KOS Stock Analysis: Kosmos Energy | NYSE

Oil & Gas E&P | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 1.258m USD | 12M Return: 4% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Crude Oil, Natural Gas, Offshore Production
Total Rating 18
Safety 10
Buy Signal -0.34
Oil & Gas E&P
Industry Rotation: -17.7
Market Cap: 1.26B
Avg Turnover: 32.5M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility69.3%
VaR 5th Pctl12.3%
VaR vs Median7.35%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.44
Rel. Str. IBD49.5
Rel. Str. Peer Group73.7
Character TTM
Beta1.500
Beta Downside2.397
Hurst Exponent0.409
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD89.39%
CAGR/Max DD-0.35
CAGR/Mean DD-0.61
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of KOS over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": -0.03, "2021-09": -0.11, "2021-12": 0.13, "2022-03": 0.3, "2022-06": 0.28, "2022-09": -0.19, "2022-12": 0.23, "2023-03": 0.16, "2023-06": 0.06, "2023-09": 0.26, "2023-12": 0.31, "2024-03": 0.21, "2024-06": 0.17, "2024-09": 0.08, "2024-12": -0.03, "2025-03": -0.23, "2025-06": -0.19, "2025-09": -0.15, "2025-12": -0.16, "2026-03": -0.07,
Last SUE: -1.27
Qual. Beats: -2
Revenue Revenue of KOS over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 384.119, 2021-09: 199.002, 2021-12: 572.61, 2022-03: 659.067, 2022-06: 620.411, 2022-09: 456.104, 2022-12: 510.911, 2023-03: 393.867, 2023-06: 273.315, 2023-09: 533.063999, 2023-12: 507.765, 2024-03: 419.103, 2024-06: 450.9, 2024-09: 407.794, 2024-12: 397.561, 2025-03: 290.135, 2025-06: 392.635, 2025-09: 311.229, 2025-12: 297.395, 2026-03: 421.708,
Rev. CAGR: -9.26%
Rev. Trend: -75.8%
Last SUE: 0.54
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

High Debt/EBITDA With Thin Interest Coverage
High Debt While Negative Cash Flow
Interest Coverage Ratio Critical
Beneish M-Score Likely Earnings Manipulation
Altman Z'' In Financial Distress Zone
Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 10.5 years of data

Jan -1.2% 11
Feb +0.9% 2
Mar -0.8% 13
Apr -4.1% 17
May +4.2% 15
Jun +0.9% 11
Jul +0.0% 5
Aug +0.6% 5
Sep -0.1% 8
Oct -0.1% 5
Nov -3.6% 25
Dec -7.9% 59

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: KOS Kosmos Energy

Kosmos Energy Ltd. (NYSE: KOS) is a U.S.-based deepwater oil and gas exploration and production (E&P) company headquartered in Dallas, Texas, founded in 2003 and publicly listed since 2011. Its upstream operations focus on offshore hydrocarbon projects located across West Africa (Ghana, Equatorial Guinea, Mauritania, and Senegal) and the Gulf of America.

As a pure-play E&P operator, Kosmos is exposed to the cyclicality of crude oil and natural gas prices, with revenue tied directly to hydrocarbon volumes sold rather than to midstream, refining, or marketing activities. Deepwater offshore development is generally a capital-intensive segment of the energy sector, characterized by long project lead times, significant upfront drilling and infrastructure costs, and reliance on specialized floating production systems.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Brent crude prices drive offshore oil and gas revenue
  • GTA project ramp-up boosts production in Mauritania Senegal
  • Debt reduction plan prioritizes free cash flow generation
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 2.0
Net Income: -814.8m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 4.32 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -21.34% < 20% (prev -8.42%; Δ -12.92% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.05 > 3% & CFO 241.5m > Net Income -814.8m
Current Ratio: 0.60 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (506.2m) vs 12m ago 6.42% < -2%
Gross Margin: 11.36% > 18% (prev 30.11%; Δ -18.75% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 28.31% > 50% (prev 29.35%; Δ -1.04% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -2.46 > 6 (EBIT TTM -555.6m / Interest Expense TTM 226.1m)
Altman Z'' -2.40
A: -0.06 (Total Current Assets 453.4m - Total Current Liabilities 757.1m) / Total Assets 4.78b
B: -0.42 (Retained Earnings -2.01b / Total Assets 4.78b)
C: -0.11 (EBIT TTM -555.6m / Avg Total Assets 5.03b)
D: 0.12 (Book Value of Equity 515.1m / Total Liabilities 4.27b)
Altman-Z'' = -2.40 = D
Beneish M -0.96
DSRI: 0.79 (Receivables 110.5m/152.5m, Revenue 1.42b/1.55b)
GMI: 2.65 (GM 30.11% / 11.36%)
AQI: 2.39 (AQ_t 0.20 / AQ_t-1 0.08)
SGI: 0.92 (Revenue 1.42b / 1.55b)
TATA: -0.22 (NI -814.8m - CFO 241.5m) / TA 4.78b)
Beneish M = -0.96 (Cap -4..+1) = D
What is the price of KOS shares?

As of July 07, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 2.09 with a total of 14,986,596 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.13%, over one month by -28.18%, over three months by -32.58% and over the past year by +3.98%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 1.80 (which is 13.9% or 1.7 ATR below the current price).

Is KOS a buy, sell or hold?

Kosmos Energy has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.67. Therefore, it is recommended to hold KOS.

  • StrongBuy: 5
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 4
  • Sell: 1
  • StrongSell: 1

What are the forecasts/targets for the KOS price?
Analysts Target Price 3.1 48.8%
Kosmos Energy (KOS) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 07 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 1.26b (1.26b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 2.3906
P/S = 0.8963
P/B = 2.3838
P/EG = -0.2
Revenue TTM = 1.42b USD
EBIT TTM = -555.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 19.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.87b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 113.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.07b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 80.1m
Net Debt = 2.94b USD (calculated: Debt 3.07b - CCE 130.0m)
Enterprise Value = 4.20b USD (1.26b + Debt 3.07b - CCE 130.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -2.46 (Ebit TTM -555.6m / Interest Expense TTM 226.1m)
EV/FCF = -60.15x (Enterprise Value 4.20b / FCF TTM -69.8m)
FCF Yield = -1.66% (FCF TTM -69.8m / Enterprise Value 4.20b)
FCF Margin = -4.90% (FCF TTM -69.8m / Revenue TTM 1.42b)
Net Margin = -57.26% (Net Income TTM -814.8m / Revenue TTM 1.42b)
Gross Margin = 11.36% ((Revenue TTM 1.42b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.26b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 35.92% (prev -50.99%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.88 (Enterprise Value 4.20b / Total Assets 4.78b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 7.37% (Interest Expense 226.1m / Debt 3.07b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -438.9m (EBIT -555.6m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.60 (Total Current Assets 453.4m / Total Current Liabilities 757.1m)
Debt / Equity = 5.96 (Debt 3.07b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 515.1m)
Debt / EBITDA = 150.1 (Net Debt 2.94b / EBITDA 19.6m)
 Debt / FCF = -42.12 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 2.94b / FCF TTM -69.8m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 740.1m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -16.21% (Net Income -814.8m / Total Assets 4.78b)
RoE = -110.1% (Net Income TTM -814.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 740.1m)
RoCE = -15.41% (EBIT -555.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 740.1m + L.T.Debt 2.87b))
 RoIC = -10.79% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -438.9m / Invested Capital 4.07b)
 WACC = 7.40% (E(1.26b)/V(4.33b) * Re(11.26%) + D(3.07b)/V(4.33b) * Rd(7.37%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 11.26% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -15.56 | Cagr: 2.08%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -69.8m)
 EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: -1.27 | # QB: -2
Revenue Correlation: -75.84 | Revenue CAGR: -9.26% | SUE: 0.54 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.07 | Chg30d=-15.97% | Revisions=-17% | Analysts=3
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.10 | Chg30d=+75.00% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=4
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.08 | Chg30d=-13.89% | Revisions=-57% | GrowthEPS=+110.6% | GrowthRev=+33.5%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.18 | Chg30d=+15.03% | Revisions=+50% | GrowthEPS=+130.1% | GrowthRev=-6.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -15% (up=4, down=6)