LEN Stock Analysis: Lennar | NYSE

Residential Construction | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 19.626m USD | 12M Return: -36.6% | US5260571048 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Single-Family Homes, Multifamily Rentals, Mortgage Financing, Title Insurance
Total Rating 35
Safety 75
Buy Signal -0.90
Residential Construction
Industry Rotation: -2.1
Market Cap: 19.6B
Avg Turnover: 400M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility35.0%
VaR 5th Pctl6.16%
VaR vs Median6.71%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-1.15
Rel. Str. IBD12.8
Rel. Str. Peer Group18.4
Character TTM
Beta0.827
Beta Downside1.080
Hurst Exponent0.567
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD53.88%
CAGR/Max DD-0.09
CAGR/Mean DD-0.21
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of LEN over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-08": 3.27, "2021-11": 4.36, "2022-02": 2.7, "2022-05": 4.69, "2022-08": 5.18, "2022-11": 5.02, "2023-02": 2.12, "2023-05": 2.94, "2023-08": 3.91, "2023-11": 5.17, "2024-02": 2.61, "2024-05": 3.38, "2024-08": 3.9, "2024-11": 4.03, "2025-02": 2.2153, "2025-05": 1.9, "2025-08": 2, "2025-11": 2.03, "2026-02": 0.88, "2026-05": 1.31, "2026-08": 2,
EPS CAGR: -30.90%
EPS Trend: -92.8%
Last SUE: 3.05
Qual. Beats: 1
Revenue Revenue of LEN over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-08: 6941.403, 2021-11: 8433.56, 2022-02: 6203.516, 2022-05: 8358.696, 2022-08: 8934.431, 2022-11: 10174.367, 2023-02: 6490.429, 2023-05: 8045.151, 2023-08: 8729.603, 2023-11: 10968.183, 2024-02: 7312.93, 2024-05: 8765.592, 2024-08: 9416.042, 2024-11: 9946.888, 2025-02: 7631.545, 2025-05: 8377.502, 2025-08: 8810.278, 2025-11: 9367.609, 2026-02: 6619.476, 2026-05: 7939.872, 2026-08: 8046.119,
Rev. CAGR: -3.15%
Rev. Trend: -72.2%
Last SUE: -1.41
Qual. Beats: -1

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan +3.5% 19
Feb -5.1% 20
Mar +3.2% 16
Apr -2.9% 20
May +0.2% 7
Jun -0.5% 8
Jul +1.6% 8
Aug -1.3% 19
Sep -1.8% 16
Oct -0.5% 0
Nov +2.5% 39
Dec -3.5% 12

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: LEN Lennar

Lennar Corporation is a U.S. homebuilder that operates primarily under the Lennar brand through seven reportable segments: Homebuilding East, Homebuilding Central, Homebuilding South Central, Homebuilding West, Financial Services, Multifamily, and Lennar Other. The company constructs and sells single-family attached and detached homes, purchases and develops residential land, and develops, constructs, and manages multifamily rental properties.

In addition to homebuilding, Lennar offers residential mortgage financing, title insurance, and closing services for home buyers and other customers, originates and sells securitized commercial mortgage loans, and participates in fund investment activities. Mortgage origination and title services are common vertical-integration strategies among large U.S. homebuilders, allowing them to capture additional fee-based revenue from each home sale.

The company serves first-time, move-up, active adult, and luxury homebuyers across the United States. Lennar was founded in 1954 and is headquartered in Miami, Florida, and is classified within the GICS Consumer Discretionary sector under the Homebuilding sub-industry.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Mortgage rates climb pressures home affordability and orders
  • Cancellation rates rise signals weakening buyer demand
  • Share buybacks accelerate capital returns to shareholders
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 2.0
Net Income: 1.31b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.00 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.13 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 41.46% < 20% (prev 38.06%; Δ 3.40% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.01 > 3% & CFO 216.8m > Net Income 1.31b
Net Debt (7.15b) to EBITDA (1.84b): 3.88 < 3
Current Ratio: 8.38 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (237.8m) vs 12m ago -6.98% < -2%
Gross Margin: 9.52% > 18% (prev 11.83%; Δ -2.32% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 93.68% > 50% (prev 99.68%; Δ -5.99% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 6.83 > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.71b / Interest Expense TTM 250.2m)
Altman Z'' 7.12
A: 0.40 (Total Current Assets 15.1b - Total Current Liabilities 1.80b) / Total Assets 33.4b
B: 0.69 (Retained Earnings 22.9b / Total Assets 33.4b)
C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 1.71b / Avg Total Assets 34.1b)
D: 1.85 (Book Value of Equity 21.6b / Total Liabilities 11.7b)
Altman-Z'' = 7.12 = AAA
Beneish M -3.13
DSRI: 0.65 (Receivables 924.9m/1.55b, Revenue 32.0b/34.8b)
GMI: 1.24 (GM 11.83% / 9.52%)
AQI: 1.03 (AQ_t 0.52 / AQ_t-1 0.50)
SGI: 0.92 (Revenue 32.0b / 34.8b)
TATA: 0.03 (NI 1.31b - CFO 216.8m) / TA 33.4b)
Beneish M = -3.13 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of LEN shares?

As of October 05, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 79.81 with a total of 9,011,080 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.85%, over one month by -4.51%, over three months by -8.98% and over the past year by -36.56%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 76.00 (which is 4.8% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).

Is LEN a buy, sell or hold?

Lennar has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.48. Therefore, it is recommended to hold LEN.

  • StrongBuy: 4
  • Buy: 2
  • Hold: 15
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the LEN price?
Analysts Target Price 80.1 0.3%
Lennar (LEN) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 04 October 2026
Market Cap USD = 19.6b (19.6b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 14.5223
P/E Forward = 15.674
P/S = 0.6138
P/B = 0.9109
P/EG = 11.3018
Revenue TTM = 32.0b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.71b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.84b USD
Long Term Debt = 6.10b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 2.21b USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 8.30b USD (corrected: LT Debt 6.10b + ST Debt 2.21b)
Net Debt = 7.15b USD (calculated: Debt 8.30b - CCE 1.15b)
Enterprise Value = 26.8b USD (19.6b + Debt 8.30b - CCE 1.15b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 6.83 (Ebit TTM 1.71b / Interest Expense TTM 250.2m)
EV/FCF = 950.1x (Enterprise Value 26.8b / FCF TTM 28.2m)
FCF Yield = 0.11% (FCF TTM 28.2m / Enterprise Value 26.8b)
FCF Margin = 0.09% (FCF TTM 28.2m / Revenue TTM 32.0b)
Net Margin = 4.10% (Net Income TTM 1.31b / Revenue TTM 32.0b)
Gross Margin = 9.52% ((Revenue TTM 32.0b - Cost of Revenue TTM 28.9b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 16.56% (prev 6.18%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.80 (Enterprise Value 26.8b / Total Assets 33.4b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.01% (Interest Expense 250.2m / Debt 8.30b)
Taxrate = 25.81% (460.8m / 1.79b)
NOPAT = 1.27b (EBIT 1.71b * (1 - 25.81%))
Current Ratio = 8.38 (Total Current Assets 15.1b / Total Current Liabilities 1.80b)
Debt / Equity = 0.39 (Debt 8.30b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 21.6b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.88 (Net Debt 7.15b / EBITDA 1.84b)
Debt / FCF = 253.8 (Net Debt 7.15b / FCF TTM 28.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 21.8b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.84% (Net Income 1.31b / Total Assets 33.4b)
RoE = 6.03% (Net Income TTM 1.31b / Total Stockholder Equity 21.8b)
RoCE = 6.13% (EBIT 1.71b / Capital Employed (Equity 21.8b + L.T.Debt 6.10b))
RoIC = 3.88% (NOPAT 1.27b / Invested Capital 32.6b)
WACC = 6.91% (E(19.6b)/V(27.9b) * Re(8.89%) + D(8.30b)/V(27.9b) * Rd(3.01%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 8.89% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -99.31 | Cagr: -6.07%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.44% ; FCFF base≈28.2m ; Y1≈28.3m ; Y5≈30.0m
 [DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 466.3m - Net Debt 7.15b = -6.69b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
 EPS Correlation: -92.81 | EPS CAGR: -30.90% | SUE: 3.05 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -72.24 | Revenue CAGR: -3.15% | SUE: -1.41 | # QB: -1
EPS current Quarter (2027-02-28): EPS=0.65 | Chg30d=-23.70% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=7
EPS current Year (2026-11-30): EPS=4.95 | Chg30d=-10.73% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=-38.6% | GrowthRev=-7.7%
EPS next Year (2027-11-30): EPS=5.27 | Chg30d=-18.67% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+6.5% | GrowthRev=+3.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -29% (up=1, down=3)