KR Stock Analysis: Kroger | NYSE
Grocery Stores | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 35.848m USD | 12M Return: -21% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 536M
EPS Trend: 69.5%
Qual. Beats: 2
Rev. Trend: -40.5%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
Average return per month, with how dependable it is below — did the month move the same way every year (high) or randomly (low). Above 60 is a pattern worth trusting; under 40 is noise.
Kroger is a U.S. food and drug retailer that operates a multi-format store base, including combination food and drug stores, multi-department stores, marketplace stores, and price impact warehouse stores. The company offers groceries, pharmacy services, health and beauty care, general merchandise, apparel, and fuel through its fuel centers, and it also manufactures and processes food products for sale in its own supermarkets. Products are distributed through physical stores, fuel centers, and online platforms. Founded in 1883, Kroger is headquartered in Cincinnati, Ohio, and trades on the NYSE under the ticker KR.
Within the Consumer Staples sector, Kroger sits in the Food Retail sub-industry, a category characterized by high sales volume, thin operating margins, and intense competition from mass merchants, warehouse clubs, and discount grocers. The companys vertical integration into food manufacturing and its fuel-center operations are strategies commonly used by large food retailers to diversify revenue streams and drive incremental store traffic beyond core grocery sales.
- Albertsons merger termination triggers $4.7B fee and standalone strategy reset
- Our Brands private label expansion boosts gross margins and loyalty
- Digital grocery and Boost membership subscriptions drive customer engagement
| Net Income: 1.05b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.28 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -2.53% < 20% (prev -0.59%; Δ -1.95% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 6.99b > Net Income 1.05b |
| Net Debt (29.5b) to EBITDA (5.60b): 5.26 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.79 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (615.0m) vs 12m ago -7.38% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 23.18% > 18% (prev 23.01%; Δ 0.17% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 287.1% > 50% (prev 276.0%; Δ 11.11% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.55 > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.92b / Interest Expense TTM 753.0m) |
| A: -0.07 (Total Current Assets 14.2b - Total Current Liabilities 18.0b) / Total Assets 50.3b |
| B: 0.57 (Retained Earnings 28.9b / Total Assets 50.3b) |
| C: 0.04 (EBIT TTM 1.92b / Avg Total Assets 51.8b) |
| D: 0.15 (Book Value of Equity 6.48b / Total Liabilities 43.8b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.78 = BBB |
| DSRI: 0.97 (Receivables 2.10b/2.13b, Revenue 149b/147b) |
| GMI: 0.99 (GM 23.01% / 23.18%) |
| AQI: 1.00 (AQ_t 0.09 / AQ_t-1 0.09) |
| SGI: 1.01 (Revenue 149b / 147b) |
| TATA: -0.12 (NI 1.05b - CFO 6.99b) / TA 50.3b) |
| Beneish M = -3.06 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of July 01, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 55.53 with a total of 7,225,568 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.66%, over one month by -9.74%, over three months by -22.85% and over the past year by -20.97%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 53.00 (which is 4.6% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Kroger has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.80. Therefore, it is recommended to hold KR.
- StrongBuy: 9
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 12
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 70.7 | 27.3% |
P/E Trailing = 34.1988
P/E Forward = 11.1607
P/S = 0.2412
P/B = 5.5338
P/EG = 0.5651
Revenue TTM = 149b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.92b USD
EBITDA TTM = 5.60b USD
Long Term Debt = 14.5b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 1.26b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 32.3b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 8.82b
Net Debt = 29.5b USD (calculated: Debt 32.3b - CCE 2.87b)
Enterprise Value = 65.3b USD (35.8b + Debt 32.3b - CCE 2.87b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.55 (Ebit TTM 1.92b / Interest Expense TTM 753.0m)
EV/FCF = 22.63x (Enterprise Value 65.3b / FCF TTM 2.89b)
FCF Yield = 4.42% (FCF TTM 2.89b / Enterprise Value 65.3b)
FCF Margin = 1.94% (FCF TTM 2.89b / Revenue TTM 149b)
Net Margin = 0.71% (Net Income TTM 1.05b / Revenue TTM 149b)
Gross Margin = 23.18% ((Revenue TTM 149b - Cost of Revenue TTM 114b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 23.04% (prev 23.39%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.30 (Enterprise Value 65.3b / Total Assets 50.3b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.33% (Interest Expense 753.0m / Debt 32.3b)
Taxrate = 16.86% (215.0m / 1.27b)
NOPAT = 1.60b (EBIT 1.92b * (1 - 16.86%))
Current Ratio = 0.79 (Total Current Assets 14.2b / Total Current Liabilities 18.0b)
Debt / Equity = 4.99 (Debt 32.3b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 6.48b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.26 (Net Debt 29.5b / EBITDA 5.60b)
Debt / FCF = 10.21 (Net Debt 29.5b / FCF TTM 2.89b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 7.18b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.03% (Net Income 1.05b / Total Assets 50.3b)
RoE = 14.66% (Net Income TTM 1.05b / Total Stockholder Equity 7.18b)
RoCE = 8.87% (EBIT 1.92b / Capital Employed (Equity 7.18b + L.T.Debt 14.5b))
RoIC = 5.21% (NOPAT 1.60b / Invested Capital 30.7b)
WACC = 3.29% (E(35.8b)/V(68.2b) * Re(4.52%) + D(32.3b)/V(68.2b) * Rd(2.33%) * (1-Tc(0.17)))
Discount Rate = 4.52% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -71.91 | Cagr: -7.05%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈2.47b ; Y1≈2.83b ; Y5≈4.17b
[DCF] Fair Price = 54.19 (EV 62.7b - Net Debt 29.5b = Equity 33.2b / Shares 613.0m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 69.49 | EPS CAGR: 3.00% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: -40.53 | Revenue CAGR: -0.40% | SUE: 2.63 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-07-31): EPS=1.06 | Chg30d=-6.72% | Revisions=-33% | Analysts=18
EPS next Quarter (2026-10-31): EPS=1.17 | Chg30d=+1.65% | Revisions=-33% | Analysts=18
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=5.22 | Chg30d=-0.47% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+7.6% | GrowthRev=+2.3%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=5.54 | Chg30d=-1.45% | Revisions=+14% | GrowthEPS=+6.3% | GrowthRev=+1.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -33%