(LII) Lennox International - Ratings and Ratios
Furnaces, Air Conditioners, Heat Pumps, Refrigeration, Controls
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 0.97% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 1.91% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 10.25% |
| Payout Consistency | 99.3% |
| Payout Ratio | 20.6% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 32.7% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 54.4% |
| Relative Tail Risk | 1.04% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.66 |
| Alpha | -35.39 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.85 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.432 |
| Beta | 0.984 |
| Beta Downside | 0.606 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 33.94% |
| Mean DD | 7.37% |
| Median DD | 4.16% |
Description: LII Lennox International October 16, 2025
Lennox International (NYSE:LII) designs, manufactures and markets HVAC-R products for residential and commercial customers across North America and globally. Its Home Comfort Solutions segment covers furnaces, air conditioners, heat pumps, indoor-air-quality gear and replacement parts under brands such as Lennox, Dave Lennox Signature Collection and Armstrong Air. The Building Climate Solutions segment supplies commercial heating-cooling equipment, variable refrigerant flow (VRF) systems, chillers, condensers and industrial process chillers under a wide portfolio of brand names.
Key metrics from the most recent fiscal year show LII generated roughly $2.5 billion in revenue with an operating margin near 13 %, and it holds an estimated 30 % share of the U.S. residential HVAC market. Demand is being driven by a combination of new-home construction rebounding as mortgage rates stabilize, tighter building-code efficiency standards, and a macro-trend toward decarbonization that favors heat-pump adoption. Supply-chain constraints on compressors and copper have pressured margins, while the company’s expanding smart-thermostat line (iComfort) provides a pathway to higher-margin recurring services.
For a deeper quantitative view, you may find ValueRay’s analyst dashboards useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income (841.4m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 320.7m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.15 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -5.70pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 14.37% (prev 10.00%; Δ 4.37pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.19 (>3.0%) and CFO 684.1m <= Net Income 841.4m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (1.16b) to EBITDA (1.20b) ratio: 0.97 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.68 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (35.5m) change vs 12m ago -0.84% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 33.32% (prev 32.45%; Δ 0.88pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 156.3% (prev 155.5%; Δ 0.87pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 34.98 (EBITDA TTM 1.20b / Interest Expense TTM 30.5m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 9.81
| (A) 0.22 = (Total Current Assets 1.90b - Total Current Liabilities 1.13b) / Total Assets 3.52b |
| (B) 1.32 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 4.66b / Total Assets 3.52b |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: 1.32 — check mapping/units |
| (C) 0.31 = EBIT TTM 1.07b / Avg Total Assets 3.42b |
| (D) 1.87 = Book Value of Equity 4.60b / Total Liabilities 2.45b |
| Total Rating: 9.81 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 80.96
| 1. Piotroski 6.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 2.86% |
| 3. FCF Margin 10.00% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.13 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.97 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 35.19)% |
| 7. RoE 91.62% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 53.11% |
| 9. EPS Trend 66.91% |
What is the price of LII shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.15%, over one month by +6.04%, over three months by -6.88% and over the past year by -22.92%.
Is LII a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 4
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 3
- Strong Sell: 4
What are the forecasts/targets for the LII price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 573.9 | 13.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 573.9 | 13.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 554.7 | 9.7% |
LII Fundamental Data Overview December 02, 2025
P/E Trailing = 21.0939
P/E Forward = 19.305
P/S = 3.2781
P/B = 16.3506
P/EG = 1.5161
Beta = 1.158
Revenue TTM = 5.35b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.07b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.20b USD
Long Term Debt = 793.5m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 94.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.21b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.16b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 18.68b USD (17.52b + Debt 1.21b - CCE 59.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 34.98 (Ebit TTM 1.07b / Interest Expense TTM 30.5m)
FCF Yield = 2.86% (FCF TTM 534.3m / Enterprise Value 18.68b)
FCF Margin = 10.00% (FCF TTM 534.3m / Revenue TTM 5.35b)
Net Margin = 15.74% (Net Income TTM 841.4m / Revenue TTM 5.35b)
Gross Margin = 33.32% ((Revenue TTM 5.35b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.56b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 33.29% (prev 34.81%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 5.30 (Enterprise Value 18.68b / Total Assets 3.52b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.87% (Interest Expense 10.5m / Debt 1.21b)
Taxrate = 17.74% (53.0m / 298.8m)
NOPAT = 877.6m (EBIT 1.07b * (1 - 17.74%))
Current Ratio = 1.68 (Total Current Assets 1.90b / Total Current Liabilities 1.13b)
Debt / Equity = 1.13 (Debt 1.21b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.07b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.97 (Net Debt 1.16b / EBITDA 1.20b)
Debt / FCF = 2.17 (Net Debt 1.16b / FCF TTM 534.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 918.3m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 23.87% (Net Income 841.4m / Total Assets 3.52b)
RoE = 91.62% (Net Income TTM 841.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 918.3m)
RoCE = 62.32% (EBIT 1.07b / Capital Employed (Equity 918.3m + L.T.Debt 793.5m))
RoIC = 44.25% (NOPAT 877.6m / Invested Capital 1.98b)
WACC = 9.06% (E(17.52b)/V(18.73b) * Re(9.64%) + D(1.21b)/V(18.73b) * Rd(0.87%) * (1-Tc(0.18)))
Discount Rate = 9.64% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -81.65 | Cagr: -0.42%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 76.43% ; FCFE base≈597.0m ; Y1≈736.5m ; Y5≈1.26b
Fair Price DCF = 458.9 (DCF Value 16.10b / Shares Outstanding 35.1m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 66.91 | EPS CAGR: 33.68% | SUE: -0.53 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 53.11 | Revenue CAGR: 11.00% | SUE: -1.19 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=3.60 | Chg30d=-0.684 | Revisions Net=-7 | Analysts=5
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=25.33 | Chg30d=-0.907 | Revisions Net=-12 | Growth EPS=+10.3% | Growth Revenue=+9.2%
Additional Sources for LII Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle