JCI Stock Analysis: Johnson Controls | NYSE
Building Products & Equipment | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 87.472m USD | 12M Return: 41.5% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 484M
EPS Trend: 90.6%
Qual. Beats: 5
Rev. Trend: -4.8%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Johnson Controls International plc (JCI) is a global provider of building products and systems, operating across the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia-Pacific. Its offerings span heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC), building management controls, refrigeration, security, fire detection and suppression, and digital solutions, supported by installation, commissioning, retrofitting, and aftermarket services such as inspection, maintenance, and repair.
The company serves a diversified customer base that includes commercial, industrial, institutional, data center, marine, and governmental end markets, as well as residential security customers. Headquartered in Cork, Ireland, and founded in 1885, JCI is classified within the Industrials sector and the Building Products sub-industry, a segment that typically generates a meaningful portion of revenue from recurring service, maintenance, and controls contracts tied to the installed base of equipment.
- Data center cooling demand drives HVAC segment growth
- Service revenue expands on growing installed base
- Building decarbonization regulations boost retrofit demand
| Net Income: 3.58b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.51 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -1.33% < 20% (prev -2.14%; Δ 0.81% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 2.37b > Net Income 3.58b |
| Net Debt (8.52b) to EBITDA (4.25b): 2.01 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.97 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (613.0m) vs 12m ago -6.75% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 36.65% > 18% (prev 36.33%; Δ 0.32% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 60.85% > 50% (prev 53.93%; Δ 6.92% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 20.93 > 6 (EBIT TTM 3.47b / Interest Expense TTM 166.0m) |
| A: -0.01 (Total Current Assets 10.9b - Total Current Liabilities 11.3b) / Total Assets 38.8b |
| B: 0.0 (Retained Earnings 0.0 / Total Assets 38.8b) |
| C: 0.08 (EBIT TTM 3.47b / Avg Total Assets 41.1b) |
| D: 0.53 (Book Value of Equity 13.5b / Total Liabilities 25.2b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.07 = BB |
| DSRI: 1.06 (Receivables 6.97b/6.15b, Revenue 25.0b/23.4b) |
| GMI: 0.99 (GM 36.33% / 36.65%) |
| AQI: 0.99 (AQ_t 0.67 / AQ_t-1 0.67) |
| SGI: 1.07 (Revenue 25.0b / 23.4b) |
| TATA: 0.03 (NI 3.58b - CFO 2.37b) / TA 38.8b) |
| Beneish M = -2.93 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of August 02, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 146.66 with a total of 3,519,408 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.29%, over one month by +0.38%, over three months by +0.71% and over the past year by +41.49%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 133.10 (which is 9.2% or 2.6 ATR below the current price).
Johnson Controls has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.86. Therefore, it is recommended to buy JCI.
- StrongBuy: 10
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 9
- Sell: 2
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 156.4 | 6.6% |
P/E Trailing = 42.8985
P/E Forward = 24.0385
P/S = 3.4869
P/B = 6.3093
P/EG = 1.8853
Revenue TTM = 25.0b USD
EBIT TTM = 3.47b USD
EBITDA TTM = 4.25b USD
Long Term Debt = 8.30b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.18b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 9.16b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 8.52b USD (calculated: Debt 9.16b - CCE 641.0m)
Enterprise Value = 96.0b USD (87.5b + Debt 9.16b - CCE 641.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 20.93 (Ebit TTM 3.47b / Interest Expense TTM 166.0m)
EV/FCF = 48.07x (Enterprise Value 96.0b / FCF TTM 2.00b)
FCF Yield = 2.08% (FCF TTM 2.00b / Enterprise Value 96.0b)
FCF Margin = 7.99% (FCF TTM 2.00b / Revenue TTM 25.0b)
Net Margin = 14.32% (Net Income TTM 3.58b / Revenue TTM 25.0b)
Gross Margin = 36.65% ((Revenue TTM 25.0b - Cost of Revenue TTM 15.8b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 37.41% (prev 36.83%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.48 (Enterprise Value 96.0b / Total Assets 38.8b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.81% (Interest Expense 166.0m / Debt 9.16b)
Taxrate = 19.43% (528.0m / 2.72b)
NOPAT = 2.80b (EBIT 3.47b * (1 - 19.43%))
Current Ratio = 0.97 (Total Current Assets 10.9b / Total Current Liabilities 11.3b)
Debt / Equity = 0.68 (Debt 9.16b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 13.5b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.01 (Net Debt 8.52b / EBITDA 4.25b)
Debt / FCF = 4.27 (Net Debt 8.52b / FCF TTM 2.00b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 13.3b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.71% (Net Income 3.58b / Total Assets 38.8b)
RoE = 26.94% (Net Income TTM 3.58b / Total Stockholder Equity 13.3b)
RoCE = 16.10% (EBIT 3.47b / Capital Employed (Equity 13.3b + L.T.Debt 8.30b))
RoIC = 9.99% (NOPAT 2.80b / Invested Capital 28.0b)
WACC = 9.05% (E(87.5b)/V(96.6b) * Re(9.84%) + D(9.16b)/V(96.6b) * Rd(1.81%) * (1-Tc(0.19)))
Discount Rate = 9.84% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -95.66 | Cagr: -4.44%
[DCF] Terminal Value 70.53% ; FCFF base≈2.36b ; Y1≈2.07b ; Y5≈1.67b
[DCF] Fair Price = 25.42 (EV 24.0b - Net Debt 8.52b = Equity 15.5b / Shares 610.1m; r=9.05% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 90.59 | EPS CAGR: 11.14% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 5
Revenue Correlation: -4.77 | Revenue CAGR: -0.21% | SUE: 0.11 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-12-31): EPS=1.09 | Chg30d=-0.13% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=7
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=4.90 | Chg30d=+0.25% | Revisions=+17% | GrowthEPS=+30.4% | GrowthRev=+7.1%
EPS next Year (2027-09-30): EPS=5.77 | Chg30d=+0.25% | Revisions=+29% | GrowthEPS=+17.7% | GrowthRev=+7.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +25% (up=6, down=3)