(JCI) Johnson Controls - Ratings and Ratios
Hvac,Controls,Fire,Security,Refrigeration
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 27.3% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 41.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -6.69% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.09 |
| Alpha | 24.11 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.381 |
| Beta | 1.121 |
| Beta Downside | 1.115 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 30.85% |
| Mean DD | 8.40% |
| Median DD | 6.24% |
Description: JCI Johnson Controls September 26, 2025
Johnson Controls International plc (NYSE:JCI) is a global engineering and technology firm that designs, manufactures, commissions, and retrofits building-product systems across North America, EMEA/Latin America, Asia-Pacific, and a Global Products segment. Its four operating segments reflect geographic focus rather than product lines, allowing the company to tailor go-to-market strategies to regional regulatory environments and construction cycles.
The company’s portfolio spans HVAC, building-management controls, refrigeration, integrated electronic security, fire detection and suppression, and related services. In addition to hardware, JCI provides data-driven smart-building software, scheduled maintenance, inspection, and repair contracts, targeting commercial, institutional, industrial, data-center, and government customers. This blend of product and recurring-revenue services creates a hybrid business model that can buffer cyclical construction demand with longer-term service contracts.
Key performance indicators from FY 2023 show revenue of approximately $27 billion, an adjusted operating margin of 9.5 %, and a backlog of $7 billion, indicating a solid pipeline for future installations. Growth in the smart-building segment accelerated to a 12 % YoY increase, driven by rising ESG mandates and the need for energy-efficiency reporting in corporate real estate. However, the outlook remains sensitive to construction-sector health, interest-rate trends, and global supply-chain constraints on HVAC components.
For a deeper dive into how JCI’s exposure to ESG-linked building-automation demand compares with peers, you might find ValueRay’s sector-level analytics useful.
JCI Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 73,939m |
| Sub-Industry | Building Products |
| IPO / Inception | 1985-03-27 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 22.3% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.96 of 5 |
JCI Dividends
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.33% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 3.67% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 9.22% |
| Payout Consistency | 89.2% |
| Payout Ratio | 40.1% |
JCI Growth Ratios
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| CAGR 3y | 22.71% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.74 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 2.70 |
| Current Volume | 5120.4k |
| Average Volume | 4320.4k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income (1.72b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.42b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.03 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -1.27pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -3.30% (prev -3.20%; Δ -0.11pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.04 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.40b <= Net Income 1.72b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (9.50b) to EBITDA (3.09b) ratio: 3.08 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.93 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (633.4m) change vs 12m ago -5.19% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 36.41% (prev 34.84%; Δ 1.58pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 58.53% (prev 56.88%; Δ 1.65pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 8.75 (EBITDA TTM 3.09b / Interest Expense TTM 254.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.78
| (A) -0.02 = (Total Current Assets 10.16b - Total Current Liabilities 10.94b) / Total Assets 37.94b |
| (B) 0.0 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 0.0 / Total Assets 37.94b |
| (C) 0.06 = EBIT TTM 2.22b / Avg Total Assets 40.32b |
| (D) 0.52 = Book Value of Equity 12.93b / Total Liabilities 24.98b |
| Total Rating: 0.78 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 51.18
| 1. Piotroski 5.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 1.16% |
| 3. FCF Margin 4.09% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.76 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 3.08 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -2.30)% |
| 7. RoE 11.39% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -17.20% |
| 9. EPS Trend 38.97% |
What is the price of JCI shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.35%, over one month by +2.13%, over three months by +8.80% and over the past year by +37.43%.
Is JCI a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 9
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 10
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the JCI price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 129.1 | 13.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 129.1 | 13.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 135.6 | 19.5% |
JCI Fundamental Data Overview November 22, 2025
P/E Trailing = 42.962
P/E Forward = 25.1256
P/S = 3.1335
P/B = 5.4093
P/EG = 1.4329
Beta = 1.418
Revenue TTM = 23.60b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.22b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.09b USD
Long Term Debt = 8.59b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.29b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 9.88b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 9.50b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 83.44b USD (73.94b + Debt 9.88b - CCE 379.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.75 (Ebit TTM 2.22b / Interest Expense TTM 254.0m)
FCF Yield = 1.16% (FCF TTM 965.0m / Enterprise Value 83.44b)
FCF Margin = 4.09% (FCF TTM 965.0m / Revenue TTM 23.60b)
Net Margin = 7.29% (Net Income TTM 1.72b / Revenue TTM 23.60b)
Gross Margin = 36.41% ((Revenue TTM 23.60b - Cost of Revenue TTM 15.00b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 36.49% (prev 37.11%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.20 (Enterprise Value 83.44b / Total Assets 37.94b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.77% (Interest Expense 76.0m / Debt 9.88b)
Taxrate = 23.94% (85.0m / 355.0m)
NOPAT = 1.69b (EBIT 2.22b * (1 - 23.94%))
Current Ratio = 0.93 (Total Current Assets 10.16b / Total Current Liabilities 10.94b)
Debt / Equity = 0.76 (Debt 9.88b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 12.93b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.08 (Net Debt 9.50b / EBITDA 3.09b)
Debt / FCF = 9.85 (Net Debt 9.50b / FCF TTM 965.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 15.12b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.54% (Net Income 1.72b / Total Assets 37.94b)
RoE = 11.39% (Net Income TTM 1.72b / Total Stockholder Equity 15.12b)
RoCE = 9.38% (EBIT 2.22b / Capital Employed (Equity 15.12b + L.T.Debt 8.59b))
RoIC = 6.72% (NOPAT 1.69b / Invested Capital 25.15b)
WACC = 9.02% (E(73.94b)/V(83.82b) * Re(10.15%) + D(9.88b)/V(83.82b) * Rd(0.77%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 10.15% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -3.42%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 73.15% ; FCFE base≈1.23b ; Y1≈1.40b ; Y5≈1.92b
Fair Price DCF = 38.12 (DCF Value 23.29b / Shares Outstanding 611.1m; 5y FCF grow 15.95% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 38.97 | EPS CAGR: 25.82% | SUE: 2.22 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: -17.20 | Revenue CAGR: 2.20% | SUE: 0.05 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for JCI Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle