(KOS) Kosmos Energy - Overview
Stock: Oil, Natural Gas, Offshore
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 164% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -4.47% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.42 |
| Alpha | -77.53 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.834 |
| Beta Downside | 3.009 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 89.82% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.49 |
Description: KOS Kosmos Energy January 19, 2026
Kosmos Energy Ltd. (NYSE:KOS) is a Dallas-based deep-water exploration and production firm focused on offshore oil and natural gas assets in West Africa (Ghana, Equatorial Guinea, Mauritania, Senegal) and the Gulf of Mexico. Founded in 2003, the company’s portfolio spans the entire value chain from seismic acquisition to field development and production.
As of its latest 2023 annual report, Kosmos generated approximately 12 mmboe of net production, with a 2024 guidance of 13–14 mmboe, driven primarily by the Jubilee field in Ghana and the newly-ramped up offshore Mauritania project. The firm’s cash-flow conversion averaged 1.2 × net income in 2023, while its net debt stood at roughly $1.1 bn, giving a net-debt-to-EBITDA ratio of about 2.5×. Key sector drivers include volatile Brent crude prices (currently around $85 /bbl), OPEC-plus output policies, and the high capital intensity of deep-water drilling, which together shape Kosmos’s upside potential and risk profile.
For a deeper dive into Kosmos’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, the ValueRay profile offers a concise, data-rich overview worth reviewing.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5
| Net Income: -329.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 4.25 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -24.42% < 20% (prev -7.96%; Δ -16.46% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.05 > 3% & CFO 274.5m > Net Income -329.2m |
| Net Debt (2.93b) to EBITDA (453.5m): 6.46 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.52 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (478.3m) vs 12m ago -0.20% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 18.96% > 18% (prev 0.49%; Δ 1846 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 26.35% > 50% (prev 32.64%; Δ -6.28% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -0.62 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 453.5m / Interest Expense TTM 179.2m) |
Altman Z'' -1.83
| A: -0.07 (Total Current Assets 365.6m - Total Current Liabilities 705.4m) / Total Assets 5.09b |
| B: -0.28 (Retained Earnings -1.41b / Total Assets 5.09b) |
| C: -0.02 (EBIT TTM -110.7m / Avg Total Assets 5.28b) |
| D: -0.33 (Book Value of Equity -1.40b / Total Liabilities 4.19b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -1.83 = D |
Beneish M -1.96
| DSRI: 0.47 (Receivables 59.2m/162.0m, Revenue 1.39b/1.79b) |
| GMI: 2.60 (GM 18.96% / 49.22%) |
| AQI: 1.56 (AQ_t 0.10 / AQ_t-1 0.06) |
| SGI: 0.78 (Revenue 1.39b / 1.79b) |
| TATA: -0.12 (NI -329.2m - CFO 274.5m) / TA 5.09b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -1.96 (Cap -4..+1) = B |
What is the price of KOS shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -6.33%, over one month by +48.00%, over three months by +4.96% and over the past year by -50.67%.
Is KOS a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 5
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the KOS price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 2.1 | 43.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 2.1 | 43.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 1.2 | -19.6% |
KOS Fundamental Data Overview February 03, 2026
P/S = 0.5428
P/B = 0.8994
P/EG = -0.2
Revenue TTM = 1.39b USD
EBIT TTM = -110.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = 453.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.73b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 251.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.99b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 2.93b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 3.68b USD (755.8m + Debt 2.99b - CCE 64.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -0.62 (Ebit TTM -110.7m / Interest Expense TTM 179.2m)
EV/FCF = -61.68x (Enterprise Value 3.68b / FCF TTM -59.7m)
FCF Yield = -1.62% (FCF TTM -59.7m / Enterprise Value 3.68b)
FCF Margin = -4.29% (FCF TTM -59.7m / Revenue TTM 1.39b)
Net Margin = -23.66% (Net Income TTM -329.2m / Revenue TTM 1.39b)
Gross Margin = 18.96% ((Revenue TTM 1.39b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.13b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 52.54% (prev -0.45%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.72 (Enterprise Value 3.68b / Total Assets 5.09b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.66% (Interest Expense 49.6m / Debt 2.99b)
Taxrate = 45.73% (160.0m / 349.8m)
NOPAT = -60.1m (EBIT -110.7m * (1 - 45.73%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.52 (Total Current Assets 365.6m / Total Current Liabilities 705.4m)
Debt / Equity = 3.33 (Debt 2.99b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 898.8m)
Debt / EBITDA = 6.46 (Net Debt 2.93b / EBITDA 453.5m)
Debt / FCF = -49.03 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 2.93b / FCF TTM -59.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.05b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -6.23% (Net Income -329.2m / Total Assets 5.09b)
RoE = -31.24% (Net Income TTM -329.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.05b)
RoCE = -2.93% (EBIT -110.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.05b + L.T.Debt 2.73b))
RoIC = -1.54% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -60.1m / Invested Capital 3.91b)
WACC = 3.27% (E(755.8m)/V(3.75b) * Re(12.67%) + D(2.99b)/V(3.75b) * Rd(1.66%) * (1-Tc(0.46)))
Discount Rate = 12.67% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.52%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -59.7m)
EPS Correlation: -74.58 | EPS CAGR: -29.75% | SUE: -0.16 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -67.69 | Revenue CAGR: -15.01% | SUE: -0.66 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.03 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=4
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.10 | Chg30d=-0.061 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+84.8% | Growth Revenue=+8.9%