Overview Dividends

(KGS) Kodiak Gas Services - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US50012A1088

Compression, Gas Treating, Cooling, Station Construction

KGS EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS Growth (3Y CAGR): 220.66%
EPS Trend (3Y Correlation): 57.2%

KGS Revenue

Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR): 23.71%
Revenue Trend (3Y Correlation): 92.7%

Risk via 10d forecast
Volatility	36.7%
Value at Risk 5%th	58.3%
Relative Tail Risk	-3.33%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	0.11
Alpha	-18.93

Character TTM
Hurst Exponent	0.522
Beta	1.298
Beta Downside	1.827

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	38.57%
Mean DD	11.79%
Median DD	7.39%

Description: KGS Kodiak Gas Services November 09, 2025

Kodiak Gas Services, Inc. (NYSE: KGS) operates contract compression, gas-treating, and cooling infrastructure for U.S. oil-and-gas producers, delivering primarily fixed-revenue contracts that enable the production and gathering of natural gas and oil.

The business is split into two segments: (1) **Contract Services**, which runs both company-owned and customer-owned compression assets under long-term agreements, and (2) **Other Services**, which offers ancillary support such as station construction, maintenance, overhaul, freight, and crane services on a time-and-material basis.

Key operational metrics that analysts watch include a **compression utilization rate of roughly 85 %** (up from 78 % in 2022) and an **EBITDA margin of about 22 %** for FY 2023, reflecting strong pricing power in a market where upstream drilling activity remains robust despite cyclical natural-gas price volatility.

Sector-wide, the demand for mid-stream compression capacity is closely tied to **U.S. shale production growth** (which has averaged ~2 % YoY over the past three years) and to **regional pipeline constraints** that push producers toward on-site compression solutions-both of which underpin KGS’s revenue outlook.

For a deeper quantitative dive, the ValueRay platform offers granular financial and operational metrics that can help assess KGS’s upside potential.

KGS Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD	2,893m
Sub-Industry	Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
IPO / Inception	2023-06-29
Return 12m vs S&P 500	-13.7%
Analyst Rating	4.36 of 5

KGS Dividends

Dividend Yield	5.34%
Yield on Cost 5y	13.04%
Yield CAGR 5y	0.00%
Payout Consistency	100.0%
Payout Ratio	1.6%

KGS Growth Ratios

CAGR 3y	45.67%
CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio	1.18
CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio	3.87
Current Volume	2882.8k
Average Volume	1200.7k

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0

Net Income (75.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 77.1m TTM)

FCFTA 0.04 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 5.75pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue -0.59% (prev 8.79%; Δ -9.38pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.12 (>3.0%) and CFO 523.4m > Net Income 75.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (2.67b) to EBITDA (583.5m) ratio: 4.57 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 0.98 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (87.1m) change vs 12m ago 3.28% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 46.66% (prev 37.89%; Δ 8.77pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 28.99% (prev 23.95%; Δ 5.04pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 1.55 (EBITDA TTM 583.5m / Interest Expense TTM 200.7m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 0.49

(A) -0.00 = (Total Current Assets 341.5m - Total Current Liabilities 349.0m) / Total Assets 4.37b

(B) 0.01 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 31.6m / Total Assets 4.37b

(D) 0.01 = Book Value of Equity 30.1m / Total Liabilities 3.12b

Total Rating: 0.49 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 61.67

1. Piotroski 4.0pt = -1.0

2. FCF Yield 3.37% = 1.69

3. FCF Margin 14.59% = 3.65

4. Debt/Equity 2.14 = 0.57

5. Debt/Ebitda 4.57 = -2.50

6. ROIC - WACC (= -0.81)% = -1.02

7. RoE 5.67% = 0.47

8. Rev. Trend 92.75% = 6.96

9. EPS Trend 57.15% = 2.86

What is the price of KGS shares?

As of November 15, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 33.70 with a total of 2,882,828 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.15%, over one month by -0.66%, over three months by -2.75% and over the past year by -1.07%.

Is Kodiak Gas Services a good stock to buy?

Neither. Based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, Kodiak Gas Services is currently (November 2025) neither a good nor a bad stock to buy. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 61.67 and therefor a neutral outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of KGS is around 37.08 USD . This means that KGS is currently undervalued and has a potential upside of +10.03% (Margin of Safety).

Is KGS a buy, sell or hold?

Kodiak Gas Services has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.36. Therefore, it is recommended to buy KGS.

Strong Buy: 6
Buy: 3
Hold: 2
Sell: 0
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the KGS price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	44.2	31.1%
Analysts Target Price	44.2	31.1%
ValueRay Target Price	40.5	20.3%

KGS Fundamental Data Overview November 15, 2025

Market Cap USD = 2.89b (2.89b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 39.7262
P/E Forward = 14.9031
P/S = 2.2515
P/B = 2.3149
Beta = 1.216
Revenue TTM = 1.28b USD
EBIT TTM = 310.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 583.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.61b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 13.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.67b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 2.67b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 5.56b USD (2.89b + Debt 2.67b - CCE 724.0k)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.55 (Ebit TTM 310.3m / Interest Expense TTM 200.7m)
FCF Yield = 3.37% (FCF TTM 187.5m / Enterprise Value 5.56b)
FCF Margin = 14.59% (FCF TTM 187.5m / Revenue TTM 1.28b)
Net Margin = 5.84% (Net Income TTM 75.0m / Revenue TTM 1.28b)
Gross Margin = 46.66% ((Revenue TTM 1.28b - Cost of Revenue TTM 685.3m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 63.99% (prev 43.82%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.27 (Enterprise Value 5.56b / Total Assets 4.37b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.11% (Interest Expense 56.4m / Debt 2.67b)
Taxrate = 30.74% (-6.30m / -20.5m)
NOPAT = 214.9m (EBIT 310.3m * (1 - 30.74%))
Current Ratio = 0.98 (Total Current Assets 341.5m / Total Current Liabilities 349.0m)
Debt / Equity = 2.14 (Debt 2.67b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.25b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.57 (Net Debt 2.67b / EBITDA 583.5m)
Debt / FCF = 14.23 (Net Debt 2.67b / FCF TTM 187.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.32b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.72% (Net Income 75.0m / Total Assets 4.37b)
RoE = 5.67% (Net Income TTM 75.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.32b)
RoCE = 7.89% (EBIT 310.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.32b + L.T.Debt 2.61b))
RoIC = 5.51% (NOPAT 214.9m / Invested Capital 3.90b)
WACC = 6.32% (E(2.89b)/V(5.56b) * Re(10.80%) + D(2.67b)/V(5.56b) * Rd(2.11%) * (1-Tc(0.31)))
Discount Rate = 10.80% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 5.87%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 59.13% ; FCFE base≈187.5m ; Y1≈123.1m ; Y5≈56.3m
Fair Price DCF = 8.68 (DCF Value 752.7m / Shares Outstanding 86.7m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 57.15 | EPS CAGR: 220.7% | SUE: -1.35 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 92.75 | Revenue CAGR: 23.71% | SUE: -0.39 | # QB: 0

Additional Sources for KGS Stock

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