JCI Stock Analysis: Johnson Controls | NYSE
Building Products & Equipment | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 88.345m USD | 12M Return: 33.6% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 741M
EPS Trend: 77.0%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -49.9%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Johnson Controls International plc (JCI) is a global provider of building products and systems, operating across the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia-Pacific. Its offerings span heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC), building management controls, refrigeration, security, fire detection and suppression, and digital solutions, supported by installation, commissioning, retrofitting, and aftermarket services such as inspection, maintenance, and repair.
The company serves a diversified customer base that includes commercial, industrial, institutional, data center, marine, and governmental end markets, as well as residential security customers. Headquartered in Cork, Ireland, and founded in 1885, JCI is classified within the Industrials sector and the Building Products sub-industry, a segment that typically generates a meaningful portion of revenue from recurring service, maintenance, and controls contracts tied to the installed base of equipment.
- Data center cooling demand drives HVAC segment growth
- Service revenue expands on growing installed base
- Building decarbonization regulations boost retrofit demand
| Net Income: 3.53b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -3.26 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 1.58% < 20% (prev -2.01%; Δ 3.59% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.05 > 3% & CFO 1.77b > Net Income 3.53b |
| Net Debt (8.82b) to EBITDA (3.56b): 2.48 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.04 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (613.0m) vs 12m ago -7.26% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 36.56% > 18% (prev 35.99%; Δ 0.58% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 60.54% > 50% (prev 54.87%; Δ 5.66% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 14.38 > 6 (EBIT TTM 2.76b / Interest Expense TTM 192.0m) |
| A: 0.01 (Total Current Assets 11.0b - Total Current Liabilities 10.6b) / Total Assets 38.4b |
| B: 0.0 (Retained Earnings 0.0 / Total Assets 38.4b) |
| C: 0.07 (EBIT TTM 2.76b / Avg Total Assets 40.4b) |
| D: 0.54 (Book Value of Equity 13.5b / Total Liabilities 24.8b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.10 = BB |
| DSRI: 1.07 (Receivables 6.61b/5.86b, Revenue 24.4b/23.2b) |
| GMI: 0.98 (GM 35.99% / 36.56%) |
| AQI: 0.98 (AQ_t 0.66 / AQ_t-1 0.67) |
| SGI: 1.05 (Revenue 24.4b / 23.2b) |
| TATA: 0.05 (NI 3.53b - CFO 1.77b) / TA 38.4b) |
| Beneish M = -2.95 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of July 05, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 140.76 with a total of 5,967,129 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.25%, over one month by -3.95%, over three months by +5.53% and over the past year by +33.62%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 132.90 (which is 5.6% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).
Johnson Controls has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.86. Therefore, it is recommended to buy JCI.
- StrongBuy: 10
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 9
- Sell: 2
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 155.4 | 10.4% |
P/E Trailing = 44.2813
P/E Forward = 24.9377
P/S = 3.6158
P/B = 6.5353
P/EG = 1.9581
Revenue TTM = 24.4b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.76b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.56b USD
Long Term Debt = 8.61b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 910.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 9.52b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 8.82b USD (calculated: Debt 9.52b - CCE 698.0m)
Enterprise Value = 97.2b USD (88.3b + Debt 9.52b - CCE 698.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 14.38 (Ebit TTM 2.76b / Interest Expense TTM 192.0m)
EV/FCF = 69.56x (Enterprise Value 97.2b / FCF TTM 1.40b)
FCF Yield = 1.44% (FCF TTM 1.40b / Enterprise Value 97.2b)
FCF Margin = 5.72% (FCF TTM 1.40b / Revenue TTM 24.4b)
Net Margin = 14.45% (Net Income TTM 3.53b / Revenue TTM 24.4b)
Gross Margin = 36.56% ((Revenue TTM 24.4b - Cost of Revenue TTM 15.5b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 36.83% (prev 35.78%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.53 (Enterprise Value 97.2b / Total Assets 38.4b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.02% (Interest Expense 192.0m / Debt 9.52b)
Taxrate = 17.96% (450.0m / 2.51b)
NOPAT = 2.27b (EBIT 2.76b * (1 - 17.96%))
Current Ratio = 1.04 (Total Current Assets 11.0b / Total Current Liabilities 10.6b)
Debt / Equity = 0.70 (Debt 9.52b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 13.5b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.48 (Net Debt 8.82b / EBITDA 3.56b)
Debt / FCF = 6.32 (Net Debt 8.82b / FCF TTM 1.40b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 13.9b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.75% (Net Income 3.53b / Total Assets 38.4b)
RoE = 25.46% (Net Income TTM 3.53b / Total Stockholder Equity 13.9b)
RoCE = 12.28% (EBIT 2.76b / Capital Employed (Equity 13.9b + L.T.Debt 8.61b))
RoIC = 8.10% (NOPAT 2.27b / Invested Capital 28.0b)
WACC = 9.15% (E(88.3b)/V(97.9b) * Re(9.96%) + D(9.52b)/V(97.9b) * Rd(2.02%) * (1-Tc(0.18)))
Discount Rate = 9.96% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -90.80 | Cagr: -4.44%
[DCF] Terminal Value 70.15% ; FCFF base≈2.01b ; Y1≈1.76b ; Y5≈1.42b
[DCF] Fair Price = 18.59 (EV 20.2b - Net Debt 8.82b = Equity 11.3b / Shares 610.1m; r=9.15% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 76.98 | EPS CAGR: 7.25% | SUE: 0.57 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -49.92 | Revenue CAGR: -2.67% | SUE: 0.05 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.30 | Chg30d=+0.16% | Revisions=+53% | Analysts=16
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=4.89 | Chg30d=+0.30% | Revisions=+87% | GrowthEPS=+30.1% | GrowthRev=+7.1%
EPS next Year (2027-09-30): EPS=5.77 | Chg30d=+1.43% | Revisions=+87% | GrowthEPS=+18.1% | GrowthRev=+7.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +85% (up=53, down=3)