JHX Stock Analysis: James Hardie Industries | NYSE

Building Materials | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 15.008m USD | 12M Return: -1.7% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Fiber Cement, Siding, Decking, Railing
Total Rating 38
Safety 42
Buy Signal 0.10
Building Materials
Industry Rotation: -15.1
Market Cap: 15.0B
Avg Turnover: 165M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility46.4%
VaR 5th Pctl7.16%
VaR vs Median-5.35%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.19
Rel. Str. IBD61.8
Rel. Str. Peer Group90
Character TTM
Beta1.469
Beta Downside1.429
Hurst Exponent0.610
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD60.26%
CAGR/Max DD-0.05
CAGR/Mean DD-0.11
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of JHX over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 0.3011, "2021-09": 0.35, "2021-12": 0.35, "2022-03": 0.3979, "2022-06": 0.35, "2022-09": 0.39, "2022-12": 0.29, "2023-03": 0.33, "2023-06": 0.39, "2023-09": 0.41, "2023-12": 0.41, "2024-03": 0.1279, "2024-06": 0.3571, "2024-09": 0.1935, "2024-12": 0.3265, "2025-03": 0.1, "2025-06": 0.29, "2025-09": 0.26, "2025-12": 0.24, "2026-03": 0.3,
EPS CAGR: -16.65%
EPS Trend: -85.6%
Last SUE: 0.00
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of JHX over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 843.3, 2021-09: 903.2, 2021-12: 900, 2022-03: 968.2, 2022-06: 1000.9, 2022-09: 997.6, 2022-12: 860.8, 2023-03: 917.8, 2023-06: 954.3, 2023-09: 998.8, 2023-12: 978.3, 2024-03: 1004.9, 2024-06: 991.9, 2024-09: 960.8, 2024-12: 953.3, 2025-03: 971.5, 2025-06: 899.9, 2025-09: 1292.2, 2025-12: 1239.8, 2026-03: 1403.9,
Rev. CAGR: 6.55%
Rev. Trend: 76.0%
Last SUE: 0.00
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

P/E Ratio 129.3
Strong Share Dilution

Tailwinds

Idiosyncratic Leader

Seasonality 10.5 years of data

Jan -2.4% 12
Feb -3.0% 12
Mar -0.9% 16
Apr +2.9% 12
May -5.5% 29
Jun +4.4% 29
Jul -0.9% 6
Aug -1.3% 20
Sep -0.5% 21
Oct -0.9% 5
Nov +5.8% 6
Dec -0.3% 8

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: JHX James Hardie Industries

James Hardie Industries plc (NYSE: JHX) is a Dublin-headquartered manufacturer of fiber cement, fiber gypsum, and cement-bonded boards serving residential and commercial construction markets across the United States, Australia, Europe, and New Zealand. Within the GICS Materials sector (Construction Materials sub-industry), the company is best known for popularizing fiber cement technology, a durable exterior cladding material positioned as an alternative to wood, vinyl, and masonry siding.

The business is organized into four reporting segments: Siding & Trim; Deck, Rail & Accessories; Australia & New Zealand; and Europe. The Siding & Trim segment produces fiber cement and PVC exterior products under the Hardie, AZEK Exteriors, and Versatex brands. The Deck, Rail & Accessories segment offers wood-alternative decking, railing, and outdoor living products under TimberTech, ULTRALOX, INTEX, and StruXure, reflecting the companys expansion beyond traditional fiber cement into the broader exterior building products category. The Australia & New Zealand segment is built around the Hardie fiber cement platform for cladding, lining, flooring, eaves, and façade systems, while the Europe segment markets fiber gypsum and cement-bonded boards under the fermacell brand alongside Hardie fiber cement products.

Products reach end customers through specialty building products distributors, lumberyards, and home improvement retailers, serving builders merchants, remodelers, DIY stores, and professional contractors. Founded in 1888, James Hardie generates the majority of its revenue from North American residential demand, with earnings tied to U.S. housing starts, repair-and-remodel activity, and the penetration of fiber cement against legacy cladding materials.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • US housing starts and repair demand drive Siding & Trim volumes
  • AZEK integration expands Deck, Rail & Accessories market share
  • Australia housing downturn pressures ANZ segment revenue
  • Fiber cement input costs and freight weigh on margins
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 3.0
Net Income: 104.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -5.79 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 13.84% < 20% (prev 22.99%; Δ -9.15% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.04 > 3% & CFO 589.1m > Net Income 104.0m
Net Debt (4.49b) to EBITDA (972.5m): 4.62 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.58 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (545.5m) vs 12m ago 26.68% < -2%
Gross Margin: 35.77% > 18% (prev 38.81%; Δ -3.05% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 51.12% > 50% (prev 74.14%; Δ -23.02% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.07 > 6 (EBIT TTM 479.0m / Interest Expense TTM 231.1m)
Altman Z'' 2.03
A: 0.05 (Total Current Assets 1.83b - Total Current Liabilities 1.16b) / Total Assets 13.7b
B: 0.13 (Retained Earnings 1.83b / Total Assets 13.7b)
C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 479.0m / Avg Total Assets 9.46b)
D: 0.88 (Book Value of Equity 6.43b / Total Liabilities 7.26b)
Altman-Z'' = 2.03 = BBB
Beneish M -1.64
DSRI: 1.27 (Receivables 520.8m/328.9m, Revenue 4.84b/3.88b)
GMI: 1.09 (GM 38.81% / 35.77%)
AQI: 2.53 (AQ_t 0.62 / AQ_t-1 0.25)
SGI: 1.25 (Revenue 4.84b / 3.88b)
TATA: -0.04 (NI 104.0m - CFO 589.1m) / TA 13.7b)
Beneish M = -1.64 (Cap -4..+1) = CCC
What is the price of JHX shares?

As of July 27, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 26.54 with a total of 8,365,275 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.79%, over one month by -0.34%, over three months by +19.28% and over the past year by -1.70%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 25.30 (which is 4.7% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).

Is JHX a buy, sell or hold?

James Hardie Industries has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.50. Therefore, it is recommended to buy JHX.

  • StrongBuy: 1
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 0
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the JHX price?
Analysts Target Price 30.2 13.7%
James Hardie Industries (JHX) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 25 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 15.0b (15.0b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 129.3
P/E Forward = 21.5983
P/S = 3.1034
P/B = 2.2381
P/EG = 1.1927
Revenue TTM = 4.84b USD
EBIT TTM = 479.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 972.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 4.49b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 82.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.04b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 250.7m
Net Debt = 4.49b USD (calculated: Debt 5.04b - CCE 542.9m)
Enterprise Value = 19.5b USD (15.0b + Debt 5.04b - CCE 542.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.07 (Ebit TTM 479.0m / Interest Expense TTM 231.1m)
EV/FCF = 96.07x (Enterprise Value 19.5b / FCF TTM 203.0m)
FCF Yield = 1.04% (FCF TTM 203.0m / Enterprise Value 19.5b)
FCF Margin = 4.20% (FCF TTM 203.0m / Revenue TTM 4.84b)
Net Margin = 2.15% (Net Income TTM 104.0m / Revenue TTM 4.84b)
Gross Margin = 35.77% ((Revenue TTM 4.84b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.11b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 37.28% (prev 36.15%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.42 (Enterprise Value 19.5b / Total Assets 13.7b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.59% (Interest Expense 231.1m / Debt 5.04b)
Taxrate = 49.69% (102.7m / 206.7m)
NOPAT = 241.0m (EBIT 479.0m * (1 - 49.69%))
Current Ratio = 1.58 (Total Current Assets 1.83b / Total Current Liabilities 1.16b)
Debt / Equity = 0.78 (Debt 5.04b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 6.43b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.62 (Net Debt 4.49b / EBITDA 972.5m)
Debt / FCF = 22.14 (Net Debt 4.49b / FCF TTM 203.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 5.35b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.10% (Net Income 104.0m / Total Assets 13.7b)
RoE = 1.94% (Net Income TTM 104.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 5.35b)
RoCE = 4.87% (EBIT 479.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 5.35b + L.T.Debt 4.49b))
RoIC = 1.95% (NOPAT 241.0m / Invested Capital 12.4b)
WACC = 8.93% (E(15.0b)/V(20.0b) * Re(11.15%) + D(5.04b)/V(20.0b) * Rd(4.59%) * (1-Tc(0.50)))
Discount Rate = 11.15% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 74.66 | Cagr: 10.21%
[DCF] Terminal Value 70.96% ; FCFF base≈274.0m ; Y1≈240.3m ; Y5≈194.2m
 [DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 2.84b - Net Debt 4.49b = -1.65b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
 EPS Correlation: -85.60 | EPS CAGR: -16.65% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 76.05 | Revenue CAGR: 6.55% | SUE: -0.00 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.29 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=3
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.29 | Chg30d=-3.34% | Revisions=-40% | Analysts=3
EPS current Year (2027-03-31): EPS=1.33 | Chg30d=-2.15% | Revisions=-50% | GrowthEPS=+21.8% | GrowthRev=+11.3%
EPS next Year (2028-03-31): EPS=1.65 | Chg30d=-3.90% | Revisions=-40% | GrowthEPS=+24.2% | GrowthRev=+7.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -58% (up=1, down=8)