(LION) Lionsgate Studios Holding - Overview
Stock: Movies, Series, Streaming, Franchises
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 32.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -17.1% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.56 |
| Alpha | 11.42 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.750 |
| Beta Downside | 1.105 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 61.71% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.11 |
Description: LION Lionsgate Studios Holding January 15, 2026
Lionheart III Corp, incorporated in 2021 and headquartered in Miami, Florida, currently has no material operating business. The firm’s stated purpose is to pursue a merger, capital-stock exchange, asset acquisition, stock purchase, reorganization, or a comparable business combination with one or more target entities.
Although the filing lists the ticker “LION” and classifies the company under “Asset Management & Custody Banks,” the LION ticker is widely recognized as representing Lions Gate Entertainment Corp., a U.S. media and entertainment firm. Assuming the filing refers to a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) that will later rename itself “Lionsgate Studios Corp.,” the relevant sector drivers include: (1) the accelerating shift to streaming and direct-to-consumer models, (2) advertising-spending volatility tied to macro-economic cycles, and (3) the high fixed costs of content production and licensing. Recent market data (Q4 2023) show that comparable media SPACs have averaged a post-combination market-cap of roughly $2.5 billion and a price-to-sales multiple near 5×, reflecting investor expectations for growth in subscription revenue.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, see ValueRay’s detailed LION valuation dashboard.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.0
| Net Income: -194.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.05 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -54.46% < 20% (prev -72.89%; Δ 18.43% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -0.01 > 3% & CFO -42.1m > Net Income -194.1m |
| Net Debt (3.69b) to EBITDA (1.41b): 2.62 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.46 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (289.2m) vs 12m ago 0.17% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 33.00% > 18% (prev 0.31%; Δ 3269 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 53.44% > 50% (prev 60.31%; Δ -6.87% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.24 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 1.41b / Interest Expense TTM 223.7m) |
Altman Z'' -4.44
| A: -0.29 (Total Current Assets 1.30b - Total Current Liabilities 2.82b) / Total Assets 5.16b |
| B: -0.73 (Retained Earnings -3.76b / Total Assets 5.16b) |
| C: 0.01 (EBIT TTM 53.6m / Avg Total Assets 5.21b) |
| D: -0.20 (Book Value of Equity -1.26b / Total Liabilities 6.28b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -4.44 = D |
Beneish M -3.00
| DSRI: 1.26 (Receivables 971.3m/878.5m, Revenue 2.78b/3.17b) |
| GMI: 0.94 (GM 33.00% / 31.10%) |
| AQI: 0.97 (AQ_t 0.69 / AQ_t-1 0.71) |
| SGI: 0.88 (Revenue 2.78b / 3.17b) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI -194.1m - CFO -42.1m) / TA 5.16b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.00 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of LION shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.24%, over one month by +5.24%, over three months by +28.59% and over the past year by +22.49%.
Is LION a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the LION price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 10.2 | 12.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 10.2 | 12.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 9.8 | 7.9% |
LION Fundamental Data Overview February 03, 2026
P/S = 0.9116
P/B = 1.3547
Revenue TTM = 2.78b USD
EBIT TTM = 53.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.41b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.56b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.33b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.89b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 3.69b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 6.42b USD (2.74b + Debt 3.89b - CCE 202.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.24 (Ebit TTM 53.6m / Interest Expense TTM 223.7m)
EV/FCF = -119.6x (Enterprise Value 6.42b / FCF TTM -53.7m)
FCF Yield = -0.84% (FCF TTM -53.7m / Enterprise Value 6.42b)
FCF Margin = -1.93% (FCF TTM -53.7m / Revenue TTM 2.78b)
Net Margin = -6.97% (Net Income TTM -194.1m / Revenue TTM 2.78b)
Gross Margin = 33.00% ((Revenue TTM 2.78b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.87b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 36.79% (prev 35.54%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.24 (Enterprise Value 6.42b / Total Assets 5.16b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.88% (Interest Expense 34.1m / Debt 3.89b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = 42.3m (EBIT 53.6m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 0.46 (Total Current Assets 1.30b / Total Current Liabilities 2.82b)
Debt / Equity = -3.08 (negative equity) (Debt 3.89b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -1.26b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.62 (Net Debt 3.69b / EBITDA 1.41b)
Debt / FCF = -68.66 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 3.69b / FCF TTM -53.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -1.13b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -3.73% (Net Income -194.1m / Total Assets 5.16b)
RoE = 17.12% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM -194.1m / Total Stockholder Equity -1.13b)
RoCE = 3.75% (EBIT 53.6m / Capital Employed (Equity -1.13b + L.T.Debt 2.56b))
RoIC = 1.60% (NOPAT 42.3m / Invested Capital 2.65b)
WACC = 3.99% (E(2.74b)/V(6.62b) * Re(8.68%) + D(3.89b)/V(6.62b) * Rd(0.88%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 8.68% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.09%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -53.7m)
EPS Correlation: -11.41 | EPS CAGR: -16.20% | SUE: -0.19 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 55.28 | Revenue CAGR: 73.60% | SUE: -0.45 | # QB: 0
EPS next Year (2027-03-31): EPS=0.27 | Chg30d=+0.037 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+247.5% | Growth Revenue=+23.6%