Overview Dividends

(JCI) Johnson Controls - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: Ireland • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: IE00BY7QL619

Hvac,Controls,Fire,Security,Refrigeration

JCI EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS Growth (3Y CAGR): 25.82%
EPS Trend (3Y Correlation): 39.0%

JCI Revenue

Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR): 2.20%
Revenue Trend (3Y Correlation): -17.2%

Risk via 10d forecast
Volatility	27.2%
Value at Risk 5%th	42.0%
Relative Tail Risk	-6.30%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	1.13
Alpha	26.63

Character TTM
Hurst Exponent	0.210
Beta	1.117
Beta Downside	1.115

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	30.85%
Mean DD	8.37%
Median DD	6.18%

Description: JCI Johnson Controls September 26, 2025

Johnson Controls International plc (NYSE:JCI) is a global engineering and technology firm that designs, manufactures, commissions, and retrofits building-product systems across North America, EMEA/Latin America, Asia-Pacific, and a Global Products segment. Its four operating segments reflect geographic focus rather than product lines, allowing the company to tailor go-to-market strategies to regional regulatory environments and construction cycles.

The company’s portfolio spans HVAC, building-management controls, refrigeration, integrated electronic security, fire detection and suppression, and related services. In addition to hardware, JCI provides data-driven smart-building software, scheduled maintenance, inspection, and repair contracts, targeting commercial, institutional, industrial, data-center, and government customers. This blend of product and recurring-revenue services creates a hybrid business model that can buffer cyclical construction demand with longer-term service contracts.

Key performance indicators from FY 2023 show revenue of approximately $27 billion, an adjusted operating margin of 9.5 %, and a backlog of $7 billion, indicating a solid pipeline for future installations. Growth in the smart-building segment accelerated to a 12 % YoY increase, driven by rising ESG mandates and the need for energy-efficiency reporting in corporate real estate. However, the outlook remains sensitive to construction-sector health, interest-rate trends, and global supply-chain constraints on HVAC components.

For a deeper dive into how JCI’s exposure to ESG-linked building-automation demand compares with peers, you might find ValueRay’s sector-level analytics useful.

JCI Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD	78,657m
Sub-Industry	Building Products
IPO / Inception	1985-03-27
Return 12m vs S&P 500	23.7%
Analyst Rating	3.96 of 5

JCI Dividends

Dividend Yield	1.27%
Yield on Cost 5y	3.70%
Yield CAGR 5y	9.22%
Payout Consistency	93.4%
Payout Ratio	40.1%

JCI Growth Ratios

CAGR 3y	23.84%
CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio	0.77
CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio	2.85
Current Volume	3399.9k
Average Volume	4220.3k

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5

Net Income (1.72b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.42b TTM)

FCFTA 0.03 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -1.27pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue -3.30% (prev -3.20%; Δ -0.11pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.04 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.40b <= Net Income 1.72b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (9.50b) to EBITDA (3.01b) ratio: 3.15 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 0.93 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (633.4m) change vs 12m ago -5.19% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 36.41% (prev 34.84%; Δ 1.58pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 58.53% (prev 56.88%; Δ 1.65pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 8.45 (EBITDA TTM 3.01b / Interest Expense TTM 254.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 0.83

(A) -0.02 = (Total Current Assets 10.16b - Total Current Liabilities 10.94b) / Total Assets 37.94b

(B) 0.02 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 746.0m / Total Assets 37.94b

(D) 0.52 = Book Value of Equity 12.93b / Total Liabilities 24.98b

Total Rating: 0.83 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 50.46

1. Piotroski 5.50pt = 0.50

2. FCF Yield 1.09% = 0.55

3. FCF Margin 4.09% = 1.02

4. Debt/Equity 0.76 = 2.22

5. Debt/Ebitda 3.15 = -1.97

6. ROIC - WACC (= -2.77)% = -3.46

7. RoE 11.39% = 0.95

8. Rev. Trend -17.20% = -1.29

9. EPS Trend 38.97% = 1.95

What is the price of JCI shares?

As of November 16, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 118.72 with a total of 3,399,900 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.89%, over one month by +10.08%, over three months by +13.46% and over the past year by +41.75%.

Is Johnson Controls a good stock to buy?

Neither. Based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, Johnson Controls is currently (November 2025) neither a good nor a bad stock to buy. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 50.46 and therefor a neutral outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of JCI is around 127.74 USD . This means that JCI is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of 7.6%.

Is JCI a buy, sell or hold?

Johnson Controls has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.96. Therefore, it is recommended to buy JCI.

Strong Buy: 9
Buy: 4
Hold: 10
Sell: 0
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the JCI price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	128.9	8.6%
Analysts Target Price	128.9	8.6%
ValueRay Target Price	143.1	20.6%

JCI Fundamental Data Overview November 15, 2025

Market Cap USD = 78.66b (78.66b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 45.7034
P/E Forward = 26.9542
P/S = 3.3335
P/B = 6.2092
P/EG = 1.5361
Beta = 1.418
Revenue TTM = 23.60b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.15b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.01b USD
Long Term Debt = 8.45b USD (from longTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Short Term Debt = 1.29b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 9.88b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 9.50b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 88.16b USD (78.66b + Debt 9.88b - CCE 379.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.45 (Ebit TTM 2.15b / Interest Expense TTM 254.0m)
FCF Yield = 1.09% (FCF TTM 965.0m / Enterprise Value 88.16b)
FCF Margin = 4.09% (FCF TTM 965.0m / Revenue TTM 23.60b)
Net Margin = 7.29% (Net Income TTM 1.72b / Revenue TTM 23.60b)
Gross Margin = 36.41% ((Revenue TTM 23.60b - Cost of Revenue TTM 15.00b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 36.49% (prev 37.11%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.32 (Enterprise Value 88.16b / Total Assets 37.94b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.77% (Interest Expense 76.0m / Debt 9.88b)
Taxrate = 23.94% (85.0m / 355.0m)
NOPAT = 1.63b (EBIT 2.15b * (1 - 23.94%))
Current Ratio = 0.93 (Total Current Assets 10.16b / Total Current Liabilities 10.94b)
Debt / Equity = 0.76 (Debt 9.88b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 12.93b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.15 (Net Debt 9.50b / EBITDA 3.01b)
Debt / FCF = 9.85 (Net Debt 9.50b / FCF TTM 965.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 15.12b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.54% (Net Income 1.72b / Total Assets 37.94b)
RoE = 11.39% (Net Income TTM 1.72b / Total Stockholder Equity 15.12b)
RoCE = 9.11% (EBIT 2.15b / Capital Employed (Equity 15.12b + L.T.Debt 8.45b))
RoIC = 6.30% (NOPAT 1.63b / Invested Capital 25.94b)
WACC = 9.06% (E(78.66b)/V(88.54b) * Re(10.13%) + D(9.88b)/V(88.54b) * Rd(0.77%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 10.13% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -3.42%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 73.22% ; FCFE base≈1.23b ; Y1≈1.40b ; Y5≈1.92b
Fair Price DCF = 35.70 (DCF Value 23.36b / Shares Outstanding 654.4m; 5y FCF grow 15.95% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 38.97 | EPS CAGR: 25.82% | SUE: 2.22 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: -17.20 | Revenue CAGR: 2.20% | SUE: 0.05 | # QB: 0

Additional Sources for JCI Stock

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