(LEA) Lear - Overview
Stock: Seating, Harnesses, Modules, Connectivity, Software
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 3.09% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.15% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 14.85% |
| Payout Consistency | 94.9% |
| Payout Ratio | 27.6% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 35.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -3.67% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.25 |
| Alpha | 40.50 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.956 |
| Beta Downside | 0.856 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 49.42% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.07 |
Description: LEA Lear January 10, 2026
Lear Corporation (NYSE:LEA) designs, engineers, manufactures and assembles automotive seating and electrical-distribution systems for original-equipment manufacturers worldwide, spanning North America, Europe, Africa, Asia and South America. Its Seating segment supplies complete seat systems, subsystems, trim, foams and mechanisms for a range of vehicle classes, while the E-Systems segment delivers wire harnesses, connectors, junction boxes, control modules, high-voltage power components and software-based services-including in-vehicle commerce (Xevo Market), cybersecurity, and autonomous-driving positioning.
Key data points to note: Lear generated roughly $10.5 billion in revenue for FY 2023, with an operating margin hovering around 6 %-a level that trails the broader Tier-1 average of ~8 % but reflects ongoing cost-compression initiatives. The company’s exposure to electric-vehicle (EV) growth is material; its E-Systems high-voltage switching and power control products are positioned to benefit from the projected 30 % CAGR in global EV power-train deployments through 2030. Additionally, Lear’s earnings are sensitive to OEM inventory cycles and macro-headwinds in the light-truck segment, which historically accounts for ~45 % of its seating revenue.
If you’re looking to dig deeper into Lear’s valuation mechanics and scenario analysis, the ValueRay platform offers a transparent, data-driven toolkit that can help you model these drivers more precisely.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income: 436.8m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.75 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 8.58% < 20% (prev 7.45%; Δ 1.13% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 > 3% & CFO 1.29b > Net Income 436.8m |
| Net Debt (1.71b) to EBITDA (1.17b): 1.46 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.35 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (52.5m) vs 12m ago -4.20% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 7.00% > 18% (prev 0.07%; Δ 693.4% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 161.1% > 50% (prev 166.1%; Δ -4.99% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 5.92 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 1.17b / Interest Expense TTM 99.0m) |
Altman Z'' 3.07
| A: 0.13 (Total Current Assets 7.66b - Total Current Liabilities 5.67b) / Total Assets 14.84b |
| B: 0.41 (Retained Earnings 6.15b / Total Assets 14.84b) |
| C: 0.04 (EBIT TTM 586.3m / Avg Total Assets 14.44b) |
| D: 0.54 (Book Value of Equity 5.20b / Total Liabilities 9.64b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 3.07 = A |
Beneish M -2.89
| DSRI: 1.09 (Receivables 3.90b/3.59b, Revenue 23.26b/23.30b) |
| GMI: 1.00 (GM 7.00% / 6.99%) |
| AQI: 1.22 (AQ_t 0.29 / AQ_t-1 0.24) |
| SGI: 1.00 (Revenue 23.26b / 23.30b) |
| TATA: -0.06 (NI 436.8m - CFO 1.29b) / TA 14.84b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.89 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of LEA shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +20.38%, over one month by +14.20%, over three months by +30.96% and over the past year by +53.63%.
Is LEA a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 10
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the LEA price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 139.6 | -1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 139.6 | -1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 167.8 | 19% |
LEA Fundamental Data Overview February 07, 2026
P/E Forward = 9.3371
P/S = 0.3112
P/B = 1.3209
P/EG = 0.3584
Revenue TTM = 23.26b USD
EBIT TTM = 586.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.17b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.76b USD (from longTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Short Term Debt = 31.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.74b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.71b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 8.95b USD (7.24b + Debt 2.74b - CCE 1.03b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.92 (Ebit TTM 586.3m / Interest Expense TTM 99.0m)
EV/FCF = 12.18x (Enterprise Value 8.95b / FCF TTM 734.8m)
FCF Yield = 8.21% (FCF TTM 734.8m / Enterprise Value 8.95b)
FCF Margin = 3.16% (FCF TTM 734.8m / Revenue TTM 23.26b)
Net Margin = 1.88% (Net Income TTM 436.8m / Revenue TTM 23.26b)
Gross Margin = 7.00% ((Revenue TTM 23.26b - Cost of Revenue TTM 21.63b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 5.72% (prev 6.64%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.60 (Enterprise Value 8.95b / Total Assets 14.84b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.91% (Interest Expense 25.0m / Debt 2.74b)
Taxrate = 14.55% (18.1m / 124.4m)
NOPAT = 501.0m (EBIT 586.3m * (1 - 14.55%))
Current Ratio = 1.35 (Total Current Assets 7.66b / Total Current Liabilities 5.67b)
Debt / Equity = 0.53 (Debt 2.74b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 5.20b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.46 (Net Debt 1.71b / EBITDA 1.17b)
Debt / FCF = 2.33 (Net Debt 1.71b / FCF TTM 734.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 5.01b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.03% (Net Income 436.8m / Total Assets 14.84b)
RoE = 8.72% (Net Income TTM 436.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 5.01b)
RoCE = 7.54% (EBIT 586.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 5.01b + L.T.Debt 2.76b))
RoIC = 6.48% (NOPAT 501.0m / Invested Capital 7.73b)
WACC = 7.06% (E(7.24b)/V(9.98b) * Re(9.44%) + D(2.74b)/V(9.98b) * Rd(0.91%) * (1-Tc(0.15)))
Discount Rate = 9.44% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -5.27%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 84.38% ; FCFF base≈620.6m ; Y1≈765.5m ; Y5≈1.30b
Fair Price DCF = 490.9 (EV 27.17b - Net Debt 1.71b = Equity 25.46b / Shares 51.9m; r=7.06% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 30.59 | EPS CAGR: 18.58% | SUE: 1.77 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 62.55 | Revenue CAGR: 3.80% | SUE: 2.34 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=3.33 | Chg30d=-0.052 | Revisions Net=+3 | Analysts=10
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=14.35 | Chg30d=+0.270 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+12.1% | Growth Revenue=+1.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=16.80 | Chg30d=+0.753 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+17.1% | Growth Revenue=+3.1%