LAR Stock Analysis: Lithium Argentina | NYSE

Other Industrial Metals & Mining | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 1.307m USD | 12M Return: 201.7% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Lithium Carbonate, Lithium Brine, Battery Materials, Lithium Chemicals
Total Rating 41
Safety 58
Buy Signal 0.27
Other Industrial Metals & Mining
Industry Rotation: -2.2
Market Cap: 1.31B
Avg Turnover: 13.8M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility72.7%
VaR 5th Pctl11.6%
VaR vs Median-2.97%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.64
Rel. Str. IBD90.3
Rel. Str. Peer Group88.8
Character TTM
Beta2.645
Beta Downside2.515
Hurst Exponent0.493
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD79.82%
CAGR/Max DD-0.05
CAGR/Mean DD-0.09

Warnings

Interest Coverage Ratio Critical
Altman Z'' In Financial Distress Zone
Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

Rs Leader
Idiosyncratic Leader

Seasonality 10.5 years of data

Jan +7.2% 25
Feb +0.4% 0
Mar -4.5% 12
Apr -3.1% 26
May -3.0% 17
Jun -1.2% 22
Jul +2.6% 22
Aug +13.5% 22
Sep +3.3% 20
Oct -1.2% 5
Nov +4.4% 38
Dec -10.8% 23

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: LAR Lithium Argentina

Lithium Argentina AG (NYSE: LAR) is a Switzerland-incorporated resource company that operates and develops lithium projects in Argentina, focused on the Cauchari-Olaroz project in Jujuy province and the Pastos Grandes project in Salta province. The company was previously named Lithium Americas (Argentina) Corp. before rebranding to its current name in January 2025, and is headquartered in Zug, Switzerland. It is classified as a small-cap stock within the GICS Materials sector, specifically the Diversified Metals & Mining sub-industry, with a market capitalization of approximately $1,579 million USD.

Lithium Argentina operates in the lithium mining sector, which supplies a key raw material for lithium-ion batteries used in electric vehicles and grid-scale energy storage. Its projects target lithium-bearing brine deposits, a production method that is common in Argentinas portion of the South American Lithium Triangle shared with Chile and Bolivia. The company generates revenue primarily through its interest in producing lithium carbonate rather than through direct downstream battery manufacturing.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Lithium carbonate spot prices remain depressed, pressuring Cauchari-Olaroz margins
  • Cauchari-Olaroz production ramp-up drives quarterly revenue and volume growth
  • Argentina peso devaluation and export tax regime raise cost and repatriation risk
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 0.0
Net Income: error (cannot be calculated; needs Net Income TTM and Revenue TTM)
FCF/TA: -0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.82 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: error (cannot be calculated; needs Current Assets/Liabilities and Revenue current+prev)
CFO/TA -0.02 > 3% & CFO -20.7m > Net Income -59.4m
Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio: 0.52 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (173.0m) vs 12m ago 6.80% < -2%
Gross Margin: error (current vs previous; cannot be calculated due to missing/invalid data or negative margin)
Asset Turnover: 0.0% > 50% (prev 0.0%; Δ 0.0% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -0.99 > 6 (EBIT TTM -34.5m / Interest Expense TTM 34.9m)
Altman Z'' -0.64
A: -0.14 (Total Current Assets 168.1m - Total Current Liabilities 325.6m) / Total Assets 1.16b
B: -0.63 (Retained Earnings -738.6m / Total Assets 1.16b)
C: -0.03 (EBIT TTM -34.5m / Avg Total Assets 1.15b)
D: 2.40 (Book Value of Equity 784.8m / Total Liabilities 327.1m)
Altman-Z'' = -0.64 = B
What is the price of LAR shares?

As of July 11, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 7.33 with a total of 988,994 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -8.15%, over one month by -9.51%, over three months by -0.54% and over the past year by +201.65%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 6.00 (which is 18.1% or 2.7 ATR below the current price).

Is LAR a buy, sell or hold?

Lithium Argentina has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.90. Therefore, it is recommended to buy LAR.

  • StrongBuy: 3
  • Buy: 3
  • Hold: 4
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the LAR price?
Analysts Target Price 13.1 79.1%
Lithium Argentina (LAR) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 07 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 1.31b (1.31b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 17.762
P/S = 42.7865
P/B = 1.6714
P/EG = 0.4224
Revenue TTM = 0.0 USD
EBIT TTM = -34.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = -34.0m USD
 Long Term Debt = unknown (0.0)
 Short Term Debt = 243.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 243.1m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 145.3m USD (calculated: Debt 243.1m - CCE 97.8m)
Enterprise Value = 1.45b USD (1.31b + Debt 243.1m - CCE 97.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -0.99 (Ebit TTM -34.5m / Interest Expense TTM 34.9m)
EV/FCF = -69.40x (Enterprise Value 1.45b / FCF TTM -20.9m)
FCF Yield = -1.44% (FCF TTM -20.9m / Enterprise Value 1.45b)
 FCF Margin = unknown (Revenue TTM is 0 or missing)
 Net Margin = unknown
 Gross Margin = unknown ((Revenue TTM 0.0 - Cost of Revenue TTM 350k) / Revenue TTM)
 Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.25 (Enterprise Value 1.45b / Total Assets 1.16b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 14.37% (Interest Expense 34.9m / Debt 243.1m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -27.2m (EBIT -34.5m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.52 (Total Current Assets 168.1m / Total Current Liabilities 325.6m)
Debt / Equity = 0.31 (Debt 243.1m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 784.8m)
 Debt / EBITDA = -4.27 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 145.3m / EBITDA -34.0m)
 Debt / FCF = -6.94 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 145.3m / FCF TTM -20.9m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 785.3m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -5.18% (Net Income -59.4m / Total Assets 1.16b)
RoE = -7.56% (Net Income TTM -59.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 785.3m)
RoCE = -4.39% (EBIT -34.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 785.3m + L.T.Debt 0.0))
 RoIC = -2.52% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -27.2m / Invested Capital 1.08b)
 WACC = 14.66% (E(1.31b)/V(1.55b) * Re(15.28%) + D(243.1m)/V(1.55b) * Rd(14.37%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 15.28% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 13.17%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 73.33 | Cagr: 3.32%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -20.9m)
 EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: -0.07 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: N/A | Revenue CAGR: N/A | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.20 | Chg30d=-13.04% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=1
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.20 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.46 | Chg30d=-1.28% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+198.4% | GrowthRev=+0.0%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.47 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+1.7% | GrowthRev=+0.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -25% (up=0, down=1)