LEA Stock Analysis: Lear | NYSE
Auto Parts | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 5.899m USD | 12M Return: 22.6% | US5218652049 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 72.6M
EPS Trend: 78.4%
Qual. Beats: 3
Rev. Trend: 2.2%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Lear Corporation is a global Tier 1 automotive supplier that designs, engineers, manufactures, and assembles components for major automakers worldwide. It operates through two segments: Seating, which provides complete seat systems, mechanisms, thermal comfort features (heating, ventilation, cooling, lumbar/massage), cushioning, and surface materials such as leather and fabric; and E-Systems, which supplies electrical distribution and connection products including wire harnesses, terminals, connectors, junction boxes, body domain control modules, and high-voltage power control systems for multiple powertrain types, alongside software, connected services, and cybersecurity solutions.
The company serves automotive original equipment manufacturers across North America, Europe, Africa, Asia, and South America. Its products are marketed under brands including GUILFORD, EAGLE OTTAWA, THAGORA, IGB AUTOMOTIVE, COMFORTFLEX BY LEAR, LEAR, CONFIGURE+, FLEXAIR, INTU, RENEWKNIT, SOYFOAM, ProTec, and TeXstyle. Lear was founded in 1917 and is headquartered in Southfield, Michigan. As a direct Tier 1 supplier, its revenue is tied to global vehicle production volumes, and the broader industry transition toward electrified powertrains is a key demand driver for its E-Systems high-voltage components and power management offerings. Lear is listed on the NYSE under ticker LEA within the GICS Consumer Discretionary sector (Automotive Parts & Equipment sub-industry).
- E-Systems revenue grows on rising EV electrical content per vehicle
- Seating segment margins compress from raw material and labor inflation
- North American auto production cuts pressure seat volumes
| Net Income: 556.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.31 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 8.45% < 20% (prev 9.15%; Δ -0.69% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 > 3% & CFO 1.48b > Net Income 556.0m |
| Net Debt (2.68b) to EBITDA (1.46b): 1.84 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.31 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (51.2m) vs 12m ago -5.28% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 7.05% > 18% (prev 7.54%; Δ -0.49% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 153.0% > 50% (prev 149.4%; Δ 3.66% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 8.73 > 6 (EBIT TTM 847.0m / Interest Expense TTM 97.0m) |
| A: 0.13 (Total Current Assets 8.39b - Total Current Liabilities 6.38b) / Total Assets 15.7b |
| B: 0.41 (Retained Earnings 6.47b / Total Assets 15.7b) |
| C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 847.0m / Avg Total Assets 15.5b) |
| D: 0.50 (Book Value of Equity 5.18b / Total Liabilities 10.3b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 3.08 = A |
| DSRI: 0.90 (Receivables 4.21b/4.53b, Revenue 23.7b/22.9b) |
| GMI: 1.07 (GM 7.54% / 7.05%) |
| AQI: 1.04 (AQ_t 0.23 / AQ_t-1 0.23) |
| SGI: 1.04 (Revenue 23.7b / 22.9b) |
| TATA: -0.06 (NI 556.0m - CFO 1.48b) / TA 15.7b) |
| Beneish M = -3.01 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of October 15, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 119.38 with a total of 368,771 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.21%, over one month by -7.36%, over three months by -11.62% and over the past year by +22.58%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 115.30 (which is 3.4% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Lear has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.56. Therefore, it is recommended to hold LEA.
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 11
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 148.1 | 24% |
P/E Trailing = 11.1359
P/E Forward = 6.8966
P/S = 0.2489
P/B = 1.1586
P/EG = 0.3584
Revenue TTM = 23.7b USD
EBIT TTM = 847.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.46b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.71b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 205.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.69b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 169.4m
Net Debt = 2.68b USD (calculated: Debt 3.69b - CCE 1.01b)
Enterprise Value = 8.58b USD (5.90b + Debt 3.69b - CCE 1.01b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.73 (Ebit TTM 847.0m / Interest Expense TTM 97.0m)
EV/FCF = 10.10x (Enterprise Value 8.58b / FCF TTM 849.4m)
FCF Yield = 9.90% (FCF TTM 849.4m / Enterprise Value 8.58b)
FCF Margin = 3.58% (FCF TTM 849.4m / Revenue TTM 23.7b)
Net Margin = 2.35% (Net Income TTM 556.0m / Revenue TTM 23.7b)
Gross Margin = 7.05% ((Revenue TTM 23.7b - Cost of Revenue TTM 22.0b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 7.07% (prev 7.59%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.55 (Enterprise Value 8.58b / Total Assets 15.7b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.63% (Interest Expense 97.0m / Debt 3.69b)
Taxrate = 19.07% (150.1m / 787.2m)
NOPAT = 685.5m (EBIT 847.0m * (1 - 19.07%))
Current Ratio = 1.31 (Total Current Assets 8.39b / Total Current Liabilities 6.38b)
Debt / Equity = 0.71 (Debt 3.69b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 5.18b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.84 (Net Debt 2.68b / EBITDA 1.46b)
Debt / FCF = 3.15 (Net Debt 2.68b / FCF TTM 849.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 5.10b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.59% (Net Income 556.0m / Total Assets 15.7b)
RoE = 10.90% (Net Income TTM 556.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 5.10b)
RoCE = 10.84% (EBIT 847.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 5.10b + L.T.Debt 2.71b))
RoIC = 8.10% (NOPAT 685.5m / Invested Capital 8.46b)
WACC = 6.06% (E(5.90b)/V(9.58b) * Re(8.52%) + D(3.69b)/V(9.58b) * Rd(2.63%) * (1-Tc(0.19)))
Discount Rate = 8.52% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -98.83 | Cagr: -5.08%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈701.0m ; Y1≈803.5m ; Y5≈1.18b
[DCF] Fair Price = 306.5 (EV 17.8b - Net Debt 2.68b = Equity 15.1b / Shares 49.3m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 78.41 | EPS CAGR: 4.63% | SUE: 2.14 | # QB: 3
Revenue Correlation: 2.23 | Revenue CAGR: 0.03% | SUE: 0.73 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=3.30 | Chg30d=-0.91% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=13
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=14.96 | Chg30d=-0.41% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+16.9% | GrowthRev=+2.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=16.65 | Chg30d=-2.26% | Revisions=-17% | GrowthEPS=+11.3% | GrowthRev=+1.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -38% (up=1, down=4)