KOF Stock Analysis: Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV | NYSE
Beverages - Non-Alcoholic | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 22.834m USD | 12M Return: 36.2% | US1912411089 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 14.7M
EPS Trend: 87.3%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -24.6%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Coca-Cola FEMSA (KOF) is a Mexican franchise bottler that produces, markets, and distributes Coca-Cola trademarked beverages across nine Latin American markets, including Mexico, Brazil, Colombia, Argentina, and several Central American countries. Operating under territorial franchise agreements with The Coca-Cola Company, the company purchases concentrate and syrup to manufacture, package, and distribute finished beverages locally-a structure common across Coca-Colas global bottling system.
The portfolio spans sparkling beverages, waters, juices, teas, sports and energy drinks, coffee, dairy, and plant-based drinks. The company has expanded beyond non-alcoholic beverages into alcohol, distributing beer brands such as Heineken, Estrella Galicia, and Therezópolis, plus ready-to-drink offerings including Bacardí Coca-Cola and Topo Chico Hard Seltzer, alongside Monster Energy products. Distribution reaches consumers through wholesalers, supermarkets, convenience and discount stores, restaurants and bars, stadiums, and home delivery, placing KOF within the defensive Consumer Staples sector.
- Mexican peso and Brazilian real depreciation pressure reported revenue
- Argentina hyperinflation distorts pricing power and margins
- Mexico excise tax increases compress sparkling beverage volume
| Net Income: 16.9b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 6.21 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 1.66% < 20% (prev 3.01%; Δ -1.34% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 > 3% & CFO 41.1b > Net Income 16.9b |
| Net Debt (50.3b) to EBITDA (44.9b): 1.12 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.04 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.68b) vs 12m ago 700.0% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 46.37% > 18% (prev 46.02%; Δ 0.35% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 68.65% > 50% (prev 91.79%; Δ -23.14% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 5.54 > 6 (EBIT TTM 31.8b / Interest Expense TTM 5.74b) |
| A: 0.01 (Total Current Assets 90.1b - Total Current Liabilities 86.4b) / Total Assets 336b |
| B: 0.33 (Retained Earnings 110b / Total Assets 336b) |
| C: 0.10 (EBIT TTM 31.8b / Avg Total Assets 325b) |
| D: 0.77 (Book Value of Equity 143b / Total Liabilities 185b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.60 = A |
| DSRI: 2.52 (Receivables 27.3b/14.0b, Revenue 223b/289b) |
| GMI: 0.99 (GM 46.02% / 46.37%) |
| AQI: 0.94 (AQ_t 0.39 / AQ_t-1 0.41) |
| SGI: 0.77 (Revenue 223b / 289b) |
| TATA: -0.07 (NI 16.9b - CFO 41.1b) / TA 336b) |
| Beneish M = -1.99 (Cap -4..+1) = B |
As of August 24, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 112.19 with a total of 139,947 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.98%, over one month by +9.48%, over three months by +4.43% and over the past year by +36.24%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 106.80 (which is 4.8% or 2.2 ATR below the current price).
Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.38. Therefore, it is recommended to buy KOF.
- StrongBuy: 6
- Buy: 6
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 120.7 | 7.6% |
Market Cap MXN = 386b (22.8b USD * 16.9167 USD.MXN)
P/E Forward = 129.8701
P/S = 1.3234
P/B = 2.7493
P/EG = 19.0376
Revenue TTM = 223b MXN
EBIT TTM = 31.8b MXN
EBITDA TTM = 44.9b MXN
Long Term Debt = 72.1b MXN (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 14.5b MXN (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 93.3b MXN (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 3.84b
Net Debt = 50.3b MXN (calculated: Debt 93.3b - CCE 43.0b)
Enterprise Value = 437b MXN (386b + Debt 93.3b - CCE 43.0b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.54 (Ebit TTM 31.8b / Interest Expense TTM 5.74b)
EV/FCF = 19.95x (Enterprise Value 437b / FCF TTM 21.9b)
FCF Yield = 5.01% (FCF TTM 21.9b / Enterprise Value 437b)
FCF Margin = 9.80% (FCF TTM 21.9b / Revenue TTM 223b)
Net Margin = 7.55% (Net Income TTM 16.9b / Revenue TTM 223b)
Gross Margin = 46.37% ((Revenue TTM 223b - Cost of Revenue TTM 120b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 47.11% (prev 46.89%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.30 (Enterprise Value 437b / Total Assets 336b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 6.15% (Interest Expense 5.74b / Debt 93.3b)
Taxrate = 33.08% (8.66b / 26.2b)
NOPAT = 21.3b (EBIT 31.8b * (1 - 33.08%))
Current Ratio = 1.04 (Total Current Assets 90.1b / Total Current Liabilities 86.4b)
Debt / Equity = 0.65 (Debt 93.3b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 143b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.12 (Net Debt 50.3b / EBITDA 44.9b)
Debt / FCF = 2.30 (Net Debt 50.3b / FCF TTM 21.9b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 142b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.18% (Net Income 16.9b / Total Assets 336b)
RoE = 11.85% (Net Income TTM 16.9b / Total Stockholder Equity 142b)
RoCE = 14.85% (EBIT 31.8b / Capital Employed (Equity 142b + L.T.Debt 72.1b))
RoIC = 8.41% (NOPAT 21.3b / Invested Capital 253b)
WACC = 6.51% (E(386b)/V(480b) * Re(7.09%) + D(93.3b)/V(480b) * Rd(6.15%) * (1-Tc(0.33)))
Discount Rate = 7.09% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 47.44 | Cagr: 152.0%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈13.5b ; Y1≈15.5b ; Y5≈22.8b
[DCF] Fair Price = 1.39k (EV 343b - Net Debt 50.3b = Equity 293b / Shares 210.1m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 87.29 | EPS CAGR: 5.44% | SUE: 0.00 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -24.55 | Revenue CAGR: -2.82% | SUE: 0.76 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.76 | Chg30d=+6.92% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=6.87 | Chg30d=-0.27% | Revisions=-17% | GrowthEPS=+4.1% | GrowthRev=+4.5%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=7.98 | Chg30d=-6.02% | Revisions=-40% | GrowthEPS=+16.2% | GrowthRev=+7.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -22% (up=2, down=4)