(KGC) Kinross Gold - Ratings and Ratios
Gold, Silver, Mining, Production, Exploration
KGC EPS (Earnings per Share)
KGC Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 42.1% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 67.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -0.42% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 2.43 |
| Alpha | 162.05 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.429 |
| Beta | 0.415 |
| Beta Downside | 0.417 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 29.34% |
| Mean DD | 6.29% |
| Median DD | 4.76% |
Description: KGC Kinross Gold October 14, 2025
Kinross Gold Corporation (NYSE: KGC) is a Canadian-based gold miner that acquires, explores, develops, extracts, and processes gold-bearing ore, with ancillary silver production and mine-site reclamation activities.
The company’s asset portfolio is concentrated in the United States, Brazil, Chile, Canada, and Mauritania, reflecting a diversified geographic exposure that mitigates country-specific regulatory and operational risk.
Recent operational metrics show 2023 gold output of approximately 2.6 million ounces, a cash cost of roughly $950 per ounce, and a net debt level near $1.2 billion, indicating a cost structure that remains competitive in a market where the average industry cash cost hovers around $1,100 per ounce.
Key economic drivers for Kinross include the price of gold (which has averaged $1,950 per ounce in 2023), inflation expectations that bolster gold’s safe-haven appeal, and central-bank policy cycles that influence investor demand for the metal.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of Kinross’s valuation and risk profile, you may find ValueRay’s analytical tools worth exploring.
KGC Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 31,432m |
| Sub-Industry | Gold |
| IPO / Inception | 1994-10-19 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 128% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.0 of 5 |
KGC Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 0.47% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 1.68% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 18.92% |
| Payout Consistency | 57.8% |
| Payout Ratio | 9.2% |
KGC Growth Ratios
| CAGR 3y | 88.29% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 3.01 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 14.03 |
| Current Volume | 12938.7k |
| Average Volume | 9667.5k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 8.5
| Net Income (1.75b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 385.4m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.18 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 8.73pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 34.33% (prev 13.54%; Δ 20.79pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.27 (>3.0%) and CFO 3.31b > Net Income 1.75b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-476.9m) to EBITDA (3.79b) ratio: -0.13 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.83 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (1.22b) change vs 12m ago -1.17% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 45.96% (prev 32.67%; Δ 13.28pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 56.20% (prev 45.14%; Δ 11.06pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 35.38 (EBITDA TTM 3.79b / Interest Expense TTM 75.1m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.30
| (A) 0.18 = (Total Current Assets 3.41b - Total Current Liabilities 1.21b) / Total Assets 12.12b |
| (B) -0.56 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -6.80b / Total Assets 12.12b |
| (C) 0.23 = EBIT TTM 2.66b / Avg Total Assets 11.43b |
| (D) -0.60 = Book Value of Equity -2.41b / Total Liabilities 4.04b |
| Total Rating: 0.30 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 95.63
| 1. Piotroski 8.50pt = 3.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 7.12% = 3.56 |
| 3. FCF Margin 34.32% = 7.50 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.16 = 2.49 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -0.13 = 2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 14.99)% = 12.50 |
| 7. RoE 23.70% = 1.98 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 93.82% = 7.04 |
| 9. EPS Trend 91.40% = 4.57 |
What is the price of KGC shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.00%, over one month by -7.76%, over three months by +31.48% and over the past year by +163.36%.
Is Kinross Gold a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of KGC is around 33.98 USD . This means that KGC is currently undervalued and has a potential upside of +33.57% (Margin of Safety).
Is KGC a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 6
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the KGC price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 26.6 | 4.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 26.6 | 4.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 37.5 | 47.3% |
KGC Fundamental Data Overview November 15, 2025
P/E Trailing = 17.7902
P/E Forward = 11.5075
P/S = 4.8778
P/B = 3.87
P/EG = -3.9
Beta = 1.143
Revenue TTM = 6.42b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.66b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.79b USD
Long Term Debt = 1.24b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 204.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 1.26b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -476.9m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 30.96b USD (31.43b + Debt 1.26b - CCE 1.73b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 35.38 (Ebit TTM 2.66b / Interest Expense TTM 75.1m)
FCF Yield = 7.12% (FCF TTM 2.20b / Enterprise Value 30.96b)
FCF Margin = 34.32% (FCF TTM 2.20b / Revenue TTM 6.42b)
Net Margin = 27.28% (Net Income TTM 1.75b / Revenue TTM 6.42b)
Gross Margin = 45.96% ((Revenue TTM 6.42b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.47b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 47.43% (prev 51.91%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.55 (Enterprise Value 30.96b / Total Assets 12.12b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.42% (Interest Expense 17.9m / Debt 1.26b)
Taxrate = 27.61% (229.7m / 832.1m)
NOPAT = 1.92b (EBIT 2.66b * (1 - 27.61%))
Current Ratio = 2.83 (Total Current Assets 3.41b / Total Current Liabilities 1.21b)
Debt / Equity = 0.16 (Debt 1.26b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 7.95b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.13 (Net Debt -476.9m / EBITDA 3.79b)
Debt / FCF = -0.22 (Net Debt -476.9m / FCF TTM 2.20b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 7.39b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 14.46% (Net Income 1.75b / Total Assets 12.12b)
RoE = 23.70% (Net Income TTM 1.75b / Total Stockholder Equity 7.39b)
RoCE = 30.79% (EBIT 2.66b / Capital Employed (Equity 7.39b + L.T.Debt 1.24b))
RoIC = 22.29% (NOPAT 1.92b / Invested Capital 8.63b)
WACC = 7.30% (E(31.43b)/V(32.69b) * Re(7.55%) + D(1.26b)/V(32.69b) * Rd(1.42%) * (1-Tc(0.28)))
Discount Rate = 7.55% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -0.61%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 81.43% ; FCFE base≈1.73b ; Y1≈2.13b ; Y5≈3.64b
Fair Price DCF = 51.29 (DCF Value 61.91b / Shares Outstanding 1.21b; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 91.40 | EPS CAGR: 78.08% | SUE: 1.17 | # QB: 3
Revenue Correlation: 93.82 | Revenue CAGR: 20.13% | SUE: 0.38 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for KGC Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle