KGC Stock Analysis: Kinross Gold | NYSE
Gold | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 28.019m USD | 12M Return: 45.2% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 176M
EPS Trend: 97.9%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 98.5%
Qual. Beats: -2
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Kinross Gold Corporation (NYSE: KGC) is a Canadian-based mining company engaged in the acquisition, exploration, development, extraction, and processing of gold-containing ores, with operations spanning the United States, Brazil, Chile, Canada, and Mauritania. The company also produces and sells silver as a byproduct and handles reclamation of its mining properties.
Founded in 1993 and headquartered in Toronto, Kinross has been listed on the NYSE since October 1994 and is classified as a large-cap stock within the Materials sector. As a gold producer, the companys revenue is primarily driven by the volume of gold it mines and the prevailing market price of gold, exposing it to commodity price volatility and currency fluctuations across its geographically diverse operations.
- Gold price rally lifts revenue and free cash flow
- Tasiast expansion drives production growth and lower costs
- Local currency weakness pressures Brazilian and Chilean margins
| Net Income: 3.15b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.23 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 5.42 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 33.03% < 20% (prev 27.75%; Δ 5.28% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.33 > 3% & CFO 4.47b > Net Income 3.15b |
| Net Debt (-1.92b) to EBITDA (5.58b): -0.34 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.89 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.19b) vs 12m ago -2.93% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 53.62% > 18% (prev 45.32%; Δ 8.31% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 66.95% > 50% (prev 52.87%; Δ 14.08% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 81.61 > 6 (EBIT TTM 4.44b / Interest Expense TTM 54.4m) |
| A: 0.20 (Total Current Assets 4.24b - Total Current Liabilities 1.46b) / Total Assets 13.6b |
| B: -0.32 (Retained Earnings -4.35b / Total Assets 13.6b) |
| C: 0.35 (EBIT TTM 4.44b / Avg Total Assets 12.5b) |
| D: 2.53 (Book Value of Equity 9.64b / Total Liabilities 3.82b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 5.33 = AAA |
| DSRI: 3.0 (Receivables 129.9m/28.6m, Revenue 8.39b/6.07b) |
| GMI: 0.85 (GM 45.32% / 53.62%) |
| AQI: 0.85 (AQ_t 0.06 / AQ_t-1 0.07) |
| SGI: 1.38 (Revenue 8.39b / 6.07b) |
| TATA: -0.10 (NI 3.15b - CFO 4.47b) / TA 13.6b) |
| Beneish M = -1.35 (Cap -4..+1) = D |
As of August 02, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 23.10 with a total of 5,080,839 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.14%, over one month by -2.20%, over three months by -23.50% and over the past year by +45.18%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 21.60 (which is 6.5% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).
Kinross Gold has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.33. Therefore, it is recommended to buy KGC.
- StrongBuy: 10
- Buy: 6
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 36 | 55.9% |
P/E Trailing = 8.8134
P/E Forward = 8.4602
P/S = 3.5194
P/B = 2.8711
P/EG = 1.1159
Revenue TTM = 8.39b USD
EBIT TTM = 4.44b USD
EBITDA TTM = 5.58b USD
Long Term Debt = 738.8m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
Debt = 753.8m USD (corrected: LT Debt 738.8m + ST Debt none) + Leases 15.0m
Net Debt = -1.92b USD (calculated: Debt 753.8m - CCE 2.67b)
Enterprise Value = 26.1b USD (28.0b + Debt 753.8m - CCE 2.67b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 81.61 (Ebit TTM 4.44b / Interest Expense TTM 54.4m)
EV/FCF = 8.44x (Enterprise Value 26.1b / FCF TTM 3.09b)
FCF Yield = 11.85% (FCF TTM 3.09b / Enterprise Value 26.1b)
FCF Margin = 36.86% (FCF TTM 3.09b / Revenue TTM 8.39b)
Net Margin = 37.57% (Net Income TTM 3.15b / Revenue TTM 8.39b)
Gross Margin = 53.62% ((Revenue TTM 8.39b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.89b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 55.27% (prev 57.79%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.92 (Enterprise Value 26.1b / Total Assets 13.6b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 7.22% (Interest Expense 54.4m / Debt 753.8m)
Taxrate = 27.21% (1.20b / 4.40b)
NOPAT = 3.23b (EBIT 4.44b * (1 - 27.21%))
Current Ratio = 2.89 (Total Current Assets 4.24b / Total Current Liabilities 1.46b)
Debt / Equity = 0.08 (Debt 753.8m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 9.64b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.34 (Net Debt -1.92b / EBITDA 5.58b)
Debt / FCF = -0.62 (Net Debt -1.92b / FCF TTM 3.09b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 8.82b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 25.15% (Net Income 3.15b / Total Assets 13.6b)
RoE = 35.75% (Net Income TTM 3.15b / Total Stockholder Equity 8.82b)
RoCE = 46.45% (EBIT 4.44b / Capital Employed (Equity 8.82b + L.T.Debt 738.8m))
RoIC = 27.63% (NOPAT 3.23b / Invested Capital 11.7b)
WACC = 8.22% (E(28.0b)/V(28.8b) * Re(8.30%) + D(753.8m)/V(28.8b) * Rd(7.22%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 8.30% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -92.37 | Cagr: -1.63%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈2.65b ; Y1≈3.04b ; Y5≈4.48b
[DCF] Fair Price = 58.41 (EV 67.4b - Net Debt -1.92b = Equity 69.3b / Shares 1.19b; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 97.90 | EPS CAGR: 106.2% | SUE: 0.81 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 98.47 | Revenue CAGR: 30.61% | SUE: -1.41 | # QB: -2
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.64 | Chg30d=-24.17% | Revisions=-29% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.80 | Chg30d=-9.40% | Revisions=-50% | GrowthEPS=+51.9% | GrowthRev=+31.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.92 | Chg30d=-14.84% | Revisions=-50% | GrowthEPS=+4.3% | GrowthRev=+2.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -62% (up=1, down=9)