(KGS) Kodiak Gas Services - Overview
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Equipment & Services | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 6.589m USD | Total Return: 123.1% in 12m
Industry Rotation: +17.2
Avg Turnover: 103M
EPS Trend: 75.5%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 94.4%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
P/E ratio 97.7
Altman Z'' 0.78 < 1.0 - financial distress zone
Tailwinds
Supp Ema8, Leader, Tailwind, Pullback 52w
Kodiak Gas Services, Inc. (KGS) provides contract compression infrastructure essential for the production, processing, and transportation of natural gas and oil within the United States. The company operates through two primary segments: Contract Services, which manages compression and gas treating infrastructure, and Other Services, which handles station construction, maintenance, and parts sales.
The contract compression business model typically relies on long-term service agreements, providing stable cash flows that are less sensitive to short-term commodity price volatility than direct exploration. As domestic natural gas production increases, demand for high-horsepower compression units rises to maintain pipeline pressure and throughput efficiency. For a deeper look at company valuations, consider reviewing the latest metrics on ValueRay.
Founded in 2010 and headquartered in The Woodlands, Texas, Kodiak focuses on large-scale infrastructure projects. Its service-oriented model allows exploration and production companies to outsource technical operations and reduce capital expenditure on specialized machinery.
- Natural gas production volumes in Permian and Eagle Ford basins drive demand
- Multi-year fixed-fee contracts provide stable cash flow and downside protection
- High interest rates increase debt service costs for capital-intensive equipment expansion
- Increasing environmental regulations on methane emissions necessitate modern compression fleet investment
- Consolidation of midstream customers impacts long-term pricing power and contract renewals
| Net Income: 67.9m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.64 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 7.52% < 20% (prev 4.49%; Δ 3.03% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 > 3% & CFO 556.6m > Net Income 67.9m |
| Net Debt (2.46b) to EBITDA (704.8m): 3.49 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.28 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (87.5m) vs 12m ago -3.43% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 43.46% > 18% (prev 0.38%; Δ 4.31k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 29.66% > 50% (prev 28.71%; Δ 0.95% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.15 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 704.8m / Interest Expense TTM 199.9m) |
| A: 0.02 (Total Current Assets 459.5m - Total Current Liabilities 360.0m) / Total Assets 4.49b |
| B: -0.00 (Retained Earnings -12.4m / Total Assets 4.49b) |
| C: 0.10 (EBIT TTM 430.4m / Avg Total Assets 4.47b) |
| D: -0.00 (Book Value of Equity -11.6m / Total Liabilities 3.32b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 0.78 = B |
| DSRI: 0.84 (Receivables 238.4m/273.5m, Revenue 1.32b/1.27b) |
| GMI: 0.88 (GM 43.46% / 38.19%) |
| AQI: 0.95 (AQ_t 0.13 / AQ_t-1 0.13) |
| SGI: 1.04 (Revenue 1.32b / 1.27b) |
| TATA: -0.11 (NI 67.9m - CFO 556.6m) / TA 4.49b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.38 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.02%, over one month by +20.29%, over three months by +51.16% and over the past year by +123.08%.
- StrongBuy: 6
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 73 | -3.7% |
P/E Forward = 27.7778
P/S = 4.9761
P/B = 5.1143
Revenue TTM = 1.32b USD
EBIT TTM = 430.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 704.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.56b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
Debt = 2.56b USD (corrected: LT Debt 2.56b + ST Debt none)
Net Debt = 2.46b USD (recalculated: Debt 2.56b - CCE 94.4m)
Enterprise Value = 9.05b USD (6.59b + Debt 2.56b - CCE 94.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.15 (Ebit TTM 430.4m / Interest Expense TTM 199.9m)
EV/FCF = 45.18x (Enterprise Value 9.05b / FCF TTM 200.3m)
FCF Yield = 2.21% (FCF TTM 200.3m / Enterprise Value 9.05b)
FCF Margin = 15.13% (FCF TTM 200.3m / Revenue TTM 1.32b)
Net Margin = 5.13% (Net Income TTM 67.9m / Revenue TTM 1.32b)
Gross Margin = 43.46% ((Revenue TTM 1.32b - Cost of Revenue TTM 748.7m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 44.60% (prev 41.96%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.01 (Enterprise Value 9.05b / Total Assets 4.49b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.91% (Interest Expense 48.7m / Debt 2.56b)
Taxrate = 13.39% (2.76m / 20.6m)
NOPAT = 372.8m (EBIT 430.4m * (1 - 13.39%))
Current Ratio = 1.28 (Total Current Assets 459.5m / Total Current Liabilities 360.0m)
Debt / Equity = 2.17 (Debt 2.56b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.18b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.49 (Net Debt 2.46b / EBITDA 704.8m)
Debt / FCF = 12.29 (Net Debt 2.46b / FCF TTM 200.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.24b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.52% (Net Income 67.9m / Total Assets 4.49b)
RoE = 5.47% (Net Income TTM 67.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.24b)
RoCE = 11.33% (EBIT 430.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.24b + L.T.Debt 2.56b))
RoIC = 9.73% (NOPAT 372.8m / Invested Capital 3.83b)
WACC = 7.55% (E(6.59b)/V(9.14b) * Re(9.84%) + D(2.56b)/V(9.14b) * Rd(1.91%) * (1-Tc(0.13)))
Discount Rate = 9.84% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 24.44 | Cagr: 5.44%
[DCF] Terminal Value 72.81% ; FCFF base≈134.7m ; Y1≈88.5m ; Y5≈40.5m
[DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 873.7m - Net Debt 2.46b = -1.59b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: 75.48 | EPS CAGR: 193.3% | SUE: 0.40 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 94.36 | Revenue CAGR: 19.52% | SUE: 0.74 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.73 | Chg30d=+1.42% | Revisions=+20% | Analysts=4
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.63 | Chg30d=-10.75% | Revisions=+20% | Analysts=4
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.61 | Chg30d=-2.34% | Revisions=+20% | GrowthEPS=+103.2% | GrowthRev=+16.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.10 | Chg30d=-2.87% | Revisions=+20% | GrowthEPS=+18.5% | GrowthRev=+12.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +20%