(KAR) KAR Auction - Ratings and Ratios
Digital Marketplace, Vehicle Auction, Floorplan Financing
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 27.5% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 41.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -8.84% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.01 |
| Alpha | 26.12 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.38 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.527 |
| Beta | 0.846 |
| Beta Downside | 0.831 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 21.21% |
| Mean DD | 6.87% |
| Median DD | 6.04% |
Description: KAR KAR Auction November 09, 2025
OPENLANE, Inc. (formerly KAR Auction Services) runs a digital marketplace for used vehicles across North America and Europe, offering end-to-end services such as logistics, reconditioning, inspection, titling, and collateral recovery. The business is split into a Marketplace segment that sells these services to fleet operators, lenders, rental firms, dealers and OEMs, and a Finance segment that provides short-term floorplan financing secured by dealer inventory.
Key metrics from the most recent filings show FY 2023 revenue of roughly $1.1 billion, with the Marketplace segment contributing about 65 % and the Finance segment the remainder. The company’s floorplan loan book grew ~12 % YoY, reflecting continued dealer demand for inventory financing despite higher interest-rate environments. Used-vehicle transaction volumes in the U.S. are projected to rise 3-4 % annually through 2026, driven by longer vehicle lifespans and a shift toward online buying-a macro trend that underpins OPENLANE’s growth outlook.
Given the firm’s exposure to both the broader used-car market and dealer financing cycles, analysts should monitor dealer inventory levels, credit-quality trends in floorplan loans, and the competitive dynamics of digital vehicle marketplaces before forming a valuation thesis.
For a deeper, data-driven dive into OPENLANE’s valuation assumptions and scenario analysis, you may find the ValueRay research platform useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0
| Net Income (170.5m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 115.9m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.05 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.20pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 22.18% (prev 11.64%; Δ 10.53pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 (>3.0%) and CFO 298.7m > Net Income 170.5m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (1.74b) to EBITDA (266.6m) ratio: 6.53 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.16 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (108.3m) change vs 12m ago -0.64% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 38.73% (prev 42.74%; Δ -4.01pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 40.93% (prev 37.04%; Δ 3.89pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 1.38 (EBITDA TTM 266.6m / Interest Expense TTM 126.9m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.63
| (A) 0.09 = (Total Current Assets 3.11b - Total Current Liabilities 2.68b) / Total Assets 4.82b |
| (B) 0.16 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 774.7m / Total Assets 4.82b |
| (C) 0.04 = EBIT TTM 175.2m / Avg Total Assets 4.72b |
| (D) 0.26 = Book Value of Equity 730.3m / Total Liabilities 2.78b |
| Total Rating: 1.63 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 66.63
| 1. Piotroski 3.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 5.33% |
| 3. FCF Margin 12.63% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.93 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 6.53 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 3.95)% |
| 7. RoE 11.05% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 47.20% |
| 9. EPS Trend 76.57% |
What is the price of KAR shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +9.60%, over one month by +12.44%, over three months by -0.80% and over the past year by +38.34%.
Is KAR a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 2
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the KAR price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 31.8 | 11% |
| Analysts Target Price | 31.8 | 11% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 33.5 | 16.8% |
KAR Fundamental Data Overview December 10, 2025
P/E Trailing = 30.3793
P/E Forward = 22.3714
P/S = 1.4825
P/B = 1.9471
P/EG = 1.34
Beta = 1.254
Revenue TTM = 1.93b USD
EBIT TTM = 175.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 266.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 54.8m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.83b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.89b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.74b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 4.58b USD (2.81b + Debt 1.89b - CCE 119.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.38 (Ebit TTM 175.2m / Interest Expense TTM 126.9m)
FCF Yield = 5.33% (FCF TTM 244.0m / Enterprise Value 4.58b)
FCF Margin = 12.63% (FCF TTM 244.0m / Revenue TTM 1.93b)
Net Margin = 8.82% (Net Income TTM 170.5m / Revenue TTM 1.93b)
Gross Margin = 38.73% ((Revenue TTM 1.93b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.18b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 41.23% (prev 41.60%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.95 (Enterprise Value 4.58b / Total Assets 4.82b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.55% (Interest Expense 29.2m / Debt 1.89b)
Taxrate = 14.62% (8.20m / 56.1m)
NOPAT = 149.6m (EBIT 175.2m * (1 - 14.62%))
Current Ratio = 1.16 (Total Current Assets 3.11b / Total Current Liabilities 2.68b)
Debt / Equity = 0.93 (Debt 1.89b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.04b)
Debt / EBITDA = 6.53 (Net Debt 1.74b / EBITDA 266.6m)
Debt / FCF = 7.14 (Net Debt 1.74b / FCF TTM 244.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.54b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.54% (Net Income 170.5m / Total Assets 4.82b)
RoE = 11.05% (Net Income TTM 170.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.54b)
RoCE = 10.97% (EBIT 175.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.54b + L.T.Debt 54.8m))
RoIC = 9.94% (NOPAT 149.6m / Invested Capital 1.51b)
WACC = 5.99% (E(2.81b)/V(4.70b) * Re(9.13%) + D(1.89b)/V(4.70b) * Rd(1.55%) * (1-Tc(0.15)))
Discount Rate = 9.13% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.32%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 65.70% ; FCFE base≈236.5m ; Y1≈155.3m ; Y5≈71.0m
Fair Price DCF = 11.04 (DCF Value 1.17b / Shares Outstanding 106.3m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 76.57 | EPS CAGR: 36.16% | SUE: 1.68 | # QB: 3
Revenue Correlation: 47.20 | Revenue CAGR: -2.56% | SUE: 1.17 | # QB: 2
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.32 | Chg30d=+0.013 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=4
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.43 | Chg30d=+0.139 | Revisions Net=+5 | Growth EPS=+14.4% | Growth Revenue=+5.3%
Additional Sources for KAR Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle