KOF Stock Analysis: Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV | NYSE
Beverages - Non-Alcoholic | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 22.374m USD | 12M Return: 35.7% | US1912411089 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 11.3M
EPS Trend: 87.3%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 96.7%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Coca-Cola FEMSA (NYSE: KOF) is the largest Coca-Cola franchise bottler in Latin America, producing, marketing, and distributing Coca-Cola trademarked beverages across nine countries, including Mexico, Brazil, Colombia, and Argentina. Founded in 1979 and headquartered in Mexico City, the company operates within the standard Coca-Cola bottler model, in which independent bottlers purchase concentrates and syrups from The Coca-Cola Company and are responsible for manufacturing, packaging, and last-mile distribution of the finished products.
Its product portfolio extends well beyond sparkling beverages and water, encompassing a wide range of non-carbonated categories such as juices, coffee, dairy, and plant-based drinks. The company has also diversified into adjacent alcoholic beverage categories, distributing beer under the Heineken, Estrella Galicia, and Therezópolis brands, ready-to-drink cocktails like Bacardí Coca-Cola, Topo Chico Hard Seltzer, and Monster energy products. This expanded mix reflects a broader industry trend among major bottlers toward portfolio diversification to drive incremental revenue per route.
KOF sells through a multi-channel distribution network that serves distributors, supermarkets, convenience and discount stores, on-premise outlets such as restaurants and bars, stadiums, and home delivery channels. The company has been publicly traded since 1993 and is classified within the Consumer Staples sector, specifically the Soft Drinks & Non-alcoholic Beverages sub-industry, with a large-cap market capitalization.
- Mexican peso volatility pressures translated revenue and margins
- Sugar and aluminum input costs squeeze bottling margins
- Argentina hyperinflation weighs on consolidated revenue growth
| Net Income: 24.0b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.91 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 1.25% < 20% (prev 2.82%; Δ -1.57% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 > 3% & CFO 40.6b > Net Income 24.0b |
| Net Debt (50.3b) to EBITDA (60.0b): 0.84 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.04 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (210.1m) vs 12m ago 0.0% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 46.45% > 18% (prev 46.03%; Δ 0.42% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 91.33% > 50% (prev 91.83%; Δ -0.50% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.99 > 6 (EBIT TTM 42.6b / Interest Expense TTM 8.55b) |
| A: 0.01 (Total Current Assets 90.1b - Total Current Liabilities 86.4b) / Total Assets 336b |
| B: 0.33 (Retained Earnings 110b / Total Assets 336b) |
| C: 0.13 (EBIT TTM 42.6b / Avg Total Assets 325b) |
| D: 0.77 (Book Value of Equity 143b / Total Liabilities 185b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.83 = A |
| DSRI: 1.16 (Receivables 27.3b/22.9b, Revenue 297b/288b) |
| GMI: 0.99 (GM 46.03% / 46.45%) |
| AQI: 0.94 (AQ_t 0.39 / AQ_t-1 0.41) |
| SGI: 1.03 (Revenue 297b / 288b) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI 24.0b - CFO 40.6b) / TA 336b) |
| Beneish M = -2.92 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of October 09, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 109.71 with a total of 259,676 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.94%, over one month by +0.13%, over three months by +6.10% and over the past year by +35.70%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 106.50 (which is 2.9% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy KOF.
- StrongBuy: 6
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 6
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 121.6 | 10.8% |
Market Cap MXN = 402b (22.4b USD * 17.9717 USD.MXN)
P/E Forward = 123.4568
P/S = 1.3677
P/B = 2.8412
P/EG = 18.0975
Revenue TTM = 297b MXN
EBIT TTM = 42.6b MXN
EBITDA TTM = 60.0b MXN
Long Term Debt = 72.1b MXN (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 14.5b MXN (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 93.3b MXN (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 3.84b
Net Debt = 50.3b MXN (calculated: Debt 93.3b - CCE 43.0b)
Enterprise Value = 452b MXN (402b + Debt 93.3b - CCE 43.0b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.99 (Ebit TTM 42.6b / Interest Expense TTM 8.55b)
EV/FCF = 21.29x (Enterprise Value 452b / FCF TTM 21.2b)
FCF Yield = 4.70% (FCF TTM 21.2b / Enterprise Value 452b)
FCF Margin = 7.16% (FCF TTM 21.2b / Revenue TTM 297b)
Net Margin = 8.07% (Net Income TTM 24.0b / Revenue TTM 297b)
Gross Margin = 46.45% ((Revenue TTM 297b - Cost of Revenue TTM 159b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 47.09% (prev 46.89%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.35 (Enterprise Value 452b / Total Assets 336b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 9.17% (Interest Expense 8.55b / Debt 93.3b)
Taxrate = 33.00% (12.4b / 37.7b)
NOPAT = 28.6b (EBIT 42.6b * (1 - 33.00%))
Current Ratio = 1.04 (Total Current Assets 90.1b / Total Current Liabilities 86.4b)
Debt / Equity = 0.65 (Debt 93.3b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 143b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.84 (Net Debt 50.3b / EBITDA 60.0b)
Debt / FCF = 2.37 (Net Debt 50.3b / FCF TTM 21.2b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 142b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.37% (Net Income 24.0b / Total Assets 336b)
RoE = 16.86% (Net Income TTM 24.0b / Total Stockholder Equity 142b)
RoCE = 19.91% (EBIT 42.6b / Capital Employed (Equity 142b + L.T.Debt 72.1b))
RoIC = 11.45% (NOPAT 28.6b / Invested Capital 249b)
WACC = 6.85% (E(402b)/V(495b) * Re(7.01%) + D(93.3b)/V(495b) * Rd(9.17%) * (1-Tc(0.33)))
Discount Rate = 7.01% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -25.90 | Cagr: 0.0%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈15.8b ; Y1≈18.1b ; Y5≈26.6b
[DCF] Fair Price = 1.67k (EV 400b - Net Debt 50.3b = Equity 350b / Shares 210.1m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 87.29 | EPS CAGR: 5.44% | SUE: 0.00 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 96.71 | Revenue CAGR: 7.94% | SUE: 0.76 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.85 | Chg30d=+10.65% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=7.06 | Chg30d=+2.88% | Revisions=+17% | GrowthEPS=+7.1% | GrowthRev=+4.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=7.90 | Chg30d=-1.00% | Revisions=-40% | GrowthEPS=+11.8% | GrowthRev=+7.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0% (up=3, down=3)