(KOF) Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV - Ratings and Ratios
Soft Drinks, Water, Juice, Beer, Energy Drink
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 4.18% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 10.59% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 11.40% |
| Payout Consistency | 86.1% |
| Payout Ratio | 66.2% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 24.2% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 38.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -2.35% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.62 |
| Alpha | 12.98 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.61 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.340 |
| Beta | 0.246 |
| Beta Downside | 0.142 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 24.48% |
| Mean DD | 8.95% |
| Median DD | 8.08% |
Description: KOF Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV December 19, 2025
Coca-Cola FEMSA (KOF) is the largest independent Coca-Cola bottler in the world, operating across nine Latin-American countries (Mexico, Central America, Brazil, Argentina, Uruguay, etc.). It manufactures, markets and distributes a broad portfolio that includes carbonated soft drinks, water, tea, sports and energy drinks, juices, coffee, dairy-alternatives, as well as third-party brands such as Heineken beer, Campari spirits, Perfetti confectionery and Monster energy.
Key operating metrics (2023): net sales of roughly $13.5 billion, an adjusted EBITDA margin near 16 % and a free-cash-flow conversion of about 70 % of EBITDA. The company’s growth is driven by a shift toward higher-margin non-carbonated beverages (which now represent ~30 % of sales) and by price-pass-through mechanisms that offset inflationary pressures in its primary markets.
Macro drivers include Mexico’s GDP growth (averaging ~2 % YoY), rising disposable income in Brazil and Argentina, and the broader soft-drink sector’s transition toward healthier, low-sugar formats-trends that underpin volume resilience and allow KOF to leverage its extensive distribution network.
For a deeper, data-driven analysis of KOF’s valuation and risk profile, the ValueRay platform provides a granular view of the metrics discussed.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income (17.74b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 13.14b TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.00 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -6.75pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 3.10% (prev 0.19%; Δ 2.91pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 (>3.0%) and CFO 24.81b > Net Income 17.74b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (45.62b) to EBITDA (30.70b) ratio: 1.49 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.10 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (210.1m) change vs 12m ago 0.0% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 45.99% (prev 45.73%; Δ 0.27pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 132.3% (prev 1697 %; Δ -1565 pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 5.66 (EBITDA TTM 30.70b / Interest Expense TTM 4.18b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.82
| (A) 0.02 = (Total Current Assets 77.13b - Total Current Liabilities 70.34b) / Total Assets 315.27b |
| (B) 0.34 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 108.27b / Total Assets 315.27b |
| (C) 0.14 = EBIT TTM 23.62b / Avg Total Assets 165.49b |
| (D) 0.57 = Book Value of Equity 95.06b / Total Liabilities 166.52b |
| Total Rating: 2.82 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 57.73
| 1. Piotroski 4.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -0.01% |
| 3. FCF Margin -0.01% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.57 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.49 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 1.81)% |
| 7. RoE 16.53% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -18.67% |
| 9. EPS Trend 53.57% |
What is the price of KOF shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.28%, over one month by +5.95%, over three months by +13.94% and over the past year by +22.63%.
Is KOF a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 6
- Buy: 6
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the KOF price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 103.8 | 12.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 103.8 | 12.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 107.8 | 16.8% |
KOF Fundamental Data Overview December 15, 2025
P/E Trailing = 37.7733
P/E Forward = 111.1111
P/S = 0.0676
P/B = 2.5183
P/EG = 31.6457
Beta = 0.515
Revenue TTM = 218.99b MXN
EBIT TTM = 23.62b MXN
EBITDA TTM = 30.70b MXN
Long Term Debt = 74.02b MXN (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 4.49b MXN (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 80.52b MXN (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 45.62b MXN (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 404.65b MXN (352.02b + Debt 80.52b - CCE 27.88b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.66 (Ebit TTM 23.62b / Interest Expense TTM 4.18b)
FCF Yield = -0.01% (FCF TTM -23.8m / Enterprise Value 404.65b)
FCF Margin = -0.01% (FCF TTM -23.8m / Revenue TTM 218.99b)
Net Margin = 8.10% (Net Income TTM 17.74b / Revenue TTM 218.99b)
Gross Margin = 45.99% ((Revenue TTM 218.99b - Cost of Revenue TTM 118.27b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 45.06% (prev 45.31%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.28 (Enterprise Value 404.65b / Total Assets 315.27b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.00% (Interest Expense 1942 / Debt 80.52b)
Taxrate = 30.54% (2698 / 8835 )
NOPAT = 16.41b (EBIT 23.62b * (1 - 30.54%))
Current Ratio = 1.10 (Total Current Assets 77.13b / Total Current Liabilities 70.34b)
Debt / Equity = 0.57 (Debt 80.52b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 141.93b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.49 (Net Debt 45.62b / EBITDA 30.70b)
Debt / FCF = -1919 (out of range, set to none) (Net Debt 45.62b / FCF TTM -23.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 107.28b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.63% (Net Income 17.74b / Total Assets 315.27b)
RoE = 16.53% (Net Income TTM 17.74b / Total Stockholder Equity 107.28b)
RoCE = 13.03% (EBIT 23.62b / Capital Employed (Equity 107.28b + L.T.Debt 74.02b))
RoIC = 7.44% (NOPAT 16.41b / Invested Capital 220.53b)
WACC = 5.63% (E(352.02b)/V(432.53b) * Re(6.92%) + D(80.52b)/V(432.53b) * Rd(0.00%) * (1-Tc(0.31)))
Discount Rate = 6.92% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -81.65 | Cagr: -0.00%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -23.8m)
EPS Correlation: 53.57 | EPS CAGR: 3.70% | SUE: -1.95 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -18.67 | Revenue CAGR: -97.28% | SUE: -0.04 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.38 | Chg30d=-0.188 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=6.98 | Chg30d=-0.171 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=+15.3% | Growth Revenue=+6.1%
Additional Sources for KOF Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle