(JOBY) Joby Aviation - Ratings and Ratios
Aircraft, App, Ridesharing
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 70.6% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 99.1% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -14.63% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.10 |
| Alpha | 50.00 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.06 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.475 |
| Beta | 1.916 |
| Beta Downside | 1.261 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 57.53% |
| Mean DD | 30.99% |
| Median DD | 33.96% |
Description: JOBY Joby Aviation November 03, 2025
Joby Aviation (NYSE: JOBY) is a vertically integrated air-mobility firm that designs, manufactures, and plans to operate electric vertical take-off and landing (eVTOL) aircraft for on-demand aerial ridesharing in the United States and Dubai. Founded in 2009 and based in Santa Cruz, California, the company is also developing a consumer-facing app to book trips, positioning itself as both an OEM and a service provider.
Key industry metrics that shape Joby’s outlook include the rapidly expanding eVTOL market, which Bloomberg estimates will reach $1.5 trillion in cumulative revenue by 2035, and the firm’s recent progress toward FAA certification-its prototype completed a 30-minute endurance test in early 2024, a prerequisite for commercial ops. Financially, Joby reported a cash runway of roughly $1.2 billion after its 2023 $1 billion equity raise, while its projected unit cost per aircraft is targeted at $1.5 million, aiming for a breakeven cost per seat-mile competitive with regional airlines.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of Joby’s valuation assumptions and scenario modeling, you may find the analytical tools on ValueRay worth exploring.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 0.0
| Net Income (-1.05b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.36m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.39 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 5.76pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 4168 % (prev 62.2k%; Δ -58.0kpp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA -0.35 (>3.0%) and CFO -478.2m > Net Income -1.05b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 13.61 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (844.6m) change vs 12m ago 21.52% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 12.36% (prev 77.99%; Δ -65.63pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 1.94% (prev 0.12%; Δ 1.83pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -65.12 (EBITDA TTM -1.00b / Interest Expense TTM 16.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -13.77
| (A) 0.69 = (Total Current Assets 1.02b - Total Current Liabilities 74.9m) / Total Assets 1.37b |
| (B) -1.95 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -2.66b / Total Assets 1.37b |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: -1.95 — check mapping/units |
| (C) -0.89 = EBIT TTM -1.04b / Avg Total Assets 1.17b |
| (D) -5.67 = Book Value of Equity -2.66b / Total Liabilities 469.9m |
| Total Rating: -13.77 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 46.17
| 1. Piotroski 0.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -4.04% |
| 3. FCF Margin data missing |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.05 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.16 |
| 7. RoE -118.3% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 43.09% |
| 9. EPS Trend -50.34% |
What is the price of JOBY shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.69%, over one month by -8.90%, over three months by +6.07% and over the past year by +94.63%.
Is JOBY a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 2
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the JOBY price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 12.1 | -18.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 12.1 | -18.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 17 | 14.7% |
JOBY Fundamental Data Overview December 10, 2025
P/S = 624.5256
P/B = 15.521
Beta = 2.536
Revenue TTM = 22.6m USD
EBIT TTM = -1.04b USD
EBITDA TTM = -1.00b USD
Long Term Debt = 45.6m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 10.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 45.6m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -163.1m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 13.21b USD (14.14b + Debt 45.6m - CCE 978.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -65.12 (Ebit TTM -1.04b / Interest Expense TTM 16.0m)
FCF Yield = -4.04% (FCF TTM -533.7m / Enterprise Value 13.21b)
FCF Margin = -2357 % (FCF TTM -533.7m / Revenue TTM 22.6m)
Net Margin = -4657 % (Net Income TTM -1.05b / Revenue TTM 22.6m)
Gross Margin = 12.36% ((Revenue TTM 22.6m - Cost of Revenue TTM 19.8m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 55.44% (prev -9999 %)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 9.67 (Enterprise Value 13.21b / Total Assets 1.37b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 29.92% (Interest Expense 13.6m / Debt 45.6m)
Taxrate = -0.02% (negative due to tax credits) (83.0k / -401.1m)
NOPAT = -1.04b (EBIT -1.04b * (1 - -0.02%)) [loss with tax shield] [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 13.61 (Total Current Assets 1.02b / Total Current Liabilities 74.9m)
Debt / Equity = 0.05 (Debt 45.6m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 896.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.16 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -163.1m / EBITDA -1.00b)
Debt / FCF = 0.31 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -163.1m / FCF TTM -533.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 891.6m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -77.18% (Net Income -1.05b / Total Assets 1.37b)
RoE = -118.3% (Net Income TTM -1.05b / Total Stockholder Equity 891.6m)
RoCE = -110.8% (out of range, set to none) (EBIT -1.04b / Capital Employed (Equity 891.6m + L.T.Debt 45.6m))
RoIC = -116.5% (out of range, set to none) (NOPAT -1.04b / Invested Capital 891.6m)
WACC = 13.13% (E(14.14b)/V(14.19b) * Re(13.08%) + D(45.6m)/V(14.19b) * Rd(29.92%) * (1-Tc(-0.00)))
Discount Rate = 13.08% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 9.98%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -533.7m)
EPS Correlation: -50.34 | EPS CAGR: -14.63% | SUE: -0.06 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 43.09 | Revenue CAGR: 89.54% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.16 | Chg30d=-0.109 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=4
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.76 | Chg30d=-0.125 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+3.8% | Growth Revenue=+183.4%
Additional Sources for JOBY Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle