KOF Stock Analysis: Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV | NYSE
Beverages - Non-Alcoholic | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 21.960m USD | 12M Return: 20.7% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 14.5M
EPS Trend: 87.3%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 5.7%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Coca-Cola FEMSA (KOF) is a Mexican franchise bottler that produces, markets, and distributes Coca-Cola trademarked beverages across nine Latin American markets, including Mexico, Brazil, Colombia, Argentina, and several Central American countries. Operating under territorial franchise agreements with The Coca-Cola Company, the company purchases concentrate and syrup to manufacture, package, and distribute finished beverages locally-a structure common across Coca-Colas global bottling system.
The portfolio spans sparkling beverages, waters, juices, teas, sports and energy drinks, coffee, dairy, and plant-based drinks. The company has expanded beyond non-alcoholic beverages into alcohol, distributing beer brands such as Heineken, Estrella Galicia, and Therezópolis, plus ready-to-drink offerings including Bacardí Coca-Cola and Topo Chico Hard Seltzer, alongside Monster Energy products. Distribution reaches consumers through wholesalers, supermarkets, convenience and discount stores, restaurants and bars, stadiums, and home delivery, placing KOF within the defensive Consumer Staples sector.
- Mexican peso and Brazilian real depreciation pressure reported revenue
- Argentina hyperinflation distorts pricing power and margins
- Mexico excise tax increases compress sparkling beverage volume
| Net Income: 16.0b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -63.19 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 3.54% < 20% (prev 0.22%; Δ 3.32% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.11 > 3% & CFO 35.1b > Net Income 16.0b |
| Net Debt (92.4b) to EBITDA (43.9b): 2.11 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.10 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.68b) vs 12m ago 700.0% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 45.77% > 18% (prev 46.20%; Δ -0.44% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 126.3% > 50% (prev 1.87k%; Δ -1.74k% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 5.06 > 6 (EBIT TTM 31.6b / Interest Expense TTM 6.25b) |
| A: 0.02 (Total Current Assets 86.1b - Total Current Liabilities 78.3b) / Total Assets 333b |
| B: 0.31 (Retained Earnings 102b / Total Assets 333b) |
| C: 0.18 (EBIT TTM 31.6b / Avg Total Assets 174b) |
| D: 0.74 (Book Value of Equity 137b / Total Liabilities 186b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 3.15 = A |
| DSRI: 1.63 (Receivables 1.47b/1.17b, Revenue 220b/285b) |
| GMI: 1.01 (GM 46.20% / 45.77%) |
| AQI: 1.70 (AQ_t 0.72 / AQ_t-1 0.43) |
| SGI: 0.77 (Revenue 220b / 285b) |
| TATA: -0.06 (NI 16.0b - CFO 35.1b) / TA 333b) |
| Beneish M = -2.26 (Cap -4..+1) = BBB |
As of July 10, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 103.50 with a total of 266,725 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.17%, over one month by -0.81%, over three months by -0.99% and over the past year by +20.72%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 99.80 (which is 3.6% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.38. Therefore, it is recommended to buy KOF.
- StrongBuy: 6
- Buy: 6
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 116.8 | 12.8% |
Market Cap MXN = 385b (22.0b USD * 17.5384 USD.MXN)
P/E Forward = 133.3333
P/S = 0.0751
P/B = 2.8592
P/EG = 23.3264
Revenue TTM = 220b MXN
EBIT TTM = 31.6b MXN
EBITDA TTM = 43.9b MXN
Long Term Debt = 82.2b MXN (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 5.83b MXN (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 94.7b MXN (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 3.81b
Net Debt = 92.4b MXN (calculated: Debt 94.7b - CCE 2.29b)
Enterprise Value = 478b MXN (385b + Debt 94.7b - CCE 2.29b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.06 (Ebit TTM 31.6b / Interest Expense TTM 6.25b)
EV/FCF = 30.88x (Enterprise Value 478b / FCF TTM 15.5b)
FCF Yield = 3.24% (FCF TTM 15.5b / Enterprise Value 478b)
FCF Margin = 7.03% (FCF TTM 15.5b / Revenue TTM 220b)
Net Margin = 7.26% (Net Income TTM 16.0b / Revenue TTM 220b)
Gross Margin = 45.77% ((Revenue TTM 220b - Cost of Revenue TTM 119b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 46.89% (prev 46.71%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.43 (Enterprise Value 478b / Total Assets 333b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 6.60% (Interest Expense 6.25b / Debt 94.7b)
Taxrate = 33.98% (8.65b / 25.5b)
NOPAT = 20.9b (EBIT 31.6b * (1 - 33.98%))
Current Ratio = 1.10 (Total Current Assets 86.1b / Total Current Liabilities 78.3b)
Debt / Equity = 0.69 (Debt 94.7b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 137b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.11 (Net Debt 92.4b / EBITDA 43.9b)
Debt / FCF = 5.98 (Net Debt 92.4b / FCF TTM 15.5b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 140b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 9.16% (Net Income 16.0b / Total Assets 333b)
RoE = 11.37% (Net Income TTM 16.0b / Total Stockholder Equity 140b)
RoCE = 14.20% (EBIT 31.6b / Capital Employed (Equity 140b + L.T.Debt 82.2b))
RoIC = 8.08% (NOPAT 20.9b / Invested Capital 258b)
WACC = 6.97% (E(385b)/V(480b) * Re(7.61%) + D(94.7b)/V(480b) * Rd(6.60%) * (1-Tc(0.34)))
Discount Rate = 7.61% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -18.26 | Cagr: 152.0%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈13.4b ; Y1≈15.4b ; Y5≈22.6b
[DCF] Fair Price = 1.18k (EV 341b - Net Debt 92.4b = Equity 248b / Shares 210.1m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 87.26 | EPS CAGR: 5.47% | SUE: -0.01 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 5.71 | Revenue CAGR: 0.63% | SUE: 0.70 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.57 | Chg30d=+7.60% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=1
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.67 | Chg30d=-1.24% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=6.93 | Chg30d=-0.09% | Revisions=-50% | GrowthEPS=+5.1% | GrowthRev=+4.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=8.46 | Chg30d=-1.54% | Revisions=-40% | GrowthEPS=+22.0% | GrowthRev=+7.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -50% (up=1, down=6)