JCI Stock Analysis: Johnson Controls | NYSE

Building Products & Equipment | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 79.631m USD | 12M Return: 11.8% | IE00BY7QL619 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

HVAC, Building Management, Security Systems, Fire Suppression
Total Rating 53
Safety 56
Buy Signal -0.20
Building Products & Equipment
Industry Rotation: +8.1
Market Cap: 79.6B
Avg Turnover: 645M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility63.1%
VaR 5th Pctl10.8%
VaR vs Median4.14%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.38
Rel. Str. IBD29.9
Rel. Str. Peer Group59.7 pctl
Character TTM
Beta1.192
Beta Downside1.062
Hurst Exponent0.527
Choppyness71.1%
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD21.13%
CAGR/Max DD1.94
CAGR/Mean DD10.31
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of JCI over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 0.88, "2021-12": 0.54, "2022-03": 0.63, "2022-06": 0.85, "2022-09": 0.99, "2022-12": 0.67, "2023-03": 0.75, "2023-06": 1.03, "2023-09": 1.05, "2023-12": 0.51, "2024-03": 0.78, "2024-06": 1.14, "2024-09": 1.28, "2024-12": 0.64, "2025-03": 0.82, "2025-06": 1.05, "2025-09": 1.26, "2025-12": 0.89, "2026-03": 1.19, "2026-06": 1.42, "2026-09": 1.66,
EPS CAGR: 14.76%
EPS Trend: 93.1%
Last SUE: 3.21
Qual. Beats: 6
Revenue Revenue of JCI over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 6392, 2021-12: 5862, 2022-03: 6098, 2022-06: 6614, 2022-09: 6725, 2022-12: 6068, 2023-03: 6686, 2023-06: 7133, 2023-09: 6906, 2023-12: 5209, 2024-03: 5597, 2024-06: 5898, 2024-09: 6248, 2024-12: 5426, 2025-03: 5676, 2025-06: 6052, 2025-09: 6442, 2025-12: 5797, 2026-03: 6142, 2026-06: 6614, 2026-09: 7113,
Rev. CAGR: 0.64%
Rev. Trend: 14.0%
Last SUE: 0.07
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Altman Z'' In Financial Distress Zone
Below Avwap Earnings
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

Confidence

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan +0.5% 2
Feb +4.2% 8
Mar -2.2% 30
Apr +0.4% 8
May +0.2% 7
Jun +0.7% 5
Jul +2.0% 19
Aug -1.3% 11
Sep -0.3% 7
Oct +0.8% 13
Nov +3.9% 16
Dec -1.3% 0

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: JCI Johnson Controls

Johnson Controls International plc (NYSE: JCI) is a global provider of building products and systems, operating across the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia-Pacific. Founded in 1885 and headquartered in Cork, Ireland, the company designs, manufactures, installs, and services HVAC, building management, refrigeration, security, and fire detection/suppression systems, alongside energy solutions and technical services such as inspection, maintenance, and repair. Its customer base spans commercial, institutional, industrial, data center, marine, and governmental end markets.

The company operates within the Industrials sector (Building Products sub-industry) and benefits from long-term secular tailwinds, including rising global demand for energy-efficient buildings, smart building technologies, and stricter regulations around emissions and safety. Johnson Controls business model combines equipment manufacturing with a sizable recurring service and retrofit revenue stream tied to installed equipment across its commercial and institutional customer base, which typically supports more stable cash flow than one-time product sales.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Data center cooling demand accelerates building solutions backlog growth
  • Commercial construction slowdown pressures global products revenue
  • Service revenue mix expansion supports margin expansion
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 8.0
Net Income: 2.85b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.09 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 6.53 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -11.63% < 20% (prev -3.30%; Δ -8.33% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.10 > 3% & CFO 4.18b > Net Income 2.85b
Net Debt (8.36b) to EBITDA (4.07b): 2.06 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.77 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (611.0m) vs 12m ago -3.54% < -2%
Gross Margin: 37.07% > 18% (prev 36.41%; Δ 0.66% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 65.69% > 50% (prev 62.19%; Δ 3.50% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: error (cannot be calculated; needs correct EBIT TTM and Interest Expense TTM)
Altman Z'' 0.64
A: -0.07 (Total Current Assets 9.93b - Total Current Liabilities 12.9b) / Total Assets 40.2b
B: 0.0 (Retained Earnings 0.0 / Total Assets 40.2b)
C: 0.09 (EBIT TTM 3.41b / Avg Total Assets 39.1b)
D: 0.51 (Book Value of Equity 13.6b / Total Liabilities 26.6b)
Altman-Z'' = 0.64 = B
Beneish M -2.90
DSRI: 1.07 (Receivables 7.32b/6.27b, Revenue 25.7b/23.6b)
GMI: 0.98 (GM 36.41% / 37.07%)
AQI: 1.04 (AQ_t 0.70 / AQ_t-1 0.67)
SGI: 1.09 (Revenue 25.7b / 23.6b)
TATA: -0.03 (NI 2.85b - CFO 4.18b) / TA 40.2b)
Beneish M = -2.90 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of JCI shares?

As of November 08, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 135.03 with a total of 5,852,252 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -9.39%, over one month by -14.95%, over three months by -12.39% and over the past year by +11.79%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 125.20 (which is 7.3% or 1.6 ATR below the current price).

Is JCI a buy, sell or hold?

Johnson Controls has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy JCI.

  • StrongBuy: 11
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 9
  • Sell: 1
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the JCI price?
Analysts Target Price 174.9 29.5%
Johnson Controls (JCI) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 07 November 2026
Market Cap USD = 79.6b (79.6b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 27.8517
P/E Forward = 22.4719
P/S = 3.1026
P/B = 6.2541
P/EG = 1.5779
Revenue TTM = 25.7b USD
EBIT TTM = 3.41b USD
EBITDA TTM = 4.07b USD
Long Term Debt = 8.30b USD (from longTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Short Term Debt = 678.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 8.98b USD (corrected: LT Debt 8.30b + ST Debt 678.0m)
Net Debt = 8.36b USD (calculated: Debt 8.98b - CCE 618.0m)
Enterprise Value = 88.0b USD (79.6b + Debt 8.98b - CCE 618.0m)
 Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM 3.41b / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
 EV/FCF = 24.13x (Enterprise Value 88.0b / FCF TTM 3.65b)
FCF Yield = 4.14% (FCF TTM 3.65b / Enterprise Value 88.0b)
FCF Margin = 14.21% (FCF TTM 3.65b / Revenue TTM 25.7b)
Net Margin = 11.12% (Net Income TTM 2.85b / Revenue TTM 25.7b)
Gross Margin = 37.07% ((Revenue TTM 25.7b - Cost of Revenue TTM 16.2b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 38.03% (prev 37.41%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.19 (Enterprise Value 88.0b / Total Assets 40.2b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.0% (Interest Expense 0.0 / Debt 8.98b)
Taxrate = 15.65% (536.0m / 3.43b)
NOPAT = 2.88b (EBIT 3.41b * (1 - 15.65%))
Current Ratio = 0.77 (Total Current Assets 9.93b / Total Current Liabilities 12.9b)
Debt / Equity = 0.66 (Debt 8.98b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 13.6b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.06 (Net Debt 8.36b / EBITDA 4.07b)
Debt / FCF = 2.29 (Net Debt 8.36b / FCF TTM 3.65b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 13.5b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.30% (Net Income 2.85b / Total Assets 40.2b)
RoE = 21.21% (Net Income TTM 2.85b / Total Stockholder Equity 13.5b)
RoCE = 15.69% (EBIT 3.41b / Capital Employed (Equity 13.5b + L.T.Debt 8.30b))
RoIC = 10.53% (NOPAT 2.88b / Invested Capital 27.3b)
WACC = 8.66% (E(79.6b)/V(88.6b) * Re(9.64%) + D(8.98b)/V(88.6b) * Rd(0.0%) * (1-Tc(0.16)))
Discount Rate = 9.64% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -96.69 | Cagr: -4.58%
[DCF] Terminal Value 76.96% ; FCFF base≈2.57b ; Y1≈2.95b ; Y5≈4.34b
[DCF] Fair Price = 88.46 (EV 61.9b - Net Debt 8.36b = Equity 53.6b / Shares 605.7m; r=8.66% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 93.05 | EPS CAGR: 14.76% | SUE: 3.21 | # QB: 6
Revenue Correlation: 13.97 | Revenue CAGR: 0.64% | SUE: 0.07 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-12-31): EPS=1.19 | Chg30d=+7.09% | Revisions=+67% | Analysts=14
EPS next Quarter (2027-03-31): EPS=1.50 | Chg30d=+3.88% | Revisions=+29% | Analysts=14
EPS current Year (2027-09-30): EPS=6.32 | Chg30d=+3.99% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+22.5% | GrowthRev=+10.4%
EPS next Year (2028-09-30): EPS=7.40 | Chg30d=+3.73% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+17.2% | GrowthRev=+8.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +42% (up=17, down=6)