(KNTK) Kinetik Holdings - Ratings and Ratios
Gathering, Processing, Transport, Storage
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 8.46% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 19.94% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | -20.37% |
| Payout Consistency | 89.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 3.3% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 41.1% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 68.4% |
| Relative Tail Risk | 1.13% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.79 |
| Alpha | -47.43 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.29 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.500 |
| Beta | 1.121 |
| Beta Downside | 1.773 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 48.98% |
| Mean DD | 11.90% |
| Median DD | 5.61% |
Description: KNTK Kinetik Holdings November 10, 2025
Kinetic Holdings Inc. (NYSE: KNTK) is a Texas-based midstream operator focused on the Delaware Basin. Through its Midstream Logistics and Pipeline Transportation segments, the firm provides gathering, compression, processing, stabilization, treatment, storage, and pipeline transport services for natural gas, NGLs, and crude oil, as well as water-gathering and disposal for upstream producers.
Key operational metrics (2023) include roughly 2.5 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d) of gas processing capacity, 1.2 Bcf of water disposal handled, and an adjusted EBITDA of about $45 million, reflecting a margin near 15 % despite volatile commodity prices.
The business is tightly linked to two macro drivers: (1) sustained production growth in the Permian-Delaware Basin, which has added >1 million barrels of oil equivalent per day of new output over the past two years, and (2) the broader U.S. natural-gas market, where seasonal demand swings and LNG export expansion drive price spreads that affect midstream fee structures.
Given KNTK’s exposure to both oil-and-gas volumes and water-management services, its cash-flow stability hinges on maintaining high utilization rates and securing long-term fee-based contracts with upstream operators.
For a deeper, data-driven dive into KNTK’s valuation assumptions and scenario analysis, the ValueRay platform offers a transparent model that can help you test sensitivity to commodity price and volume changes.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.0
| Net Income (66.6m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 105.4m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.02 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -4.20pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -10.77% (prev -7.80%; Δ -2.97pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 (>3.0%) and CFO 697.1m > Net Income 66.6m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (4.13b) to EBITDA (495.7m) ratio: 8.33 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.62 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (62.4m) change vs 12m ago 3.35% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 30.76% (prev 38.08%; Δ -7.32pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 24.99% (prev 21.08%; Δ 3.91pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 0.99 (EBITDA TTM 495.7m / Interest Expense TTM 223.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -1.32
| (A) -0.03 = (Total Current Assets 315.1m - Total Current Liabilities 504.3m) / Total Assets 7.20b |
| (B) -0.28 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -2.00b / Total Assets 7.20b |
| (C) 0.03 = EBIT TTM 219.7m / Avg Total Assets 7.03b |
| (D) -0.44 = Book Value of Equity -2.00b / Total Liabilities 4.58b |
| Total Rating: -1.32 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 60.47
| 1. Piotroski 2.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 2.84% |
| 3. FCF Margin 9.08% |
| 4. Debt/Equity -1.99 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 8.33 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 8.03)% |
| 7. RoE -2.93% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 91.11% |
| 9. EPS Trend -32.02% |
What is the price of KNTK shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.62%, over one month by +5.55%, over three months by -9.49% and over the past year by -29.82%.
Is KNTK a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 3
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the KNTK price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 46.3 | 25.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 46.3 | 25.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 38.9 | 5.4% |
KNTK Fundamental Data Overview November 25, 2025
P/E Trailing = 79.6342
P/E Forward = 15.2439
P/S = 1.2156
P/B = 1.3294
P/EG = 8.6228
Beta = 0.967
Revenue TTM = 1.76b USD
EBIT TTM = 219.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = 495.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 3.96b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 178.6m USD (from shortLongTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.53b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year)
Net Debt = 4.13b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 5.62b USD (2.09b + Debt 3.53b - CCE 7.74m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.99 (Ebit TTM 219.7m / Interest Expense TTM 223.0m)
FCF Yield = 2.84% (FCF TTM 159.6m / Enterprise Value 5.62b)
FCF Margin = 9.08% (FCF TTM 159.6m / Revenue TTM 1.76b)
Net Margin = 3.79% (Net Income TTM 66.6m / Revenue TTM 1.76b)
Gross Margin = 30.76% ((Revenue TTM 1.76b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.22b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 28.70% (prev 34.08%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.78 (Enterprise Value 5.62b / Total Assets 7.20b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.69% (Interest Expense 59.8m / Debt 3.53b)
Taxrate = 6.66% (1.11m / 16.7m)
NOPAT = 205.1m (EBIT 219.7m * (1 - 6.66%))
Current Ratio = 0.62 (Total Current Assets 315.1m / Total Current Liabilities 504.3m)
Debt / Equity = -1.99 (negative equity) (Debt 3.53b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -1.78b)
Debt / EBITDA = 8.33 (Net Debt 4.13b / EBITDA 495.7m)
Debt / FCF = 25.86 (Net Debt 4.13b / FCF TTM 159.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -2.27b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.92% (Net Income 66.6m / Total Assets 7.20b)
RoE = -2.93% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 66.6m / Total Stockholder Equity -2.27b)
RoCE = 13.02% (EBIT 219.7m / Capital Employed (Equity -2.27b + L.T.Debt 3.96b))
RoIC = 12.79% (NOPAT 205.1m / Invested Capital 1.60b)
WACC = 4.76% (E(2.09b)/V(5.62b) * Re(10.14%) + D(3.53b)/V(5.62b) * Rd(1.69%) * (1-Tc(0.07)))
Discount Rate = 10.14% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 5.71%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 71.17% ; FCFE base≈271.8m ; Y1≈274.4m ; Y5≈296.6m
Fair Price DCF = 57.94 (DCF Value 3.71b / Shares Outstanding 64.0m; 5y FCF grow 0.54% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -32.02 | EPS CAGR: -67.91% | SUE: -0.56 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 91.11 | Revenue CAGR: 22.11% | SUE: 1.12 | # QB: 3
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.34 | Chg30d=-0.056 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=2
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.90 | Chg30d=-0.315 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=+1.4% | Growth Revenue=+13.3%
Additional Sources for KNTK Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle