JEF Stock Analysis: Jefferies Financial | NYSE

Capital Markets | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 10.702m USD | 12M Return: -3.8% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Investment Banking, Capital Markets, Asset Management, Wealth Management
Total Rating 20
Safety 31
Buy Signal -0.97
Capital Markets
Industry Rotation: -1.3
Market Cap: 10.7B
Avg Turnover: 142M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility56.4%
VaR 5th Pctl9.93%
VaR vs Median6.98%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.03
Rel. Str. IBD35.2
Rel. Str. Peer Group51
Character TTM
Beta1.664
Beta Downside1.670
Hurst Exponent0.510
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD54.39%
CAGR/Max DD0.30
CAGR/Mean DD1.00
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of JEF over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-05": 1.3, "2021-08": 1.5, "2021-11": 1.2, "2022-02": 1.23, "2022-05": 0.45, "2022-08": 1.1, "2022-11": 0.57, "2023-02": 0.55, "2023-05": 0.05, "2023-08": 0.23, "2023-11": 0.3, "2024-02": 0.75, "2024-05": 0.73, "2024-08": 0.87, "2024-11": 1.07, "2025-02": 0.57, "2025-05": 0.4, "2025-08": 1.01, "2025-11": 0.96, "2026-02": 0.7, "2026-05": 1.03,
EPS CAGR: 47.01%
EPS Trend: 84.8%
Last SUE: -0.23
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of JEF over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-05: 2166.329, 2021-08: 2140.594, 2021-11: 2029.372, 2022-02: 1912.815, 2022-05: 1596.446, 2022-08: 1832.101, 2022-11: 1751.389, 2023-02: 1780.564, 2023-05: 1651.182, 2023-08: 2040.915, 2023-11: 1968.738, 2024-02: 2551.942, 2024-05: 2516.296, 2024-08: 2595.589, 2024-11: 2851.242, 2025-02: 2472.864, 2025-05: 2494.315, 2025-08: 2907.674, 2025-11: 2948.824, 2026-02: 2871.265, 2026-05: 3118.197,
Rev. CAGR: 18.49%
Rev. Trend: 94.3%
Last SUE: 0.66
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 10.5 years of data

Jan -1.0% 26
Feb -2.7% 26
Mar -6.7% 59
Apr -0.2% 2
May -0.8% 0
Jun +3.4% 27
Jul +5.1% 36
Aug -1.2% 6
Sep -1.5% 12
Oct -0.7% 19
Nov +9.8% 62
Dec -0.2% 8

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: JEF Jefferies Financial

Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (JEF) is a U.S.-headquartered investment banking and capital markets firm founded in 1962 and based in New York. It operates across the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, and Asia-Pacific through two reporting segments: Investment Banking and Capital Markets, and Asset Management. The company was previously known as Leucadia National Corporation before adopting its current name in May 2018.

Service offerings span M&A and restructuring advisory, debt and equity underwriting, loan syndication, prime brokerage, securities lending, equities sales and trading, wealth management, and online foreign exchange trading. On the asset management side, Jefferies manages alternative investment platforms across multiple strategies and asset classes, and trades products ranging from investment-grade and distressed debt to government securities, municipal bonds, leveraged loans, emerging markets debt, and credit/interest rate derivatives.

Customers include public and private companies, financial sponsors, institutional investors, and government entities. Notably, JEF is classified by GICS as a Multi-Sector Holdings company rather than a pure investment bank, reflecting its origins as a diversified holding company (Leucadia) and its broader portfolio of financial services and alternative asset management businesses beyond traditional advisory and trading revenue.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Investment banking fees driven by M&A and debt underwriting volumes
  • Fixed income trading revenue swings with credit spreads and rates volatility
  • Asset management AUM pressured by equity market corrections and fund performance
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 2.0
Net Income: 898.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.00 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.52 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -29.21% < 20% (prev 258.0%; Δ -287.2% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.00 > 3% & CFO 128.8m > Net Income 898.2m
Net Debt (10.0b) to EBITDA (1.35b): 7.44 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.81 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (222.7m) vs 12m ago 0.37% < -2%
Gross Margin: 58.16% > 18% (prev 59.31%; Δ -1.16% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 16.14% > 50% (prev 15.48%; Δ 0.66% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.32 > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.14b / Interest Expense TTM 3.51b)
Altman Z'' 0.33
A: -0.04 (Total Current Assets 14.3b - Total Current Liabilities 17.8b) / Total Assets 79.5b
B: 0.11 (Retained Earnings 8.57b / Total Assets 79.5b)
C: 0.02 (EBIT TTM 1.14b / Avg Total Assets 73.4b)
D: 0.15 (Book Value of Equity 10.6b / Total Liabilities 68.9b)
Altman-Z'' = 0.33 = B
What is the price of JEF shares?

As of July 09, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 51.10 with a total of 1,097,701 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.24%, over one month by -11.74%, over three months by +17.76% and over the past year by -3.77%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 44.80 (which is 12.3% or 2.6 ATR below the current price).

Is JEF a buy, sell or hold?

Jefferies Financial has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.33. Therefore, it is recommended to hold JEF.

  • StrongBuy: 0
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 2
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the JEF price?
Analysts Target Price 61.3 20%
Jefferies Financial (JEF) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 04 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 10.7b (10.7b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 13.9947
P/E Forward = 14.245
P/S = 1.981
P/B = 0.9833
P/EG = 1.4264
Revenue TTM = 11.8b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.14b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.35b USD
Long Term Debt = 21.4b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 1.77b USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 24.3b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year) + Leases 573.1m
Net Debt = 10.0b USD (calculated: Debt 24.3b - CCE 14.3b)
Enterprise Value = 20.7b USD (10.7b + Debt 24.3b - CCE 14.3b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.32 (Ebit TTM 1.14b / Interest Expense TTM 3.51b)
EV/FCF = -220.5x (Enterprise Value 20.7b / FCF TTM -94.0m)
FCF Yield = -0.45% (FCF TTM -94.0m / Enterprise Value 20.7b)
FCF Margin = -0.79% (FCF TTM -94.0m / Revenue TTM 11.8b)
Net Margin = 7.58% (Net Income TTM 898.2m / Revenue TTM 11.8b)
Gross Margin = 58.16% ((Revenue TTM 11.8b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.96b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 56.30% (prev 56.50%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.26 (Enterprise Value 20.7b / Total Assets 79.5b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 14.41% (Interest Expense 3.51b / Debt 24.3b)
Taxrate = 22.04% (245.3m / 1.11b)
NOPAT = 887.9m (EBIT 1.14b * (1 - 22.04%))
Current Ratio = 0.81 (Total Current Assets 14.3b / Total Current Liabilities 17.8b)
Debt / Equity = 2.29 (Debt 24.3b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 10.6b)
Debt / EBITDA = 7.44 (Net Debt 10.0b / EBITDA 1.35b)
 Debt / FCF = -106.6 (out of range, set to none) (Net Debt 10.0b / FCF TTM -94.0m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 10.6b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.22% (Net Income 898.2m / Total Assets 79.5b)
RoE = 8.51% (Net Income TTM 898.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 10.6b)
RoCE = 3.56% (EBIT 1.14b / Capital Employed (Equity 10.6b + L.T.Debt 21.4b))
RoIC = 1.41% (NOPAT 887.9m / Invested Capital 62.9b)
WACC = 11.42% (E(10.7b)/V(35.0b) * Re(11.84%) + D(24.3b)/V(35.0b) * Rd(14.41%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 11.84% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -16.71 | Cagr: -0.51%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -94.0m)
 EPS Correlation: 84.76 | EPS CAGR: 47.01% | SUE: -0.23 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 94.28 | Revenue CAGR: 18.49% | SUE: 0.66 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-08-31): EPS=0.87 | Chg30d=-10.83% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2026-11-30): EPS=3.56 | Chg30d=+1.03% | Revisions=-50% | GrowthEPS=+23.7% | GrowthRev=+16.1%
EPS next Year (2027-11-30): EPS=4.54 | Chg30d=-0.62% | Revisions=-17% | GrowthEPS=+27.7% | GrowthRev=+8.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -50% (up=1, down=6)