LAC Stock Analysis: Lithium Americas | NYSE

Other Industrial Metals & Mining | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 1.078m USD | 12M Return: 14.8% | CA53681J1030 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Lithium, Mining, Processing, Nevada Operations
Total Rating 21
Safety 69
Buy Signal -0.30
Other Industrial Metals & Mining
Industry Rotation: +44.0
Market Cap: 1.08B
Avg Turnover: 28.4M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility72.8%
VaR 5th Pctl11.6%
VaR vs Median-2.96%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.59
Rel. Str. IBD3.1
Rel. Str. Peer Group9.4
Character TTM
Beta2.326
Beta Downside2.568
Hurst Exponent0.534
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD81.83%
CAGR/Max DD-0.40
CAGR/Mean DD-0.51

Warnings

Strong Share Dilution
Interest Coverage Ratio Critical
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

Confidence

Seasonality 2.8 years of data

Jan +5.8% 31
Feb -2.3% 0
Mar -8.6% 0
Apr +23.4% 31
May -8.6% 34
Jun -13.8% 29
Jul -14.8% 30
Aug +15.3% -
Sep +89.3% -
Oct +22.5% 0
Nov +0.4% 0
Dec -22.0% 42

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: LAC Lithium Americas

Lithium Americas Corp. (NYSE: LAC) is a Canada-based resource and materials company focused on developing, building, and operating lithium deposits and chemical processing facilities in the United States and Canada. Its flagship asset is the Thacker Pass project, located in the McDermitt Caldera in Humboldt County, northern Nevada, which is recognized as one of the largest known lithium clay deposits. The company also invests in exploration properties across the U.S. and Canada.

Lithium Americas is classified under the GICS Materials sector and Diversified Metals & Mining sub-industry, operating within the broader lithium supply chain that supplies raw material for lithium-ion batteries used in electric vehicles and energy storage. The company was incorporated in 2023 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada, with a small-cap market valuation of approximately $1.4 billion USD.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Thacker Pass construction timeline faces capex and permitting delays
  • Lithium carbonate prices decline pressuring project economics
  • DOE loan and IRA tax credits de-risk flagship financing
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 0.0
Net Income: error (cannot be calculated; needs Net Income TTM and Revenue TTM)
FCF/TA: -0.31 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 7.57 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: error (cannot be calculated; needs Current Assets/Liabilities and Revenue current+prev)
CFO/TA -0.01 > 3% & CFO -36.2m > Net Income -97.3m
Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio: 5.47 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (401.7m) vs 12m ago 82.96% < -2%
Gross Margin: error (current vs previous; cannot be calculated due to missing/invalid data or negative margin)
Asset Turnover: 0.0% > 50% (prev -0.00%; Δ 0.00% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -40.80 > 6 (EBIT TTM -53.9m / Interest Expense TTM 1.32m)
Altman Z'' 2.53
A: 0.30 (Total Current Assets 1.28b - Total Current Liabilities 234.6m) / Total Assets 3.54b
B: -0.06 (Retained Earnings -219.4m / Total Assets 3.54b)
C: -0.02 (EBIT TTM -53.9m / Avg Total Assets 2.44b)
D: 0.89 (Book Value of Equity 1.42b / Total Liabilities 1.59b)
Altman-Z'' = 2.53 = A
What is the price of LAC shares?

As of August 26, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 3.25 with a total of 7,782,612 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +9.80%, over one month by +12.07%, over three months by -34.87% and over the past year by +14.84%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 3.00 (which is 7.7% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).

Is LAC a buy, sell or hold?

Lithium Americas has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.73. Therefore, it is recommended to hold LAC.

  • StrongBuy: 4
  • Buy: 3
  • Hold: 8
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the LAC price?
Analysts Target Price 5.5 69.2%
Lithium Americas (LAC) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 22 August 2026
Market Cap USD = 1.08b (1.08b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 40.0
P/S = 177.9725
P/B = 0.7685
Revenue TTM = 0.0 USD
EBIT TTM = -53.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = -52.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 511.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 5.81m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.18b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 22.6m
Net Debt = 357.3m USD (calculated: Debt 1.18b - CCE 822.8m)
Enterprise Value = 1.44b USD (1.08b + Debt 1.18b - CCE 822.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -40.80 (Ebit TTM -53.9m / Interest Expense TTM 1.32m)
EV/FCF = -1.32x (Enterprise Value 1.44b / FCF TTM -1.09b)
FCF Yield = -75.61% (FCF TTM -1.09b / Enterprise Value 1.44b)
 FCF Margin = unknown (Revenue TTM is 0 or missing)
 Net Margin = unknown
 Gross Margin = unknown ((Revenue TTM 0.0 - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.06m) / Revenue TTM)
 Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.41 (Enterprise Value 1.44b / Total Assets 3.54b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.11% (Interest Expense 1.32m / Debt 1.18b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -42.6m (EBIT -53.9m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 5.47 (Total Current Assets 1.28b / Total Current Liabilities 234.6m)
Debt / Equity = 0.83 (Debt 1.18b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.42b)
 Debt / EBITDA = -6.76 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 357.3m / EBITDA -52.8m)
 Debt / FCF = -0.33 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 357.3m / FCF TTM -1.09b)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 1.07b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -3.99% (Net Income -97.3m / Total Assets 3.54b)
RoE = -9.05% (Net Income TTM -97.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.07b)
RoCE = -3.40% (EBIT -53.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.07b + L.T.Debt 511.0m))
 RoIC = -1.29% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -42.6m / Invested Capital 3.31b)
 WACC = 6.81% (E(1.08b)/V(2.26b) * Re(14.16%) + D(1.18b)/V(2.26b) * Rd(0.11%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 14.16% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 13.17%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 77.39 | Cagr: 49.71%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -1.09b)
 EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.27 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: N/A | Revenue CAGR: N/A | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=-0.04 | Chg30d=+33.33% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.07 | Chg30d=+54.64% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+80.1% | GrowthRev=+0.0%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=-0.14 | Chg30d=+23.19% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=-116.5% | GrowthRev=+0.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0% (up=0, down=0)