total Assets 4.42b |
| (C) -0.01 = EBIT TTM -55.7m / Avg Total Assets 4.80b |
| (D) -0.42 = Book Value of Equity -1.11b / Total Liabilities 2.66b |
| Total Rating: -1.23 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 28.48
| 1. Piotroski 2.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 0.11% |
| 3. FCF Margin 0.75% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 2.11 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 16.88 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -5.02)% |
| 7. RoE -10.41% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -89.67% |
| 9. EPS Trend -52.60% |
What is the price of JBGS shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.68%, over one month by -4.00%, over three months by -25.89% and over the past year by +10.68%.
Is JBGS a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 0
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the JBGS price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 18 | 4.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 18 | 4.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 18.2 | 5.3% |
JBGS Fundamental Data Overview December 05, 2025
P/S = 2.3168
P/B = 0.9002
Beta = 1.118
Revenue TTM = 501.8m USD
EBIT TTM = -55.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = 144.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.30b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 160.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.51b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 2.44b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 3.54b USD (1.10b + Debt 2.51b - CCE 64.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -0.18 (Ebit TTM -55.7m / Interest Expense TTM 317.0m)
FCF Yield = 0.11% (FCF TTM 3.76m / Enterprise Value 3.54b)
FCF Margin = 0.75% (FCF TTM 3.76m / Revenue TTM 501.8m)
Net Margin = -30.57% (Net Income TTM -153.4m / Revenue TTM 501.8m)
Gross Margin = 49.92% ((Revenue TTM 501.8m - Cost of Revenue TTM 251.3m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 49.22% (prev 51.70%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.80 (Enterprise Value 3.54b / Total Assets 4.42b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.39% (Interest Expense 34.8m / Debt 2.51b)
Taxrate = -2.72% (negative due to tax credits) (926.0k / -34.1m)
NOPAT = -57.2m (EBIT -55.7m * (1 - -2.72%)) [loss with tax shield] [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 1.30 (Total Current Assets 311.9m / Total Current Liabilities 239.4m)
Debt / Equity = 2.11 (Debt 2.51b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.19b)
Debt / EBITDA = 16.88 (Net Debt 2.44b / EBITDA 144.8m)
Debt / FCF = 650.2 (Net Debt 2.44b / FCF TTM 3.76m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.47b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -3.47% (Net Income -153.4m / Total Assets 4.42b)
RoE = -10.41% (Net Income TTM -153.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.47b)
RoCE = -1.48% (EBIT -55.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.47b + L.T.Debt 2.30b))
RoIC = -1.44% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -57.2m / Invested Capital 3.98b)
WACC = 3.59% (E(1.10b)/V(3.61b) * Re(8.52%) + D(2.51b)/V(3.61b) * Rd(1.39%) * (1-Tc(-0.03)))
Discount Rate = 8.52% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -20.31%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 68.55% ; FCFE base≈3.76m ; Y1≈2.49m ; Y5≈1.16m
Fair Price DCF = 0.35 (DCF Value 21.0m / Shares Outstanding 59.2m; 5y FCF grow -39.33% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -52.60 | EPS CAGR: -2.64% | SUE: 0.04 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -89.67 | Revenue CAGR: -6.19% | SUE: 0.33 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for JBGS Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle