(JCI) Johnson Controls - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: Ireland • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: IE00BY7QL619

Hvac, Security, Fire, Controls, Refrigeration

Dividends

Dividend Yield 1.31%
Yield on Cost 5y 3.65%
Yield CAGR 5y 9.22%
Payout Consistency 89.2%
Payout Ratio 40.1%
Risk via 10d forecast
Volatility 24.8%
Value at Risk 5%th 38.0%
Relative Tail Risk -6.60%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio 1.10
Alpha 23.50
CAGR/Max DD 0.75
Character TTM
Hurst Exponent 0.416
Beta 1.117
Beta Downside 1.112
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD 30.85%
Mean DD 8.39%
Median DD 6.22%

Description: JCI Johnson Controls December 03, 2025

Johnson Controls International plc (JCI) designs, manufactures, commissions, retrofits, and services a broad portfolio of building-systems products-including HVAC, fire safety, security, and integrated building-management solutions-across North America, EMEA/Latin America, and Asia-Pacific. Its operations are organized into four segments: Building Solutions North America, Building Solutions EMEA/LA, Building Solutions Asia Pacific, and Global Products, serving commercial, institutional, industrial, data-center, and government customers.

Key recent metrics indicate the scale and direction of the business: FY 2023 revenue was approximately $27 billion with an adjusted operating margin of ~9.5%, and the company reported a backlog of roughly $12 billion, reflecting continued demand for energy-efficiency upgrades and smart-building services. Growth drivers include tightening ESG regulations that spur retro-fit spending, the global data-center expansion that raises demand for reliable HVAC and power-management, and rising construction activity in emerging Asian markets, which together underpin a multi-year upside potential for JCI’s integrated solutions.

For a deeper, data-rich assessment of how these trends translate into valuation risk and opportunity, you may find ValueRay’s analytical platform worth a quick look.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5

Net Income (1.72b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.42b TTM)
FCFTA 0.03 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -1.27pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)
NWC/Revenue -3.30% (prev -3.20%; Δ -0.11pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)
CFO/TA 0.04 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.40b <= Net Income 1.72b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)
Net Debt (9.50b) to EBITDA (3.09b) ratio: 3.08 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)
Current Ratio 0.93 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (633.4m) change vs 12m ago -5.19% (target <= -2.0% for YES)
Gross Margin 36.41% (prev 34.84%; Δ 1.58pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)
Asset Turnover 58.53% (prev 56.88%; Δ 1.65pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)
Interest Coverage Ratio 8.75 (EBITDA TTM 3.09b / Interest Expense TTM 254.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 0.78

(A) -0.02 = (Total Current Assets 10.16b - Total Current Liabilities 10.94b) / Total Assets 37.94b
(B) 0.0 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 0.0 / Total Assets 37.94b
(C) 0.06 = EBIT TTM 2.22b / Avg Total Assets 40.32b
(D) 0.52 = Book Value of Equity 12.93b / Total Liabilities 24.98b
Total Rating: 0.78 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 51.55

1. Piotroski 5.50pt
2. FCF Yield 1.16%
3. FCF Margin 4.09%
4. Debt/Equity 0.76
5. Debt/Ebitda 3.08
6. ROIC - WACC (= -2.28)%
7. RoE 11.39%
8. Rev. Trend -18.80%
9. EPS Trend 48.28%

What is the price of JCI shares?

As of December 03, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 115.28 with a total of 3,870,365 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.55%, over one month by +1.86%, over three months by +9.20% and over the past year by +40.06%.

Is JCI a buy, sell or hold?

Johnson Controls has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.96. Therefore, it is recommended to buy JCI.
  • Strong Buy: 9
  • Buy: 4
  • Hold: 10
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the JCI price?

Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 129.1 12%
Analysts Target Price 129.1 12%
ValueRay Target Price 138.6 20.2%

JCI Fundamental Data Overview November 22, 2025

Market Cap USD = 73.94b (73.94b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 42.962
P/E Forward = 25.1256
P/S = 3.1335
P/B = 5.4093
P/EG = 1.4329
Beta = 1.418
Revenue TTM = 23.60b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.22b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.09b USD
Long Term Debt = 8.59b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.29b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 9.88b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 9.50b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 83.44b USD (73.94b + Debt 9.88b - CCE 379.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.75 (Ebit TTM 2.22b / Interest Expense TTM 254.0m)
FCF Yield = 1.16% (FCF TTM 965.0m / Enterprise Value 83.44b)
FCF Margin = 4.09% (FCF TTM 965.0m / Revenue TTM 23.60b)
Net Margin = 7.29% (Net Income TTM 1.72b / Revenue TTM 23.60b)
Gross Margin = 36.41% ((Revenue TTM 23.60b - Cost of Revenue TTM 15.00b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 36.49% (prev 37.11%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.20 (Enterprise Value 83.44b / Total Assets 37.94b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.77% (Interest Expense 76.0m / Debt 9.88b)
Taxrate = 23.94% (85.0m / 355.0m)
NOPAT = 1.69b (EBIT 2.22b * (1 - 23.94%))
Current Ratio = 0.93 (Total Current Assets 10.16b / Total Current Liabilities 10.94b)
Debt / Equity = 0.76 (Debt 9.88b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 12.93b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.08 (Net Debt 9.50b / EBITDA 3.09b)
Debt / FCF = 9.85 (Net Debt 9.50b / FCF TTM 965.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 15.12b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.54% (Net Income 1.72b / Total Assets 37.94b)
RoE = 11.39% (Net Income TTM 1.72b / Total Stockholder Equity 15.12b)
RoCE = 9.38% (EBIT 2.22b / Capital Employed (Equity 15.12b + L.T.Debt 8.59b))
RoIC = 6.72% (NOPAT 1.69b / Invested Capital 25.15b)
WACC = 9.00% (E(73.94b)/V(83.82b) * Re(10.13%) + D(9.88b)/V(83.82b) * Rd(0.77%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 10.13% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -3.42%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 73.22% ; FCFE base≈1.23b ; Y1≈1.40b ; Y5≈1.92b
Fair Price DCF = 38.23 (DCF Value 23.36b / Shares Outstanding 611.1m; 5y FCF grow 15.95% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 48.28 | EPS CAGR: 25.35% | SUE: 2.22 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: -18.80 | Revenue CAGR: 2.55% | SUE: 0.05 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.04 | Chg30d=+0.010 | Revisions Net=+2 | Analysts=18
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=4.59 | Chg30d=+0.187 | Revisions Net=+13 | Growth EPS=+22.0% | Growth Revenue=+5.3%
EPS next Year (2027-09-30): EPS=5.31 | Chg30d=+0.190 | Revisions Net=+9 | Growth EPS=+15.7% | Growth Revenue=+5.5%

Additional Sources for JCI Stock

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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle