JCI Stock Analysis: Johnson Controls | NYSE
Building Products & Equipment | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 93.284m USD | 12M Return: 47.9% | IE00BY7QL619 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 471M
EPS Trend: 90.6%
Qual. Beats: 5
Rev. Trend: -38.9%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Johnson Controls International plc (NYSE: JCI) is a global provider of building products and systems, operating across the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia-Pacific. Founded in 1885 and headquartered in Cork, Ireland, the company designs, manufactures, installs, and services HVAC, building management, refrigeration, security, and fire detection/suppression systems, alongside energy solutions and technical services such as inspection, maintenance, and repair. Its customer base spans commercial, institutional, industrial, data center, marine, and governmental end markets.
The company operates within the Industrials sector (Building Products sub-industry) and benefits from long-term secular tailwinds, including rising global demand for energy-efficient buildings, smart building technologies, and stricter regulations around emissions and safety. Johnson Controls business model combines equipment manufacturing with a sizable recurring service and retrofit revenue stream tied to installed equipment across its commercial and institutional customer base, which typically supports more stable cash flow than one-time product sales.
- Data center cooling demand accelerates building solutions backlog growth
- Commercial construction slowdown pressures global products revenue
- Service revenue mix expansion supports margin expansion
| Net Income: 3.58b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.51 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -1.33% < 20% (prev -2.14%; Δ 0.81% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 2.37b > Net Income 3.58b |
| Net Debt (8.83b) to EBITDA (3.75b): 2.36 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.97 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (613.0m) vs 12m ago -6.75% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 36.65% > 18% (prev 36.33%; Δ 0.32% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 60.85% > 50% (prev 53.93%; Δ 6.92% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 14.31 > 6 (EBIT TTM 2.98b / Interest Expense TTM 208.0m) |
| A: -0.01 (Total Current Assets 10.9b - Total Current Liabilities 11.3b) / Total Assets 38.8b |
| B: 0.0 (Retained Earnings 0.0 / Total Assets 38.8b) |
| C: 0.07 (EBIT TTM 2.98b / Avg Total Assets 41.1b) |
| D: 0.53 (Book Value of Equity 13.5b / Total Liabilities 25.2b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.99 = BB |
| DSRI: 1.06 (Receivables 6.97b/6.15b, Revenue 25.0b/23.4b) |
| GMI: 0.99 (GM 36.33% / 36.65%) |
| AQI: 0.99 (AQ_t 0.67 / AQ_t-1 0.67) |
| SGI: 1.07 (Revenue 25.0b / 23.4b) |
| TATA: 0.03 (NI 3.58b - CFO 2.37b) / TA 38.8b) |
| Beneish M = -2.93 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of October 11, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 157.44 with a total of 2,551,423 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.77%, over one month by +8.94%, over three months by +12.35% and over the past year by +47.86%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 152.40 (which is 3.2% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
Johnson Controls has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.95. Therefore, it is recommended to buy JCI.
- StrongBuy: 11
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 2
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 165.8 | 5.3% |
P/E Trailing = 43.5028
P/E Forward = 23.8663
P/S = 3.7321
P/B = 6.5795
P/EG = 1.6737
Revenue TTM = 25.0b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.98b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.75b USD
Long Term Debt = 8.30b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.18b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 9.47b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 8.83b USD (calculated: Debt 9.47b - CCE 641.0m)
Enterprise Value = 102b USD (93.3b + Debt 9.47b - CCE 641.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 14.31 (Ebit TTM 2.98b / Interest Expense TTM 208.0m)
EV/FCF = 51.14x (Enterprise Value 102b / FCF TTM 2.00b)
FCF Yield = 1.96% (FCF TTM 2.00b / Enterprise Value 102b)
FCF Margin = 7.99% (FCF TTM 2.00b / Revenue TTM 25.0b)
Net Margin = 14.32% (Net Income TTM 3.58b / Revenue TTM 25.0b)
Gross Margin = 36.65% ((Revenue TTM 25.0b - Cost of Revenue TTM 15.8b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 37.41% (prev 36.83%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.63 (Enterprise Value 102b / Total Assets 38.8b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.20% (Interest Expense 208.0m / Debt 9.47b)
Taxrate = 19.43% (528.0m / 2.72b)
NOPAT = 2.40b (EBIT 2.98b * (1 - 19.43%))
Current Ratio = 0.97 (Total Current Assets 10.9b / Total Current Liabilities 11.3b)
Debt / Equity = 0.70 (Debt 9.47b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 13.5b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.36 (Net Debt 8.83b / EBITDA 3.75b)
Debt / FCF = 4.42 (Net Debt 8.83b / FCF TTM 2.00b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 13.3b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.71% (Net Income 3.58b / Total Assets 38.8b)
RoE = 26.94% (Net Income TTM 3.58b / Total Stockholder Equity 13.3b)
RoCE = 13.79% (EBIT 2.98b / Capital Employed (Equity 13.3b + L.T.Debt 8.30b))
RoIC = 8.56% (NOPAT 2.40b / Invested Capital 28.0b)
WACC = 9.41% (E(93.3b)/V(103b) * Re(10.19%) + D(9.47b)/V(103b) * Rd(2.20%) * (1-Tc(0.19)))
Discount Rate = 10.19% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -95.66 | Cagr: -4.44%
[DCF] Terminal Value 69.22% ; FCFF base≈2.36b ; Y1≈2.07b ; Y5≈1.67b
[DCF] Fair Price = 23.05 (EV 22.8b - Net Debt 8.83b = Equity 14.0b / Shares 605.7m; r=9.41% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 90.59 | EPS CAGR: 11.14% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 5
Revenue Correlation: -38.93 | Revenue CAGR: -2.07% | SUE: 0.11 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-12-31): EPS=1.13 | Chg30d=+1.25% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=9
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=5.07 | Chg30d=+0.12% | Revisions=+17% | GrowthEPS=+34.8% | GrowthRev=+8.4%
EPS next Year (2027-09-30): EPS=6.10 | Chg30d=+0.84% | Revisions=+38% | GrowthEPS=+20.3% | GrowthRev=+8.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +25% (up=6, down=3)