(KR) Kroger - Ratings and Ratios
Groceries, Pharmacy, Fuel, Apparel, Fresh Produce
KR EPS (Earnings per Share)
KR Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 23.2% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 34.6% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -5.62% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.51 |
| Alpha | 12.41 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.481 |
| Beta | -0.199 |
| Beta Downside | -0.103 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 14.63% |
| Mean DD | 5.65% |
| Median DD | 5.73% |
Description: KR Kroger September 29, 2025
The Kroger Co. (NYSE:KR) is a U.S.-based food and drug retailer that operates a diversified portfolio of store formats, including combination food-and-drug stores, multi-department stores, marketplace stores, and price-impact warehouse outlets. Across these formats, Kroger offers a broad assortment ranging from natural and organic groceries, pharmacy services, and fresh seafood to apparel, home goods, electronics, and automotive products, while also manufacturing its own private-label food products and operating fuel centers.
In FY 2024 Kroger reported same-store sales growth of roughly 3.5% year-over-year, driven largely by a 10% increase in digital grocery sales and a 30% contribution from its expanding private-label portfolio, which now accounts for about one-third of total sales. The company’s fuel segment, which contributes roughly 3% of total revenue, remains sensitive to crude-oil price volatility, while inflationary pressure on grocery items has prompted modest price-adjustments to protect margins.
Key macro-economic drivers for the sector include consumer price index trends, discretionary spending elasticity, and supply-chain resilience, all of which influence Kroger’s pricing strategy and inventory management. For a deeper quantitative view of KR’s valuation metrics, the ValueRay platform offers a data-rich dashboard worth exploring.
KR Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 43,014m |
| Sub-Industry | Food Retail |
| IPO / Inception | 1928-01-26 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 1.06% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.80 of 5 |
KR Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 2.01% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 5.51% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 15.73% |
| Payout Consistency | 64.3% |
| Payout Ratio | 28.8% |
KR Growth Ratios
| CAGR 3y | 14.05% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.96 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 2.49 |
| Current Volume | 5323.6k |
| Average Volume | 5494.9k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income (2.73b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 8.82b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.04 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.69pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -0.61% (prev -1.38%; Δ 0.77pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.11 (>3.0%) and CFO 6.02b > Net Income 2.73b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (20.30b) to EBITDA (7.88b) ratio: 2.58 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.95 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (665.0m) change vs 12m ago -8.53% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 20.84% (prev 20.32%; Δ 0.52pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 279.9% (prev 292.0%; Δ -12.07pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 6.21 (EBITDA TTM 7.88b / Interest Expense TTM 656.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.96
| (A) -0.02 = (Total Current Assets 15.80b - Total Current Liabilities 16.70b) / Total Assets 53.59b |
| (B) 0.56 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 29.75b / Total Assets 53.59b |
| (C) 0.08 = EBIT TTM 4.07b / Avg Total Assets 52.52b |
| (D) 0.70 = Book Value of Equity 31.06b / Total Liabilities 44.31b |
| Total Rating: 2.96 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 62.15
| 1. Piotroski 5.50pt = 0.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.56% = 1.78 |
| 3. FCF Margin 1.50% = 0.38 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 2.71 = -0.33 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 2.58 = -1.09 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 8.23)% = 10.28 |
| 7. RoE 27.70% = 2.31 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 4.87% = 0.37 |
| 9. EPS Trend -40.74% = -2.04 |
What is the price of KR shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.32%, over one month by -2.99%, over three months by -2.63% and over the past year by +15.84%.
Is Kroger a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of KR is around 70.27 USD . This means that KR is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of 5.34%.
Is KR a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 9
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 12
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the KR price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 76.1 | 14% |
| Analysts Target Price | 76.1 | 14% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 74.8 | 12.2% |
KR Fundamental Data Overview November 09, 2025
P/E Trailing = 16.4746
P/E Forward = 12.7551
P/S = 0.2926
P/B = 4.7377
P/EG = 1.442
Beta = 0.581
Revenue TTM = 147.00b USD
EBIT TTM = 4.07b USD
EBITDA TTM = 7.88b USD
Long Term Debt = 15.33b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.50b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 25.18b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 20.30b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 62.18b USD (43.01b + Debt 25.18b - CCE 6.02b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 6.21 (Ebit TTM 4.07b / Interest Expense TTM 656.0m)
FCF Yield = 3.56% (FCF TTM 2.21b / Enterprise Value 62.18b)
FCF Margin = 1.50% (FCF TTM 2.21b / Revenue TTM 147.00b)
Net Margin = 1.86% (Net Income TTM 2.73b / Revenue TTM 147.00b)
Gross Margin = 20.84% ((Revenue TTM 147.00b - Cost of Revenue TTM 116.36b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 20.72% (prev 21.09%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.16 (Enterprise Value 62.18b / Total Assets 53.59b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.57% (Interest Expense 144.0m / Debt 25.18b)
Taxrate = 20.98% (162.0m / 772.0m)
NOPAT = 3.22b (EBIT 4.07b * (1 - 20.98%))
Current Ratio = 0.95 (Total Current Assets 15.80b / Total Current Liabilities 16.70b)
Debt / Equity = 2.71 (Debt 25.18b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 9.28b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.58 (Net Debt 20.30b / EBITDA 7.88b)
Debt / FCF = 9.17 (Net Debt 20.30b / FCF TTM 2.21b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 9.85b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.09% (Net Income 2.73b / Total Assets 53.59b)
RoE = 27.70% (Net Income TTM 2.73b / Total Stockholder Equity 9.85b)
RoCE = 16.17% (EBIT 4.07b / Capital Employed (Equity 9.85b + L.T.Debt 15.33b))
RoIC = 11.72% (NOPAT 3.22b / Invested Capital 27.44b)
WACC = 3.50% (E(43.01b)/V(68.19b) * Re(5.28%) + D(25.18b)/V(68.19b) * Rd(0.57%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 5.28% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -4.23%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 77.26% ; FCFE base≈2.04b ; Y1≈1.90b ; Y5≈1.76b
Fair Price DCF = 47.68 (DCF Value 31.60b / Shares Outstanding 662.7m; 5y FCF grow -8.34% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -40.74 | EPS CAGR: -57.84% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 4.87 | Revenue CAGR: -0.27% | SUE: -0.59 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for KR Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle