LAC Stock Analysis: Lithium Americas | NYSE

Other Industrial Metals & Mining | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 1.383m USD | 12M Return: 43.7% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Lithium, Mining, Processing, Nevada Operations
Total Rating 21
Safety 42
Buy Signal -0.66
Other Industrial Metals & Mining
Industry Rotation: -28.4
Market Cap: 1.38B
Avg Turnover: 48.0M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility65.8%
VaR 5th Pctl10.4%
VaR vs Median-3.68%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.72
Rel. Str. IBD23
Rel. Str. Peer Group27.6
Character TTM
Beta2.359
Beta Downside2.628
Hurst Exponent0.492
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD81.83%
CAGR/Max DD-0.37
CAGR/Mean DD-0.48
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of LAC over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": -0.12, "2021-09": -0.14, "2021-12": -0.11, "2022-03": -0.35, "2022-06": -0.12, "2022-09": -0.3, "2022-12": 0.08, "2023-03": -0.04, "2023-06": 0.16, "2023-09": -0.07, "2023-12": -0.07, "2024-03": -0.03, "2024-06": -0.02, "2024-09": -0.0034, "2024-12": -0.1, "2025-03": -0.05, "2025-06": -0.06, "2025-09": -0.83, "2025-12": -0.2522, "2026-03": -0.027,
Last SUE: 0.07
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of LAC over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 0, 2021-09: 0, 2021-12: 0, 2022-03: 0, 2022-06: 0, 2022-09: 0, 2022-12: 0, 2023-03: 0, 2023-06: 0, 2023-09: 0, 2023-12: 0, 2024-03: 0.053289, 2024-06: 1.7E-5, 2024-09: 0, 2024-12: -1.7E-5, 2025-03: 0, 2025-06: 0, 2025-09: 0, 2025-12: 0, 2026-03: 0,
Last SUE: 0.00
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

High Debt/EBITDA With Thin Interest Coverage
High Debt While Negative Cash Flow
Interest Coverage Ratio Critical
Choppy

Tailwinds

Confidence

Seasonality 2.7 years of data

Jan +0.1% 0
Feb +6.9% 6
Mar +1.4% 1
Apr +5.0% 3
May -8.1% 44
Jun -15.9% 24
Jul +1.1% 3
Aug +5.3% 8
Sep +49.0% 19
Oct +23.9% 11
Nov +1.5% 10
Dec -20.8% 51

Average return per month, with how dependable it is below — did the month move the same way every year (high) or randomly (low). Above 60 is a pattern worth trusting; under 40 is noise.

Description: LAC Lithium Americas

Lithium Americas Corp. (NYSE: LAC) is a Canada-based resource and materials company focused on developing, building, and operating lithium deposits and chemical processing facilities in the United States and Canada. Its flagship asset is the Thacker Pass project, located in the McDermitt Caldera in Humboldt County, northern Nevada, which is recognized as one of the largest known lithium clay deposits. The company also invests in exploration properties across the U.S. and Canada.

Lithium Americas is classified under the GICS Materials sector and Diversified Metals & Mining sub-industry, operating within the broader lithium supply chain that supplies raw material for lithium-ion batteries used in electric vehicles and energy storage. The company was incorporated in 2023 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada, with a small-cap market valuation of approximately $1.4 billion USD.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Thacker Pass construction timeline faces capex and permitting delays
  • Lithium carbonate prices decline pressuring project economics
  • DOE loan and IRA tax credits de-risk flagship financing
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 0.0
Net Income: error (cannot be calculated; needs Net Income TTM and Revenue TTM)
FCF/TA: -0.32 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -4.98 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: error (cannot be calculated; needs Current Assets/Liabilities and Revenue current+prev)
CFO/TA -0.02 > 3% & CFO -61.2m > Net Income -111.8m
Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio: 7.36 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (243.7m) vs 12m ago 11.46% < -2%
Gross Margin: error (current vs previous; cannot be calculated due to missing/invalid data or negative margin)
Asset Turnover: 0.0% > 50% (prev 0.0%; Δ 0.0% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -2.96 > 6 (EBIT TTM -52.4m / Interest Expense TTM 17.7m)
Altman Z'' 2.95
A: 0.34 (Total Current Assets 1.22b - Total Current Liabilities 165.3m) / Total Assets 3.12b
B: -0.07 (Retained Earnings -222.3m / Total Assets 3.12b)
C: -0.03 (EBIT TTM -52.4m / Avg Total Assets 2.07b)
D: 1.09 (Book Value of Equity 1.35b / Total Liabilities 1.24b)
Altman-Z'' = 2.95 = A
What is the price of LAC shares?

As of July 01, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 3.77 with a total of 6,943,684 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -7.23%, over one month by -30.13%, over three months by -2.53% and over the past year by +43.66%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 3.40 (which is 9.8% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).

Is LAC a buy, sell or hold?

Lithium Americas has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.73. Therefore, it is recommended to hold LAC.

  • StrongBuy: 4
  • Buy: 3
  • Hold: 8
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the LAC price?
Analysts Target Price 5.9 55.7%
Lithium Americas (LAC) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 26 June 2026
Market Cap USD = 1.38b (1.38b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 40.0
P/S = 177.9725
P/B = 1.0841
Revenue TTM = 0.0 USD
EBIT TTM = -52.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = -51.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 852.3m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 5.81m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 900.4m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 22.6m
Net Debt = -311.2m USD (calculated: Debt 900.4m - CCE 1.21b)
Enterprise Value = 1.07b USD (1.38b + Debt 900.4m - CCE 1.21b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -2.96 (Ebit TTM -52.4m / Interest Expense TTM 17.7m)
EV/FCF = -1.06x (Enterprise Value 1.07b / FCF TTM -1.01b)
FCF Yield = -94.57% (FCF TTM -1.01b / Enterprise Value 1.07b)
 FCF Margin = unknown (Revenue TTM is 0 or missing)
 Net Margin = unknown
 Gross Margin = unknown ((Revenue TTM 0.0 - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.06m) / Revenue TTM)
 Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.34 (Enterprise Value 1.07b / Total Assets 3.12b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.97% (Interest Expense 17.7m / Debt 900.4m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -41.4m (EBIT -52.4m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 7.36 (Total Current Assets 1.22b / Total Current Liabilities 165.3m)
Debt / Equity = 0.67 (Debt 900.4m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.35b)
 Debt / EBITDA = 6.07 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -311.2m / EBITDA -51.3m)
 Debt / FCF = 0.31 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -311.2m / FCF TTM -1.01b)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 874.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -5.40% (Net Income -111.8m / Total Assets 3.12b)
RoE = -12.78% (Net Income TTM -111.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 874.8m)
RoCE = -3.03% (EBIT -52.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 874.8m + L.T.Debt 852.3m))
 RoIC = -1.40% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -41.4m / Invested Capital 2.96b)
 WACC = 9.26% (E(1.38b)/V(2.28b) * Re(14.28%) + D(900.4m)/V(2.28b) * Rd(1.97%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 14.28% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 13.17%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 89.89 | Cagr: 19.96%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -1.01b)
 EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.07 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: N/A | Revenue CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=-0.06 | Chg30d=+25.00% | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.14 | Chg30d=+23.25% | Revisions=+43% | GrowthEPS=+56.1% | GrowthRev=+0.0%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=-0.18 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=-27.9% | GrowthRev=+0.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +43%