(KEY) KeyCorp - Ratings and Ratios
Deposits, Loans, Mortgages, Credit Cards, Wealth Management
KEY EPS (Earnings per Share)
KEY Revenue
Description: KEY KeyCorp October 16, 2025
KeyCorp (NYSE: KEY) is the holding company for KeyBank National Association, delivering a broad suite of retail and commercial banking services across the United States. The firm operates through two primary segments-Consumer Bank and Commercial Bank-offering deposit and investment products, consumer and business lending, mortgage and home-equity financing, credit cards, treasury and cash-management solutions, as well as wealth-management and institutional advisory services.
Recent performance metrics (as of Q3 2024) show a net interest margin of 3.15 % (up 5 bps YoY), loan growth of 4.2 % year-over-year, and a deposit base expanding by 3.8 % YoY, supporting a return on equity (ROE) of 11.2 %. The bank’s loan-to-deposit ratio sits near 78 %, indicating a balanced funding profile.
Key economic and sector drivers include the Federal Reserve’s policy stance on interest rates, which directly impacts net interest income, and regional-bank credit-quality trends that influence loan loss provisions. Additionally, the ongoing shift toward digital banking and fintech partnerships is reshaping fee-based revenue streams for regional banks like KEY.
For a deeper quantitative dive, the ValueRay platform provides granular metrics that can help you assess KEY’s valuation relative to peers.
KEY Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 19,577m |
| Sub-Industry | Regional Banks |
| IPO / Inception | 1987-11-05 |
KEY Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 9.11% |
| Fundamental | 47.8% |
| Dividend Rating | 62.7% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -19.6% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.88 of 5 |
KEY Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 4.66% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 6.86% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 2.60% |
| Payout Consistency | 93.7% |
| Payout Ratio | 82.0% |
KEY Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | -54.5% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | 29% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | -7.4% |
| CAGR 5y | 2.25% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) | 0.04 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) | 0.11 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | 0.25 |
| Alpha | -12.83 |
| Beta | 1.131 |
| Volatility | 30.49% |
| Current Volume | 23023.9k |
| Average Volume 20d | 20070k |
| Stop Loss | 17 (-3.4%) |
| Signal | -0.36 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 1.0
| Net Income (240.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 556.2m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.01 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.06pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -1466 % (prev -1125 %; Δ -340.4pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.01 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.62b > Net Income 240.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (10.33b) to EBITDA (225.0m) ratio: 45.90 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.11 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (1.10b) change vs 12m ago 17.30% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 50.55% (prev 52.75%; Δ -2.20pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 4.95% (prev 5.64%; Δ -0.70pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 0.03 (EBITDA TTM 225.0m / Interest Expense TTM 4.22b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -4.40
| (A) -0.72 = (Total Current Assets 16.24b - Total Current Liabilities 152.11b) / Total Assets 187.41b |
| (B) 0.08 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 15.11b / Total Assets 187.41b |
| (C) 0.00 = EBIT TTM 135.0m / Avg Total Assets 187.43b |
| (D) 0.08 = Book Value of Equity 14.22b / Total Liabilities 167.31b |
| Total Rating: -4.40 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 47.79
| 1. Piotroski 1.0pt = -4.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 9.89% = 4.95 |
| 3. FCF Margin 16.65% = 4.16 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.61 = 2.32 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 45.90 = -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -8.33)% = -10.41 |
| 7. RoE 1.29% = 0.11 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 44.14% = 3.31 |
| 9. EPS Trend -2.85% = -0.14 |
What is the price of KEY shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.46%, over one month by -5.12%, over three months by +1.67% and over the past year by -7.69%.
Is KeyCorp a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of KEY is around 16.41 USD . This means that KEY is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -6.71%.
Is KEY a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 8
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 11
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the KEY price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 21.5 | 22.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 21.5 | 22.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 18.3 | 4.2% |
KEY Fundamental Data Overview October 30, 2025
P/E Trailing = 21.9875
P/E Forward = 10.3734
P/S = 3.2991
P/B = 1.1912
P/EG = 0.6651
Beta = 1.131
Revenue TTM = 9.27b USD
EBIT TTM = 135.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 225.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 12.06b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.35b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 12.27b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 10.33b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 15.60b USD (19.58b + Debt 12.27b - CCE 16.24b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.03 (Ebit TTM 135.0m / Interest Expense TTM 4.22b)
FCF Yield = 9.89% (FCF TTM 1.54b / Enterprise Value 15.60b)
FCF Margin = 16.65% (FCF TTM 1.54b / Revenue TTM 9.27b)
Net Margin = 2.59% (Net Income TTM 240.0m / Revenue TTM 9.27b)
Gross Margin = 50.55% ((Revenue TTM 9.27b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.58b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 62.80% (prev 59.53%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.08 (Enterprise Value 15.60b / Total Assets 187.41b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 7.72% (Interest Expense 947.0m / Debt 12.27b)
Taxrate = 18.60% (112.0m / 602.0m)
NOPAT = 109.9m (EBIT 135.0m * (1 - 18.60%))
Current Ratio = 0.11 (Total Current Assets 16.24b / Total Current Liabilities 152.11b)
Debt / Equity = 0.61 (Debt 12.27b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 20.10b)
Debt / EBITDA = 45.90 (Net Debt 10.33b / EBITDA 225.0m)
Debt / FCF = 6.69 (Net Debt 10.33b / FCF TTM 1.54b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 18.53b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.13% (Net Income 240.0m / Total Assets 187.41b)
RoE = 1.29% (Net Income TTM 240.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 18.53b)
RoCE = 0.44% (EBIT 135.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 18.53b + L.T.Debt 12.06b))
RoIC = 0.35% (NOPAT 109.9m / Invested Capital 31.33b)
WACC = 8.68% (E(19.58b)/V(31.84b) * Re(10.18%) + D(12.27b)/V(31.84b) * Rd(7.72%) * (1-Tc(0.19)))
Discount Rate = 10.18% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 9.06%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 66.87% ; FCFE base≈1.59b ; Y1≈1.30b ; Y5≈928.4m
Fair Price DCF = 11.02 (DCF Value 12.27b / Shares Outstanding 1.11b; 5y FCF grow -21.64% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -2.85 | EPS CAGR: 2.80% | SUE: 0.12 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 44.14 | Revenue CAGR: 16.10% | SUE: 0.90 | # QB: 1
Additional Sources for KEY Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle