(KOF) Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV - Overview
Sector: Consumer Defensive | Industry: Beverages - Non-Alcoholic | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 22.508m USD | Total Return: 17.7% in 12m
Avg Turnover: 14.2M
EPS Trend: 78.5%
Qual. Beats: -2
Rev. Trend: 5.7%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Share dilution 700.0% YoY
Altman Z'' -8.70 < 1.0 - financial distress zone
Fakeout
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Coca-Cola FEMSA (KOF) is the largest franchise bottler of Coca-Cola products by volume globally, operating extensively across Mexico and South America. The company manages a diverse portfolio that includes sparkling beverages, water, dairy, plant-based drinks, and a growing distribution network for alcoholic beverages and energy drinks.
The beverage bottling sector operates on a capital-intensive model that grants exclusive territorial rights to produce and distribute specific brands. This geographic moat allows KOF to leverage massive logistics infrastructure to serve a wide range of channels, from traditional mom-and-pop retailers to large-scale stadiums and supermarkets.
For a deeper dive into these operational metrics, investors may find ValueRay useful for further research.
Headquartered in Mexico City, the firm maintains strategic partnerships with brands like Heineken and Monster, diversifying its revenue streams beyond traditional soft drinks into high-growth categories like hard seltzers and premium coffee.
- Mexican and Brazilian volume growth stabilizes consolidated revenue and operating cash flow
- Sugar price volatility and aluminum costs impact gross profit margins across Latin America
- Mexican peso and Brazilian real exchange rate fluctuations drive significant earnings volatility
- Regulatory tax increases on sugar-sweetened beverages pressure volume in key markets
- Strategic distribution partnerships with Heineken and Monster expand non-cola revenue streams
| Net Income: 16.0b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.70 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 66.40 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -28.18% < 20% (prev 0.22%; Δ -28.40% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 1.56 > 3% & CFO 28.9b > Net Income 16.0b |
| Net Debt (84.1b) to EBITDA (43.4b): 1.94 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.07 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.68b) vs 12m ago 700.0% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 45.77% > 18% (prev 0.46%; Δ 4.53k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 1.30k% > 50% (prev 1.87k%; Δ -564.5% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.73 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 43.4b / Interest Expense TTM 6.25b) |
| A: -3.36 (Total Current Assets 4.77b - Total Current Liabilities 66.8b) / Total Assets 18.5b |
| B: 0.31 (Retained Earnings 5.73b / Total Assets 18.5b) |
| C: 1.75 (EBIT TTM 29.6b / Avg Total Assets 16.9b) |
| D: 0.49 (Book Value of Equity 5.07b / Total Liabilities 10.3b) |
| Altman-Z'' = -8.70 = D |
| DSRI: 1.63 (Receivables 1.47b/1.17b, Revenue 220b/285b) |
| GMI: 1.01 (GM 45.77% / 46.20%) |
| AQI: 0.93 (AQ_t 0.40 / AQ_t-1 0.43) |
| SGI: 0.77 (Revenue 220b / 285b) |
| TATA: -0.70 (NI 16.0b - CFO 28.9b) / TA 18.5b) |
| Beneish M = -3.42 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of May 24, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 107.14 with a total of 128,222 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.72%,
over one month by +5.25%,
over three months by +1.70% and
over the past year by +17.71%.
Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.38. Therefore, it is recommended to buy KOF.
- StrongBuy: 6
- Buy: 6
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 115.7 | 8% |
P/E Forward = 133.3333
P/S = 0.0769
P/B = 2.8347
P/EG = 23.127
Revenue TTM = 220b MXN
EBIT TTM = 29.6b MXN
EBITDA TTM = 43.4b MXN
Long Term Debt = 82.2b MXN (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 323.0m MXN (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 86.4b MXN (corrected: LT Debt 82.2b + ST Debt 323.0m) + Leases 3.81b
Net Debt = 84.1b MXN (calculated: Debt 86.4b - CCE 2.29b)
Enterprise Value = 474b MXN (389b + Debt 86.4b - CCE 2.29b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.73 (Ebit TTM 29.6b / Interest Expense TTM 6.25b)
EV/FCF = 36.84x (Enterprise Value 474b / FCF TTM 12.9b)
FCF Yield = 2.71% (FCF TTM 12.9b / Enterprise Value 474b)
FCF Margin = 5.84% (FCF TTM 12.9b / Revenue TTM 220b)
Net Margin = 7.26% (Net Income TTM 16.0b / Revenue TTM 220b)
Gross Margin = 45.77% ((Revenue TTM 220b - Cost of Revenue TTM 119b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 46.89% (prev 46.71%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 25.65 (Enterprise Value 474b / Total Assets 18.5b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 7.24% (Interest Expense 6.25b / Debt 86.4b)
Taxrate = 36.22% (2.69b / 7.42b)
NOPAT = 18.9b (EBIT 29.6b * (1 - 36.22%))
Current Ratio = 0.07 (Total Current Assets 4.77b / Total Current Liabilities 66.8b)
Debt / Equity = 11.27 (Debt 86.4b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 7.66b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.94 (Net Debt 84.1b / EBITDA 43.4b)
Debt / FCF = 6.54 (Net Debt 84.1b / FCF TTM 12.9b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 108b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 94.68% (Net Income 16.0b / Total Assets 18.5b)
RoE = 14.77% (Net Income TTM 16.0b / Total Stockholder Equity 108b)
RoCE = 15.55% (EBIT 29.6b / Capital Employed (Equity 108b + L.T.Debt 82.2b))
RoIC = 131.1% (NOPAT 18.9b / Invested Capital 14.4b)
WACC = 6.84% (E(389b)/V(476b) * Re(7.33%) + D(86.4b)/V(476b) * Rd(7.24%) * (1-Tc(0.36)))
Discount Rate = 7.33% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -18.26 | Cagr: 152.0%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈7.91b ; Y1≈9.06b ; Y5≈13.3b
[DCF] Fair Price = 555.4 (EV 201b - Net Debt 84.1b = Equity 117b / Shares 210.1m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 78.46 | EPS CAGR: 99.19% | SUE: -1.70 | # QB: -2
Revenue Correlation: 5.71 | Revenue CAGR: 0.63% | SUE: 0.70 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.57 | Chg30d=+6.17% | Revisions=+20% | Analysts=1
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.67 | Chg30d=-1.10% | Revisions=-20% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=6.93 | Chg30d=-3.80% | Revisions=-43% | GrowthEPS=+5.1% | GrowthRev=+4.4%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=8.46 | Chg30d=-5.96% | Revisions=-33% | GrowthEPS=+22.0% | GrowthRev=+7.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -43%