(JCI) Johnson Controls - Overview
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Building Products & Equipment | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 81.386m USD | Total Return: 82.4% in 12m
Industry Rotation: +13.9
Avg Turnover: 441M USD
Peers RS (IBD): 98.2
EPS Trend: -17.5%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -40.1%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Altman Z'' 0.12 < 1.0 - financial distress zone
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Johnson Controls International plc (JCI) designs, manufactures, installs, and services a broad portfolio of building-centric products-including HVAC, fire safety, security, and smart-building technologies-serving commercial, institutional, industrial, data-center, and government customers across North America, EMEA/LA, Asia Pacific, and its Global Products segment.
In its most recent fiscal year (FY 2023), JCI reported revenue of $26.5 billion, a 4 % YoY increase driven by strong demand for energy-efficiency retrofits and digital building solutions; its adjusted EBITDA margin expanded to 11.8 % versus 10.9 % a year earlier, reflecting higher services revenue and cost-control initiatives. The company’s growth is further supported by macro trends such as rising ESG regulations, which are accelerating adoption of low-carbon HVAC systems, and a tightening global labor market that fuels demand for integrated, data-driven facility management platforms.
For a deeper dive into how these dynamics may affect JCI’s valuation, consider exploring ValueRay’s analytical tools.
- Commercial construction spending impacts HVAC and building management system demand
- Global energy efficiency regulations drive demand for sustainable building solutions
- Supply chain disruptions increase manufacturing costs for building products
- Data center expansion fuels demand for specialized cooling and security systems
- Interest rate hikes affect commercial real estate investment and project pipelines
| Net Income: 3.40b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.54 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -7.62% < 20% (prev 0.89%; Δ -8.51% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.04 > 3% & CFO 1.70b > Net Income 3.40b |
| Net Debt (8.59b) to EBITDA (3.35b): 2.56 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.83 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (633.4m) vs 12m ago -6.30% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 36.47% > 18% (prev 0.35%; Δ 3.61k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 59.86% > 50% (prev 55.04%; Δ 4.82% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 13.90 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 3.35b / Interest Expense TTM 181.0m) |
| A: -0.05 (Total Current Assets 8.67b - Total Current Liabilities 10.50b) / Total Assets 37.98b |
| B: 0.01 (Retained Earnings 278.0m / Total Assets 37.98b) |
| C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 2.52b / Avg Total Assets 40.04b) |
| D: -0.01 (Book Value of Equity -347.0m / Total Liabilities 24.75b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 0.12 = B |
| DSRI: 1.07 (Receivables 6.19b/5.61b, Revenue 23.97b/23.17b) |
| GMI: 0.97 (GM 36.47% / 35.48%) |
| AQI: 1.06 (AQ_t 0.72 / AQ_t-1 0.67) |
| SGI: 1.03 (Revenue 23.97b / 23.17b) |
| TATA: 0.04 (NI 3.40b - CFO 1.70b) / TA 37.98b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.89 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.68%, over one month by +6.91%, over three months by +28.36% and over the past year by +82.43%.
- StrongBuy: 9
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 10
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 143.4 | 1.1% |
P/E Forward = 28.0899
P/S = 3.3958
P/B = 6.1638
P/EG = 2.4131
Revenue TTM = 23.97b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.52b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.35b USD
Long Term Debt = 8.70b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 436.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 9.14b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 8.59b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 89.97b USD (81.39b + Debt 9.14b - CCE 552.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 13.90 (Ebit TTM 2.52b / Interest Expense TTM 181.0m)
EV/FCF = 69.32x (Enterprise Value 89.97b / FCF TTM 1.30b)
FCF Yield = 1.44% (FCF TTM 1.30b / Enterprise Value 89.97b)
FCF Margin = 5.42% (FCF TTM 1.30b / Revenue TTM 23.97b)
Net Margin = 14.17% (Net Income TTM 3.40b / Revenue TTM 23.97b)
Gross Margin = 36.47% ((Revenue TTM 23.97b - Cost of Revenue TTM 15.23b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 35.78% (prev 36.49%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.37 (Enterprise Value 89.97b / Total Assets 37.98b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.54% (Interest Expense 49.0m / Debt 9.14b)
Taxrate = 21.47% (152.0m / 708.0m)
NOPAT = 1.98b (EBIT 2.52b * (1 - 21.47%))
Current Ratio = 0.83 (Total Current Assets 8.67b / Total Current Liabilities 10.50b)
Debt / Equity = 0.69 (Debt 9.14b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 13.20b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.56 (Net Debt 8.59b / EBITDA 3.35b)
Debt / FCF = 6.61 (Net Debt 8.59b / FCF TTM 1.30b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 14.44b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.48% (Net Income 3.40b / Total Assets 37.98b)
RoE = 23.52% (Net Income TTM 3.40b / Total Stockholder Equity 14.44b)
RoCE = 10.87% (EBIT 2.52b / Capital Employed (Equity 14.44b + L.T.Debt 8.70b))
RoIC = 8.09% (NOPAT 1.98b / Invested Capital 24.41b)
WACC = 9.29% (E(81.39b)/V(90.52b) * Re(10.29%) + D(9.14b)/V(90.52b) * Rd(0.54%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 10.29% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -2.43%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.87% ; FCFF base≈1.61b ; Y1≈1.83b ; Y5≈2.52b
[DCF] Fair Price = 42.82 (EV 34.79b - Net Debt 8.59b = Equity 26.21b / Shares 612.1m; r=9.29% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.95% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -17.49 | EPS CAGR: -46.94% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -40.10 | Revenue CAGR: -1.34% | SUE: 0.12 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.28 | Chg7d=+0.002 | Chg30d=+0.003 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=18
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=4.75 | Chg7d=+0.004 | Chg30d=+0.004 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+26.4% | Growth Revenue=+6.5%
EPS next Year (2027-09-30): EPS=5.56 | Chg7d=+0.009 | Chg30d=+0.028 | Revisions Net=+3 | Growth EPS=+17.0% | Growth Revenue=+6.5%
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 8.0% (Discount Rate 10.3% - Earnings Yield 2.2%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = -1.9% (Analyst 6.2% - Implied 8.0%)