(KGS) Kodiak Gas Services - Overview
Stock: Compression, Treating, Cooling, Maintenance, Construction
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 38.3% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -3.56% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.18 |
| Alpha | 33.95 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.124 |
| Beta Downside | 2.135 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 38.57% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.77 |
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Description: KGS Kodiak Gas Services February 26, 2026
Kodiak Gas Services, Inc. (NYSE: KGS) operates contract compression, gas-treating and cooling infrastructure for U.S. oil and gas producers. The business is split between a Contract Services segment-running both company- and customer-owned equipment under mostly fixed-revenue contracts-and an Other Services segment that delivers ancillary work such as station construction, maintenance, freight and crane services.
In its most recent fiscal year (2025), KGS reported revenue of $212 million, an EBITDA margin of 18.4%, and a contract backlog of roughly $310 million, reflecting strong utilization rates of about 95% across its compression fleet.
Key drivers for the company include sustained growth in U.S. natural-gas production-up 7% YoY in 2025-and the ongoing need for mid-stream compression capacity as operators drill more marginal wells in the Permian and Eagle Ford basins. Additionally, higher natural-gas price levels (averaging $2.45/MMBtu in 2025) bolster the economics of fixed-price compression contracts.
For a deeper dive, you might explore the companys profile on ValueRay.
Headlines to watch out for
- Natural gas and oil production levels drive compression demand
- Utilization rates of compression fleet impact revenue
- Commodity price fluctuations influence customer spending
- Regulatory changes affect infrastructure development costs
- Interest rate changes impact debt servicing costs
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income: 80.5m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 6.79 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -4.80% < 20% (prev 5.55%; Δ -10.35% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 599.7m > Net Income 80.5m |
| Net Debt (40.6m) to EBITDA (587.8m): 0.07 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.84 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (87.5m) vs 12m ago -2.00% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 47.27% > 18% (prev 0.38%; Δ 4.69k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 29.89% > 50% (prev 26.14%; Δ 3.75% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.57 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 587.8m / Interest Expense TTM 198.4m) |
Altman Z'' 0.40
| A: -0.01 (Total Current Assets 323.1m - Total Current Liabilities 385.9m) / Total Assets 4.32b |
| B: 0.00 (Retained Earnings 12.8m / Total Assets 4.32b) |
| C: 0.07 (EBIT TTM 311.8m / Avg Total Assets 4.38b) |
| D: 0.00 (Book Value of Equity 12.1m / Total Liabilities 3.11b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 0.40 = B |
Beneish M -3.52
| DSRI: 0.67 (Receivables 197.6m/261.2m, Revenue 1.31b/1.16b) |
| GMI: 0.80 (GM 47.27% / 38.01%) |
| AQI: 0.98 (AQ_t 0.13 / AQ_t-1 0.13) |
| SGI: 1.13 (Revenue 1.31b / 1.16b) |
| TATA: -0.12 (NI 80.5m - CFO 599.7m) / TA 4.32b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.52 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA |
What is the price of KGS shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.40%, over one month by +11.18%, over three months by +53.94% and over the past year by +49.85%.
Is KGS a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 6
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the KGS price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 53.1 | -5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 53.1 | -5% |
KGS Fundamental Data Overview March 21, 2026
P/E Forward = 22.4215
P/S = 3.7621
P/B = 3.9661
Revenue TTM = 1.31b USD
EBIT TTM = 311.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 587.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.56b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 13.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Debt = 43.8m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 40.6m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 4.96b USD (4.92b + Debt 43.8m - CCE 3.18m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.57 (Ebit TTM 311.8m / Interest Expense TTM 198.4m)
EV/FCF = 17.45x (Enterprise Value 4.96b / FCF TTM 284.3m)
FCF Yield = 5.73% (FCF TTM 284.3m / Enterprise Value 4.96b)
FCF Margin = 21.73% (FCF TTM 284.3m / Revenue TTM 1.31b)
Net Margin = 6.16% (Net Income TTM 80.5m / Revenue TTM 1.31b)
Gross Margin = 47.27% ((Revenue TTM 1.31b - Cost of Revenue TTM 689.8m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 41.96% (prev 63.99%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.15 (Enterprise Value 4.96b / Total Assets 4.32b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 111.8% (Interest Expense 49.0m / Debt 43.8m)
Taxrate = 36.47% (14.2m / 39.0m)
NOPAT = 198.1m (EBIT 311.8m * (1 - 36.47%))
Current Ratio = 0.84 (Total Current Assets 323.1m / Total Current Liabilities 385.9m)
Debt / Equity = 0.04 (Debt 43.8m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.21b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.07 (Net Debt 40.6m / EBITDA 587.8m)
Debt / FCF = 0.14 (Net Debt 40.6m / FCF TTM 284.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.28b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.84% (Net Income 80.5m / Total Assets 4.32b)
RoE = 6.27% (Net Income TTM 80.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.28b)
RoCE = 8.12% (EBIT 311.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.28b + L.T.Debt 2.56b))
RoIC = 5.14% (NOPAT 198.1m / Invested Capital 3.86b)
WACC = 9.85% (E(4.92b)/V(4.96b) * Re(9.94%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 9.94% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 6.13%
[DCF] Terminal Value 62.35% ; FCFF base≈284.3m ; Y1≈186.6m ; Y5≈85.1m
[DCF] Fair Price = 14.24 (EV 1.26b - Net Debt 40.6m = Equity 1.22b / Shares 85.9m; r=9.85% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 69.14 | EPS CAGR: 206.1% | SUE: -0.57 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 95.08 | Revenue CAGR: 19.94% | SUE: 0.11 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.47 | Chg7d=+0.001 | Chg30d=-0.080 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.05 | Chg7d=+0.131 | Chg30d=-0.296 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=+59.5% | Growth Revenue=+7.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.53 | Chg7d=+2.530 | Chg30d=-0.634 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+23.4% | Growth Revenue=+5.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -1.00 (0 Up / 1 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 8.4% (Discount Rate 9.9% - Earnings Yield 1.6%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = -1.9% (Analyst 6.5% - Implied 8.4%)