LAC Stock Analysis: Lithium Americas | NYSE

Other Industrial Metals & Mining | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 817m USD | 12M Return: -79.4% | CA53681J1030 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Lithium, Lithium Carbonate, Lithium Hydroxide
Total Rating 8
Safety 33
Buy Signal -0.90
Other Industrial Metals & Mining
Industry Rotation: -25.3
Market Cap: 817M
Avg Turnover: 21.6M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility61.4%
VaR 5th Pctl9.87%
VaR vs Median-2.45%
Choppyness66.6%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-1.94
Rel. Str. IBD1
Rel. Str. Peer Group10.2
Character TTM
Beta2.344
Beta Downside2.740
Hurst Exponent0.567
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD79.40%
CAGR/Max DD-0.47
CAGR/Mean DD-0.69
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of LAC over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": -0.14, "2021-12": -0.11, "2022-03": -0.35, "2022-06": -0.12, "2022-09": -0.3, "2022-12": 0.08, "2023-03": -0.04, "2023-06": 0.16, "2023-09": -0.07, "2023-12": -0.07, "2024-03": -0.02, "2024-06": -0.01, "2024-09": -0.0034, "2024-12": -0.04, "2025-03": -0.05, "2025-06": -0.06, "2025-09": -0.03, "2025-12": -0.2522, "2026-03": -0.03, "2026-06": -0.02,
Last SUE: 0.27
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of LAC over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 0, 2021-12: 0, 2022-03: 0, 2022-06: 0, 2022-09: 0, 2022-12: 0, 2023-03: 0, 2023-06: 0, 2023-09: 0, 2023-12: 0, 2024-03: 0.053289, 2024-06: 1.7E-5, 2024-09: 0, 2024-12: -1.7E-5, 2025-03: 0, 2025-06: 0, 2025-09: 0, 2025-12: 0, 2026-03: 0, 2026-06: 0,
Last SUE: 0.00
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Interest Coverage Ratio Critical
Below Avwap Earnings
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

Confidence

Seasonality 3 years of data

Jan +5.8% 31
Feb -2.3% 0
Mar -8.6% 0
Apr +23.4% 31
May -8.6% 40
Jun -13.8% 29
Jul -14.8% 30
Aug +11.8% 38
Sep +89.3% -
Oct +22.5% 0
Nov +0.4% 0
Dec -22.0% 44

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: LAC Lithium Americas

Lithium Americas Corp. (NYSE: LAC) is a Canadian resource and materials company focused on developing, building, and operating lithium deposits and chemical processing facilities in the United States and Canada. Its flagship asset is the Thacker Pass project, located in the McDermitt Caldera in Humboldt County, northern Nevada, with additional exploration properties held across the U.S. and Canada. The company is headquartered in Vancouver and operates within the diversified metals and mining sub-industry.

The company sits in the broader lithium sector, which supplies a key raw material for rechargeable batteries used in electric vehicles and grid-scale energy storage. Its vertically integrated business model-combining resource extraction with downstream chemical processing-is designed to capture value across multiple stages of the lithium supply chain.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Thacker Pass receives final federal construction permit approval
  • DOE loan closure unlocks Thacker Pass funding milestone
  • Lithium spot prices plunge on EV demand slowdown
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 0.0
Net Income: error (cannot be calculated; needs Net Income TTM and Revenue TTM)
FCF/TA: -0.31 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 7.57 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: error (cannot be calculated; needs Current Assets/Liabilities and Revenue current+prev)
CFO/TA -0.01 > 3% & CFO -36.2m > Net Income -97.3m
Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio: 5.47 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (243.7m) vs 12m ago 10.96% < -2%
Gross Margin: error (current vs previous; cannot be calculated due to missing/invalid data or negative margin)
Asset Turnover: 0.0% > 50% (prev -0.00%; Δ 0.00% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -40.80 > 6 (EBIT TTM -53.9m / Interest Expense TTM 1.32m)
Altman Z'' 2.53
A: 0.30 (Total Current Assets 1.28b - Total Current Liabilities 234.6m) / Total Assets 3.54b
B: -0.06 (Retained Earnings -219.4m / Total Assets 3.54b)
C: -0.02 (EBIT TTM -53.9m / Avg Total Assets 2.44b)
D: 0.89 (Book Value of Equity 1.42b / Total Liabilities 1.59b)
Altman-Z'' = 2.53 = A
What is the price of LAC shares?

As of October 15, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 2.07 with a total of 10,089,473 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -14.11%, over one month by -28.37%, over three months by -34.29% and over the past year by -79.40%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 1.90 (which is 8.2% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).

Is LAC a buy, sell or hold?

Lithium Americas has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.33. Therefore, it is recommended to hold LAC.

  • StrongBuy: 1
  • Buy: 2
  • Hold: 9
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the LAC price?
Analysts Target Price 5.6 168.6%
Lithium Americas (LAC) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 14 October 2026
Market Cap USD = 816.8m (816.8m USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 40.0
P/S = 177.9725
P/B = 0.7429
Revenue TTM = 0.0 USD
EBIT TTM = -53.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = -52.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.14b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 5.81m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.18b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 21.8m
Net Debt = 356.5m USD (calculated: Debt 1.18b - CCE 822.8m)
Enterprise Value = 1.17b USD (816.8m + Debt 1.18b - CCE 822.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -40.80 (Ebit TTM -53.9m / Interest Expense TTM 1.32m)
EV/FCF = -1.08x (Enterprise Value 1.17b / FCF TTM -1.09b)
FCF Yield = -92.51% (FCF TTM -1.09b / Enterprise Value 1.17b)
 FCF Margin = unknown (Revenue TTM is 0 or missing)
 Net Margin = unknown
 Gross Margin = unknown ((Revenue TTM 0.0 - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.06m) / Revenue TTM)
 Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.33 (Enterprise Value 1.17b / Total Assets 3.54b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.11% (Interest Expense 1.32m / Debt 1.18b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -42.6m (EBIT -53.9m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 5.47 (Total Current Assets 1.28b / Total Current Liabilities 234.6m)
Debt / Equity = 0.83 (Debt 1.18b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.42b)
 Debt / EBITDA = -6.75 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 356.5m / EBITDA -52.8m)
 Debt / FCF = -0.33 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 356.5m / FCF TTM -1.09b)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 1.07b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -3.99% (Net Income -97.3m / Total Assets 3.54b)
RoE = -9.05% (Net Income TTM -97.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.07b)
RoCE = -2.44% (EBIT -53.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.07b + L.T.Debt 1.14b))
 RoIC = -1.29% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -42.6m / Invested Capital 3.31b)
 WACC = 5.88% (E(816.8m)/V(2.00b) * Re(14.23%) + D(1.18b)/V(2.00b) * Rd(0.11%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 14.23% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 13.17%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 88.96 | Cagr: 19.88%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -1.09b)
 EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.27 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: N/A | Revenue CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=-0.04 | Chg30d=+33.33% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.07 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=+80.1% | GrowthRev=+0.0%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=-0.15 | Chg30d=-3.55% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=-124.2% | GrowthRev=+0.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +17% (up=2, down=1)